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Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, October 4,2009

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Tony Mathews

New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens
Play: New England/Baltimore Over 44.5

We know the New England Patriots have had some trouble scoring TD's when in the red zone (in the last two weeks), however, that won't be a problem for Tom Brady and the Patriots today. It is important to understand that this is not the old Ravens defense with a great defense (this statement was proven true when two weeks ago Philip Rivers and the Chargers torched the Ravens defense).

Many still have the mind-set that the Ravens have a poor offense (like in past seasons). That is not true. In fact, this is a new look Ravens offense that is all about a down field passing game. In fact, Joe Flacco has thrown for 849 yards on 104 pass attempts in just the first three weeks, making the Ravens the highest scoring team in the AFC.

This talented Ravens offense should have no problem scoring many points against a Patriots defense that has a lack in talent. The Patriots defense hasn't just lost talented players, they've lost most of their veteran leadership with Tedy Bruschi, Richard Seymour, Rodney Harrison, Mike Vrabel, Asante Samuel and Ellis Hobbs (all gone from their last Super Bowl team). To make things even worse for the Patriots defense, last year’s rookie sensation Jerod Mayo is sitting out with a knee injury.

The bottom line, we should see a shootout with many points being scored!

Take the New England Patriots/Baltimore Ravens Over 44.5

 
Posted : October 4, 2009 6:37 am
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HENTAI SPORTS

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Washington Redskins +7
Prediction : Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7

The Redskins just lost to the Detroit Lions and their running game looked terrible with just 65 rushing yards. The Bucs on the other hand just faced arguably the best NFL team in 2009 and held them to just 24 points despite having the ball for just over 16 minutes (21 plays) on offense. The Bucs defense definitely got their work in against the Giants last Sunday so playing against this Redskins offense will be a breeze for them. The Redskins offense averaged just 9 points in their only home game this season against a bad Rams defense that is giving up 24.3 ppg. The Buccaneers are better than a 0-3 team and with out some bad breaks this season they could easily be 2-1 coming into this game Sunday. Grab the points with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as they keep this game close Sunday afternoon and possibly win outright.

 
Posted : October 4, 2009 6:38 am
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JIM FEIST

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS / WASHINGTON REDSKINS
TAKE: WASHINGTON REDSKINS

The battle of the miserable. The Buccaneers (0-3 SU/ATS) looked bad in preseason at 1-3 SU/ATS with new looks everywhere, starting with Head Coach Raheem Morris. They look just as bad in the games that count, in a 34-21 home loss to Dallas, at Buffalo, 33-20 and Sunday.5?s 24-0 home loss to the Giants. It was real ugly, getting outgained 397-86. 29-year old QB Byron Leftwich (4 TDs, 3 INTs) has been awful, so he is benched. Second-year pro Josh Johnson will start this week. Johnson played one fourth-quarter series, completing 4 of 10 passes for 36 yards. Leftwich has been chucking it a lot because they.5?ve fallen behind. The running game has been weak. Most alarming was the Tampa Bay defense that got shredded, allowing 462 yards (344 passing) to Dallas, 438 (218 rushing) to Buffalo, and 397 (226 rushing) to NY. The Bucs fired offensive coordinator Jeff Jagodzinski last month and replaced him with quarterbacks coach Greg Olson. The Bucs signed versatile offensive lineman Sean Mahan after learning starting center Jeff Faine will miss several games with a triceps injury. The Bucs are on a 0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS run going back to last season. The Redskins (1-2 SU/0-3 ATS) have plenty of talent all over the field, but clearly have a lousy head coach. There is talent on offense with QB Jason Campbell (3 TDs, 2 picks), RB Clinton Portis, WR Santana Moss, tight end Chris Cooley and Antawn Randle-El. But the offense was 19th in the NFL last season, and has been stuck in 1st gear this season. They come off an embarrassing 19-14 loss at Detroit, the first win by the rebuilding Lions since WWI (it only seems that long). As usual, the Redskins had 390 yards and just 14 points. Most alarming was a defense that was great last year (No. 4 in total .5?D.5?), added DT Albert Haynesworth, yet gave up 154 rushing yards to the Lions, who haven.5?t had a running game or an offensive line in years. Two weeks ago they squeezed out a 9-7 win over the Rams where the locker room was quiet afterward. "Everyone was a little down in here," said one player. Playing the Bucs will be just the medicine the doctor ordered here as the Skins should enjoy the day off against a horrible Tampa Bay club.

