Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, September 22

DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

Texas at Kansas City
The Royals look to build on their 7-0 record in James Shields' last 7 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Kansas City is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-135)

Game 901-902: Miami at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 14.200; Washington (Haren) 15.107
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-240); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-240); Under

Game 903-904: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.926; Pittsburgh (Locke) 15.644
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+100); Over

Game 905-906: NY Mets at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Torres) 14.659; Philadelphia (Lee) 14.202
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-210); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+185); Under

Game 907-908: St. Louis at Milwaukee (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Kelly) 15.902; Milwaukee (Peralta) 14.479
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Over

Game 909-910: Atlanta at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 16.108; Cubs (Jackson) 14.695
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 911-912: Arizona at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Corbin) 14.144; Colorado (Nicasio) 14.930
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Arizona (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-105); Over

Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 16.087; San Diego (Cashner) 14.492
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130); Under

Game 915-916: Houston at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Bedard) 15.188; Cleveland (Kluber) 14.209
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-260); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+220); Over

Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Johnson) 15.368; Detroit (Sanchez) 14.730
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-300); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+250); Under

Game 919-920: Toronto at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 15.791; Boston (Doubront) 17.345
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-160); Over

Game 921-922: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Feldman) 15.156; Tampa Bay (Romero) 16.722
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 923-924: Texas at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Ogando) 16.012; Kansas City (Shields) 17.559
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-135); Under

Game 925-926: Seattle at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 15.701; LA Angels (Wilson) 14.517
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 6
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+110); Under

Game 927-928: Minnesota at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (De Vries) 12.642; Oakland (Gray) 16.936
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 4 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-230); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-230); Under

Game 929-930: San Francisco at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Petit) 15.341; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 14.412
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+130); Over

Game 931-932: Miami at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 13.330; Washington (Strasburg) 16.393
Dunkel Line: Washington by 3; 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

WNBA

Chicago at Indiana
The Sky look to bounce back from their Game 1 loss and build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 road games. Chicago is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sky favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+2 1/2)

Game 663-664: Chicago at Indiana (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 115.860; Indiana 112.520
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 141
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 2 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+2 1/2); Under

Game 665-666: Minnesota at Seattle (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 119.956; Seattle 110.019
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 10; 152
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 8; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-8); Over

CFL

BC at Saskatchewan
The Roughriders look to take advantage of a BC team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 road games. Saskatchewan is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-5)

Game 497-498: BC at Saskatchewan (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 112.010; Saskatchewan 120.227
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 8; 48
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 5; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-5); Under

Art Aronson

Arizona Cardinals vs. New Orleans Saints
Play: Arizona Cardinals

The visiting Arizona Cardinals are 1-1 but could easily be 2-0 as week 1’s defeat to the Rams was on a last minute field goal. The Cardinals did win their home opener in St. Louis with an impressive 25-21 win over the Detroit Lions. QB Carson Palmer was 22-for-39 for 248 yards, one TD and one INT. Rashard Mendenhall had 55 yards on five carries to go with a touchdown. It took a last minute drive by Drew Brees to set up field goal for the New Orleans Saints to narrowly edge out Tampa Bay 16-14 and move to 2-0 in the process. Brees finished 26/46 for 322 yards, one TD and two INTs. Jimmy Graham had 10 receptions for 179 yards. The Cardinals are now 2-0 ATS this season under new head coach Bruce Arians. Carson Palmer has brought some stability to the offense that actually given the pretty good Arizona defense a break unlike past seasons. The Saints didn’t look overly impressive in Tampa but are 2-0 and the rightful favorites at home here. Still, the Arizona is a more complete football team than we have seen in years and should not be this much of an underdog. Grab the points here and be ecstatic if you get Arizona with the number straying about the touchdown point. The Saints have played two very close games versus divisional opponents and I fully expect a bit of a letdown here with Arizona coming into tow. This game is likely to be a lot closer than many think

