BIG AL
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Colorado at San Diego Under
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They say it's better to be lucky than good, but what about if you're both lucky and good? That's seemingly the situation for the Rockies right now. Friday night Colorado went into the top of the 9th inning down 1-0 and loaded the bases against closer Heath Bell, but were down to their last strike when Yorvit Torrealba hit a double that cleared the bases and resulted in a 4-1 Rockies win. That one victory may have been luck, but you can't write off the fact that Colorado is the hottest team in baseball right now (9-1 in their last 10 games) to luck alone. And while they are locked in battle with San Diego in this series, their main rivals, San Fran and L.A. are slugging it out in their own series and Colorado is now firmly in the lead for the N.L. Wild Card and only a couple games behind in the pennant race. The Rockies will throw their all-star and 15-game winner, Jason Marquis and that could be very bad news for San Diego as the Padres haven't had much luck with him. He is 2-0 with a 0.56 ERA in two starts against them this season. The Pads will counter with Jake Peavy replacement Clayton Richard, and although Richard's overall numbers since making the switch to the N.L. are nothing to get excited about, he definitely seems to have his new home ball park figured out. In four starts at Petco Park, Richard is 3-0 with a 1.88 ERA and 22 strikeouts in 24 innings.
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PLAY UNDER
Bob Balfe
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Seattle -7.5 over Rams
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It again is the same old story with Marc Bulger and the Rams. This offensive line stinks and something happened to the once dominate Bulger. Look for this Seahawks Defense at home to sack and pressure Bulger all day. Matt Hasselback is healthy once again for the Seahawks and a lot of people forget how dominate this guy has been in the past. Look for Seattle to get a big home win.
EZWINNERS
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Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints
Play: New Orleans Saints -13
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The Saints are ready to roll. Their offense has been very impressive this pre season and with Mike Bell in the mix I am not concerned about the injuries to Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush. The Saints defense should also be improved, if not for any other reason than the departure of cornerback Jason "Toast" David. The Lions are another team trying to recover from a horrible season. They don't have the weapons to stay within two touchdowns of the Saints. Lay the points.
ATS Consultants
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Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Pick: Baltimore -13
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This one could get out of hand early as the ferocious Ravens defense opens their season against the short handed Kansas City Chiefs. KC acquired QB Matt Cassel from the Patriots in the offeseason, but he was injured in the preseason and will miss a few weeks at least. Meanwhile, Baltimore’s second year QB Joe Flacco looked cool all preseason as the Ravens went 4-0. It certainly won’t help that new KC coach Todd Haley fired his offensive coordinator a week before the season began. This one will be ugly in Baltimore.
Nick Parsons
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Miami Dolphins at Atlanta Falcons
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For a number of different reasons I feel we're getting good value on the home side in this situation: Miami had a great turnaround season a year ago, but went just 3-6 ATS its final 9 games and is a poor 0-4-1 ATS its last five vs. Atlanta. Not only are the Falcons 8-1 SU their last 9 at home, they're also 6-3 ATS their last 9 in friendly confines. Miami has gone a poor 1-6 ATS its last 7 non-conference games over the last three years while the Falcons have gone 5-2 ATS in non-conference games over the past three seasons. When taking all of these strong ATS trends into consideration, I feel we're getting great value on the home-side in this situation.
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Play on: Atlanta
VEGAS EXPERTS
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Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers
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Total is rising and we think that the public is wise for doing so as the Packers can and will certainly put points on the board. They have gone 22-10 Over the last two betting seasons, including 18-6 Over vs. fellow NFC opponents. Last year, when these teams met on the "Frozen Tundra," the Pack scored 37 points. Bears offense will be improved with Jay Cutler under center. Eleven of the last 17 meetings played here in Green Bay have gone Over.
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Play on: Over
Tom Freese
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Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks
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Arizona is 11-4 their last 15 home games vs. team with a losing record and they are 9-4 their last 13 games vs. NL Central teams. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Game 3 of series and they are 6-2 with Max Scherzer on the mound vs. a team with a losing record. Milwaukee is 8-18 off a win and they are 3-11 their last 14 Sunday games. The Brewers are 1-4 their last 5 games vs. righty starters and they are 0-4 after allowing 2 or less runs in their last game. PLAY ON ARIZONA -
BEN BURNS
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Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers
PICK: Detroit Tigers
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Romero got the better of Porcello when these two youngsters squared off against each other previously. That was back in the spring and it was at Toronto though. This afternoon's game is being played at Detroit and now it's Porcello who is currently in much better form.
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While he received a no-decision last time out (road game at KC) Porcello has been very sharp at home lately. Two starts ago, in his most recent home outing, Porcello limited the Indians to two runs and five hits through seven innings. He earned the "W" and the Tigers won by a score of 4-2. Prior to that, he held Tampa Bay to one run through five innings, earning the "W" in a 6-2 Detroit win. Overall, the Tigers are a profitable 10-3 (+6.7) in his 13 home starts.
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Romero, on the other hand, has been hit fairly hard recently, while also walking numerous batters. Over his last three starts, he's got a poor 6.06 ERA and and a terrible 2.021 WHIP. While Romero was solid last time out, prior to that he'd been 1-3 with a 6.32 ERA in his previous six starts.
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With five straight losses, the Tigers badly need a victory. With Porcello getting the better of Romero in this rematch, I expect them to finally get one. Consider Detroit
Dave Price
1 Unit on LA Angels -139
The Angels rolled in Game 1 of this series but then fell 3-4 in extras Saturday. I like LA to bounce back strong this afternoon against a White Sox team that is just 13-45 in their last 58 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 0-6 in their last 6 Sunday games, and 3-11 in Buehrle's last 14 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Plus, the Halos crush lefty pitching to the tune of 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a left-handed starter and Kazmir enters with an ERA of only 1.40 and a WHIP of 0.724 over his last 3 starts. 1 Unit on the Halos.