 
Posted : October 4, 2009 6:39 am
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Randall the Handle

Tennessee –3 over JACKSONVILLE

The Titans had a chance to beat the Steelers in week one and probably should have. They had a chance to beat Houston in week 2 and probably should have. They played the Jets last week, fell behind 14-0, rallied to take a 17-14 lead but two fumbles on two punts was just too difficult to overcome and while they lost again they had a chance to win and probably should have. Now this extremely talented team is 0-3 and this is not a 0-3 team. In fact, with a couple of bounces they could be 3-0. They’ll take a step down in class here and while I’m going against my cardinal rule of laying road points, I’ll make a rare exception here. You see, the Jags don’t impress at all. They’re 1-2 after losing to the Colts in week one in a deceiving 14-12 score and they followed that up by getting smoked at home by the Cardinals before a victory last week in Houston. Of all the places to play in the NFL, Jacksonville might be the least intimidating. There is no atmosphere whatsoever, as the fans act like they’re there just to kill a few hours. The hungry Titans should be able to control everything here, including time of possession and both lines. This is the best 0-3 team in perhaps the history of the game and in no way will they allow this inferior opponent to put them in a huge 0-4 hole. Play: Tennessee –3 +1.02 (Risking 2 units).

CLEVELAND +2.29 over Cincinnati

Wagering on the NFL is very much like playing the stock market in that you should always buy low and sell high and that’s precisely the situation here. The Brownies stock has hit bottom after the Ravens blew them out last week and they now sit at 0-3. The closest they’ve been in three games is 14 points and that came at home in week one against the Vikes. Lots of folks were on them in week 2 when they went into Denver as a three-point pooch and lost by 21. Nobody wants a part of these Brownies right now and that’s the best time to “step in”. By contrast, the Bengals stock is very high after they went into Green Bay and as a nine-point dog won outright. Last week they beat the Steelers and if not for a miracle play by the Broncos in week one, the Bengals would be 3-0. Cinci’s win last week at home was a huge one and now they’re in danger of a letdown, especially with the Ravens on deck next week. So, this is a classic case of buying low and selling high and looking for the right spot. Yes, the Brownies have problems, most notably a QB controversy and a head coach that columnist Joe Posnanski, in an "Inside the NFL" piece posted Tuesday described as “the worst head coach hire in 25 years". However, the time is right and while these Bengals look pretty good, its history suggests they’re ripe to get beat. If the Brownies have one good game in them, this will be it. Play: Cleveland +2.29 (Risking 2 units).

KANSAS CITY +9 over NY Giants

For the third 0-3 team this week we turn our attentions to not the Kansas City Chiefs but more to playing against the New York Giants. When you talk about difficult spots and letdowns, this is about as good as it gets for the home side. Furthermore, the Giants 3-0 record is very misleading, as they beat Washington by six in week one, they were completely dominated in week 2 in Dallas and they beat a nothing team, the Bucs last week. Now the Giants will play its third consecutive road game and frankly, despite the 3-0-record they haven’t looked so good. Eli Manning was just 16-27 for 171 yards last week against Tampa. Dallas racked up 251 yards on the ground against them the previous week and again, they’ll play its third consecutive road game in a difficult setting and that’s an extremely difficult assignment for even the best of teams. The Chiefs don’t offer up much but they haven’t started the year 0-4 in 29 years and they’re usually very tough at home. Also consider that they were a nine-point dog on the road in Philly last week and now they’re a nine-point dog at home in a much more favorable spot. What we have here is an overlay and it says here the Giants are in danger of losing outright in what will be a scary close game. Play: Kansas City +9 (Risking 2.10 units to win 2).

MIAMI +1.02 over Buffalo

It’s not by design that I’ve gone to four 0-3 teams this week, it just worked out that way and it is in line with my philosophy to buy low and sell high. The Bills favored in Miami is simply incorrect and that’s all there is to it. Remember, the Dolphins dominated the Colts at home in week 2 and did not deserve to lose that one. They played the Chargers tough in San Diego last week and that’s with Chad Pennington going down early in the game. Yes, they have a rookie QB going but he’s good and he got his feet wet last week and it could be a blessing in disguise for the Dolphins. Chad Henne went 10-19 last week for 92 yards, which isn’t great by any stretch but he gained some invaluable playing experience and if things don’t go well the Fish still have Tyler Thigpen ready to come in. The Bills were beaten up last week against New Orleans in Buffalo. Against that rather soft defense they managed just 243 yards of total offense. The Bills also surrendered 20 points to the hapless Bucs the previous week and that should be a huge concern for Bills supporters. This is a very beatable intruder and a 0-3 Bill Parcells team that deserves a better fate will absolutely be ready for this one. Buffalo favored on the road? C’mon now. Buy low my friends. Play: Miami +1.01 (Risking 2 units).

