Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, September 15

DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

NY Yankees at Boston
The Red Sox look to build on their 17-4 record in their last 21 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Boston is the pick (-170) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-170)

Game 951-952: Miami at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 14.810; NY Mets (Gee) 13.735
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+150); Over

Game 953-954: Philadelphia at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Cloyd) 15.215; Washington (Zimmermann) 16.888
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-200); Under

Game 955-956: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 15.816; Pittsburgh (Liriano) 14.838
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-185); 7
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+165); Over

Game 957-958: San Diego at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Smith); 14.646; Atlanta (Teheran) 16.051
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-210); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-210); Under

Game 959-960: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo); 16.616; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.987
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-125); Over

Game 961-962: Colorado at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 15.835; Arizona (Delgado) 14.954
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+105); Under

Game 963-964: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.635; LA Dodgers (Volquez) 14.262
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+120); Under

Game 965-966: Kansas City at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Guthrie) 15.216; Detroit (Scherzer) 16.794
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-220); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-220); Over

Game 967-968: Baltimore at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 16.504; Toronto (Buehrle) 15.043
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-120); Under

Game 969-970: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 13.932; Minnesota (Hernandez) 14.378
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-220); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+185); Over

Game 971-972: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 16.230; White Sox (Sale) 13.618
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+100); Under

Game 973-974: LA Angels at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Williams) 16.804; Houston (Clemens) 15.229
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-150); Over

Game 975-976: Oakland at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Parker) 16.386; Texas (Perez) 14.331
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-105); Under

Game 977-978: NY Yankees at Boston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nova) 15.195; Boston (Buchholz) 17.299
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-170); Over

Game 979-980: Seattle at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Ramirez) 14.202; St. Louis (Miller) 15.767
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-200); Over

WNBA

Phoenix at Los Angeles
The Mercury look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games against a team with a winning SU record. Phoenix is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+7 1/2)

Game 601-602: Indiana at Connecticut (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 111.346; Connecticut 105.297
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6; 144
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 4 1/2; 138
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-4 1/2); Over

Game 603-604: Phoenix at Los Angeles (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 113.497; Los Angeles 115.871
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2 1/2; 159
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 7 1/2; 165 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+7 1/2); Under

Game 605-606: New York at Washington (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 102.832; Washington 107.664
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 5; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 7 1/2; 146
Dunkel Pick: New York (+7 1/2); Over

Game 607-608: Atlanta at San Antonio (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 109.563; San Antonio 107.561
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 2; 144
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 151
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+4 1/2); Under

CFL

Montreal at BC
The Alouettes look to build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 road games. Montreal is the pick (+8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+8 1/2)

Game 297-298: Montreal at BC (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 114.127; BC 115.010
Dunkel Line: BC by 1; 48
Vegas Line: BC by 8 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+8 1/2); Under

Justin BayFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St Louis vs. AtlantaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Over 47½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Rams offense showed some promise in Week 1 with Bradford finishing with 299 yards through the air. Rams defense was a little rough around the edges allowing 390 total yards of offense for the Cardinals. Bradford should be able to put up equivalent numbers against a Falcon's defense that did not perform very well last week.
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Falcon's defense gave up 419 total yards to the Saints last week. Matt Ryan and company should have a better game this week against a Ram's defense that will have trouble guarding the highly potent wide receivers.

Ben BurnsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota vs. ChicagoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: ChicagoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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With this line staying below the touchdown mark, I believe we're getting some value with the Bears. The home team won both meetings last season. The game here at Chicago was a blowout. The Bears were up 25-3 by halftime and cruised to a 28-10 victory. The Bears check in off a comeback win. The Vikings saw their game go the other way. While the Bears gave up 330 yards in their opener, the Vikes allowed 469. This game figures to have special meaning to Bears' coach Jim Tressman, a native of Minnesota. I expect him to have his team ready and feel that they've got an excellent shot at a big win. Consider Chicago.

