Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 16

DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

San Francisco at Arizona
The Diamondbacks look to take advantage of a San Francisco team that is 1-4 in Ryan Vogelsong's last 5 Sunday starts. Arizona is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Diamondbacks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-120)

Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Latos) 13.822; Miami (Nolasco) 15.979
Dunkel Line: Miami by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+115); Over

Game 903-904: Washington at Atlanta (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 16.177; Atlanta (Minor) 15.298
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115); Under

Game 905-906: Philadelphia at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Halladay) 15.965; Houston (Lyles) 14.833
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-200); Under

Game 907-908: NY Mets at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Young) 14.717; Milwaukee (Peralta) 16.170
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+140); Over

Game 909-910: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 13.682; Cubs (Volstad) 14.657
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); N/A

Game 911-912: Colorado at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (White) 15.418; San Diego (Werner) 15.744
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Diego (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-150); Under

Game 913-914: San Francisco at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.269; Arizona (Corbin) 16.110
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-120); Under

Game 915-916: St. Louis at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.023; LA Dodgers (Fife) 14.631
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Moore) 15.315; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 16.496
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-140); Under

Game 919-920: Boston at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 14.812; Toronto (Morrow) 14.414
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-105); Over

Game 921-922: LA Angels at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 17.091; Kansas City (Smith) 16.248
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-160); Under

Game 923-924: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Peavy) 14.490; Minnesota (Diamond) 14.917
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115); Over

Game 925-926: Detroit at Cleveland (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 14.722; Cleveland (Jimenez) 15.208
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+130); Over

Game 927-928: Seattle at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Beavan) 14.313; Texas (Harrison) 14.652
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-230); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-230); Under

Game 929-930: Baltimore at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Wolf) 16.503; Oakland (Straily) 15.966
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+130); Over

CFL

Saskatchewan at Montreal
The Alouettes look to take advantage of a Saskatchewan team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games overall. Montreal is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-6)

Game 297-298: Saskatchewan at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 109.402; Montreal 120.635
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 11; 49
Vegas Line: Montreal by 6; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-6); Under

WNBA

Chicago at Phoenix
The Sky look to take advantage of a Phoenix team that is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 home games. Chicago is the pick (-11) according to Dunkel, which has the Sky favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-11)

Game 601-602: Tulsa at San Antonio (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 103.351; San Antonio 115.624
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 12 1/2; 167
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 14; 162
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+14); Over

Game 603-604: New York at Washington (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 110.380; Washington 100.403
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 10; 140
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 7 1/2; 145
Dunkel Pick: New York (-7 1/2); Under

Game 605-606: Chicago at Phoenix (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 113.122; Phoenix 1080220
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 13; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 11; 157 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-11); Under

Game 609-610: Connecticut at Seattle (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 108.761; Seattle 116.449
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 7 1/2; 154
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 8; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+8); Over

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Kansas City vs. Buffalo
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Last week's free play was on the "over" in the Jets/Bills game. On a high-scoring Sunday, it proved to be the highest-scoring game of the bunch. The teams produced 76 total points, a 48-28 victory for New York. Considering that I also had a big play on the Jets, I was pretty pleased with that result ...
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The Bills weren't the only team that allowed 40 or more points on Sunday. The Colts, Saints and Chiefs all got in on the fun. KC lost its game 40-24, against the Falcons.Naturally, both the Chiefs and Bills will be looking for significant defensive improvements this week.
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I don't over-react to preseason results. That's one of the reasons why I wasn't as down on the Jets offense as many others, heading into last week's game. Instead, I suggested that those preseason results (or lack thereof) were providing us with a generously low O/U line for the Buffalo/NY game.
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I also don't believe in over-reacting to Week 1 results. However, many recreational bettors often love to do so. With two teams which both allowed 40 or more points now facing each other, oddsmakers have been forced to post a very high O/U line. In fact, its above the important 44 mark. I believe that the value now lies the other way.
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Keep in mind that the O/U line was 39.5 when these same two teams faced each other last September, at Buffalo.
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The last meeting here at KC was in 2010, on Halloween. The O/U line for that game was also high (45.5) but the teams combined for only 23 points, a 13-10 victory for the Chiefs.
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Even including last week's result, the Chiefs have seen the "under" go 15-6 the last 21 times that they getting points. At anything greater than 44, consider the Under.

