SPORTS WAGERS
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JACKSONVILLE +3 +1.10 over Indianapolis
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The Colts insist they’re going to treat this one like it was as meaningful as the rest but if you believe that football is 80% mental than you’ll have to ignore that. Perhaps they were told to treat it like the rest but the fact is, the game means absolutely jack for the Colts. They secured home-field throughout the playoffs with last week’s win and in their minds, whether they admit it or not, they have to be thinking about staying healthy and in their minds, they know the game does not mean a thing. The intensity level of a team that is playing in a game that has playoff implications is extremely high and that’s the case with the Jags. They’re now 7-6 and they’re right in the thick of things, thus, this game will go along way in deciding its fate. So, yeah, statistically, the Colts should eat up the Jags and spit them out but I couldn’t give a rat’s ass about stats. Find me the team that is mentally ready and that’s where I want to put my money. Throw in the fact the Colts are traveling on a short week, with very little preparation time and that makes them even more vulnerable, both mentally and physically. Jags outright but since there’s a take-back on the +3, I’ll take the points. Play: Jacksonville +3
LT Profits
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Los Angeles Kings vs Calgary Flames
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The Los Angeles Kings are a surprising 22-11-3 this season including 12-7-1 on the road, and they now have a chance to exorcise some demons when the visit the Calgary Flames in a building where they have not had any success.
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Yes, the Flames ate 11-1-1 in the last 13 head-to-head meetings at the Saddledome, but then again, the talent level between these two teams has never been this close either. Also, not only have the Kings played well on the road, but the Flames have not been as dominant at home as usual, sitting at 8-5-1.
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The Kings currently sit atop the Western Conference with 47 points, two points ahead of the Chicago Blackhawks, and they enter this contest on a nice 8-1-1 run. Also, they did beat the Flames 2-1 the last time these teams met back in LA earlier this month, as Jonathan Quick stopped 26 of 27 shots. Quick has been a major reason for the Kings success, as he has already won 20 games thanks to a 2.60 GAA and .904 save percentage with three shutouts.
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While the Kings have remained hot, the Flames are struggling, going 1-4 in their last five games including three straight losses. The biggest problem has been a lack of production from leader Jarome Iginla, who is currently on a season high seven-game scoring drought and who has just two goals in the last 12 games.
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As Iginla goes so go the Flames, and the Kings are simply the better hockey team at the current time, giving then sick value at this reputation-based price.
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Pick: Los Angeles Kings +150
EZWINNERS
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Orlando @ Miami Heat
Play: Orlando Magic -4
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This is a revenge game for Orlando as the Heat beat the Magic 99-98 in their first meeting this season in Orlando, snapping the Magic's five-game winning streak in the series. I expect the Magic to get back to their winning ways against a Heat team that has only won three out of their last nine games. The Magic are 5-2 against the spread in the last seven trips to Miami. Dwight Howard should dominate the small Miami frontline. Lay the points.
Ben Burns
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Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames
Prediction: Calgary Flames
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The Flames didn't qualify as one of my premium selections tonight. That was only due to their high price tag though. For those willing to lay a 'little extra juice,' I believe that they've got a very high percentage chance of earning the "W."
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Off three straight losses, the Flames should be extremely motivated. Note that they're 9-5 the past few seasons, after three or more consecutive losses. The only time that they were in that situation this season, they responded with a 5-3 victory over the Canucks.
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The Kings, who are dealing with some injury issues, are playing the third leg of a 4-game road trip. They already won at Edmonton and its never easy to complete the "Alberta Sweep." Not for LA, at least.
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Looking at the series history and we find that the Flames are a perfect 7-0 the last seven times that they hosted the Kings. They should be able to consider that home ice series dominance this evening. Consider laying the wood.
TEDDY COVERS
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Phoenix Suns @ Portland Trail Blazers
PICK: Phoenix Suns +2
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The Blazers are fairly adept at beating the weaker teams in the NBA. Despite suffering through a myriad of injuries since the beginning of training camp – Nicolas Batum, Travis Outlaw, Greg Oden and Rudy Fernandez will all be in street clothes again tonight – Portland is still good enough to knock off weaklings. In fact, the Blazers 15 wins so far this season have largely come against weaklings: Sacramento, Indiana, New Jersey, Chicago, Minnesota (three times), Detroit, Charlotte, New Orleans, Memphis. Their quality wins? Houston twice, Oklahoma City once and San Antonio when the Spurs were injury riddled and reeling. Portland is not a team that is beating quality foes very often these days.
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The Suns have struggled in recent road tilts, losing five straight on the highway. But look at who they’ve played! At Denver, Dallas, the LA Lakers and Cleveland in their last four road tilts; all teams that are significantly better than the squad they’ll face tonight. Suns forward Grant Hill: “We’ve been playing well at home and after this Portland game we’ll be home for a while and it would be nice to get a good road win against a good team. We’ve got a good opportunity (Thursday) night.” Expect the Suns to take advantage of that opportunity with the straight up victory here. 2* Take Phoenix.