Brandon ShivelyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay BuccaneersSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Who Dat, Who Dat? The Saints got a HUGE win for Sean Payton and the WHO DAT Nation and now they have a tough divisional game vs. a Tampa Bay team that got caught napping vs. the Jets. The Saints are 0-3 ATS in their L3 road openers and an emotional letdown is expected this week as they have been installed as a RF and nobody is giving the Bucs a chance in this game.....but ME.There was a lot of money riding on the Bucs last week and nobody wants any part of them this week. The Saints embarrassed the Bucs 41-0 LY and I can promise you these professionals remember that. Freeman threw 4 picks that game and he is in a contract year so we are expecting this guy to perform to his full capability. The Saints do have some defensive injuries and we just can't see them being as motivated for this game. For the Bucs to start off 0-2 and a game @ New England in Week 3, then that would be a disaster. Tampa Bay is 6-0 ATS w/ div revenge in Games 1-4 of the season and covered as a 3 pt. home dog in their season opener LY vs. Carolina. I can almost guarantee you that Doug Martin will not avg. only 2.7 YPR this week like he did vs. the Jets. Vincent Jackson had 216 rec yards in the 1st matchup between these two teams LY and he is off to a big start again. The scheduling and motivational dynamics favor Tampa Bay in this game and although I expect them to win this game SU, I will advise you to buy the .5 point if needed to get them at +3.5.

Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Jacksonville vs. OaklandFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OaklandFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It wasn't that surprising to see the Jags lose their home opener, but the way they lost was quite concerning. Blaine Gabbert completed fewer than half his passes, failing to engineer a scoring drive and getting picked off twice and sacked six times.
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They only managed 178 total yards of offense against Kansas City, and Maurice Jones-Drew wasn't able to get anything going with the ground game.
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Now this game in Oakland is perhaps the only game on their schedule that you could look at, and say: "this is a winnable game". But is it really?
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The Raiders are surely one of the worst teams in the NFL, but they have demonstrated the ability to compete in this league, far more so than the Jags over the last few seasons.
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Terrelle Pryor didn't have a perfect game against Indy by any stretch of the imagination, but he made things happen. He completed 19-of-29 passes for 217 yards and a TD, and he added another 112 yards on the ground on 13 carries.
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He was picked off twice, but he played well enough to give his team the lead until late in the fourth quarter on the road.
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The Raiders defense did a good job of containing Andrew Luck, who had just 178 yards and a pair of TDs but was sacked four times.
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Oakland out-gained the Colts by nearly 100 yards, but they couldn't overcome the two turnovers on the Pryor interceptions.
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I think Oakland fans should have plenty to cheer about this weekend, as the Raiders should beat up on a very bad Jacksonville team.

Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami vs. IndianapolisFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It was a vintage Indianapolis game (for the Andrew Luck era) in Week 1 as they grinded out a 21-17 win over a bad Oakland team. Beating bad teams close, usually at home, has been the hallmark of the Luck era and usually the games stay Under. This is incomprehensible to me given how bad Indy's defense is....
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The Colts have gone 12-5 Under in Luck's 17 regular season starts. That's pretty surprising considering how good the second year quarterback is and how the bad the Colts defense has been. Last week, they allowed the Raiders w/ Terrelle Pryor at QB, to gain over six yards per play! Allowing more than six yards per play is not new to this Colts D as that's what they allowed last year. Pryor ran for over 100 yards himself and was actually made to look good! While I wouldn't be surprised to see Indianapolis win another close one this week, don't be surprised to see this defense hurt them as the season moves on.
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Miami scored 23 points last week in a road win over Cleveland. They couldn't run the ball at all and new WR Mike Wallace was a non-factor. But I still though QB Ryan Tannehill played well. Like the Colts, the Dolphins have been an Under team going back to last season. These teams went Under by a half point when they met last year on this field (Colts won 23-20), but I'll call for slightly more points to be scored this time around and this one goes Over.

Stephen NoverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Denver Broncos vs. NY GiantsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: NY Giants +4½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Peyton Manning and the Broncos got a measure of revenge in high style last Thursday burying Baltimore. The Giants meanwhile committed six turnovers in losing on the road to Dallas.
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Does that make the Broncos so superior to the Giants that they should be more than a field goal favorite on the road? Not in my mind.
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The Giants lost to Dallas, 36-31, despite a minus 5 turnover ratio. It's absolutely amazing that New York came that close to pulling off the upset considering the takeaway/giveway disparity.
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While the Broncos are living high right now, the Giants already find themselves in an important matchup. As following this matchup, the Giants play three of their next four games on the road. Those away matchups aren't easy since they are against the Panthers, Chiefs and Bears.
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So this becomes a crucial home game for the Giants. New York usually is at its best when in a tough bind. The Giants are 8-2-1 ATS the past 11 times as an underdog and 10-4-1 ATS against foes with a winning record.
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The Broncos' defense is down from last year. It's bad enough that Von Miller is suspended, but he got in more trouble with the law this week. Miller is proving to be a distraction and a pain in the butt.
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The Broncos' secondary is vulnerable. Cornerback Champ Bailey and middle linebacker Wesley Woodyard are questionable.
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Eli Manning certainly won't lack for motivation being 0-2 against brother Peyton. Eli's three wideouts - Victor Cruz, Hakeem Nicks and Rueben Randle - are as good as any trio in the NFL. Talented running back David Wilson could be playing for his starting job. He'll be sky high for this game, too.
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Denver had its big game last week. The Broncos host long-time division rival Oakland on Monday night next week. This game is much bigger for the Giants.

