Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, October12

DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

San Francisco at St. Louis
The Giants look to follow up last night's 3-0 win in the series opener as they face a Cardinals team that is 0-4 in Lance Lynn's last 4 home starts versus San Francisco. The Giants are the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has San Francisco favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+120)

Game 957-958: San Francisco at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Peavy) 15.809; St. Louis (Lynn) 14.750
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 5
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+120); Under

NHL

Toronto at NY Rangers
The Maple Leafs head to New York following a 5-2 loss last night to Pittsburgh and come into tonight's contest with an 0-5 record in their last 5 games following a home loss of 3 or more goals. New York is the pick (-170) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-170)

Game 1-2: Toronto at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 10.562; NY Rangers 12.113
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-170); Under

Game 3-4: Winnipeg at Los Angeles (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 12.133; Los Angeles 11.209
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+170); Over

Sleepyj

Miami +3.5

I'll be brief with this one...I'm a Packer fan 100%..i make money playing on or against..This one is against..let's get into why..First off the strength of Miami..Run Game...The weakness of Green Bay..stopping the run..Miami will run..run..run...why?....well because Green Bay hasn't played a game outside of the norther hemisphere of the USA...just sayin..Minn, Det, Seattle, Chi, Jets....now they take that on the road to Miami..it will be 90 degrees..Miami will try to run the ball and gas this packers defense..Green Bay will not adjust to this kind of heat and it will show late 3rd and all of the 4th..be careful guys...Im not sold on GB on the road in this environment. They will struggle and everyone will be on GB..ALERT***...It's the wrong play....play Miami they will hang in this one right to the end..i won't be shocked if Miami wins this game..They are coming off a big win..off a bye...and now get the chance to show the NFL they can hang with the big boys in a bad spot...Play Miami +3.5....NOTE...this may go higher..maybe even 4.5...I just want to get this out there before bettors start throwing down chunks on GB.

Carlo Campanella

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills New
Play: England Patriots -3

With all the talk about the Patriots missing the Playoffs and QB Tom Brady being over the hill, New England rebounded with an impressive 43-17 victory over the Bengals, handing them their first loss of the season. Now 3-2, New England needs to take that focus and momentum into Buffalo this Sunday, as they're tied at 3-2 with these Bills for 1st place in the AFC East division race. That shouldn't be difficult as the Bills are struggling on offense while being held to 17 points or less in 3 STRAIGHT games behind rotating starting QBs of EJ Manuel and Kyle Orton. Despite the fact that HC Billichick is 8-2 ATS during his last ten trips to Buffalo, the line on this game has been posted at a very fair Field Goal since the Patriots have burned bettors this year with their 2-3 ATS record. Lay the points with Pats TE Gronk now healthy and QB Brady confident from that 43 point effort last Sunday.

Sam Martin

Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons
Prediction: Atlanta Falcons

Falcons enter this week with a losing 2-3 record and are coming off a pair of double-digit losses the last two weeks. Those results are a bit misleading, however, as all three of their losses came on the road - here at home Atlanta is a perfect 2-0 both SU and ATS scoring a combined 93 points in those two games.

We'll back the Falcons to win big here at home this Sunday against a Bears team that has also lost each of their last two games. Not at all impressed with Chicago's defensive efforts the last few weeks, including 300 passing yards allowed against the Jets and 302 passing yards allowed against Green Bay. Another strong passing offense to deal with this week and the Falcons end their losing skid with a comfortable win and cover!