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Washington -3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The poor Rams. I reside in mid missouri and am subjected to frankly more Rams talk than I care to listen to. I truly respect Jeff Fisher and think it's the smartest move this organization has made in recent memory. Here's the rub of it guys. It's highly unlikely this club will even still be in St Louis much longer. My source tells me a move to Los Angeles is very, very much in play. And frankly I would match this source up against anyone ESPN or FOX or NFL network has. And my clients know full and well I don't bullshit. Sad, because if the Rams head back out west it's highly unlikely St Louis will ever get another shot. Not after losing both the Cardinals and Rams. Anyway, unless that stadium gets worked out to Stan Kroenke's satisfaction then there will be a whole fleet of Atlas Van Lines trucks heading west. Okay, enough on that and let's look at this game. The Rams went into Detroit last week and put up a heroic effort and had the heavily favored Lions on the ropes before going down in a heartbreaking loss. Could be the Lions were caught looking ahead to this weeks big showdown with the 49ers some. I just look at this Rams team and have serious questions about both the offensive line and the receiving corps. They signed injury prone but talented center Scott Wells away from Green Bay but of course he is already on the injured list. I was not the least bit surprised when Ted Thompson let Wells walk from Green Bay. Anyway, here comes the Redskins into town and flying high after shocking everyone except their closest relatives by knocking off the Saints in New Orleans. Trust me, after contending with that dome and racket the St Louis dome will seem like a funeral parlor in comparison. I would rate this as a half unit sized play guys. To be candid, I just don't trust either team all that much. But, it is worth a small wager. The number is reasonable, take the Skins to snare another road victory.

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Survivor Pick – Week 2FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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CINCINNATI over ClevelandFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Of course we could play it very safe and play the New England Patriots this week but 50% or more of your poolies will be on them and if the unthinkable happens, you’ll go down with them all. Remember, the Patriots have an early showdown with Ravens on deck and while they’re not likely to lose here, we always try to avoid playing the top consensus play as part of our ‘not going down with rest of ship’ philosophy.
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That brings us to the Bengals. Cinci was embarrassed in the front end of the double-header on Monday Night. That hasn’t been sitting well with them and while the score was ugly, the play of the Bengals was not. They moved the ball against a very good defense. They trailed 17-3 and came back to make it 17-13. The defense gave up lots of yards and points but Joe Flacco and the Ravens offense had the game of their lives with Flacco hitting every receiver right between the numbers. The Bengals will now face a rookie QB playing his first road game.
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Brandon Weeden's first game as an NFL starter ended with only 12 of 35 completions for 118 yards and four interceptions. His 5.1 QB rating represented the worst by any rookie starting in week one over the past 50 years. The Brownies nearly pulled the upset last week over Philly, who turned the ball over four times. The beauty of this game is that Browns’ cornerback extraordinaire Joe Haden has been suspended for four games because of violating the drug policy. That means A.J. Green all over the field. Additionally Andy Dalton and his Bengals don’t figure to be as sloppy, leading to a comfortable win.
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Week 1 pick N.Y. Jets
Week 2 pick Cincinnati

Bobby ConnFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Dallas Cowboys vs. Seattle Seahawks
Play: Dallas Cowboys -3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Dallas looked good the other night against the defending Super Bowl champions and I don't think they are going to have much trouble in Seattle against an inferior team in the Seahawks. Dallas had a few extra days to prepare for this game and I don't think that's reflected in the line. Small edge goes to the Cowboys.

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New England Patriots -13.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Patriots opened up at a 14.5-point favorite, but have since been bet down to -13.5. I strongly recommend jumping on this play before it goes back up to 14!
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The Patriots went on the road and beat up on the Texans 34-13 in Week 1. Arizona was able to hold off Seattle at home 20-16, but could have just as easily lost that game. The Seahawks had the ball inside the Cardinals 4-yard line but failed on 4 straight pass attempts behind a rookie quarterback.
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Arizona lost starting quarterback John Skelton to an ankle injury late in that game, and he is listed as doubtful for Sunday. That leaves the Cardinals with Kevin Kolb as their starter. I know Kolb led the Cardinals to a touchdown late against Seattle, but we are talking about a quarterback who couldn't beat out John Skelton. I wouldn't be surprised at all if Skelton turned the ball over 3 or 4 times against Bill Belichick's defense.
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Speaking of the Patriots defense, they looked pretty good in the opener considering how bad they played on that side of the ball in 2011. New England held Chris Johnson and the Titans running game to just 20 yards on 16 attempts. Allowing just 1.3 yards/carry. The Cardinals rushing attack produced just 43 yards on 20 attempts against the Seahawks. That all boils down to Kolb dropping back to pass 40+ times in this game, which is exactly what we want.
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New England's offense was very efficient against a solid Tennessee defense. Tom Brady completed 23 of 31 attempts for 236 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions. At the same time, running back Stevan Ridley carried it 21 times for 125 yards and a score. The Patriots simply have too many weapons for a young Arizona defense to contain.
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Not only do the Patriots have what I believe to be a clear advantage on both sides of the ball, this game falls into a situation that rarely loses. Anytime you have a home favorite that outgained opponents by 4 or more points/game the previous season, who just scored 30 or more in their last game, you load up on the home team! It's 36-9 (80%) SINCE 1983!
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Other key trends favoring New England. The Patriots are 23-8-1 ATS in their last 32 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game, while the Cardinals are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. B