Terron ChapmanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Diego Chargers vs. Tennessee TitansFOR SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Tennessee Titans -3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The NFL schedule-makers didn’t do the San Diego Chargers any favors to start the season. After traveling east for an early start time with the fast-paced Philadelphia Eagles and coming out victorious, 33-30, the Chargers will have to regroup and travel east for the second time in as many weeks. This time, a physical Tennessee Titans team awaits them looking to bounce back in their home opener from a heartbreaking overtime loss to the Houston Texans, 30-24.
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It’s hard to point the finger at one player for a loss, but Jake Locker’s accuracy – or lack thereof – continues to haunt the Titans. Tennessee overcame Locker’s inaccuracy against the Steelers in Week one but they weren’t able to do so Sunday. Locker’s inability to be accurate on third downs in most concerning. He was just 6-for-11 for 42 yards, a TD and a fumble on third down. Only three completions converted a third down. It’s early, but the Titans rank last in the league in passing (123y/gm). If they expect to contend, Locker will have to be more consistent. Good news for him and the Titans faithful is the Chargers and their porous pass defense is on deck. The Chargers rank 31st in the league allowing 9.4 yards per pass attempt. There should be plenty of opportunities for Locker to connect on Sunday, the question is will he?
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The Chargers shouldn’t be taken lightly after blowing a 21-point lead against the Texans then following it up with bounce back win against Philadelphia. Phillip Rivers has been kept upright thus far as the o-line has allowed just two sacks. They’ll face another test Sunday against a Titans team that’s registered seven sacks so far. The Chargers face tough task traveling east back-to-back weeks and to compound things, they’ll be facing a Titans team playing their home opener at LP Field, so you can expect emotions to run high.
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The Chargers have won nine straight in the series. In fact, the Titans haven’t beaten the Chargers since relocating from Houston to Nashville (8-0) and that includes a 38-10 beat down last season. However, this is tough spot for the visitor and we like the Titans chances of putting an end to that streak. Lay the points with the host at your sportsbook.

Brandon ShivelyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St. Louis vs. DallasFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Over 47FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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If the Rams had a legit running game, then they might be playoff contenders as they have opened up their passing game nicely in the first two weeks. Sure, they lost to Atlanta 31-24, but they were only outyarded 357-352. The speedsters Pettis and Austin were targeted 23 times in the game and they accounted for all 3 of Bradford's TD passes. So needless to say, they will test the Cowboy's secondary this afternoon. The Rams are 4th in the NFL in passing yards while we saw the Cowboys get lit up by Eli in week 1. A lot of those yards were garbage yards, but we feel the Rams will score today with little resistance. The Rams are 5-1 OVER the L4Y when the total is 46 or higher. We think that the Dallas defense is still a work in progress with the hiring of DC Monte Kiffin who had been the DC at USC with his son. We saw USC's defense regress in 201002012 and believe it might be time for Kiffin to hang his shoes up. Romo has weapons with Dez Bryant and we already saw Fitzgerald have a field day on the smaller cornerbacks of Saint Louis. There is only one play on this game and that is the OVER

Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit vs. WashingtonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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“We have a team that you’re going to be proud of,” Shanahan said. “They have set the expectations: anything short of a Super Bowl is a failure.”
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This was a comment from the Redskins coach back in August, but after an 0-2 start to the season, Shanahan might be fortunate if he his team can even compete for a playoff spot.
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The Redskins defense was ranked the worst in the NFL against the pass in 2012, and they've been lit up for a combined 71 points in consecutive losses in the first two weeks of the 2013 season.
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With the offensive juggernaut that is the Detroit Lions coming to town this week, the Skins are gonna be hard pressed to turn things around.
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The Lions were far more dangerous on offense with a healthy Reggie Bush in a 34-24 victory over Minnesota in Week 1. Bush led the team with 101 yards on four catches, and another 90 yards on the ground. He missed the second half of last week's loss to Arizona with a knee injury, but an MRI shows no structural damage and he could be ready to go on Sunday.
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Megatron had six receptions for 116 yards and a pair of TDs in Arizona, and he's gonna be a handful for this woeful Washington secondary.
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The Lions defense hasn't exactly been watertight either, so I wouldn't expect a one-sided game, the home team should get it's fair share of points as well.