Art Aronson

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
Prediction: Buffalo Bills

I think the Bills offer great value this week as a home dog to a New England team that isn?t the same as year?s past. After scuffling the first few week, the visiting Patriots (3-2) looked a lot better in beating the undefeated Bengals 43-17 last Sunday night. QB Tom Brady had two TD?s on 295 yards passing. Rob Gronkowski had 100 yards receiving and a touchdown pass in the victory as well. Remember though, the win came after a week of media speculation on whether or not the Patriots were still a team that could compete with the league?s elite. The Buffalo Bills (3-2) are coming off a surprising 17-14 win over Detroit on the road in Week 5; the Bills scored 17 unanswered points to get the come from behind victory. New starting QB Kyle Orton completed 30 of 43 passes for 308 yards with a touchdown and an interception in his Bills debut after replacing the ineffective EJ Manuel. The Bills are now 11-5 in home games the last three seasons and I think they can give New England everything it can handle here. The Patriots pulled out a 23-21 victory at Ralph Wilson Stadium last season on a last second field goal, which means that the Bills now come in looking for revenge against arguably their biggest threat in the AFC East. I think this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot for New England as well; Patriots head coach Bill Belichick said the players played with a chip on their shoulders last week: "I think we've played hard a lot this year, but we were able to execute things a little bit better. Of course, there was more emotion and energy as we were making plays." I think that emotion helped mask some lingering problems that this Patriots team still has on both sides of the ball though. And note, that emotion will obvoiusly be much hard to duplicate on the road where the Pats are just 1-2 SU and ATS this season. The Bills haven?t had a lot of chances to lay the boots to the Patriots over the last decade and I think they will relish this moment. While the outright win isn?t out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can

Art Aronson's Featured Package

Jimmy Adams

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills
Play: New England Patriots -3

After getting absolutely manhandled on Monday Night Football against the Chiefs, the Patriots bounced back with a great win last week as they beat the Bengals 43-17. Tom Brady threw for 292 yards with 2 TD’s. New England has obviously made some significant adjustments and those will carry over into this week’s matchup with the Bills.

Kyle Orton looked good as he led the Bills to a victory over the Lions. That success is much less likely to continue, as Orton was making just his second start since the 2012 season. He also has only been with the team for less than 2 months, a time frame that makes it nearly impossible for him to have a full understanding of the play book. New England’s coaching staff will confuse Orton by mixing things up on defense. Orton will make mistakes and you can bet the Pat’s will be extremely focused as they try to build off of a positive win against an undefeated team.

New England has owned Buffalo in this series. They’ve won an incredible 25 of the last 27 meetings while averaging 39 points. In particular, Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski have had some of the best success. Gronk has 9 TD’s in just 6 games against the Bills while Brady has thrown for 54 TD’s in 24 games. The success will continue Sunday.

Steve Williams

Chicago vs. Atlanta
Play: Over 53½

Both teams are 2-3 straight up. And in need of a win or risk falling further behind in their division. One of my favorite things to do is tune into the Falcons game each week to see the confused look on HC Mike Smith's face. Usually you can see this look after halftime as Smith looks like he is trying to figure out what the heck is happening. How he is still a head coach in the NFL is beyond any rational thinking.

As far as this game, Atlanta averages 30 ppg and gives up 28 ppg. Bears score 24 and give up 26. Both teams are off 2 straight losses. Making this one an early must win for both teams. Bears can score, have Cutler who can wing it and enough high level players at the skill positions to put points on the board. Over is 16-5 last 21 on the road for the Bears. 6-0 vs NFC teams. 19-7 over last 26.

Falcons have scored 37 and 56 at home this year. Atlanta 9-3 over last 12 home games. No reason to think this game will be anything but a shootout. Average defenses, potent offenses will lead to a high scoring affair.

Randall the Handle

Packers (3-2) at Dolphins (2-2)

After an iffy three weeks to start the season, it appears the Packers are back on track after a pair of decisive wins. However, looks can be deceiving. Consecutive wins over battered Chicago and Minnesota don’t really do it for us as the Bears only play for the first 30 minutes and the Vikings were forced to use useless QB Christian Ponder. Unlike the Pack’s recent opponents, the Dolphins can play defence and they can get after the quarterback. They also can run the ball, something the Packers are not adept at defending. RB Knowshon Moreno is expected back, a big boost for the Miami offence. Not so long ago, Miami was known for its unusually poor home record, but things have changed, especially when taking home points. Under head coach Joe Philbin, who used to coach in Green Bay, the Fish have covered 7 of 8 here when receiving points including an impressive win on opening day over the favoured Patriots. Other quality visitors that were favoured here have left disappointed as the Chargers, Bengals and New England dropped decisions a year ago. Perhaps the wrong team is favoured here? TAKING: DOLPHINS +3

Steelers (3-2) at Browns (2-2)