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Carolina vs. BuffaloFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Over 43FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Panthers come into Buffalo 0-1 after getting shut down 12-7 at home in a loss to the Seattle Seahawks. QB Cam Newton went 16-for-23 for just 125 yards and one touchdown. Running back DeAngelo Williams rushed for 86 yards on 17 carries while veteran Steve Smith had a TD reception. The Panthers had three fumbles and lost two of them during this game really hurt the offensive output. The Bills are 0-1 after a narrow 23-21 defeat at the hands of the New England Patriots. Bills rookie E.J Manuel impressed everyone in his pro debut, completed 18 of 27 passes for 150 yards and two touchdowns without an interception. The usually explosive C.J Spiller was held to just 41 yards on 17 carries. The Panthers were unable to get much on a very stingy Seahawks defense with is not completely unpredictable but we should expect them to get a bit more here against a Bills defense not really known for shutting down its opponent. "Offensively, we have to score more than seven points, that's what it all comes down to," offensive tackle Jordan Gross said. Buffalo will be playing its second game at home already and will likely improve behind starter Manuel. Take a strong look at the “over.”

Robert FerringoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New Orleans (-3) over Tampa BayFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I'm never a big fan of playing road favorites in divisional games. But I think that this play warrants it. Tampa Bay has looked horrendous so far this season. I'm not just talking about their Week 1 debacle in New York. This team looked sloppy and disorganized throughout the preseason, and the whole organization is kind of a mess right now. Tampa can't rush the passer, they are still missing one of their best offensive linemen, and they have a quarterback spraying balls all over the place. It is looking more and more like Tampa's competitive 2012 season was an aberration. New Orleans, on the other hand, has to be feeling very good about itself after taking down Atlanta last week. Now they are facing a Tampa team that they throttled 41-0 the last time they saw them. New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and they are 4-1 ATS in the last five trips down to One Buc Place. The road team is 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings, and I have no problem putting my money on Drew Brees over Freeman. The Saints are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 divisional games and 15-7 ATS in their last 22 conference affairs. I still don't trust New Orleans' defense. But I trust the Bucs even less. Lay the points in this one.

SPORTS WAGERS

Survivor Pick - Week 2

Raise your hand if you sweated out last week’s Survivor Pool with New England or Indianapolis and shame on you if you penciled in the Steelers after we warned you to not go near that favorite last week. Once again, we’re going to stick to our philosophy of avoiding the biggest picks of the week and that would be New England, Houston, Green Bay or Philadelphia of which 85%-95% of your pool will be on. Anybody picking one of those first three teams could not be faulted, however, we would be rather cautious about playing the Eagles. That brings us to our choice, the Bears over the Vikings.

The Lions won by 10 points over the Vikings, but left a ton of points on the field by shooting themselves in the foot over and over again in the first half. They could have scored 50 and should have scored 40. Many teams will make adjustments after Week 1 but the Vikes just don’t have the personnel to get much better. This league is becoming more offensive minded every season and Minnesota is one of few teams that aren’t making the adjustment. Christian Ponder is not fit to QB in this league and when you don’t have a quality QB, you have no shot of winning more games than you lose.

The Bears beat a very tough and well-prepared Bengals squad. Unlike the Lions, who defeated the Vikes by 10, Chicago rarely leaves points on the table. The Bears used to be known for their great defense and they are still a top unit. However, this season, the new Trestman offense has been a success in the one game played and it’s only going to get better. Chicago takes a huge step down in class this week, they have a vastly superior QB and offense and they also have the much better defense. Oh, and the Bears are at home.

Our Week 2 Survivor Pick - straight up - is Chicago.