 
Posted : October 4, 2009 6:47 am
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Sports Gambling Hotline

Tennessee -3 at JACKSONVILLE

Our comp play run is 41-28-4 the last 73 days.

Tennessee is 0-3 this season, but we feel the chances of an 0-4 start are next to zero, as we simply are not sold on this Jacksonville team.

Yes, the Jaguars did light up Houston last weekend, but a repeat against the Titans is unlikely.

Tennessee swept last year's pair of meetings, and they have now covered in 3 of the last 4 series meetings with Jax.

The Titans are also a positive 7-3 against the spread their last 10 road games, and 14-5 against the spread their last 19 games against the AFC South.

Jacksonville is not very likely to exploit the vunerable Tennessee secondary, and we also feel they are not very likely to get much going on the ground against the desperate Titans.

Furthermore, the Jaguars are on a 1-8 pointspread slide their last 9 at home.

All things considered, this is the week Tennessee gets their first win of the year, and they do it convincingly.

Play on the Titans plus the points.

4♦ TENNESSEE

 
Posted : October 4, 2009 6:54 am
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Jeff Benton

Tennessee -3 at JACKSONVILLE

I’ve hit nine of my last 13 freebies in the NFL dating to last year. For Sunday, I’ll back the Titans as a field-goal favorite on the road at Jacksonville.

I can’t remember the last time an 0-3 team playing its second straight road game was favored against a divisional rival. Well, the respect the oddsmakers are giving Tennessee is justified, because the Titans are an 0-3 team in record only – and certainly, they’ve got miles more talent than the Jaguars.

Yes, I lost a big 30 Dime play on Tennessee last week when it fell 24-17 at the Jets. But the Titans battled back from a 14-0 hole to take a 17-14 third-quarter lead, and the fact is, if not for a rookie return man fumbling a kickoff in the first quarter and a punt in the fourth quarter – both of which led to easy New York touchdowns, Tennessee would’ve won last week. And had the Titans won that game – and the Jaguars not rallied to beat the overrated Texans on the road – Tennessee would be laying nearly six points in this one.

In addition to line value with the road team here, we’ve got a fundamental mismatch. That Titans have the better running game, the better passing game and the better defense. In fact, if you just focus on the rushing numbers for both teams, you’ll see that Tennessee is outrushing its opponents 151-61 on average, and while Jacksonville is putting up a solid 130 rushing ypg, it is also allowing 100 ypg on defense. Overall, the Jags are getting torched for 381.7 yards per contest, while the Titans, despite losing all three games, are giving up just 335.3 total ypg.

Two weeks ago in their home opener, the Jaguars got pushed around by Arizona in a 31-17 loss that was worse than even the score shows – and the Cardinals are a team that traditionally doesn’t travel well to the East Coast. Jacksonville has now dropped six of its last seven home games both SU and ATS, and that includes a 24-14 defeat to these Titans as a one-point ‘dog last November. Tennessee swept last year’s season series SU and ATS, yielding just 257 and 189 TOTAL yards in the victories, and Jeff Fisher’s squad is 4-1 SU and ATS in the last five meetings.

The Titans (7-2 ATS last nine as a road favorite; 12-4 ATS last 16 against AFC South rivals) are beyond desperate right now for a win, and they’ll get it comfortably today against the overmatched Jags.

5♦ TENNESSEE

 
Posted : October 4, 2009 6:55 am
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Karl Garrett

NY Giants -9 at KANSAS CITY

For Sunday, Week 4 in the NFl, very hard to back the Chiefs today even though they are at home playing against a team that is playing their third game in a row on the road, and is laying near double-digits.

If there is one team that you can trust when playing on the road, it certainly has been the New York Giants, as Tom Coughlin's team has covered 27 of their last 32 away from North Jersey, and they are fresh off pitching a 24-0 shutout in Tampa Bay last Sunday.

Kansas City has the big donut to show for their first season under Todd Haley, as they are 0-for-3 both straight up, and against the spread, and they allowed the Eagles Kevin Kolb to put up 34-points on them last Sunday in their loss at Philly.

