Thanks foe posting these
Hope you get Prediction Machine
Bob Balfe
Saints -8.5 over Chiefs
Kansas City looked awful against Buffalo. I do not think the Bills Defense is good at all and they made KC look like a 1-AA College team last week. Kansas City has a brutal defense and the Saints should run away with this game at home. Both teams have not registered a win on the year and its crucial for the Saints to dominate today. This should be a blowout. Take the Saints.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9
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Dallas will certainly be motivated following last week's awful performance in Seattle, but Tampa Bay will be lacking no motivation as well after blowing a 27-13 lead against the New York Giants last Sunday. While the knee-jerk reaction might be to jump on the Cowboys at home in this bounce back spot, keep in mind that they are only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss of more than 14 points. You should also keep in mind that Dallas is a pathetic 4-16 ATS as a favorite since the start of the 2010 season. Take the points.
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Miami +101 over N.Y. METS
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The Mets took the first two games of this series with their best two starters going in R.A. Dickey and Jonathon Niese. Their fortunes are unlikely to continue with Chris Young starting.
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Young needs run support. In 133 innings, he has just 69 K’s and an xERA of 5.25. The most disturbing fact about his profile is his groundball/fly-ball split, which now stands at an alarming 22%/59%. He’s an extreme fly-ball pitcher and at this level, that’s a disaster waiting to happen. Also note that the Mets’ are second last in the majors in runs scored in the second half.FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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In three September starts against three tough clubs, Cincinnat, Washington and Milwaukee, Ricky Nolasco has struck out 14 and walked one. His ERA over that span is 1.71 and his xERA is 2.31. The sample size is tiny but his mini-turnaround has been impressive nonetheless and it comes with full skills support. Better pitcher taking back a tag against one of the worst pitching profiles in the majors gets the call.
Tony GeorgeFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Patriots +2FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I like the Pats in a bounceback role. It is rare the Pats lose as of late the past few seasons but when they do you better not be on their schedule. They will score points here too. Baltimore, for all the talk about their defense and Ray Lewis, are allowing over 400 yards a game and ranked 27th overall. Brady and the boys will be ready for this one on national TV. The Pats are 10-4 ATS after a ATS loss their last 14 times. Not counting playoffs the Pats are 6-0 ATS all time against the Ravens. High scoring game in my opinion, I expect that Bellichek will do his usual thing and win a big game after a loss. Gladly take the points here and looking at the Over here might be worth a look too guys
Andrew LangeFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Jets at Dolphins
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For seven of eight quarters, the Miami Dolphins have played some pretty good defense. In fact, outside of allowing 24 2nd quarter points in Week 1 to Houston, the Dolphins have been, dare I say it, outstanding. They have another opportunity for success today against the New York Jets. That "outburst" we saw in Week 1 against Buffalo is not something we can count on with the New York Jets so long as Mark Sanchez is under center. We saw the Jets struggle mightily to move the football against the Steelers and while Miami may not be on that level, I really believe this is an above average NFL stop unit. As for Miami, they too had an "outlier" performance last week against Oakland. The game was 10-7 at half and the Dolphins got some help from the South Beach heat and humidity and eventually wore down an Oakland defense that was suspect to begin with. The fear in playing the under in this spot is obviously the likelihood of mistakes by two of the least trustable quarterbacks in the league in Sanchez and Ryan Tannehill. That being said, if we can avoid multiple defensive/special teams’ scores, there is a good chance we get this game under the total.
DAVID BANKS
Patriots / Ravens Over 49.5
Two great teams should both be in ornery moods coming off of losses when the New England Patriots (1-1, 1-1 ATS) visit the Baltimore Ravens (1-1, 2-0 ATS) in this week's Sunday Night Football contest from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD at 8:20 ET on NBC. The Patriots should be in the foulest mood after getting shocked at home by the Arizona Cardinals 20-18 as 13-point favorites. The Ravens covered the spread in a narrow 24-23 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles on the road, but the proud Baltimore defense was awful in the defeat.
