Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, January 2

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Golden State at Miami
The Heat come home after a 4-game western road trip and face a Golden State team that is coming off a 94-81 win over Orlando and is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games following an ATS victory. Miami is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4).
Game 501-502: Orlando at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 115.925; Cleveland 116.783
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 1; 189
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 503-504: Golden State at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 121.216; Miami 129.176
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 4; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4); Over

Game 505-506: Boston at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.556; Chicago 119.815
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 5 1/2; 177
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 182 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-4); Under

Game 507-508: Brooklyn at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 112.276; Oklahoma City 131.155
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 19; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 12; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-12); Over

Game 509-510: New York at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 110.277; San Antonio 125.513
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 15; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 511-512: Milwaukee at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 111.076; Utah 113.336
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 2 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 5 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+5 1/2); Over

Game 513-514: Memphis at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 116.689; Phoenix 120.344
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 3 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 6; 197
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+6); Under

Game 515-516: Charlotte at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 113.901; Portland 127.315
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 13 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 11; 200
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-11); Over

Game 517-518: Philadelphia at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 110.297; Sacramento 115.633
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 5 1/2; 224
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 8; 218 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+8); Over

NHL

Los Angeles at St. Louis
The Blues host the Kings tonight coming off a 2-1 win at Minnesota and looking to build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 games after scoring 2 or fewer goals in the previous game. St. Louis is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Blues favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-140)

Game 1-2: Chicago at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.534; NY Islanders 10.539
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-180); 6
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-180); Under

Game 3-4: Nashville at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.663; Boston 11.378
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-210); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+175); Over

Game 5-6: Carolina at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 10.327; Washington 11.780
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); Under

Game 7-8: Winnipeg at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 11.433; Ottawa 10.301
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+120); Over

Game 9-10: Buffalo at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.472; Minnesota 10.213
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 3 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-190); 5
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+165); Under

Game 11-12: Los Angeles at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.189; St. Louis 12.576
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-140); Over

Game 13-14: Montreal at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.346; Dallas 11.452
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+105); Under

Game 15-16: Philadelphia at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.123; Colorado 12.608
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-135); Over

Game 17-18: Columbus at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.752; Phoenix 10.662
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+135); Over

Game 19-20: Edmonton at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 9.936; San Jose 12.143
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-260); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-260); Under

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Michigan at Minnesota
The Golden Gophers bring their 11-2 record into tonight's matchup against a Michigan team that is 0-6-1 ATS in its last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Minnesota is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Golden Gophers favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-2 1/2)

Game 519-520: Hofstra at Tulane (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 45.599; Tulane 52.597
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 7
Vegas Line: Tulane by 3
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (-3)

Game 521-522: Michigan at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 66.690; Minnesota 71.616
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 5
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-2 1/2)

Game 523-524: Wisconsin at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 73.093; Northwestern 60.184
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 13
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-10 1/2)

Game 525-526: Marshall at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 50.209; Akron 56.902
Dunkel Line: Akron by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Akron by 10
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+10)

Game 527-528: Oakland at Wright State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 52.995; Wright State 60.887
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 8
Vegas Line: Wright State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (-6)

Game 529-530: Rhode Island at Brown (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 53.674; Brown 55.128
Dunkel Line: Brown by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Brown by 4
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+4)

Game 531-532: Troy at Georgia State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 47.270; Georgia State 56.588
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+16 1/2)

Game 533-534: Pennsylvania at George Mason (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 50.780; George Mason 57.882
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 7
Vegas Line: George Mason by 9
Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (+9)

Game 535-536: Cleveland State at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 53.919; WI-Green Bay 62.438
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-6 1/2)

Game 537-538: Youngstown State at WI-Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 52.237; WI-Milwaukee 51.304
Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 1
Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+1 1/2)

Game 539-540: Illinois-Chicago at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 50.159; Valparaiso 65.452
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 11
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-11)

Game 541-542: Western Kentucky at South Alabama (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 55.929; South Alabama 56.344
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+3 1/2)