KC has lost 17 of their last 19 straight up, and they have failed 5 in a row against the math, and 11 of their last 14 against the spread at once-tough Arrowhead Stadium.

I know it's # 3 in a row on the road for Big Blue, but I gotta lay it in this spot!

G-Man on the G-Men.

2♦ NY GIANTS

 
Posted : October 4, 2009 6:55 am
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Stephen Nover

N.Y. Jets at NEW ORLEANS -7

In the NFL, who you play isn't as important as when you play them. That's the case in this matchup where at first glance it seems like the undefeated Jets are catching a couple of extra points on the road against the Saints.

Rex Ryan already has turned the Jets into a highly respectable defensive club, while the Saints are a work in progress defensively under their new defensive coordinator Gregg Williams.

But in this matchup a great offense will overwhelm a highly-promising defense.

The situation is this. The Jets are a surprising 3-0. They were fortunate, though, to beat Tennessee at home after blowing a 14-0 lead. It took four turnovers by the Titans, including a key fumble on a punt return, that switched the momentum back to the Jets.

The Jets are going into a loud dome to face a Saints offense clicking on all cylinders. The Jets blitz more than any other team in the NFL. It's not even close. No quarterback, though, is better at countering blitzes than Drew Brees. He's the best quarterback in the NFC.

Brees has all his weapons now with wide receiver Lance Moore back and starting tailback Pierre Thomas finally fully healthy. The Jets not only go into this matchup in an obvious flat spot - unbeaten and playing division games in each of the next two weeks - but with injuries in their secondary.

Neither cornerback Lito Sheppard nor nickel back Donald Strickland is expected to play. To keep Brees in check you have to have excellent secondary depth and bad weather. The Jets won't have wind like they would if they were playing at Giants Stadium since this is in a dome and they don't have enough healthy bodies to cover New Orleans' multiple receiving threats.

The Saints are going to put up points. The key is can the Jets keep up? Rookie Mark Sanchez is doing a nice job, but he's not the second coming of Joe Namath no matter how much the New York media is blowing him up.

Sanchez has faced a soft Texans defense, a New England defense at home that is trying to find its way and a porous Titans secondary at home.

I see the Saints getting up a couple of touchdowns and forcing the Jets to play from behind, a position they haven't been in all season and a position that isn't their strength being a ball-control type of club that likes to pick their spots.

I've had a good feel on these clubs picking the Jets in Week 1 against the Texas as my free pick. In Week 2, I had the Saints against the Eagles as my free pick.

4♦ SAINTS

 
Posted : October 4, 2009 6:56 am
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Bobby Maxwell

San Diego +6' at PITTSBURGH

FREE winner with Nevada on Saturday, which came in without any problem, now makes me 3-0 with my last three comp plays and 4-1 with my last five. Today's freebie comes in the night game as I am playing the Chargers on the road in Pittsburgh.

The Chargers are loaded on offense as RB LaDainian Tomlinson is expected back on the field after missing the last two games with an ankle problem. San Diego has struggled in the red zone and struggled running the ball this season, but some of that goes away now with Tomlinson back in the backfield.

San Diego has been lighting it up through the air with QB Philip Rivers doing great work this season with 991 yards passing. He threw for 303 last week at home in a 23-13 win over Miami, covering as a 5.5-point favorite. The Chargers' biggest problem this season has been stopping the run and getting a pass rush. Good thing for them they're facing a team that can't run the ball.

Pittsburgh has struggled to run the ball, an explanation for their 1-2 start, that is almost an 0-3 but they took the opener in OT against Tennessee. The Steelers blew a late lead for the second straight week last Sunday, falling 23-20 at Cincinnati as a 3.5-point favorite. They led 20-9 entering the fourth quarter, but that invincible defense from a year ago lost a lead late for the second straight week.

Teams are throwing the ball at will against the Steelers without Troy Palamalu in the lineup. And now they are facing a team that is exceptional in the passing game - trouble for Pittsburgh.

Dating back to the Super Bowl, Pittsburgh is now 0-4 ATS in its last four trips to the field. San Diego is on ATS runs of 19-7-3 as a 'dog, 10-2-1 when getting 3.5 to 10 points, and 20-9-1 against the AFC.

The Chargers are definitely the play in this one.

