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ARI -4 vs STLFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The betting public will look to fade a Cardinals club here boys as they have lost 3 offensive and 3 defensive starters, as well as special teams star Sean Morey and the retirement of Kurt Warner.Vegas has respect here for the Cards a - 4 tells you the Cards are the sharp side!! Matt Leinhart is gone & we are high on Derek Anderson at starting QB.
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WR Larry Fitzgerald (knee sprain) and Early Doucet (abdominal sprain will play). Arizona will be a far more rushing oriented team this year & our projected stats have stud Beanie Wells to have a 1200+ yardage season. We also note that QB Anderson has shown he can mange the game and is very respected by the team, they love to play for him. That is something Leinart never earned in his 4 year tenure here. Let's look @ the Cardinals defense (3-4 ) to use a Steeler style of 3-4 with some exotic blitzes to confuse the young Bradford. Arizona had the 11th ranked offense last year, and is facing the softest schedule in the whole NFL and it begins Sunday with the Rams.
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On the flip side coach Steve Spagnuolo is 8-16 ATS (H) last 24, and 0-10 in September ATS and 1-9 ATS on turf. This is Bradford's first start and teams are playing for real now as Bradford has has the absolute WORST receiving group in the NFL as per our research. Top "4" combined for 123 receptions and 9.7 yds/completion. Then factor in the pair of rookies at offensive tackles These Rams checked in @ 31st ranked defense last year and gave up 30 pts per battle. This HC/DC/OC/STC are all in their 2nd year together and inexperienced at their positions. try these stats on for size!! Rams are 0-12 SU, 1-11 ATS in their first four games the last three years. Lastly the Rams scored the NFL's lowest 11 pts per game while giving up 30 plus , Rams also check in @ 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs Arizona ! ARIZONA CARDS BOYS BY 10. JR O STYLE
King CreoleFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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SEA / SFX Under 37
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Going "UNDER" in the 49ers / Seahawks game. But he advises you to get a line of 37 points or higher. We already know that NFC West Division games are very low-scoring in the first month of the season. These games have gone 2-11 O/U in the last 3 years... and 0-4 O/U in Week One.This is also a low-scoring series (2-6 O/U last 4 seasons). And both teams 'go LOW' in Week One action as well (a combined 1-6 O/U).
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With the Niners laying points on the road, this game is also active in another OU System:
0-7 O/U last 6 years for all GAME ONE road favs of -4 < pts w/ an OU line of < 40 pts.
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San Fran has a BIG Monday night game on tap next week against the defending champions Saints.
0-6 O/U last 3 years: All GAME ONE teams who play on MONDAY night in Game Two.
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SEATTLE: 1-4 O/U vs div rev... 1-4 O/U as dogs 3 < pts... 1-4 O/U bef non-conf RG. SAN FRAN: 0-5 O/U L5 as road favs... 1-4 O/U bef Monday night... 0-3 O/U as favs 3 < pts.
JIM FEIST
CINCINNATI BENGALS / NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
PLAY: CINCINNATI BENGALS
The Bengals went to a ball control offense last season to take the heat off QB Carson Palmer and it worked. They will look to run this game. The Patriots will try and use their high powered offense to get up early and force the Bengals to get out of their conservative offense. That's still fine with the Bengals, who add WR Terrell Owens alongside Ocho Cinco, so they can throw the football if forced to. Plus the addition of first-round tight end Jermaine Gresham should help Palmer and the passing game. Cincy is 25-22-1 ATS as an underdog. A wild card in this game is the Patriots secondary, which is young and prone to mistakes. Pats DE Ty Warren will miss the season as will starting CB Leigh Bodden, two significant losses. And Randy Moss was sulking last week: "When you have done so much and put so much work in, it kind of feels like I am not wanted," Moss said. There is no pass rush on this team, a huge weakness last season. The Bengals are 7-2 ATS the last nine meetings and I look for another Cincy cover here on Sunday.