Alex SmartFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit Lions vs. Arizona CardinalsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Arizona Cardinals +2FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Wow ...Where do I start. Year after year the public and so called pros call for the Lions to have a break out year. I can remember as far back as 2008, when a large array of sports writers and wannabe linesmakers would vote on their favorite dark horse, and the Lions , seemed to almost always consisently get, these kinds of acolades. Lots of reasons consistently get used for their projected upswing. The talent is there, now its time to execute, would be a consistent mantra. So here we go again. Replay after replay on the same old predictions. I suppose one of these days it will finally come true. But for now I still look at this team as fade material, especially on the road where they are 1-13 ATS L/14 as a 6 point or less away favorites. I dont care that they put up 34 points last week in a win vs a Minnesota team that looked tired and unconcious.I personally was not that impressed . Sorry Motown supporters, Im not on board with this yet.It must also be noted that the Lions have covered just once in their last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. With my controversial opinion now on record, look for new Arizona QB Carson Palmer to have a big day for new coach Bruce Arians, and for the Cards to make it 7 straight wins SU/ATS at home in this series. Final Note: Home team is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 meetings

Hollywood SportsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Pittsburgh at CincinnatiFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: UnderFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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History indicates it becomes very difficult to make the playoffs after starting the season 0-2 so this AFC North rivalry game shapes up to be a very important early season test for both teams. Expect a very physical defensive struggle between these two teams that have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. The Bengals' defense did play well by holding the Bears to just 323 yards in their 24-21 loss at Chicago. Now the Bengals (0-1) return home where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total. Additionally, Cincy has played 6 straight games Under the Total against AFC opponents. Expect former-Steeler linebacker James Harrison to be particularly fierce when facing his former team that chose to not re-sign him. Pittsburgh (0-1) has significant problems on offense after a devastating season-ending injury to All-Pro center Maurkice Pouncey and running back LaRon Stephens-Howling last Sunday in their 16-9 loss to Tennessee as a 6-point favorite. The Steelers' offense managed a mere 195 yards of offense against that suspect Titans defense last week. Pittsburgh has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Steelers have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against fellow AFC North opponents. Lastly, in their last 6 appearances on Monday Night Football, Pittsburgh has played 5 of these games Under the Total. Take the Under in this one.