4♦ SAN DIEGO

 
Posted : October 4, 2009 6:56 am
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Dominic Fazzini

San Diego +6.5 at PITTSBURGH

The Steelers and Chargers were both expected to contend for the AFC title at the beginning of the season, but neither team has really looked like a Super Bowl contender thus far.

Pittsburgh is 1-2 and has given up fourth-quarter leads the past two weeks against the Bears and Bengals. San Diego is 2-1, but it barely got past Oakland in the season opener and has struggled in the red zone so far.

That said, I think the Chargers' problems are more easily correctable going into tonight's game, which should aid them in Pittsburgh, where the Chargers have never won in 13 regular-season games.

I'm not saying that San Diego is going to win tonight, but it should be able to stay close to a Pittsburgh team that likely will be without running back Willie Parker, and instead must rely on Rashard Mendenhall, who has been in coach Mike Tomlin's doghouse.

I'm not sure if the Chargers are going to be able to run the ball against Pittsburgh, but QB Philip Rivers has multiple weapons to utilize in the passing game, which should be able to move the ball downfield tonight.

The Steelers went 1-1 against the spread against the Chargers last season, and should have been 2-0 but were screwed out of a last-second touchdown that was taken away by an incorrect call by the officials. San Diego shouldn't need any help from the zebras to get the cover tonight. Take the Chargers in this one.

2♦ SAN DIEGO

 
Posted : October 4, 2009 6:57 am
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Tony Weston

Penn State takes care of business in easy fashion and cruises to solid victory over Illinois, just like I said.

I’m handing you another winner today as I’m taking the Buccaneers on the road at the Washington Redskins.

The number for this game has been moving around and is at about 7 1/2 points, with the Redskins installed as a favorite. But, it won’t really matter because Tampa will keep this game closer than that.

Washington comes into this game having not been able to cash in at all this season. After playing to a push against the Giants in the opener, the Redskins have gone backwards the last two weeks.

In Week 2 Washington was installed as a 10-point favorite at home against the lowly Rams and could only pull out a 9-7 victory. Then last week, probably the biggest of the embarrassments, came on the road at Detroit where the Redskins were installed as a 6 1/2 point favorite at a Lions team that had lost 19 consecutive games SU.

But, Washington found a way to lose outright, ending the Lions losing streak and failing to cover as a favorite. Coming into this game the Redskins have failed to cover in 4 straight when installed as a home favorite and are just 1-6 ATS their last 7 games overall at home.

Consider, too, Washington has covered in only 3 of its last 20 games against teams with a losing record and the Redskins are just 1-7-3 overall their last 11 games.

Tampa will keep this one close against a bad Washington team. Take the points and take the Bucs on the road.

3♦ BUCCANEERS

 
Posted : October 4, 2009 6:58 am
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Rob Homyak

PIT / SDC Over 42

The over for Pittsburgh is 46-20-2 at home, 4-0 against winning teams and 14-5 against the AFC, and the over for San Diego is 6-2 overall, 18-6-2 on the highway and 7-3-1 with the Chargers as a road pup.

 
Posted : October 4, 2009 6:59 am
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Lenny Del Genio

BAL +2 vs NEP

For the balance of this decade, the New England Patriots have been the team to beat in the AFC. Even in last year's non-playoff, non-Brady season, the team managed an 11-5 SU record. With Brady back under center this year, prevailing wisdom had the Pats ready to reclaim their throne. However, through the first three weeks, it is clear that the team is still struggling to find a personality on defense (Seymour traded, Vrabel in KC, Harrison and Bruschi retired) and the offense remains out of sync. Bad news when welcoming in the team that now looks like it's the best in the conference, the Baltimore Ravens.

Maybe in a month or so, New England will be fine, but right now it's clear to us that the Ravens are the better team. QB Joe Flacco has improved from Year 1 to Year 2 better than any signal caller we've seen in recent memory. Ray Rice and Willis McGahee provide a nice 1-2 punch in the backfield. And of course you have that famed defense, led by 14-year veteran Ray Lewis, which got back on track last week giving up only a field goal to the sorry Browns.

Under HC Jim Harbaugh, the Ravens have been a cash machine, covering 17 of 22 games overall. This includes an 11-2 ATS mark vs. AFC opponents. This season, they have outscored opponents on average of 16.7 PPG. New England has covered just four of their previous 18 home games. They have a streak of five straight home losses when coming off a home victory. In addition to the defensive problems we stated before, the Pats also lost their current best defensive player, Jerod Mayo.