Jimmy MooreFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit @ ChicagoFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Detroit +6.5FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Yes - you are reading that right, I like the Lions on the road. Detroit's offense is looking much improved this season and even though the defense still looks shaky they get a break opening up against the Bears offense that is shaping up to be awful. Cutler will not be able to take advantage of the weak Detroit secondary allowing Detroit to stay within the number in this one.
DUNKEL INDEX
San Francisco at Seattle
The 49ers look to build on their 5-2 ATS record in Week 1. San Francisco is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the 49ers favored by 12. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-2 1/2)
Game 453-454: Carolina at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 132.175; NY Giants 140.992
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 9; 45
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 7; 41
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-7); Over
Game 455-456: Miami at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 133.289; Buffalo 129.424
Dunkel Line: Miami by 4; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami by 3; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-3); Over
Game 457-458: Atlanta at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 135.542; Pittsburgh 134.599
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 36
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+2 1/2); Under
Game 459-460: Detroit at Chicago (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 121.216; Chicago 125.924
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 4 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Chicago by 6; 43
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+6); Over
Game 461-462: Cincinnati at New England (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 133.617; New England 135.086
Dunkel Line: New England by 1 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: New England by 5; 45
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+5); Under
Game 463-464: Cleveland at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 128.633; Tampa Bay 132.939
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 4 1/2; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-3); Over
Game 465-466: Denver at Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 128.791; Jacksonville 129.394
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 1; 38 1/2
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 2 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+2 1/2); Under
Game 467-468: Indianapolis at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 138.919; Houston 134.723
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 4; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 2 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-2 1/2); Under
Game 469-470: Oakland at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 127.644; Tennessee 131.665
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 4; 44 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 6 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+6 1/2); Over
Game 471-472: Green Bay at Philadelphia (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 139.594; Philadelphia 135.400
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 4; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 2 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-2 1/2); Under
Game 473-474: San Francisco at Seattle (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 131.959; Seattle 119.922
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 12; 38
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 2 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-2 1/2); Over
Game 475-476: Arizona at St. Louis (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 130.378; St. Louis 120.986
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 9 1/2; 44 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona by 4; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-4); Over
Game 477-478: Dallas at Washington (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 138.696; Washington 136.614
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 2; 39
Vegas Line: Dallas by 4; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4); Under
MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 13
Game 479-480: Baltimore at NY Jets (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 140.223; NY Jets 140.258
Dunkel Line: Even; 34
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 2 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+2 1/2); Under
Game 481-482: San Diego at Kansas City (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 141.253; Kansas City 123.869
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 17 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: San Diego by 5; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-5); Over
MLB
San Francisco at San Diego
The Giants look to bounce back from yesterday's 1-0 loss and build on their 10-4 record in Tim Lincecum's last 14 road starts. San Francisco is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+130)
Game 951-952: Philadelphia at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Oswalt) 16.008; NY Mets (Niese) 15.290
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-170); Over
Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burres) 14.368; Cincinnati (Cueto) 13.548
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-270); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+230); Under
Game 955-956: Florida at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Volstad) 15.460; Washington (Zimmermann) 14.393
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Under
Game 957-958: St. Louis at Atlanta (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 14.327; Atlanta (Hudson) 15.498
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-240); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-240); Over
Game 959-960: LA Dodgers at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Monasterios) 13.974; Houston (Figueroa) 15.635
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Coleman) 14.771; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.482
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-190); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+170); Over
Game 963-964: Arizona at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 14.999; Colorado (Chacin) 16.671
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-200); Under
Game 965-966: San Francisco at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.517; San Diego (Latos) 14.655
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+130); Over
