DUNKEL INDEX
Baltimore at Atlanta
The Ravens look to build on their 2-0-2 ATS record over their last 4 games as an underdog from 1 to 3 points. Baltimore is the pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Ravens favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+1)
Game 105-106: Baltimore at Atlanta (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 136.982; Atlanta 135.915
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 39
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 1; 44
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+1); Under
NCAAF
East Carolina at UAB
The Pirates look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games as a road underdog from 1 to 3 points. East Carolina is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+2 1/2)
Game 107-108: Pittsburgh at Connecticut (7:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 97.944; Connecticut 87.475
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 10 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 5 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5 1/2); Over
Game 109-110: East Carolina at UAB (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 88.160; UAB 85.756
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 2 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: UAB by 2 1/2; 67
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+2 1/2); Under
NBA
LA Lakers at Denver
The Lakers look to take advantage of a Denver team that is 0-3-1 ATS in its last 4 games as an underdog from 1 to 4 1/2 points. LA is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-3)
Game 501-502: Boston at Miami (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 120.910; Miami 129.586
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6 1/2; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-6 1/2); Over
Game 503-504: Golden State at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 116.605; Chicago 120.621
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 6 1/2; 216
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+6 1/2); Under
Game 505-506: LA Lakers at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 129.246; Denver 123.300
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 6; 206
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-3); Under
NHL
Minnesota at Atlanta
The Wild look to build on their 6-2 record in their last 8 games as an underdog. Minnesota is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Wild favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115)
Game 1-2: Buffalo at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.770; NY Rangers 10.378
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+150); Over
Game 3-4: Montreal at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.291; Boston 12.438
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-155); Under
Game 5-6: Tampa Bay at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.450; Washington 11.756
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-190); 6
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+165); Over
Game 7-8: Philadelphia at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 12.348; Carolina 11.774
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-130); Under
Game 9-10: Minnesota at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.447; Atlanta 10.271
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115); Under
Game 11-12: Edmonton at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.348; Detroit 11.673
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-250); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-250); Over
Game 13-14: Vancouver at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.571; Ottawa 12.500
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+105); Over
Game 15-16: Nashville at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.581; St. Louis 12.177
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-160); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-160); Under
Game 17-18: Dallas at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.348; Los Angeles 12.036
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-170); Under
Game 19-20: NY Islanders at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.216; San Jose 10.516
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-260); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+220); Over
MARC LAWRENCE
Golden State @ Chicago
PICK: Chicago
When the Bulls play host to the Warriors in the Windy City this evening they will do so knowing that Golden State is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on this floor without rest. In addition, the Warriors are 4-12 ATS on the road on Thursdays without rest, including 0-6 ATS the last six. With that we'll fade the tiring visitors here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Chicago.
JIM FEIST
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS / CHICAGO BULLS
TAKE: CHICAGO BULLS
The Bulls are in the middle of a terrific home stretch, playing 6 of 7 at home. Both these teams are undefeated at home, which is bad news for Golden State, a team a long way from home. While the Bulls are rested, this is the second of a back to back road spot for the Warriors, at the NY Knicks last night. An excellent situational handicapping spot for the rested home team. Play the Bulls.
Ben BurnsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Canucks @ Senators
PICK: Under 5.5
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
These teams have a history of playing low-scoring games against each other. The most recent meeting did sneak 'over' the total, a 5-1 Vancouver victory, last spring. However, even including that result, the 'under' is still a lucrative 11-4-1 the last 16 meetings in this series. That includes a 6-1 mark to the 'under' the last seven here at Ottawa. Those numbers have a solid shot at improving here.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
With a superstar starting goalie and a backup who's playing at an outstanding level, the Canucks have allowed three or fewer goals in seven of their last eight games. Three of their last four road games have fallen below the total, most recently a 2-0 loss at Montreal. For the season, their road games are averaging 5.1 combined goals.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Senators are off a high-scoring (5-2) victory in their last game, their fourth straight win. However, that was against a defensively-challenged Atlanta team. Also, note that prior to facing the Thrashers, the 'under' was 4-0 their previous four games. Additionally, note that the 'under' is 31-19 (excluding 'pushes') the last 50 times that the Sens scored four or more goals in their previous game and 18-7 when they were off three or more consecutive victories. Consider the Under
Tom FreeseFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets
Prediction: Los Angeles Lakers
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Denver is 4-4 straight up this year. The Nuggets are 3-12-2 ATS their last 17 games when playing with one day of rest. Denver is 3-8-3 ATS their last 14 games as underdogs and they are 0-3-1 ATS their last 34 meetings with Lakers. Los Angeles 8-0 straight up this year. Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS when their opponent scores 100 or more points in their last game. The Lakers are 5-1 ATS off an ATS loss. Kobe and company are 5-2 ATS their last 7 games overall and they are 5-1 ATS vs. Western Conference teams.