Game 543-544: Washington at Arizona State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 57.720; Arizona State 67.584
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 10
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 12
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+12)

Game 545-546: Oregon at Utah (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 70.082; Utah 70.826
Dunkel Line: Utah by 1
Vegas Line: Oregon by 4
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+4)

Game 547-548: Illinois State at Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 59.099; Missouri State 59.323
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (+5)

Game 549-550: Wichita State at Southern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 72.502; Southern Illinois 53.337
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 19
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 13
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-13)

Game 551-552: AR-Little Rock at Texas State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 47.474; Texas State 54.737
Dunkel Line: Texas State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (-3)

Game 553-554: Arkansas State at TX-Arlington (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 52.487; TX-Arlington 57.047
Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: TX-Arlington by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (-2 1/2)

Game 555-556: St. Mary's at Gonzaga (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's 62.759; Gonzaga 74.584
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 12
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-6 1/2)

Game 557-558: California at Stanford (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 63.136; Stanford 66.330
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 3
Vegas Line: Stanford by 7
Dunkel Pick: California (+7)

Game 559-560: Oregon State at Colorado (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 56.654; Colorado 72.151
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado by 13
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-13)

Game 561-562: Pepperdine at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 55.127; Santa Clara 57.366
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 2
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 5
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+5)

Game 563-564: Washington State at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 58.298; Arizona 75.494
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 17
Vegas Line: Arizona by 20
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+20)
Game 565-566: Pacific at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 56.953; Portland 63.071
Dunkel Line: Portland by 6
Vegas Line: Portland by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-3 1/2)

Game 567-568: Loyola-Marymount at San Francisco (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 53.276; San Francisco 59.869
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 3
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-3)

Game 569-570: IPFW at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 55.783; Bowling Green 56.302
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 1
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 4
Dunkel Pick: IPFW (+4)

Game 571-572: Fairfield at Marist (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 47.826; Marist 55.752
Dunkel Line: Marist by 8
Vegas Line: Marist by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marist (-1 1/2)

Game 573-574: Siena at Monmouth (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 51.956; Monmouth 49.472
Dunkel Line: Siena by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Siena

Game 575-576: Niagara at Rider (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nigara 50.070; Rider 55.065
Dunkel Line: Rider by 5
Vegas Line: Rider by 9
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (+9)

Game 577-578: Manhattan at St. Peter's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 55.867; St. Peter's 50.620
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 5
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+8)

Game 579-580: NC-Greensboro at Western Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 48.727; Western Carolina 54.133
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 9
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (+9)

Game 581-582: Appalachian State at Duquesne (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 42.234; Duquesne 55.695
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Duquesne by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (-11 1/2)

Game 583-584: Iona at Quinnipiac (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 52.937; Quinnipiac 57.362
Dunkel Line: Quinnipiac by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Quinnipiac by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Quinnipiac (-1 1/2)

Game 585-586: CS-Northridge at South Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 45.233; South Dakota 53.527
Dunkel Line: South Dakota by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: South Dakota by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (-4 1/2)

Game 587-588: Wofford at Samford (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 47.741; Samford 47.089
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 1
Vegas Line: Wofford by 4
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+4)

Game 589-590: Tennessee Tech at Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 44.946; Tennessee State 49.796
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 5
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (-2)

Game 591-592: Morehead State at SIU-Edwardsville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 53.239; SIU-Edwardsville 44.191
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 9
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (-7)

Game 593-594: Tennessee-Martin at Austin Peay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 42.370; Austin Peay 47.349
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 5
Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 8
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee-Martin (+8)

Game 595-596: Eastern Kentucky at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 52.990; Eastern Illinois 48.118
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 5
Vegas Line: Eastern Kentucky by 9
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+9)

Game 597-598: Jacksonville State at Belmont (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 44.872; Belmont 56.780
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 12
Vegas Line: Belmont by 15
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (+15)

Game 599-600: SE Missouri State at Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 51.817; Murray State 55.399
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Murray State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-1)