This could be a watershed moment for the Browns. After being humiliated and bullied by these Steelers for more than a decade (Pittsburgh has won 20 of past 22), a win here would be ginormous for Cleveland. Pittsburgh did it to the Brownies once again in the season opener, teasing the guest Browns by going up 27-3 at halftime before escaping with a 30-27 win. However, the Browns showed us something in that one with a second-half charge and we expect them to finish the job against this underwhelming nemesis. In that opener, Pittsburgh allowed nearly 300 second-half yards, 129 on the ground, before fending off the Browns. The Steelers followed that up by allowing 157 rushing yards to the Ravens. Pittsburgh has been better since, but that’s only because it has faced the anemic run games of the Panthers, Bucs and Jaguars. This will also be Pittsburgh’s fourth road game in five weeks before having an eight-day rest prior to hosting a Monday nighter. For the Steelers, it’s a routine divisional game. For the Browns, it’s a statement game and one we think they’ll respond to. TAKING: BROWNS –2

Bears (2-3) at Falcons (2-3)

With a strong home record in this stadium over the years, the Falcons have to be favoured here. That will work to our advantage. Even though these two squads own the same 2-3 records, Atlanta is one of the weaker teams in the NFL. The Falcons’ defence is abysmal, lacking playmakers and is void of a pass rush. Atlanta has allowed the fourth-most points and yards in the league. They do not have the personnel to stop Jay Cutler and his Grade-A receivers. Having allowed 10 rushing touchdowns, we don’t see how these birds stop RB Matt Forte, either. Atlanta’s woes on its offensive line continue as it is already minus three starters, and G Justin Blalock, who missed last week, is questionable with a sore back. Unlike Atlanta, Chicago can generate a pass rush with DE Jared Allen leading the way. The Bears are comfy playing on the road with two victories in three tries, their only loss occurring last week after blowing a big lead in Carolina last week. We much prefer Chicago’s situation here than having to give away points with this ailing host. TAKING: BEARS +3½

Broncos (3-1) at Jets (1-4)

The Broncos just handed the Cardinals their first loss. After this contest, Denver has the 49ers, Chargers (prime time) and Patriots on deck. Can the Broncos really get psyched up for this lame Jets team? For the Jets, it’s an opportunity to restore some dignity after getting their socks blown off in a 31-0 pummelling a week ago in San Diego. If the Jets are good at anything, it’s running the ball, having outrushed four of five opponents thus far. If they can control the clock that way and hope that Met Life’s windy conditions limit Peyton Manning’s passing game, they might just hang around. TAKING: N.Y. JETS +10

Panthers (3-2) at Bengals (3-1)

We could save you some reading by just stating that there’s no way we would spot a full touchdown with the Bengals when A.J. Green is not in their lineup. The team’s offensive star can’t shake this turf toe thing and he’s likely to miss Sunday’s game. Green is a catalyst to Cincinnati’s offence and it’s not like we can count on Cincy’s defence to overcome Green’s absence. The Bengals’ daunting defence from the past couple of years is currently ranked 27th in the league. Without LB Vontaze Burfict (concussion) leading, the defence is completely out of sync. The Panthers have defensive issues of their own, but they are a winning team that hardly deserves this billing. TAKING: PANTHERS +7

Patriots (3-2) at Bills (3-2)

After embarrassing Cincinnati, the New England bandwagon is once again full. While the Patriots get most of the attention in the AFC East, the Bills have been playing some solid football, particularly on defence. Buffalo is allowing fewer than 18 points per game. They held the same Miami team that put up 33 on these Patriots to a mere 10 points here. After two weeks on the road, the Bills return home where they are best, especially when receiving points here with five covers in six tries as a home pooch. The Patriots figure to come down after last week’s validating win and this has always been a tough venue for them. TAKING: BILLS +3

Ravens (3-2) at Buccaneers (1-4)

The Bucs return home after playing consecutive games in Atlanta, Pittsburgh and New Orleans. While Atlanta was a Thursday-night disaster, a win in Pittsburgh and a near upset in New Orleans have Tampa looking at the glass as half full. A win here could pull the Bucs within a game of the NFC South division lead and, the way the Ravens travel, it very well could happen. Baltimore has covered just two of its past 10 road games while winning just three of its past nine away. Tampa QB Mike Glennon is a gamer and his mates like what he brings to the table. On this day, it could very well be a win. TAKING: BUCCANEERS +3½