Tony George
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PHO +2 vs POR
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As a dog I like them on TNT tonight. The Suns are one of the worst Thursday Night TNT bets around at 5-18 ATS their last 23 TNT games, but 90% of the time they are playing at home laying a big number against the Lakers or Spurs or Nuggets it seems, but Portland has been struggling on offense and I do not think on offense they can keep pace with the Suns. Portland is 2-7-1 ATS their last 10 games, and while their defense is better, their lack of offense in this one is a nuetralizer, and the front court of Phoenix is better and will cotest the rim more tonight. Portland has only covered 4 out of their last 14 TNT appearances.
WUNDERDOG
Game: Phoenix at Columbus
Pick: UNDER 5.5
The Phoenix Coyotes have been getting a great job from behind the net of late, and have limited opponents to just 19 goals, under two per contest over their last 10. The Blue Jackets have produced just 19 goals in their last eight games and an even worse five in their last three. The Coyotes are playing way under the total vs. an opponent who scored two or less in their last outing as they have turned in a 19-6-1 mark to the UNDER in that situation. They have also played UNDER to the tune of a 37-16-2 mark overall in their last 55 games. The Blue Jackets are on the short side of the total when posted as a home favorite, turning in a 15-7 mark in their last 22 to the UNDER. These teams make the script complete as they have played UNDER in the last four meetings. The UNDER gets the nod in this one.
Bob Balfe
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Jaguars +3 over Colts
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The Jaguars are down to their final lifeline. They will need to win out the have a shot at the playoffs. Their first test is the best NFL team in the league and the team with the best winning streak in NFL history. Taking the Jaguars seems not logical and one would ask why go against that streak? To me a game is a game and what happened yesterday or last year means nothing. It is hard to win an NFL Game. Just ask the Detroit Lions. Indianapolis coach Jim Caldwell said only healthy players would play. With that comment I do not think you will see Mathis or Freeney on defense tonight or if you do it will be a limited role. Clearly the Colts would love to finish 16-0, but all they really care about is a Super Bowl Ring. I like the Jags in this spot even if the Colts were healthy. The Jaguars have a huge defense that should slow down the Colts already bad running game. On offense the Jags are equally as big and will be going against a banged up defense. Jacksonville has played Indy well over the past few games and the Colts have not been super on the road. I have seen their flaws and great comebacks due to the great play of Payton Manning, but I have also seen the bad closing of teams they played and of course they got by with a little bit of luck. The Jaguars will be playing in front of a sellout crowd tonight. Look for the Colts streak to end or late magic by Manning will have them win at the end of the game. Could this possibly be a Colts win and Jags cover? The public is all over the Colts tonight. Take Jacksonville.
Roz Juarbe
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Magic at Heat
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Miami’s offense is clicking, riding a 6-1 run over the total. Orlando comes to town, a team a bit tired in the second of a back to back spot, after scoring 118 points against Toronto last night. That game sailed over the total, putting Orlando at 5-3 over the last 8 games. Orlando is 9th in the league in scoring and prefers and uptempo style. Look for Dwyane Wade and company to run at the tired visitors in another shootout, just like when they met on November 25th (over the total). Play the Magic/Heat Over the total.
VEGAS EXPERTS
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Orlando Magic at Miami Heat
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Normally we might want to shy away from a Magic team that is playing its lone road date in an eight-game stretch, but this is a revenge spot for the defending Eastern Conference champion, who is 53-27 ATS when playing with revenge, including 23-9 vs. the number if that loss came at home. That victory was just the Heat's second in nine games vs. Orlando. Miami is 11-24 ATS playing at home if they were favored last game.
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Play on: Orlando
JACK JONES
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Portland Blazers -1.5 over Phoenix Suns
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Phoenix is 8-8 on the season when playing as a visitor, but what's more telling is that they average only 104.4 ppg in that role to giving up 106.6. Portland on the other hand is 9-4 on their home floor while outscoring opponents by 7 ppg.The Suns are a good outside shooting team, hitting 43.3% of their 3-pointers, but that number drops to 40.2% on the road. Portland defense the three as good as anyone, allowing just 31% from behind the arc at home. That's a big reason this team is 14-4 ATS at home against teams who shoot make more than 36% of their outside shots the last two years.The Blazers dominated their two home games last year, winning 129-109 and 124-119.
John Ryan
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Los Angeles Kings vs. Calgary Flames
Play: Calgary Flames
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Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Calgary as they host the LA Kings set to start at Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 26-10 making 16.6 units in profits since 1996. Play against road teams against the money line that is an extremely tired team playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and is a good team sporting a 60% to 70% winning record and playing a marginal winning team winning between 51% to 60% of their games. Fatigue will be a problem for the Kings tonight. Note that they are 12-43 against the money line (-27.9 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days since 1996. Take Calgary.