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MIAMI +120 over Oakland
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The Dolphins are awful. However, the Raiders aren’t far behind and are hardly worthy of being road faves. That circus act on MNF was simply too embarrassing to ignore. Greg Knapp, Oakland’s offensive coordinator, should not be allowed anywhere near a chalkboard. Knapp fails to realize that you can’t dink and dunk your way to points in today’s NFL. Completing 3-yard lateral passes all afternoon has its limitations. The Raiders offensive bright spot is RB Darren McFadden but if Miami does anything well, it’s defending the run.
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It’s a rebuilding year in Miami and week one made that painfully obvious with little more than Reggie Bush to drive the offense down the field. Still, the Raiders bring a slice of dysfunction with them and it won’t help Oakland’s cause to have played a West Coast game on Monday night only to travel clear across the country to face these Fish, a team they lost to by 20 on this very field last season. Play: MIAMI +120
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N.Y. GIANTS -7 -107 over Tampa Bay
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The Giants lost their opener to the rival Cowboys. After hosting this one, the G-Men will fly to Carolina to take on the Panthers on three days’ rest. Suddenly, this one becomes essential because a loss here slants the entire season in a bad direction.
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The Buccaneers squeaked out a win over the visiting Panthers using a shockingly good defensive effort from a unit that was among the worst in 2011. The Panthers didn’t show up for some strange reason so let’s not put too much emphasis on week one results.
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As we’ve seen many times before, the results of opening week provide influence on Week 2 point-spreads. That offers opportunity. Had this game been scheduled last week, the Giants would have been a double-digit favorite. Think about it, Super Bowl champs versus team on a 10-game losing streak. With Tampa pulling off upset of Carolina and Giants appearing rather flat vs. Dallas, we get a reduced price (buy low) and one we intend to take full advantage of. Play: N.Y. GIANTS -7 -107
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INDIANAPOLIS +109 over Minnesota
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Andrew Luck’s first game, with a 2-14 team from a year ago, pretty much produced the expected result in Chicago. Meanwhile, Vikes needed a 55-yd FG in OT to defeat the lowly Jags in Minnesota. In the process Minny did what no one thought possible - they made Blaine Gabbert look like a real quarterback. It’s also worth noting that the Vikings special teams kept them in the game and eventually won it for them in OT. When you have to rely on special teams to win at home against a marshmallow club, things aren’t likely to get better on the road.
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Last year the Vikings allowed multiple touchdown passes in seven of eight road games and at least 260 yards in seven of eight away from home as well. Luck was statistically solid in his NFL debut in Chicago with 300 passing yards and two scores. Christian Ponder threw four TD’s in six road games last year. All Luck has to do is play as well as he did last week with fewer turnovers. If Colts are to find wins this season, this subpar visitor fits the bill. In no way should this Vikings squad be favored on the road. Play: INDIANAPOLIS +109