Randall the HandleFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Lions (1-0) at Cardinals (0-1)FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Lions made a visit to the desert a year ago and had their lunch fed to them as the Cardinals dominated in a 38-10 pasting. Perhaps Detroit is a better team this season, but Arizona's improvement likely rates higher. The difference being that the Cardinals upgraded at the all-important quarterback position going from an array of rag-tag throwers (Ryan Lindley in this game a year ago) to veteran Carson Palmer (327 yards and 2 TDs last week). Sure, the Lions have Calvin Johnson, but the Cards have Patrick Peterson, who can at least disrupt Megatron somewhat. Detroit lacks a cover corner capable of covering top-rated receiver Larry Fitzgerald. Factor in that the Cardinals have a better group of secondary receivers and that they're playing on a terrain that doesn't favour this visitor, we find it odd that Detroit is favoured in this one. Arizona is tough at home, quietly winning nine of past 13 here. TAKING: CARDINALS +1½
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Broncos (1-0) at Giants (0-1)FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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There are a number of games this week that are simply overreactions to Week 1. This one stands out like a penguin in Africa. If this game was played before last week, we'd be looking at the Broncos as a very slight favourite. But when Peyton Manning opens up with a record-tying seven-touchdown performance and kid brother Eli's Giants turn the ball over a half-dozen times in a loss, the line is sure to be skewed. Not to detract from Denver's performance in the Thursday night opener, but it was opening night for the NFL in a game that a revved-up Broncos sought retribution on the team that knocked them out of the playoffs a year ago. You can bet that Tom Coughlin will have whipped his boys into shape after last week's fiasco with the Cowboys. The Giants are rarely a dog in this range, especially at home. G-Men are 8-2-1 in past 11 when taking points. TAKING: GIANTS +4½
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Chargers (0-1) at Eagles (1-0)FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This week's flavour of the week is Chocolate Chip Kelly. The new coach of the Eagles displayed his rabbit-paced offence in the early Monday nighter last week for the entire football world to see. Many were gassed just watching it on TV. After jumping out to a 26-7 lead at halftime, the Eagles hung on for a 33-27 win. Was it a case of nursing a big lead or did Washington's defensive braintrusts make proper adjustments at halftime? The Chargers blew a big lead of their own on Monday night, but there were positives to build upon. Most notably was the inspired play of QB Philip Rivers after going AWOL the past couple of seasons. There is a better attitude on this team and they appear to have the mental fortitude to do battle after such a tough loss. The Eagles are pumped up right now, but let's see how this innovative style plays out over time. We'll gladly err on the side of caution. TAKING: CHARGERS +7
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Browns (0-1) at Ravens (0-1)FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This one isn't so much about endorsing the Browns as it is fading the Ravens in this price range. After a good start, Baltimore faced some adversity in its opening-day loss to the Broncos and fell completely apart upon doing so. It was clear that the defending Super Bowl champions lacked depth and, until some of those deficiencies are addressed properly, we'll take the wait-and-see approach. The Browns continue to be a decent defensive unit, but the offence remains a perpetual work in progress. Having a week to review their paltry output and facing a wounded division rival, taking the offered points is preferred. TAKING: BROWNS +6½
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Titans (1-0) at Texans (1-0)FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Titans pulled off a big upset by defeating the Steelers in Pittsburgh last Sunday. Don't be fooled by that result. Pittsburgh had one of their worst performances in recent history, aided by a seriously depleted roster. Despite Pittsburgh's inabilities, the Titans' offence managed a measly 3.6 yards per play on offence. To put that into perspective, the 32nd-ranked team a year ago averaged 4.1 yards per play. Now the Titans will travel again, only this time to face a Houston team that plays extremely well on both sides of the ball. Tennessee was crushed by a 38-14 count on this field a year ago and they've not improved enough to make up the disparity. TAKING: TEXANS -9
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Dolphins (1-0) at Colts (1-0)FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Does it make sense to spot points with a team that is 10-1 going back to last year in one-score games and who needed a late drive last week to take down the Raiders? We think not. We'd rather back a sound Miami team that can play defence (six interceptions and six sacks versus the Browns) much better than its host and who should be able to run the ball better this week when facing Indy's suspect ground stoppers. The Fish took one on the chin here last year, succumbing 23-20 when all was said and done. But this is a more capable unit and one that we think will redeem itself. TAKING: DOLPHINS +2½
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Panthers (0-1) at Bills (0-1)FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This one has an odd stench to it as the underachieving Panthers are favoured in Buffalo against a Bills team that looked surprisingly spirited in a near miss to the Patriots. But the more it smells, the more we like to stick our noses right in it. Carolina went toe-to-toe with an NFC power team. Buffalo played well, but New England's offence was clearly out of sync with its new personnel. Carolina has been a poor starting team and may come out with its hair on fire here. Taking double digits to a divisional foe is much different than taking a field goal to a visiting NFC squad. TAKING: PANTHERS -3
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Rams (1-0) at Falcons (0-1)FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Falcons are a capable bunch, aren't they? While there's not much shame in losing to New Orleans, some of Atlanta's issues were clearly exposed and a fix may not be forthcoming. The Falcons entered the season with a suspect offensive line. Matt Ryan has learned to live with his lack of protection, but the visiting Rams are quarterback guzzlers. St. Louis led the league in sacks last year with 51. This athletic bunch figures to pester Matty Ice all afternoon and it doesn't help much that both of Atlanta's star receivers are hobbled. The Rams are undervalued right now. Take advantage while you can. TAKING: RAMS +6½