Ben BurnsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New York vs. CarolinaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: CarolinaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The general feeling about the Giants seems to be: "... they always start slowly; they'll be OK ..."
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However, I'm not so sure that's the case this season.
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True, the Giants are going to be extremely hungry to avoid falling to 0-3. The same can be said for the Panthers though, another team which can ill afford another loss.
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Added motivation for the Panthers stems from the fact that the Giants hammered them here last season.
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The Giants have some issues on their offensive line. Coughlin acknowledged as much: ""We're certainly not knocking them back off the ball."
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While they're having real trouble running the ball, the Giants have also given up more passing yards (390.5 per game) and more points (38.5 per game) than any other team. Part of that can be attributed to the fact that they had to face Peyton Manning last week - but it also stems from the fact that they've been unable to consistently get pressure on opposing QBs.
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Meanwhile, Eli has been intercepted seven times.
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I think the Giants' problems may prove to be a little bigger than most believe. I also think that the Panthers are likely a little better than a lot of people probably realize. That said, with the pointspread essentially a non-factor, the home team looks worthy of consideration.

Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Green Bay vs. CincinnatiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Green BayFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Both teams here rebounded nicely from Week 1 defeats with double digit victories in Week 2. But the Packers win was far more convincing than the Bengals and they have Aaron Rodgers. I think that will be the big difference Sunday for Green Bay, who we are still able to get laying less than a field goal at some shops.......
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I don't think most people realize that overall Cincinnati is probably a better team than Green Bay, at least when you break the two teams down position by position. The Bengals certainly have a stronger defense. On offense, they have WR AJ Green. But the one position the Packers have a major advantage at is the most important of all and that's quarterback. If you put Aaron Rodgers on Cincinnati, I think you'd have a 14-2 team that would rip through the AFC, yes even Peyton Manning and the Broncos. I think the discrepancy at QB w/ Rodgers over Andy Dalton is enough to carry the road team to a win and cover here.
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Rodgers was at his best last week vs Washington, throwing for 480 yards and four touchdowns, completing 32 of 48 passes. Green Bay led 38-7 entering the fourth quarter. Meanwhile, Cincinnati struggled to get by a bad Pittsburgh team at home, winning only 20-10. It is clear that Dalton is the weak link of the Bengals team. They probably should have won by more. The short week doesn't help Cincy here either. There was no shame in the Packers losing at San Francisco in Week 1. They are a little bit better at this point than the Bengals.

Sean HiggsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oakland Raiders vs. Denver Broncos
Play: Oakland Raiders +15½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Yes, you read that right. We are backing the Raiders here. Now, I usually try to break up my article in why I like 1 team and not the other. But for this match-up, we are going to have a pot-luck of information bouncing off one another.
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So we are taking Oak-Town here. Believe it or not, the Raiders are actually 7-1 ATS last 8 trips to Denver. The road team has covered 8 of the last 10 in the series. So we have the mighty Broncos, right now probably everyone’s, along with Seattle, the teams to be in the Super Bowl.
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Denver off a cross-country beat down of the New York Giants and Manning’s younger brother Eli. That win on the heels of Peyton’s 7 touchdown opening night. No bones about it, this Broncos team can score in bunches. I will just put it out there that I was on both the Ravens and the Giants. I will doggy-up again here with Oakland.
So the Raiders trot out Terrell Pryor at QB. The kid was respectable on the road in Indy and at home vs the Jaguars. I get that both of those teams aren’t in Denver’s league. I can hear the Broncos backers right now. The defense picked off 2 Super Bowl MVP Quarterbacks Flacco and Manning 6 times! What are they going to against this kid!
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Denver is averaging 45ppg so far this year. And yes, they should be able to dominate the Raiders here. But I like to think outside the box. And I will grab a big double digit division dog nearly every step of the way. I said in my early analysis of Denver and I will say it again. I think the defense is a bit weaker than last year. Teams can score on them. They can’t count on 3 turnovers a game and punt returns for TDs every week.
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Two plus touch-downs is a nice chunk of points to start with. I will grab the OAKLAND RAIDERS and the +15.5 as of this writing.

Bill Biles

Lions/Redskins Over 49

The Redskins have not been able to stop anyone on offense, and have scored tons of points in garbage time. I expect both teams to put up the points in this one and the over to hit

Jamie TursiniFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Diego Chargers vs. Tennessee TitansSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Tennessee Titans -3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This is a great spot to go against the Chargers. They are in perfect position for a letdown. Off of Monday night's collapse in Week 1. Then travel back east on a short week and beat the Eagles (as 7 point dogs). Classic "letdown" spot without question going on the road again. They will have little to no emotion for this one. Lay the points.