Chargers (4-1) at Raiders (0-4)

The Raiders had a bye last week. And they took off the three weeks prior to that. Now they have a new coach, but they still have the same stinky team. They’ll face these sizzling hot Chargers. Not exactly reaching for your wallet to support the Raiders here, are you? Seeing that we have to make a pick, we’ll lean Oakland simply because it is rested and it has had modest success against this division rival, covering three of its past five played here. The pointspread also sends a strong buyer-beware message and the general public will be spotting seven points with both hands here. TAKING: RAIDERS +7

Seahawks (3-1) at Dallas (4-1)

It’s difficult to buck the Seahawks on their own field with Seattle winning 19 of its past 20 here. Its average margin of victory is 15 points in those wins. We also aren’t sure whether to trust Dallas’ 4-1 start as wins over the Titans, Rams and Saints aren’t exactly endorsements of greatness. Despite Dallas’ quick start, it still is careless with the ball, having given it away on 10 occasions, tied for third-most in the league to this point. The Seahawks feed on mistakes and we’d be a little surprised not to see them get some opportunities here. Also an issue are some key injuries on Dallas’ suspect defence. TAKING: SEAHAWKS –8

Giants (3-2) at Eagles (4-1)

If you’ve watched the Eagles this year, you know their 4-1 record is nothing more than a mirage. Philadelphia has a putrid defence that is incapable of stopping opponents. The Eagles’ pass defence ranks dead last and they are on pace to become the first team in NFL history to allow 4,500 passing yards in consecutive seasons. Philly is only the eighth team in NFL history to allow 13 or more TD passes and intercept three or fewer passes through five games. No cornerback has an interception this season. The offence has hit a wall as well. Conversely, the Giants are on a roll and there is little to suggest that it won’t continue here. TAKING: GIANTS +3

49ers (3-2) at Rams (1-3)

Yes, the Rams have a history of playing their superior division foes tough. But this has been a bit of a letdown spot in the past for some of the NFC West’s talent. That’s not the case here as there is a sense of urgency with every game for the 49ers as they find themselves in a heated three-way battle within this division. The Niners enjoy the road favourite’s role as they have covered seven of their past eight when spotting visitor’s points, and that includes a 35-11 win on this field a year ago as a 3½-point pick. Rams can’t stop the run and they rank 30th in points allowed. That won’t work here. TAKING: 49ERS –3

AC Dinero

Washington Redskins vs. Arizona Cardinals
Play: Washington Redskins +3.5

This is one of those games where the line looks funny to me. Washington is 1-4, coming off a tough physical game against Seattle on a short week, and is traveling across country. And they are basically being treated as even on a neutral field with a team that just lost its first game of the season? Not buying it. I know Arizona has issues witht he health of their QB's, but its more than that. They don't run the ball well (3.5 ypc) and their pass defense has been suspect (7.6 ypa). Washington is hitting some big plays in the passing game (7.6 ypa), and is the better red zone team. In a game where neither team defends 3rd down very well (44%), take the dog in this "fishy" game

Ben Burns

Carolina vs. Cincinnati
Pick: Carolina

I successfully backed the Panthers last week. They spotted the Bears a big early lead but roared back to win and cover. They come in with some positive momentum.

I also successfully played against the Bengals last week. You probably saw them get hammered by the Patriots, on national TV.

Note that A.J. Green re-aggravated his toe Wednesday and missed Thursday’s practice entirely. While it wouldn’t be wise to rule him out completely, as of this writing, it appears likely he won’t be able to go.

That’d be a big blow to a Cincinnati offense which is likely also going to be without Marvin Jones. (He also missed Thursday’s practice.)

While he did eventually score a TD, we saw what happened when Revis and the Patriots were able to limit Green last week.

Whether or not Green goes this week, I believe the Panthers will be able to have some success in slowing down Dalton and co. Consider grabbing the points.