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Arizona +14 -110 over NEW ENGLAND
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John Skelton has an ankle sprain that is not believed to be of the “high" variety. His injury allowed Kevin Kolb to step in and lead the Cardinals to a win over Seattle. Opportunity knocks for Kolb and if he can step it up like he did on that drive last week, he can prevent the QB musical chairs from taking place. The Cardinals have a decent defense, a potentially capable offense and they could certainly catch the Patriots looking ahead to next week’s showdown with Ravens.
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It’s easy to support the Patriots. Rarely lose at home, score lots of points and defense appears improved. Still, having to win by two touchdowns so early in the season is a risky proposition. New England has a history of extremely close calls early in the year against teams’ they’re supposed to crush. The Cardinals continue to find ways to win (6 of past 7) and with this margin to play with, we’ll lean ‘Zona. No bets.
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CAROLINA +3 -110 over New Orleans
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Saints look too easy here for anyone that watched the Panthers against Tampa in the opener. That’s always a red flag. Last week was troubling on a number of fronts for the Panthers. They produced only 10 total rushing yards and no scores. They looked completely out of sorts but once again, we can’t stress enough how important it is to not overreact to one game.FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Saints had plenty of positive stats last week but still allowed a rookie QB to walk into their house and beat them. The Panthers know this team well and were perhaps looking ahead to this one when they forgot to show up last week. Do Saints miss their coach? We still don’t know the effects of Bountygate on New Orleans but a loss here and everything gets magnified.
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Saints get rare assignment of facing two most recent Heisman Award winners to start this season. If Robert Griffin III could have his way against New Orleans’ suspect defense, you’d have to believe that talented sophomore Cam Newton can do the same. No bets.
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BUFFALO -3 -120 over Kansas City
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Leading up to last week’s debacle against the Jets, the Bills were one of this year’s sexy sleeper picks among pundits everywhere. Now, people wouldn’t back them with counterfeit money. It makes it even harder to back Buffalo knowing they’ll be without Fred Jackson and David Nelson. Additionally, the Chiefs will be revenge-minded after a 41-7 blasting last year by these Bills in K.C.’s home opener.
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Chiefs were shredded on own turf last week but against a very sharp-looking Falcons club. To KC’s credit, it did hang around in 1st half, moving the ball with some efficiency. Atlanta simply took over in 2nd half.
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The question now begs as to why Buffalo opened as a 3½-point favorite with an offense that is banged up and that is being called the most predictable in the game and a defense that was ripped apart by a Jets team that no one suspected of having an offense? As we all know, things change week to week in this league. The Bills were ambushed by the Jets and you can bet that they’ll be more focused this week. Buffalo is tough at this venue and they have had a lot of success against the Chiefs over the past few years. The line tells us not to get so wrapped up on last week’s result and we’re going to take that prudent approach. No bets.
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PHILADELPHIA -1½ -110 over Baltimore
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Beware of teams’ that look too good in prime time. Ravens came flying out of the gate on Monday night, steamrolling the Bengals. No doubt that Baltimore is for real. However, the schedulers did them no favor as they arrive in Philly on short week and then will host New England in prime timer next Sunday night. Bit much against a Philly team that expects to be a whole lot sharper than last week’s near loss to Brownies. No bets.

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JACKSONVILLE +7 -106 over Houston
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Superior Texans rarely have an easy time of it with Jaguars and despite losing last week, Jacksonville showing some promise. Prohibitive road faves within division is always dangerous, especially when Houston goes to visit old friend Peyton in Denver next week. No bets.
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SEATTLE +3½ -105 over Dallas
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The Cowboys bandwagon is filling up yet again. All that weight may cause a wheel or two to come off, as we’ve frequently experienced in the past. While price may appear short, the Seahawks match up well with its underrated defense and Seattle’s strong home mark of eight covers in past 10 on this field. Forget last week’s showing in Arizona, as this Seahawks squad is a completely different animal at home. No bets.
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ST. LOUIS -3½ -110 over Washington
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Calm down people. Yes, Washington looked impressive in win over Saints but it’s one game and this may be a more telling test. Having to play consecutive road games and coming off the high and attention from last week, Washington could get caught off guard against hard trying Rams. Don’t ignore Rams solid effort against a perceived playoff team last week, as Jeff Fisher continues to get best out of every player. No bets.
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PITTSBURGH -4½ -104 over N.Y. Jets
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Defeating the Bills is not a good enough reason for the Jets to suddenly have their mojo back. This will be stiffer test as the Steelers return home and should be able to flex their muscles against New York’s hodgepodge group of offensive players. Jets stock soared after last week’s easy win, making this a classic buy low, sell high opportunity. No bets.
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SAN DIEGO -6 -109 over Tennessee
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We’re not buying into Tennessee’s 9-7 mark from a year ago. RB Chris Johnson can’t seem to get right and QB Jake Locker is not ready to carry this team on his own. Chargers have issues too. They scratched out a win in Oakland thanks in part to the Raiders losing their long snapper. Philip Rivers only managed to pass for 231 yards and one score though he had several very short fields to work with in the second half. Needing five field goals from Nate Kaeding is a sign that all is not right. Still, a road win breeds confidence and San Diego has owned teams from the AFC West, winning and covering five straight against foes from that neighborhood. No bets.