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Ryan has a solid 10* Titan opportunity for you to confidently unload on. This confidence comes from Ryan's 67% ATS streak with 10* side selections + his extensive research featuring 4 tremendous proven systems w/1 of them hitting 83% winners for a 24-5 ATS mark spanning 27 seasons.
Freddy Wills
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New York Knicks vs. Chicago Bulls
Play: Knicks +130
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Taking the Knicks here money line here today as the Bulls are just 2-11-3 ATS in their last 16 as a home favorite and 1-9-2 in their last 12 on 1 day rest. The Knicks meanwhile are 4-0 in their last 4 in Chicago and 30-14-1 ATS in their last 45 road games overall. The Bulls have really struggled to score as of late and while many may think a visit from the Knicks is a sure cure I am telling you it may not. In the Last 5 games the Knicks defense is giving up 10.7 fewer points per game including -2.6FG% and -10.63% from beyond the arch while the Bulls continue to struggle both offensively and defensively. The Knicks have continued to beat and play right with the quality teams in the conference and they would have had a nice road win @ Charlotte if it was not for a 4th quarter collapse that saw them get outscored by 15. Along with the defensive improvements the Knicks have improved offensively over the last 5 games and that's against three of the top 11 defenses in Charlotte, Portland and Atlanta. They are +4.2 FG% and +8.4 3PT % as well as +1.4 rebound margin which they are at -5.1 for the season. It should be a great battle highlighted between two centers who used to be team mates at Florida. Noah vs. Lee will be the highlight of the night and while Noah is putting up unreal numbers in rebounds Lee has the ability to score while Noah does not.
SPORTS WAGERS
Dallas +1.12 over ATLANTA
This one is based solely on the fact that the Thrashers are running strictly on fumes. Not only did they exert a ton of energy last night by coming back from a 3-0 deficit only to lose it in the last minute but this will mark its seventh game in 10 days. Furthermore, they’ll play its third game in four days and its also their sixth road game in its last seven and that includes the dreaded trip to the Canadian West Coast for two games in Vancouver and Calgary. It’s the eighth consecutive game for the Thrashers in which they’ve had to travel. They looked completely gassed in that game on Saturday in New York and they’ve played twice since then. The Stars played last night also but they were off since Saturday prior to last night and after an awful first period they got their legs under them and made a game of it. The Stars should be so much more energized and ready to go than the Thrashers. Play: Dallas +1.12 (Risking 2 units).
NY Rangers -½ +1.50 over NY ISLANDERS
I suppose I could play the Rangers laying a dime but I’ll take my chances laying a half puck and taking back 50 cents. Henrik Lundqvist will start again and it appears as though it’ll be Biron for the Islanders. Advantage Rangers. The Blue Shirts are in a serious goal-scoring drought but a little dose of hard work and Marty Biron could cure that instantly. Besides, the Rangers lost at home last night to these Islanders are you know for sure they’ll come out and play hard. The Rangers need to end this funk and they need to end it now. The Islanders can be tough but they can also break down defensively in a big way. In fact, in three of its last seven games the Islanders have allowed goal totals of 6, 6 and seven and you can also throw in a 4 in Tampa Bay. Rangers have a great shot of breaking out tonight and it says here they do exactly that. Play: NY Rangers -½ +1.50 (Risking 2 units).
CALGARY -½ -1.01 over Los Angeles
The Flames have to be feeling hungry for this one. They’ll return home from a brief two-game road swing in which they lost them both. They’ve now dropped two in a row and four of its last five and this team is too good to keep losing, especially at home against a banged up Kings squad. The Saddledome has been a house of horrors for the Kings, as they have just one win here in its last 12 visits. L.A. now sits in top spot in the West and there is no sense of urgency whatsoever. This is the Kings third game of the Western Canada three-game trip and one has to figure the Flames to be as hungry as they’ve been all year. Play: Calgary -½ -1.01 (Risking 2.02 units to win 2).
New York +1.25 over CHICAGO
The Knicks are most certainly not getting the respect they deserve. This team is looking about 100 times better than they did when the season began and only a meltdown with about two minutes to go in the fourth prevented them from beating the Bobcats on Tuesday. The Knicks simply could not hit any crucial baskets at the end but they had a ton of open looks. It happens. Now they’ll get a chance to redeem themselves against one of the most beatable teams in the league. The Bulls do not do much of anything well. They’ll go on long scoring droughts every game, the defense is getting worse every game and while they played a decent game against the Lakers, it means nothing, as the Lakers showed up in body only. Mike D’Antoni has the Knicks focused, believing and ready to play night in and night out. The Knicks 8-16 record is a result from a poor start but that’s a thing of the past. This is a different team right now and they’re superior and much more focused than this brutal host. Play: New York +1.25 (Risking 2 units).