Game 967-968: Tampa Bay at Toronto (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 14.613; Toronto (Marcum) 15.434
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-140); Over
Game 969-970: Baltimore at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 17.113; Detroit (Verlander) 16.069
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-250); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+210); Under
Game 971-972: Minnesota at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 15.981; Cleveland (Talbot) 15.320
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-130); Under
Game 973-974: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (O'Sullivan) 15.323; White Sox (Harrell) 14.214
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 975-976: NY Yankees at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Moseley) 16.564; Texas (Lee) 15.775
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+150); Over
Game 977-978: Seattle at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 14.035; LA Angels (Haren) 14.680
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-170); Under
Game 979-980: Boston at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 15.834; Oakland (Braden) 14.602
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+105); Over
WNBA
Atlanta at Seattle
The Storm look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games when playing with 3 or more days of rest. Seattle is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Storm favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-7 1/2)
Game 651-652: Atlanta at Seattle (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 111.618; Seattle 120.223
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 8 1/2; 168
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 7 1/2; 164 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-7 1/2); Over
CFL
Saskatchewan at Winnipeg
The Roughriders look to follow up their 27-23 win over the Bluebombers last week and take advantage of Winnipeg's 2-5 ATS record in its last 7 games following a SU loss. Saskatchewan is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-4)
Game 497-498: Saskatchewan at Winnipeg (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 114.090; Winnipeg 107.732
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 6 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 4; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-4); Under
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CLEVELAND BROWNS +3
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This is more of a play AGAINST Tampa Bay as a favorite than it is a play ON Cleveland. The Bucs haven't been favored in a game in about two years and now they find themselves favored against a Browns team that ended last season with four straight wins. The Browns have a solid offensive line and I expect them to grind this one out on the ground. Cleveland wins outright on a late FG. Call it: Cleveland 20, Tampa Bay 17. Small action wager for me on the Browns.
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Mariners at Angels
Prediction: Under
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Seattle starter Jason Vargas is 17-9-1 UNDER in his 27 starts this year. The Mariners are 4-0-1 UNDER in game 3 of a series and they are 5-1-2 UNDER after allowing 5 runs or more in their last game. Seattle is 17-6-3 UNDER when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their last game. The Mariners are 14-6-3 UNDER off a loss. The Angels is 5-3-1 UNDER in his last 9 starts made by Haren. Los Angeles is 10-1-1 UNDER their last 12 games as home favorites. The Halos are 11-5 UNDER their last 16 games vs. a lefty starter and they are 6-1-1 UNDER their last 8 home games.
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Dolphins at Bills
Play: Under
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The Buffalo offense managed to score just 16.1 points per game last season, but allowed just 17.4 PPG at home. Miami scored just 17.4 PPG on the road last season. Both meetings last year between these two went over the total by an average of nine points. We do not expect it to happen this time around. This is Week One of the season and both teams will appear to be sluggish as they try and put their offensive games together. Buffalo is just 1-5 ATS as a home underdog the last three seasons.
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San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
Play: San Francisco Giants
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This has been a tight series thus far through three games as the Giants have won two of the first three and are just one game back of San Diego. The pitching match up for this game is a gem as each team has their ace young stud going for them. For San Francisco it is 13 game winner Tim Lincecum who has put his 0-5 August behind him in September and is back to dominating. Mat Latos is a 14 game winner and has and under 2 era at home and under 1 era in four starts against the Giants. Look for a quick possibly double complete game from these two stud pitchers with Lincecum and the Giants to come out one top when the dust settles tying the Padres atop the NL West. Play San Francisco
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Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians
Play: Minnesota Twins
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The Twins nipped the Indians last night in extra innings and they can take the series in Cleveland with a win on Sunday afternoon. Minnesota's offense has deserted them a bit, but they don't need much to defeat Cleveland. With the shutout last night, the Indians have scored just 24 runs over their last nine games. Kevin Slowey gets his fourth crack at the Tribe this season. He's 2-0 with a no-decision in the third outing. Overall, Slowey is 5-2 with a 3.83 ERA in nine career starts against Cleveland. Shin-Soo Choo (4-21), Luis Valbuena (1-8), Trevor Crowe (0-4), Jayson Nix (0-3), Lou Marson (0-3), and Shelley Duncan (0-2) all struggle with Slowey. Cleveland is 16-31 in the daytime while hitting just .242 under the sunlight. The Twins bullpen is outstanding on the road sporting an ERA right around 3.10. Cleveland’s Mitch Talbot may be hitting a bit of a wall. Sure, he picked up a win his last time out, but that was against light-hitting Seattle. Talbot is 3-7 with a 6.03 ERA in 14 home starts this season. He gave up 11 runs and 16 hits in his last two starts in Cleveland against the White Sox and Athletics. Talbot did defeat Minnesota back on April 22nd, but the Twins are drastically better now. They have lost just three times since August 29th as they expand their A.L. Central lead. Minnesota is 28-20 in the daytime hitting .280 as a unit. The Twins hold all the edges here and we expect them to get a solid road win this afternoon.