 
Posted : October 4, 2009 7:00 am
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King Creole

OAK +8.5 vs HOU

10-2-1 ATS: All GAME 4 underdogs of 8 > points (RAIDERS) vs any points playing off a SU home favorite loss (Houston).

12-3 ATS since 2000: All road dogs of < 9 points off a SU home loss in which they scored 3 or less points (RAIDERS). 6-1 ATS if our opponent is off a SU loss.

 
Posted : October 4, 2009 7:00 am
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ANDRE GOMES

(TEASER PLAY)

New York Giants @ Kansas City Chiefs
Seattle Seahawks @ Indianapolis Colts

For this week I decided to make a teaser play with two big chalk favorites that have all the conditions to blow out their opponents, but due to their bad spots, I wouldn't be surprised if the Bucs or the Seahawks are able to get a backdoor cover and that's why I want to keep it safe in here.

The Giants will play their third consecutive road game and definitely, this isn?t a good spot for them, as they will tend to relax because the Chiefs won't offer any substantial threats for them. However they know what happened last season, when they were spanked on the road against a vastly inferior Cleveland team, their lack of effort was unacceptable and they remember that:

"He didn't have to, we know very well how that felt, going into that stadium undefeated, and maybe we started to feel good about ourselves a little bit more than what was warranted and we got our butt whooped" defensive end Justin Tuck said. "We better be ready to play or else it will be another Cleveland game for us."

The Giants are probably the most complete team of the league right now. Their offense and defense is peaking together right now, while the Chiefs are still under construction. Even during this week, they made one change in their starting lineup and filled two roster vacancies with available free agents.

Larry Johnson, the franchise running back and their most explosive offensive threat, is off to a slow start and against the Giants defense he won't surely explode. Their top receiver, Dwayne Bowe, has a hamstring injury, didn't play last week, didn't practice yesterday and isn't expected to play this weekend and so, Matt Cassel won't have the team's best receiver available. I remember that the Giants are the best pass defense of the league and the the Chiefs have just scored 16 points per game and are converting a mere 19.4 percent on third downs.

The Chiefs defense didn't show any substantial improvement from the dreadful season last year, as they allowed 38 and 34 points to the Ravens and Eagles and only an erratic JaMarcus Russell couldn't take advantage of the Chiefs defensive vastly weaknesses. The Giants are a terrific team in controlling the pace of the game and Eli Manning had a passer rating above 106 in his last 2 games. We have in here with the teaser, a -2.5 line for the Giants that I can't pass on.

Peyton Manning is simply torching any defense that he faces and against the Seahawks, it won't be different. He has a 117.7 QB rating so far and 983 passing yards (second in the NFL; in each game he passed 300 yards or more). Despite the absence of WR Anthony Gonzalez, Manning is spreading it around with eight different receivers, four of whom have caught scoring passes. WR Reggie Wayne and TE Dallas Clark get the most attention. Wayne's 325 yards receiving lead the NFL. Clark is fourth with 284 yards. Second-year WR Pierre Garcon has caught TD passes of 53 and 48 yards the last two weeks. This combination is deadly and the Seahawks defense is yet to prove that they belong in the top half of the league. Seattle allowed three scoring passes last week, as Jay Cutler completed 21-of-27 passes for 247 yards, so I don't expect them suddenly to stop the red hot pass offense of the Colts.

Meanwhile, the Seahawks are still without Matt Hasselbeck for this game and he is a vital piece of this organization. Last season Seattle struggled without him and this year it looks like it won't be different. Seneca Wallace is a good backup quarterback, but he is somehow prone to the turnovers and in just two games he already threw one interception in each game. Also let's not forget that the Seahawks are traditionally a terrible team on the road and playing an early game in the Eastern coast in a noisy stadium like the Lucas Oil Stadium is simply too much for a fragile road team against a top team like the Colts.

The only reason I'm not willing to pull the trigger in the Colts in here is the fact that they are coming from two prime time games on the road: Monday Night Football in Miami and Sunday Night Football in Arizona and also they will play next game a big divisional game against the Titans, so they will tend to relax a bit this week against an inferior team like Seattle and a backdoor cover is pretty possible, so I rather prefer to play it safe and take the teaser in here.

Single Dime Play on New York Giants (-2,5) x Indianapolis Colts (-4) @ -110 on Bookmaker (6pts Teaser)

 
Posted : October 4, 2009 7:02 am
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