New England struggled with offensive line play during preseason and it was believed that would hold them back early on with Tom Brady taking some unnecessary hits, but the line held up well in a 34-13 rout of the Tennessee Titans in the road opening week with Brady sacked only once. However, that may have had more to do with a bad Tennessee defensive line, as the Cardinals put great pressure on Brady last week, sacking him four times for 19 yards worth of losses and forcing numerous hurried passes. Given all that, Brady still completed 28-of-46 passes for 316 yards with one touchdown and one interception, and the Patriots even got 71 rushing yards on 18 carries from Stevan Ridley. In fact, New England outgained Arizona by 142 total yards in the contest and it would have won the game if one of the best kickers in the NFL in Stephen Gostkowski did not miss what for him is a relatively chippie 42-yard field goal in the final seconds, especially after he connected on a 51-yarder earlier on. The Patriots very rarely lose back-to-back games and the manner in which they lost to a team with far less talent no doubt had Coach Bill Belichick in the players' ears in practice all week.
Baltimore has had one of the premier defenses in the NFL for over a decade now with relatively little to show for it since winning the Super Bowl way back in 2000, so the Ravens decided to change their philosophy this year and go to a no huddle offense in an attempt to score more points, and they looked like legitimate Super Bowl contenders with this approach in Week 1 by demolishing Cincinnati 44-13 here at home. They were not as successful on offense last week with Joe Flacco completing only 22 of his 42 passes for 232 yards, and the Ravens committed their first two turnovers of the year including a Flacco interception. Still, Baltimore did get 154 all-purpose yards from Ray Rice and they did score enough points to win. Unfortunately, the defense allowed an unbelievable 486 total yards including 371 passing yards by Michael Vick. So will Brady tear the Baltimore secondary to pieces here as he has done so many times to so many teams, or did the Ravens just have a bad day, meaning the defense will come out breathing fire this week?
Well, based on Brady's track record coming off of a loss, the favored Ravens could be in trouble. As a starter, Brady is now 24-12 ATS when coming off of a loss including 5-0 both ATS and straight up as an underdog in that situation. In fact, Brady is also 15-7 ATS as an underdog in all situations. Finally, the 'over' is 8-1 the last nine times that Baltimore was coming off of a loss.
Scott Delaney
Looking to jump start this 11-2 free-pick run, I am taking the Denver Broncos catching points at home against the Houston Texans today. I know the Texans are the AFC South favorite, I know they're talking Super Bowl in H-Town and I'm fully aware just how prolific that offense is, but let's be real here, the Texans stroll into the Mile High city after beating the Miami Dolphins and Jacksonville Jaguars.
Two teams out of the Sunshine State who are doomed four a cloudy season. I'm not yet convinced the Texans are fully prepared for the regular season, since they haven't been tested yet. Not like the Broncos, who opened the season with a win over the Pittsburgh Steelers and then lost last Monday night in Atlanta, to the Falcons. Both of those teams are supposed to be in the playoffs, and have been labeled as division favorites by some.
And then we factor in Peyton Manning.
Anyone else wonder how this guy is going to respond after that dismal performance last week against the Falcons. I have to believe he's going to be out to prove a point against a defense he's well familiarized with, and knows what to expect. And allow me to remind you, while the Texans' have gotten spicier on offense with their balanced attack, defensive end Mario Williams is now circling the wagons in Buffalo.
I realize Champ Bailey has his hands full with Andre Johnson today, and it's 100 percent likely the league's best receiver (save your Megatron chatter for Motown) will be hooking up with quarterback Matt Schaub often. But this won't be as easy as it seems, now that it appears the Texans are the better team.
I'm counting on two people in this game: Manning, and Denver defensive end Elvis Dumervil, whose game has always been about quickness off the line, maintaining leverage versus his counterpart and making agile moves to get the quarterback.
Take the home dog here.