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Redskins (0-1) at Packers (0-1)FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Redskins will feel like this game is in slow motion after facing the maniacal Eagles on Monday night. That could work to Green Bay's advantage as the talented Packers may lull Washington into a trance before unleashing some of its offensive arsenal. This is a tough assignment for the Redskins, playing on a short week and heading to Lambeau to face a Green Bay team in its home opener. The Packers have covered five straight at home and, with the Bears and Lions keeping them honest out of the gate, expect Green Bay to let it all hang out on this day. TAKING: PACKERS -7FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cowboys (1-0) at Chiefs (1-0)FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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While the Cowboys remain an enigma, there's little logic in enlisting a Kansas City team that was 2-14 a year ago as a 3-point choice in this one. If the dismantling of the Jaguars last week was a component of this line, shame on you Mr. Oddsmaker. Before last week's win over Jacksonville, the Chiefs had not covered as a favourite since the 2010 season. While K.C. was beating up a weakling, Dallas defeated the NFC East-favoured Giants. Facing a Cowboys team that is littered with playmakers, the Chiefs must prove that they belong in this class. Until they do, we'll fade them in these situations. TAKING: COWBOYS +3
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Vikings (0-1) at Bears (1-0)FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The genie might be back in the bottle in Minnesota. After an impressive 11-5 season a year ago, the Vikings looked less than ordinary in a loss at Detroit. The Vikes must now travel again to a place that has not been welcoming to them. The Bears have won six of the past seven on this field and that trend figures to continue. After coughing up three interceptions last week to Detroit's tame secondary, QB Christian Ponder will be hard-pressed to avoid turnovers against Chicago's ball-hawking defence. Notably, Chicago's offence performed admirably against a solid Cincinnati defence a week ago with the offensive line not allowing a sack of QB Jay Cutler. TAKING: BEARS -6
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Saints (1-0) at Bucs (0-1)FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Rarely do you get what you see or see what you get in the NFL. This is a prime example. The Saints are fresh off an impressive win against one of the NFC contenders. The Bucs, well, they lost a clunker to the dysfunctional Jets. Easy pickings, right? Not in this league. There is a lot of talent on the Tampa side, including its beefed-up pass rush. With a trip to New England on deck, that talent needs to find a way to compete here in order to avoid an 0-3 start. It's early, but the Saints could be in a letdown spot after last week's win. We see a close one. TAKING: BUCCANEERS +3½
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Jaguars (0-1) at Raiders (0-1)FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Take a picture. This is likely the only time the Raiders will be favoured this season. That in itself is reason enough to back the dog. Granted, the dog is a real woofer, but Oakland is best-suited to cover big spreads as it did in a gutsy effort in Indianapolis last week. QB Terrelle Pryor was fun to watch, but it's never a good thing in this league when your quarterback is your best rusher. We recognize that the Jaguars are horrid, but investing in Oakland to not only win but win by a margin would not be sound advice. TAKING: JAGUARS +5½
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49ers (1-0) at Seahawks (1-0)FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This should be fun. Both teams won on their own turf a year ago, but Seattle managed to cover both. The Seahawks' win was the more impressive of the two as they slammed the Niners to the tune of 42-13. However, San Fran had just come off an emotional Sunday night road win in New England and may have been caught a bit flat. They won't make that same mistake again. The 49ers went to the Super Bowl last year and consecutive NFC title games. While we respect the Seahawks, San Francisco's resume makes it hard to resist any time we're offered points. TAKING: 49ERS +3
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Steelers (0-1) at Bengals (0-1)FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This is the most glaring overreaction to Week 1 results on the entire menu. For a moment, let's pretend that this is opening week. What would this line be? Bengals by 3? Maybe 3 1/2. Granted, the Steelers are a mess, but rolling over and playing dead is not in their DNA. This is the first time Cincinnati has been favoured over Pittsburgh in eight years. The Steelers have owned the Bengals here, winning 10 of their past 11 played at Paul Brown Stadium. Not only must the Bengals win, they must win by more than a touchdown. That's a tall order no matter what we've witnessed so far. TAKING: STEELERS +7

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Cleveland at BaltimoreFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Over 43.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The defending Super Bowl Champion Baltimore Ravens will try to get some things fixed after getting torched for seven TDs by Peyton Manning in their opener. But is it fixable? Baltimore lost a lot of talent and leadership from a defense that has mostly dominated in recent years. Gone are the emotional and statistical leaders from this defense. The Ravens opened up the playbook for Joe Flacco at the end of last season and it delivered a Super Bowl. As a result, they gave Joe Flacco a big contract, and the offense is now the focal point of this team. Baltimore will get RT Michael Oher back for this game, which will only assist the running game. Cleveland simply made too many mistakes against Miami, got behind and was forced to the air, and that did not work out so well. Baltimore simply doesn't have the ability to get pressure in the same way Miami did a week ago, and I think Brandon Weeden will have a lot more time, and he will also be able to get Trent Richardson more involved in the running game early. The Ravens went for 27 points and almost 400 yards on the road last week vs. at least as good of a defense as they will face at home this week. The Ravens have opened things up after a loss, where they are 12-4 to the OVER in their last 16. Look for Joe Flacco behind a raucous crowd to go nuts here. Make the play on the OVER.