Wunderdog

New York @ Philadelphia
Pick: New York +3

The Eagles have sure had some strange games this season. They opened with Jacksonville and fell down 17-0 at the half before running off 34 unanswered points for an easy win. They rallied from a 7-point fourth quarter deficit to beat Indianapolis in week two. Then they came back from a 10-point deficit to Washington in week three, took a 10-point lead, then had to hang on for the win by 3. They blew an 11-point lead in San Francisco in week four, never scoring an offensive TD. Finally last week the Eagles were up 34-7 against St. Louis but 13 minutes later it was 34-28, and they had to hang on for their life. This team is not as good as their record indicates, and here is why. They are 4-1, but have been out-gained by four different opponents by 114 yards or more. LeSean McCoy looks average at best and Nick Foles has come back down to earth after last season. The Giants are coming around now, and Eli Manning has had three straight weeks with a passer rating over 100, and has thrown eight TDs to just one INT in the three games. Sure Rashad Jennings is out this game but in steps Andre Williams who has 131 yards and two touchdowns the past two games. The Giants are the better team at this point of the season. Sure Philadelphia has the gaudy record and the fun offense, but there level of play has been spotty at best. Without a ridiculous seven TDs from their defense and special teams, the Eagles would have had trouble finding the win column this year. They pay for it in this one. Back the G-Men.

SPORTS WAGERS

MINNESOTA -2 over Detroit

In terms of overreactions to prime time games, one need not look further than Minnesota’s 42-10 loss in its last game on a Thursday night game in Green Bay. Man, that was ugly and it was over after five minutes. That sets up this beautiful spot for the Vikings. Remember, Teddy Bridgewater did not play, which left Christian Ponder in charge. Ponder would have trouble moving the ball on SMU. The Vikes get Bridgewater back this week and he makes the biggest difference in the world. Bridgewater doesn’t play like a rookie. He’s quick as a jack rabbit and he’s smart too. The entire organization from the offense to the coaches, to the defense and to the fans, all have a different mindset when Bridgewater is in there. They believe they are going to win and we trust they will too. They Vikes pile up first downs with Teddy in there, which gives the defense some normal rest as oppose to being out there for 40 minutes a game when Ponder goes three and out every series. Besides that, the Lions are getting way too much credit in this number.

Detroit opened the year with a convincing win over the then unprepared Giants. The following week they were whacked in Carolina by 17 points. Detroit also defeated the sickening Jets by 7 and lost last week at home to Buffalo in a game in which they scored 14 points off of turnovers and ended up with 14 points. The Lions have played five games but their sixth game will mark the debut of their third kicker this season. Rookie Nate Freese got the hook after missing four of seven field goals. Alex Henery got two games and missed four of five field goals, including three Sunday in a three-point loss. Those two combined to miss eight of nine field goals beyond 40 yards. Detroit usually waits until December to fold, which could make this an ominous sign of things to come. Furthermore, Megatron is leaking fluid. Over the last three years, Calvin Johnson has seemingly been impervious to pain. He almost never practices on Wednesdays and Thursdays are usually part of that routine as well. But, after being a decoy against the Jets and catching one pass against Buffalo – and getting hurt doing it – the Lions are likely going to sit him for a week or two. Rarely do the Lions play well on the road and we doubt that changes here. With an entirely different feel around the team and in the stands when Teddy Bridgewater starts, he provides hope at the QB position and it is justifiable because he really does have the potential to be among the elite. With 10 days to prepare and coming off that horrible loss in prime time, we’ll go against the overreaction and gladly lay the points.

CINCINNATI -6½ over Carolina

Carolina is coming off a win over the Bears to run its record to 3-2. They had to rally from 14 down to get that win. That’s nice, it really is but let us remind you that prior to last week’s victory, the Panthers dropped consecutive games to the Steelers and Ravens by scores of 37-19 and 38-10 respectively. Those are two teams that reside in the same division as the Bengals. The Panthers are still a bad offense that suddenly has defensive problems too. Carolina has allowed 10 passing TD’s in five games. The rushing defense has been poor as well with recent teams breaking 100 total rushing yards on them and it’s also worth noting that they have the Packers on deck. Despite its 3-2 record, this is not a good football team and they’ll now head to Cinci to play a team in a very foul mood.