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Boston Red Sox vs. Oakland Athletics
Play: Oakland Athletics
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Oakland is 32-15 in day games this year. Boston has lost 6 of their last 8 games overall. Oakland has won 6 of their last 8 games overall. Boston is 14-20 this year in day games. Oakland bullpen has a 3.78 ERA overall this year and a 2.93 ERA at home this season. Josh Beckett has a 5.91 ERA overall this year and a 6.18 ERA on the road this season. Dallas Braden has a 3.47 ERA overall this year, 3.69 ERA at home and a 3.32 ERA his last 3 starts. Oakland is 4-1 at home vs Boston this year. We'll recommend a small play on Oakland today!
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San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks
Play: San Francisco 49ers -3
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Two teams with huge difference of expectations. SF plans on winning this division while SEA is just trying to bounce back to above .500 this year. SF might be the best defense in the NFC and on offense look to get back to the dominating run game of a few years ago. Gore will tear up a SEA defense that got shredded in many games last year. SEA offense carried them in years past but last year was a disappointment and think they will struggle once again. SEA keeps it close early with home field advantage but the run game of SF carries them to at least a TD win.
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Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans
Play: Houston Texans +1
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The Texans find themselves in a game 1 Power system that plays on certain game 1 home dogs in Divisional play that are taking less than a touch down. On top of that the Colts fit a negative system that plays against Super Bowl runner ups on the road in game 1. These Super bowl losers have failed to cover in 11 of 14 games in this situation. The Texans are not the push overs they used to be. Look for the Texans to spring the upset.
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Yankees @ Rangers
PICK: Over 9.5
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The Rangers welcome lefthander Cliff Lee back to the rotation this afternoon and it may be fitting that one of the best post-season starters in baseball gets his first start back against the team that he could very well be seeing in the first round of the AL playoffs. The Rangers are obviously hoping that the version of Lee that shows up after recuperating from his back issues that have kept him out the past 10 days (although not on the DL) is an improved one over what he was doing for his new team over his last five starts, when Lee went 0-3 and allowed 27 runs in just under 30 innings. Lee could definitely use a start against the Yanks as he hasn't done that well against them over his career, going just 5-4 with a 4.81 ERA in just over 67 innings against the defending World Series Champs. The fact that he's pitching at home and his lineup will be facing righthander Dustin Moseley will improve his chances today. Moseley has pitched ok as a fill-in starter for the Yanks, but he has a tendency to give up more runs than he should, although he does generally get great run support when he's out there. The Yankees have scored a total of 31 runs in Moseley's last three starts (all Yankee victories) and a total of 58 runs have been scored in the last four games which Moseley has appeared in (he came out of the bullpen in his last appearance on September 4). Take the 'over.'
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1 Unit on Indianapolis Colts -1
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Indy has won 6 straight and 15 of 16 all-time against the Texans. While Houston has narrowed the gap, I don't think it's ready to break through with a win Sunday. Houston's defense still has some work to do, and that defense will be without stud linebacker Brian Cushing. Meanwhile, the Indy defense is bolstered by the return of a healthy Bob Sanders, who is a former NFL Defensive Player of the Year. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this matchup, and the Colts went 7-1 ATS on the road last season. Plus, Indy was a perfect 6-0 ATS last season in all games in which it was a road favorite, winning those games by an average score of 31.2 to 18.5. Take the Colts.