Game 601-602: Eastern Washington at Weber State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 48.881; Weber State 53.826
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 5
Vegas Line: Weber State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+8)

Game 603-604: Northern Arizona at Montana (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 45.756; Montana 55.634
Dunkel Line: Montana by 10
Vegas Line: Montana by 12
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+12)

Game 605-606: Sacramento State at Montana State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 41.550; Montana State 50.905
Dunkel Line: Montana State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (-8)

Game 607-608: Portland State at Idaho State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 46.722; Idaho State 51.215
Dunkel Line: Idaho State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Idaho State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (-3)

Game 609-610: Southern Utah at North Dakota (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 35.023; North Dakota 50.738
Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: North Dakota by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (+17 1/2)

Jim Feist

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns
Play: Memphis Grizzlies +5½

Memphis hasn't put it all together yet, but they have been playing great defense all season, 6th in the NBA in points allowed. Memphis is well rested for this one, not having played since Monday. They are on a 3-2 SU/ATS run, beating the Knicks as a road dog and crushing Denver, 120-99. The Grizzlies are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. the NBA Pacific division. Memphis has a physical frontcourt and takes on a finesse Phoenix club that is short on defense, 14th in the NBA in points allowed. And if you're looking for a team that is reliable at the free throw line for easy points, don't look at Phoenix: The Suns rank 21st at the charity stripe. Play the Memphis Grizzlies.

Art Aronson

Charlotte vs. Portland
Play: Under 200

I played on the Clippers last night and I fully expected the Bobcats to "lay an egg". Before its lacklustre 112-85 setback in LA, Charlotte had actually gone 11-1-2 ATS on the road. That awesome run is now fully over and suffice it to say, I believe the Bobcats will have "heavy legs" in tonight's game. Charlotte obviously can't get into a shootout with Portland and expect to win; look for the weary visitors to clog the lanes and to slow this contest down as much as possible (note that Charlotte has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last ten non-conference games; also in seven of its last 12 vs. good offensive teams which score 99 plus points per contest). The home side will look to take full advantage of its tired opponent; expect a smothering defensive scheme. Portland actually faces six straight sub-.500 opponents. Most recently the Blazers beat Oklahoma City 98-94 on Tuesday (note that despite the high-scoring games it's been involved in this year, that Portland has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven as a home favorite in the 9.5 to 12 points range). Consider a second look at the "under" in this one.

Red Dog Sports

Washington St vs. Arizona
Play: Washington St +20

Sheldon, Woolridge and Que Johnson are decent players for the road team (Washington State). Woolridge is from the Phoenix area and will want to step up and play well. Arizona is undefeated and playing at home vs. another Pac 12 team but after the New Year's break it may take awhile to get going. Arizona won by 17 and 14 points in the two meetings last year. The Wildcats should win by 15 to 18 but take WSU +20.

Jesse Schule

Buffalo Sabres vs. Minnesota Wild
Play: Minnesota Wild -175

Minnesota has lost six straight overall, and the Wild will try to break out of their slump at home tonight against the NHL's worst team. Buffalo is coming off a 3-0 shutout loss to Winnipeg on New Year's Eve.

The news goes from bad to worse for the Sabres, as they will be without their leading scorer Cody Hodgson, and winger Ville Leino. That certainly won't help an offense that ranks last in the NHL, averaging just 1.7 goals per game.

Buffalo will also miss it's offensive stars on the power-play, thank ranks just 29th in the NHL, converting on fewer than 13% of their chances.

Ryan Miller has been the lone bright spot for the Sabres, and his solid play has earned him a spot on the USA Olympic roster. With that announcement coming after yesterday's Winter Classic, Miller might be looking ahead to Sochi.

The Wild should lay it all on the line here, and up against a team that is already out of playoff contention, and without it's best players, you have to like their chances.