Stephen NoverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Lions / Redskins Under 49FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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If Robert Griffin III and Reggie Bush were both healthy, I wouldn't consider going under the total. But they aren't.
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Griffin is working his way back into shape after missing the entire offseason and preseason following knee surgery. He has yet to display the running skills he had before the injury. Bush isn't likely to play greatly reducing the Lions' offense. If he does play, he won't be at 100 percent.
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Both Griffin and the Lions offense are impacted by this game being played on grass. Griffin's lifetime quarterback percentage is down 20 points when playing on grass as opposed to artificial turf. The Lions are a carpet team. They were held to 21 at Arizona last week. The Lions are averaging just 17 points during their past three grass contests.
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Neither team has good field goal kickers either. The Redskins are going with backup John Potter, who missed his only field goal try in the NFL last week. Lions kicker David Akers was horrible with San Francisco last year and he's been bad, too, with the Lions. He just may be washed up.
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The Redskins' defense is better than perceived. The Redskins faced the Eagles in Week 1 and were caught flatfooted as other teams will be when they take on Philadelphia's fast break offense. Than the Redskins had to play the Packers in Green Bay last week. The Packers may have the best offense in football.
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Washington's defense is healthier than what it was last year. The Lions are not intimidating away from home, especially when playing on grass and not having a healthy Bush.

River City SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New York Giants at Carolina PanthersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: New York Giants +1FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Something has to give when the Giants travel south to take on the Carolina Panthers. Both teams have started the season 0-2, getting there in different ways. The Giants have been torched defensively in two losses to the Cowboys and Broncos, while the Panthers suffered a brutal defeat last week on the last play of the game to the Bills. Eli Manning has struggled to start the season, throwing 5 TD’s and 7 INT’s. Part of those problems come from a lack of any type of running game, forcing the Giants to be completely one-dimensional. We think the signing of Brandon Jacobs will help the Giants a little more this week and open up some more opportunities in the passing game. This game basically comes down to the fact that we will take Manning everyday over Cam Newton, and Coughlin everyday over Ron Rivera. Backs to the wall, the Giants get it done on the road.

Strike Point SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St. Louis (+4) over DallasFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St. Louis is a great dog play, and this is the second straight week that they are getting points. I loved Atlanta last week due to the fact that they were coming home off a difficult loss the weekend before. If it wasn't for that fact I would have been all over the Rams. St. Louis is an extremely difficult matchup for the Cowboys as their defensive front can get all over Tony Romo, causing him to rush throws and turn the ball over. Offensively they will also be able to match the Cowboys point for point with their new, open offensive attack. The Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a S.U. Loss. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are a measly 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games and 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 against the NFC.

SPORTS WAGERSFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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SURVIVOR PICK Week 3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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SAN FRANCISCO over IndianapolisFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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There are many games to choose from this week that includes Seattle over whatever that other team is, New England over Tampa Bay, San Fran over Indianapolis, New Orleans over Arizona and Denver over Oakland. Many poolies may also step out a bit and take Minnesota to beat Cleveland because the Brownies are without Brandon Weeden and just traded Trent Richardson to the Colts in an in-season impact trade that rarely occurs. Of those games, Seattle is obviously not going to lose but it would be a shame to use up the Seahawks against the Jag-Wires. Of the rest of the games, we’re most comfortable with San Francisco because of that horrible display we saw from them last Sunday night
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The Battle of the West wasn't much of a fight when the 49ers went into Seattle and got buried. This was a 49er team that looked nothing like the team that defeated the Packers in Week 1. San Fran was a frustrated team that played completely out of character in the second half when they started taking dumb penalties, committing personal fouls and turning the ball over. However, San Fran’s defense was nothing less than brilliant in the first half when Seattle kept getting great field position and could not score. Count on a much different 49ers team on offense than the one that embarrassed their coach last week.
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Indianapolis has a good QB in Andrew Luck. After him, the talent on both sides of the ball is thin. The Colts have played two home games thus far and they’re very fortunate not to be 0-2 after a real scare in Week 1 by the Raiders. So while the Colts have played Oakland and Miami, the 49ers are much more battle tested having already battled Green Bay and Seattle. Had San Fran played a great game and lost last week or even won outright, we would not be playing them here. However, that heartless effort assures us we’ll get a full effort this week and that’s going to be more than enough to defeat this average guest.