Wunderdog

Cleveland at Cincinnati
Pick: Cleveland +7

The Bengals were a misleading playoffs team a year ago, as they were out-gained from the line of scrimmage for the season. This team was beaten badly in their opener at Baltimore 44-13, where nothing appeared to go right on either side of the ball. Cleveland played about as ugly a game last week vs. the Eagles I have seen in a while. The game was plagued by nine turnovers - five of which belonged to Cleveland. Yet, the Eagles needed a late touchdown to beat the Browns. Credit to Cleveland for finding a way to stay close. This game is an in-state rivalry that is usually played with great intensity. Four of the last five meetings have been decided by 3 points or less. There is usually little to pick and choose between these teams, and the Bengals are still an overrated team. They made the playoffs a year ago, but have struggled to beat the oddsmakers’ perspective of this team, covering just one time in their last ten games! The Bengals own a woeful 56-84 ATS mark in their last 140 played within the division. This team has also had trouble bouncing back from a horrible loss of 21 or more points where they have followed at 8-24 ATS in their last 32. Cleveland has been a good big dog at 6-1 ATS in their last seven when taking +6 or more. Under Marvin Lewis, the Bengals are 27-39 ATS following a loss and they are horrid (13-25 ATS) as a home favorite. My computer matchup predicts that Cleveland will stay close. I agree. Play on the Browns in this one.

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Oakland vs. Miami
Pick: MiamiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I like Miami to take care of business at home against the Oakland Raiders.
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The Raiders are coming off a shortened work week to play on the road in Miami. The Fish have done quite well against the Raiders of late going 5-2 ATS. Miami has taken the last two match ups in double digit wins. In Miami last year the Fish won easily 34-13, even though the spread was only three points.
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Both teams have a lot to improve on after less than stellar Week 1’s. However, I think the Dolphins have less work to do and have more favorable conditions. Remember, Oakland is playing on a short week, is off a divisional game and had to fly across the continent.
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The numbers didn’t look great for rookie QB Ryan Tannehill as he threw three interceptions in Week 1 against the Houston. It wasn't all bad though. “There were some good throws,” head coach Joe Philbin said. “He did some good things, there’s no question about it. It wasn’t like he got flustered. It wasn’t like you saw a ton of bad decisions. … There are some good pictures of him throwing the ball accurately and moving nicely in the pocket.”
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I think we can cut him slack, as Houston was one of the top passing defenses in 2011 and looked ready to dominate again this year. I expect Tannehill to have a better showing here as he will face an Oakland pass defense that is not quite as "vaunted."
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Oakland looked very dysfunctional in Week 1. Botched snaps leading to failed punt attempts and neutral zone infractions killed the Raiders against the Chargers. I think it shows that new head coach Dennis Allen still has a long way to go with his team.
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Take a look at the Fish as the slight underdog at home.

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Washington vs. St. Louis
Pick: St. LouisFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Here we go again, another road favorite fresh off an upset underdog opening week win, only this time it’s a freshman quarterback changing clothes with Robert Griffin III donning the cape of favorite for the first time in his pro career. Granted, RG3’s exploits were impressive in last week’s takedown of the Saints in New Orleans but, like his rookie cohort Russell Wilson, he now tries on life as a road favorite in the league and to that we say “good luck.” Aside from the Skins’ problems as favorites of 3 or more points against NFC foes (1-6-1 ATS last eight), they have struggled of late in this series (2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS). As we cited earlier on these pages, Rams boss Jeff Fisher is the NFL kingfish when it comes to taking points – now 55-72 SU and 76-50-1 ATS. Look for a big effort in Fisher’s home debut, as Griffin shows why he is not yet ready to assume Superman’s shawl. We recommend a 1-unit play on St. Louis.