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Oregon St +13FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Buffalo's are off to a great 11-2 start, but this looks like an inflated line in my opinion. Colorado won two out of three competative meetings between these two teams last season, but the Beavers picked up their win here in Boulder. Oregon State's leading scorer Roberto Nelson averaged almost 19 points per game against Colorado last season and he is off to a great start this year. Nelson is leading the Pac 12 in scoring averaging over 21 points per game on the season and he gets to the free throw line a conference best 8.4 times per game. Nelson will need his usual output to match Colorado's Spencer Dinwiddie who scored over 20 points per game against the Beavers last season. The x factor for Oregon State is Devon Collier who also gets to the free throw line over seven times per game and junior forward Eric Moreland. ESPN reports in their game preview that Moreland is still serving a suspension, but my source tells me that the suspension has been lifted and Moreland will make his season debut in this game. Moreland had two double doubles against Colorado last season and with his return the Beavers can match up with anyone's front court. I look for this one to be closer than Vegas expects it to be, take the points.

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PEPPERDINE AT SANTA CLARAFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
PLAY: SANTA CLARA -5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Pepperdine hits the road in West Coast Conference action as the Waves pay a visit to Santa Clara. The play on this game is a direct result of what I watched last time the Waves played, and to borrow some racetrack terminology, I expect Pepperdine to bounce this evening.
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
The Waves are off a very nice win against BYU, and I’m not going to label that a fluke. The more I see BYU, the less I’m impressed. The Cougars are horrific on defense and they’re looking like a team that’s going to struggle. But the game between BYU and Pepperdine was a little nuts.
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
BYU hit the last three point field goal they attempted in that game, and it was the only trey they hit the entire night. For the entire game, Pepperdine outscored BYU 39-3 on threes, which is insane. The Waves can hit the bombs, but there still almost has to be a regression tonight, particularly as they go on the road.
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
Santa Clara is nothing out of the ordinary, but they’re likely at least as good as Pepperdine, and probably a little better. The Broncos gave Gonzaga a good game on the road last weekend and followed that with a nice win at Portland. The one worry is that the Broncos are not the most consistent team on the planet, but that won’t be enough to sway me here.
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
Santa Clara is likely to win the turnover battle tonight, and Pepperdine isn’t as likely as some others to exploit the lack of size on the Broncos. The Waves certainly have the shooters to do some damage, but they aren’t supposed to have a good night based on the theory I’m espousing here.
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
This game is a pass off the power ratings, as it’s lined right on the nose. But the situation says Santa Clara, and I’ll therefore go ahead and spot the points with the Broncos.

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Edmonton Oilers vs. San Jose SharksFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: San Jose Sharks -1½+121FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The NHL has hit it's midpoint of the season so we have a nice sample size as to what to expect the rest of the way. Looking at the raw numbers, San Jose is a net of 61 goals better than Edmonton (GF vs GA), so the raw line on neutral ice would be SJ minus 1.5. They are playing extremely hot, have focus, have home ice tonight and are plus 121 on the puckline. Good value on the Sharks, take San Jose minus 1.5.

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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Sacramento KingsFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Philadelphia 76ers +8FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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76ers coming off an impressive win in Denver last night take on the Kings tonight. The 76ers are back to a full unit and it showed. Both these teams can score so i have parlayed this small +8 sixers pick with the over 218. Just me Sixers +8 is the winner the gut likes the over even after a long night in Denver.

Brandon Shively

Charlotte vs. Portland
Play: Under 199

This is Charlotte's 3rd road game in 4 nights out on the West Coast and one where the Bobcats know they cannot run with Portland. Charlotte still struggles to score this year, especially on the road, and tonight things will not get any easier. Looking at the Charlotte offense, they are ranked 29th in the NBA scoring only 92 ppg. The most improved part of the Charlotte team this year though is their defense. They are ranked 3rd in the NBA in points allowed at 93 ppg. The UNDER is now 20-11-1 on the season in all Charlotte games and I like this game to go UNDER tonight also. For Portland, they are coming off a huge bounce back win vs. the Thunder after losing two straight games for the first time this season. I would like to note that the OVER is 9-1 the L10 Portland games overall. They were on a 9-0 OVER run before the 98-94 win vs. the Thunder (Under 214). The OVER is 24-8 overall on the season for Portland. It is hard to set totals when two teams match-up with such contrasting styles. The total for this game as been set too high for this game as Portland will not be in any rush to push the pace in this game.The UNDER is a perfect 6-0 In Charlotte games this year when the total is 195 points or more. The UNDER is also a perfect 5-0 their last 5 games vs. the Western Conference.