We often say that the best time to jump on a team is when everyone else is jumping ship and that applies to the Bengals here. Additionally, there is almost always an overreaction/under-reaction to teams that played in prime time the previous week because they are so widely exposed. That, too, applies to the Bengals. Last Monday, Cinci remained the only unbeaten team in the NFL and they were expected to go into New England and beat up on that old and diminishing club. The opposite occurred and the result that night was a lot of ripped up tickets. That said, the Patriots hadn’t been that jacked up for a game in a very long time. They were taking a beating in the media the previous week and they had something to prove, which they did. The Bengals just happened to be in the wrong place at the wrong time but good teams bounce back and they bounce back hard after getting embarrassed. This line opened with the Bengals being a 7-point choice and it has come off that key number. More money is coming in on the Panthers as we write this, thus the over-reaction to last week’s loss in New England. That’s when we like to step in.

Pittsburgh +105 over CLEVELAND

The consensus is that the Steelers are not as good as before and the Browns may be better. We’re not so sure. These two met in the season opener back in Pittsburgh and the Brownies rallied from a 24-3 halftime deficit to almost steal a win, eventually losing 30-27. Last week the Brownies rallied from a 28-3 deficit against Tennessee and won 29-28. However, that all occurred after Jake Locker was injured. The Browns pulled a rabbit out of their hat in that game and almost pulled a rabbit out of their hat against Pittsburgh. One could argue that Pittsburgh took its foot off the gas in the second half and nearly got caught but in this league, you can’t expect to win when spotting the opposition 21 points every week. The Brownies have been involved in four intense games that have ALL come down to the final minute. That exerts a ton of energy and is a dangerous way to roll. Those intense and close games while having to rally week after week after week will take a toll. Furthermore, the Browns rank 30th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game and 28th in the league in passing yards per game so it should come as no surprise that are often behind by a wide margin.

Enter the Steelers and RB Le'Veon Bell. Bell's average yards from scrimmage through the Steelers first five games is 138 yards. Bell is the first player in Steelers history to gain at least 100 yards from scrimmage in the first five games of a season. Bell piled up 197 yards from scrimmage and a touchdown in that aforementioned 30-27 victory over the Browns on Sept. 7. Pittsburgh is not getting any credit because they recently lost to Tampa Bay and didn’t blow out the Jags last week. Let us point out that New Orleans hasn’t lost at home in two years and Tampa probably should have defeated them in New Orleans last week. These Steelers are better than advertised. They have as much offensive balance as any team in the league and they rank 11th and 12th respectively in rushing and passing yards allowed. Pittsburgh easily moved the ball on Baltimore and Carolina, scoring 37 points against the latter and racking up big yards against the Ravens. The Browns offense may be somewhat productive here but overall they have fragile intangibles that keep them from taking that next step and you can’t keep pulling rabbits out of your hat. Steelers outright.

SPORTS WAGERS

Swansea City +115 over STOKE CITY

Too much value here on Swansea to pass up on. Many have quickly forgotten that this was a Swansea City club that got off to a roaring start in the beginning of the 14/15 campaign by earning nine points on three consecutive wins to kick off their endeavors. Since then, Swansea dropped two consecutive matches against Chelsea and Southampton but responded with two draws against Newcastle and Sunderland. When it is all said and done, the Swans are sitting in fifth with 11 points and are still a slight underdog against the Potters who are flirting with the relegation zone, sitting just four points out of danger with 8 total points.

So why the oversight? Perhaps the line is reciting ancient history when the Potters stunned Manchester City in their own backyard, last month. However that was then and this is now, Swansea remains a top-tier squad. Any guess would be a good one, but while this opportunity presents itself, Swansea is a quality bet and an absolute steal for its backers.

AC Dinero

Washington Redskins vs. Arizona Cardinals
Play: Washington Redskins +3.5

This is one of those games where the line looks funny to me. Washington is 1-4, coming off a tough physical game against Seattle on a short week, and is traveling across country. And they are basically being treated as even on a neutral field with a team that just lost its first game of the season? Not buying it. I know Arizona has issues witht he health of their QB's, but its more than that. They don't run the ball well (3.5 ypc) and their pass defense has been suspect (7.6 ypa). Washington is hitting some big plays in the passing game (7.6 ypa), and is the better red zone team. In a game where neither team defends 3rd down very well (44%), take the dog in this "fishy" game