2♦ DENVER
Chuck O'Brien
My free pick for Sunday is going to be with the new bully of the NFL, that being the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I don't think they're going to beat the Dallas Cowboys, but I think this is going to be an awfully interesting football game, after what I saw last week. And I don't mean in Seattle.
I'm talking about the Buccaneers pushing around New York before the Giant, Eli Manning, was awakened. It was really inevitable, knowing the Giants were going to make a run. But I was impressed with Josh Freeman's presence and maturity in that game. And I think with all the victory formation crap that's gone on all week, I think the Buccaneers have to come out playing with a chip on their shoulders.
Tampa Bay now has a reputation to live up to, and if there is one guy who won't let them letdown, it's coach Greg Schiano. I was a fan of him at Rutgers, and I'm a fan of his here.
Seriously, the city of Tampa Bay ought to thank Yahoo Sports for an article laced with unnamed sources claiming Schiano has long been a bully, even in role at Rutgers, and is a control freak. It's spreading like wild fire, and the Bucs should relish the role, like they're the Raiders with the late Al Davis.
Honestly, after least week, will you ever picture those Creamsicle uniforms again? No, you're thinking Pewter Power and a team that will play to the final whistle. Well give me the +8 points and let's go to the final gun together.
2♦ TAMPA BAY
Craig Davis
Free play winner on New Mexico yesterday, now 76-61 with my comp plays.
For Sunday, take Oakland plus the points at home against Pittsburgh.
Remember, I like those teams that host a team from the other coast.
Sometimes it works out, sometimes it doesn't, but I'm counting on today's game to go much like I want. Lots of mistakes, lots of tension, neither team wanting to surrender the lead... and for Oakland, avoiding an 0-3 start.
With the Steelers running game struggling, QB Ben Roethlisberger's is going to have to keep playing well above his means if the Steelers want to remain in the race with Baltimore in the AFC North.
Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown have obviously helped Big Ben to this start by catching nearly everything that hits their body, but Oakland does have a decenct secondary, and with a chip on their shoulder, they might just figure out how to frustate Ben into a few silly picks.
Let's also not forget SS Troy Polamalu (calf) and LB James Harrison (knee) are out again today (as are a few others), and having to travel cross country, I can't see the Steelers being as motivated to win this game as they will be against other opponents in other venues.
The Steelers probably aren't as good this year as they've been in year's past, but they are still dangerous. I think the Raiders know that and will play as focused as you've seen them play all year.
Carson Palmer won't have to worry about Polamalu getting in his face or Harrison blind-siding him, so he might actually be able to relax, set his feet, and make some good throws.
I'm not sold on Dennis Allen as a head coach yet, but I do like Darren McFadden and this running game to control the tempo today.
Free play of the day on the Oakland Raiders plus the points over Pittsburgh.
3♦ OAKLAND
Jeff Benton
Your Sunday freebie is the Arizona Cardinals.
After being much maligned in the preseason, the Redbirds have come out and picked up outright underdog victories the first two weeks of the season, upending Seattle in Glendale and going on the road last week and toppling the mighty Patriots in Foxborough.
Now Arizona is back home, and former Eagle backup Kevin Kolb will get a shot at shoving it up Andy Reid's rear end as the home dog, a role Arizona has relished going 10-5 against the spread since the 2008 season.
Philadelphia is 2-0 straight up with both wins coming by a scant point. QB Michael Vick has already been intercepted six times this year, and was intercepted twice in last season's meeting versus Arizona, a game the Cardinals actually won 21-17 as the near two touchdown underdog.
There was a lot of preseason hype about Philly being one of the teams to watch for this season, and despite a 2-0 mark, I am not a believer.
Take Arizona as the home pooch.
3♦ ARIZONA
Chris Jordan
My free winner for Sunday is going to be one of the late games, as I like the Pittsburgh Steelers to get it done over the Oakland Raiders with ease, at the Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum. It's really no surprise this line has climbed to -4 points in favor of the "Black and Yellow," cause as rapper Wiz Khalifa would say in his rap hit : "Hit the pedal once make the floor shake..."