Michigan vs. Minnesota
Play: Minnesota -2

The Wolverines of Michigan come into this game knowing they are 2-10 ATS their last 12 games vs. the Big 10. They will be playing tonight without their big power forward, Mitch McGary. McGary is a big time player for Michigan and is importance is huge to Michigan. The upper classmen on the Minnesota team will be eager to get some revenge at home tonight as Michigan has won the last 3 matchups, including a 83-75 win last year playing @ Minnesota. For Michigan, Trey Burke and Tim Hardaway combined for 39 points going 7-for-11 from the 3 point line. These two players are gone and the Wolverines must now count on most of their scoring to come from Nik Stauskas and Glenn Robinson. Michigan has had problems this year at the point guard position. Freshman Derrick Walton has been handling the point, but he is leading the team in turnovers. This is where I see a key advantage for Minnesota and Richard Pitino's pressing offense , and a fast-oriented guard attack. Malik Smith is a FIU transfer that came along with Pitino to run the point. He is a true point guard and has really allowed both Andre and Austin Hollins to flourish. Minnesota is ranked 19th in the nation in steals a game and I expect them to cause problems for Michigan. Minnesota is a good free throw shooting team also at 76% which is 17th in the nation. Look for Minnesota to create havoc with their defense, knock down perimeter shots, win the battle on the boards, and make free throws down the stretch. I am projecting Minnesota to win this game by 7-8 points.

Trends:
Wolverines are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Golden Gophers are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400

Brandon Shively's Featured Package

Rob Vinciletti

Golden State Warriors vs. Miami Heat
Play: Miami Heat -4

Miami may not have a healthy Wade for this one, but it wont matter as Miami has won games even without James or Wade in the lineup. Last seasons dog win in San Antonio in the regular season comes to mind. Tonight they fits a nice system that has cashed 10 of 12 times and plays on rested home favorites of less than 5 with a total that is 200 or higher, if they scored 90 or more as a road favorite in their last game, and their opponent tonight also scored 90 or more as a road favorite and covered the spread like Golden State. Miami has shot over 50% in 5 of the last 6 games. The Warriors have failed to cover 3 of 4 after allowing 85 or less in their last game. We back Miami in this one.

Rob Vinciletti's Featured Package

AC DineroFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Oklahoma vs. AlabamaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Oklahoma +17FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Matchup between 2 traditional powers. But Alabama would rather being playing Florida St. The question is how much interest do they have in this game, and will that interest be enough to cover 2 TD's plus? I don't think so, even though statistically they dominate the Sooners and are a terrific 3rd down team. This game means much more to Oklahoma, and the Big 12 in general. They have the edge in the red zone and kicking game (Crimson Tide fans don't like talking about the kicking game). All in all, Oklahoma should stay within 2 TD's.

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Winnipeg vs. OttawaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OttawaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Senators are not where they would have hoped to be after a poor start to the season, but they have shown signs of turning things around in recent games. Ottawa is coming off back-to-back wins over the Caps and Bruins. The Winnipeg Jets are in town tonight, and Winnipeg has won three straight.
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Here are my keys to the game:FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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1: Previous History - The Sens have won three of their last four meetings with Winnipeg, and six of the last 10.
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2: Goaltending - Craig Anderson has been a brick wall during the Sens three game home winning streak, posting a GAA of 1.33 and a save percentage of .957. He's 7-1-1 with a 2.43 GAA in his last nine meetings with Winnipeg.
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3: X-Factor - Bobby Ryan likely has a lot to prove after getting left off the USA Olympic roster. He`s got 10 points in his last nine home games.