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Houston vs. Jacksonville
Pick: HoustonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Texans opened up week 1 with an impressive 30-10 victory at home over the Dolphins. On offense, the Texans have a 3 headed monster few teams in the NFL can compare with.
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Schaub looked impressive back under center completing 20-31 for 266 yards and a TD. The 31 year old is in his prime with a QB rating of 92.3 in 103 career games.
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Arian Foster is widely considered the best RB in the game and is projected to have the most fantasy points among all running backs this weekend. With 2 TDs and 79 yards rushing in week 1, it is hard to argue against him. In the last 2 seasons, Foster had 2,840 rushing yards and 1,221 receiving yards with a combined 30 TDs!
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Big play WR Andre Johnson is healthy and in week one he shredded the Dolphin secondary with 8 receptions for 119 yards and a TD. At 6-3 and 230 pounds AJ is a massive target downfield comparable to Megatron. He had an injury plagued 2011 season with only 7 games played. In the 3 seasons prior, he missed a combined 3 games while compiling a massive total of 4,360 yards receiving!
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The Texans defense was as good as advertised on Sunday holding the Dolphins to 10 points on 298 total yards with 3 sacks, 2 FF and 3 INTs. Look for the Jags offensive line to get eaten up by DE J.J. Watt. He was awesome last week with 1.5 sacks and deflecting two passes after missing most of the preseason with a dislocated left elbow and coach Kubiak can't stop singing his praises.
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The Jaguars had a competitive game in a 26-23 OT loss at Minnesota. MJD looked like he hadn't missed a beat following his holdout with 77 yards rushing last week on 19 carries. Backup RB Rashad Jennings is questionable with an ankle injury.
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2011 first round draft pick Blaine Gabbert looks like he is maturing nicely as a QB in his second season. Versus the Vikings, Gabbert was 23-39 for 260 yards and 2 TDs. His 96.1 QB rating is a great start to the season after posting a QB rating of 65.4 in his rookie season.
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2009 second round draft pick Eben Britton is questionable for this game with an ankle injury. If he can't go Sunday, Gabbert could be in for a long day against the Texan's front seven.
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The defense was solid last year giving up 20.3 PPG and 313 YPG. They had 2 sacks last week, 1 FF and 0 INTs. Starting LB Daryl Smith is out for this game which is a huge blow to the Jags defense that struggled to contain the Vikings offense last weekend. CB Derek Cox is questionable after missing week 1.
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The Texans are 6-1 in their last 7 ATS while the Jags are 5-2 in their last 7 ATS. These two teams met 3 times last season with Houston 3-0 SU and 2-0-1 ATS. The Texans top players are all healthy right now and that hasn't been said in a while. The Texans covered the spread last year in Jacksonville with Schaub on the sidelines. Take the "Houston Texans" to win on the road ATS.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. NY Giants
Play: NY GiantsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Don't be fooled by Tampa Bay's 4-12 record from last season and its NFL-worst defense that surrendered 30.9 points per game.
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The Buccaneers quit on Raheem Morris last season. New coach Greg Schiano has Tampa Bay playing closer to its potential, which is a 7-9 type of team.
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I don't see the Giants successfully defending their Super Bowl crown, but they are definitely at least a nine-win team. The combination of the Giants' superiority, having home-field and being in a highly advantageous situational spot gives me enough confidence to lay a touchdown.
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New York has had three extra days of practice and rest following its ugly nationally televised home division loss to Dallas. The Giants are sick about hearing how bad they played. They also know they are looking up at the three other teams in the NFC East as Philadelphia and Washington opened with victories.
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The Buccaneers upset NFC South Division rival Carolina at home so this game means much more to the Giants, who can't afford to fall two games behind the other teams in their tough division. The Giants are 8-0 ATS the last eight times they've faced opponents with a winning record.
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The Giants are at their best when they see a challenge. They'll see a challenge here. Despite finishing 30th in total defense last season while allowing the most points per game, the Buccaneers have talented young defensive players. Schiano is showing signs of getting the most out of them unlike the overmatched Morris. However, Schiano is a first-year head coach who is learning the NFL ropes after coaching at Rutgers. He also has implemented a new defensive system so the Buccaneers are a work in progress.
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I don't like Tampa Bay's offense. Josh Freeman has regressed from his promising season of two years ago. He played poorly last season with a 16-to-22 touchdown-to-interception ratio and he didn't impress during preseason completing less than 53 percent of his throws while averaging just 4.8 yards per pass. He didn't have a strong opener. He's becoming more of a conservative checkdown passer rather than airing the ball out and attacking defenses.
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I'm not impressed with Tampa Bay's running backs either. Some like Doug Martin. Not me. He's better than LeGarrette Blount, but that doesn't say much. The Giants' defense is very frustrated particularly their vaunted pass rushers. Not only did Jason Pierre-Paul, Jason Tuck and Osi Umenyiora fail to sack Tony Romo in their first game, but none of them even recorded a single quarterback hit. They are going to come after Freeman hard.
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I don't see the Buccaneers scoring much here. Their defense won't be able to keep them in the game. Eli Manning has a good history against the Buccaneers and the weapons to make this a runaway. This could get ugly if the Buccaneers fall behind by a lot as they don't have the personnel to effectively play catch-up.
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The Buccaneers can only beat good teams by winning ugly and catching their opponent not playing well. I don't see that formula working in this matchup. Look for the Giants to win by double-digits.