Jack JonesFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Diego Chargers -6
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San Diego simply has the Oakland Raiders number, and I see them winning this one by at least a touchdown Sunday. The Chargers are trying to build on their most lopsided victory of the season. They've made a habit out of completely dominating the AFC West-rival Oakland Raiders for nearly seven years. San Diego looks to tie the longest active win streak in a series with a 14th consecutive victory over the Raiders on Sunday. Their defense came to life last week, holding the Arizona Cardinals to just 124 total yards in a 41-10 victory.
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San Diego has won 13 in a row over Oakland by an average of 14.4 points, dating to a 34-31 overtime loss in September 2003. The Chargers are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings, including 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Oakland. The Raiders are 1-3 this season thanks in large part to a poor defense, one that is giving up 26.7 PPG. Philip Rivers is licking his chops and leads an offense into Oakland that is scoring 28.2 PPG while putting up 451 total yards per contest. Take the Chargers Sunday.
Doug UpstoneFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Tennessee Titans vs. Dallas Cowboys
Play: Tennessee Titans +6½
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The Dallas passing offense led by Tony Romo is fourth in the NFL at 311.7 yards per game and they are up against Tennessee who has been torched for over 300 yards in consecutive outings. The NFL is about thinking the opposite of the obvious with the Cowboys off important first win against Houston and the Titans being burned thru the air.
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Today, Play Against home favorites passing for 265 or more yards per game, against an average passing defense (185-230 yards allowed), after gaining seven or more passing yards per attempt in last contest. This NFL system is 31-9 ATS the past five years.
Hunter Price
Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens
Play: Denver Broncos +7½
This one is going out as a freebie and justly so as the lines makers have this game completely wrong and I for one will be pounding both the 7.5 and the moneyline as with a close to 3-1 number it's a must bet game in my book. Going into this season the weak spot for the Ravens was going to be their secondary and while they have come up big through the first month of the season they have played only pass inept offenses and that changes today as Orton and company comes into town. Look for the Broncos to force the issue with their 4 deep WR sets and in the process put up plenty of points to cover this 7.5 in addition to a great chance at winning outright.
O.C. Dooley
Titans / Cowboys Under 42.5
This total at most offshore locations opened at either the 41' or 42 point marks and has since jumped up slighty with a "hook" on the 42, which according to my database research is vital. Tennessee long term just happens to be 20-10 UNDER/ROAD when the posted total is between 42'-and-49 points which is now the case in this late afternoon affair. Most of you should remember the main "doubleheader TV telecast" of one week ago when the Redskins/Eagles were supposted to put on an offensive show in a marquee quarterback matchup between Michael Vick and Donovan McNabb who was making his initial visit to Philadelphia as a visiting player. To make a long story short last week's "doubleheader" TV telecast went way below the posted spot and I am predicting more of the same on this particular Sunday even though quarterback Vince Young is returning to the state of Texas where he starred with the Longhorns in college. Last Sunday Young attempted only 10 passes in the entire second half with 3 of them basically "desperation" heaves. That means conservative Tennessee will keep the ball on the ground with star Chris Johnson who has actually struggled against "3-4" base defenses that he will see employed by Dallas this afternoon. One would think the Titans defense will have an easier time after having to deal with a red-hot quarterback a week ago in Denver's Kyle Orton who has had three consecutive "300-plus yard" passing efforts. The last time we saw the Cowboys they basically saved their season with a road upset at Houston, which opens the door to an interesting database angle. Long term Dallas is an eye opening 15-5 UNDER/HOME when off an underdog outright victory