I expect the early AFC North co-leading Steelers (1-1) to hit the ground running, put the pedal to the metal and never look back against the 0-2 Raiders, who have tallied the second-worst total when it comes to points, putting just 27 up after the first two weeks.
Pittsburgh, on the other hand, rebounded from a season-opening loss to the Denver Broncos, by knocking off the New York Jets last week in Steeltown.
I have to admit, I was impressed by Steelers' quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, who threw for 275 yards and a couple of touchdowns, one each to wide receiver Mike Wallace and tight end Heath Miller. On the other side of the ball, the staunch Steel Curtain limited the Jets to a mere 219 yards on offense while stopping them eight of 12 times on third downs.
And even though this one is in Oaktown, I have to wonder what that same defense is going to do a hapless Raiders offense that ranks near the middle of the league with its per game average of 358.5 yards per game, but can't seem to find the end zone.
Averaging just 13.5 points per game, the Raiders have made it into the end zone twice this season, while the Steelers have been there five times and certainly have much better balance, from what we've seen thus far.
I'm not necessarily a fan of Pittsburgh offensive coordinator Todd Haley, and I know the Steelers have struggled to get its rushing game going at times, but despite a healthy Darren McFadden coming out of the backfield for Oakland, the Raiders have the league's second worst rushing attack. And if they can't control the clock with a steady rushing game, this is going to be a long day of dealing with Pittsburgh's bruising defenders.
And before you tell me about the Raiders' prolific passing game that has thrown for 324.5 yards, I'm still not budging when I look at 14 points against San Diego and 13 against Miami. Today that air attack will face the seventh-best defense in the league, and fifth-best passing D in the NFL.
Nope, not buying into the age-old rivalry. It won't matter.
"Yeah! Uh huh, you know what it is: Black and Yellow! Black and Yellow! Black and Yellow! Black and Yellow!"
5♦ PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Matt Rivers
Went 2-0 on Saturday with my free plays - winners on UTEP plus the points, and Florida minus the points - now 21-11 overall with my comp selections and I like San Francisco to leave Minnesota with the road win and cover.
Two Sunday's into the season, and while I am seeing improved quarterback play from second-year starter Christian Ponder, it is not improved enough for me to entertain this home underdog.
San Francisco looks to be picking up right where they left off last season, as the Niners have won and covered both this year, and let's not forget that they opened the season last year on a 9-0-1 tear their first ten games played.
Minnesota is just 2-5 against the spread their last seven as the home underdog, and Leslie Frazier's team has failed their last four overall in their antiquated dome.
No choice today but to lay it with the elite 49ers.
4♦ SAN FRANCISCO
Michael Alexander
Kansas City Chiefs vs. New Orleans Saints
Play: New Orleans Saints
Both teams come into this one having allowed an identical 40 and 35 points while the New Orleans rushing defense yielding 186 yards per game.
Kansas City has a 6-0 TO deficit this year with QB Cassel throwing 4 interceptions
New Orleans is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 home games while Kansas City has just 11.3 points per game in last 11 contests.
Jeff Alexander
Kansas City Chiefs +9
The Saints haven't done anything this season to deserve this kind of respect from odds makers. Their defense has been horrible. It currently ranks dead last in the NFL in both total and scoring defense. It also ranks dead last against the run, which doesn't bode well considering how effectively Kansas City can run the football. The Saints may be back at home this week, but they are on a 0-6 ATS slide in their last 6 home games after allowing 7.0 yards or more per play in their previous game. They have lost by an average of 6.0 points in this situation. KC is coming off an 18-point defeat in Buffalo, but it is on a 22-8 ATS run in road games after a loss by 10 or more points. It has only lost by an average of 1.5 points in these spots. Also, plays against home favorites off a road loss that are up against an opponent that checks in off a road blowout loss of 14 points or more are 15-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.