SPORTS WAGERSFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
ATLANTA -1 over Baltimore
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
It appears that oddsmakers consider the Ravens to be the better squad here, as Atlanta just needs to win to earn the cover, despite their unblemished 4-0 mark on home turf. We're comfortable endorsing that as Matt Ryan has been reliable in the Georgia Dome with 12 covers in past 17 played here and we've seen lesser quarterbacks find leaks in this Baltimore defense. Ravens have not fared so well against winners with just three covers in past nine games against .500+ teams. Baltimore quarterback Joe Flacco has been much more effective at home with eight touchdown passes and zero interceptions compared to only three touchdowns and six picks in four road games. One should also not ignore the short week and travel angle, as that’s a difficult assignment against weak teams. The Falcons surely don’t qualify as a weak club. Play: Atlanta –1 (No bets).
VEGAS EXPERTS
Boston Celtics at Miami Heat
Revenge + coming off a SU defeat make the Heat a more attractive than usual play tonight when they host the Boston Celtics on TNT. With Miami having lost two of its last three games, the public is again jumping ship, but we remind you of two weeks ago when they slaughtered Orlando here by 26.
Play on: Miami
Jimmy BoydFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
1 Unit on Denver Nuggets +3.5
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Nuggets have no problem getting up for the Lakers. They will especially be motivated to hand L.A. its first loss of the season. The fact that they are coming off a forgettable performance at Indiana should only add fuel to the fire.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Denver won 3 of 4 against the Lakers last season, and it has won 3 of its last 4 at home in this series. It is also certainly worth noting that the Lakers are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings and just 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Denver.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Recent history tells us not to be hasty to jump on L.A. in the small chalk, especially on the road. In fact, the Lakers are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. It's also worth noting that L.A. is just 1-8 ATS in its last 9 Thursday games.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Nuggets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Considering their strong recent history against L.A., I'll back the Nugs at home catching points in this highly motivated spot.
Info PlaysFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
3* on Miami Heat -7
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Reasons the Heat cover:
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
1.) System Play. We'll Play Against - Underdogs (BOSTON) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%). This is a 45-12 ATS System hitting 78.9% since 1996.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
2.) Miami will be very hungry after not only losing to the Celtics in the season-opener, but also blowing a 22-point lead to the Utah Jazz last time out. We expect their best effort of the season tonight at home. The Celtics will be playing this one without Shaq and Jermaine O'Neal, who are each doubtful with knee injuries. This leaves the Celtics very thin inside. Bet the Heat at home.
Sam MartinFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets
Prediction: Los Angeles Lakers
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
No reason to fade the Lakers until they show us a reason to, and with a perfect 8-0 straight up record coming in to this game at Denver, they haven't shown us any reason to fade them yet. Denver suddenly forgot how to play defense on Wednesday night against a poor-shooting Indiana team, allowing the Pacers to put in a whopping 64% of their field goal attempts. That shows a lack of focus - something they can ill-afford to do against LA here. You can't beat LA playing just offense and no "D", and we don't think the Nuggets can get the job done tonight!
Tony GeorgeFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pittsburg vs. Connecticut
Play: Pittsburg -5.5
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Coming off a bye week after pounding Louisville 20-3, I like the Panthers who are perfect in Big East play to continue their recent form as in years past and continue to get stronger as the season goes along. With U Conns offense trying 3 QBs during the season and having a very inconsistent offense, I like the defense of Pitt to dominate this game and for the Pitt offense top put up 20 to 28 points in an easy win here tonight.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
U Conn has talent, depth and experience but have not been able to put it together this season. U Conn runs it well, but they face the best run defense in the Big East conference and the number 8 run defense nationally. Pitts QB play has increased dramatically in their last 3 games and they have too much on offense for U Conn to deal with in catch up mode with a weak QB and one dimensional offense.
RocketmanFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Montreal Canadiens vs. Boston Bruins
Play: Montreal Canadiens
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Montreal is 5-1 this year in a road game when the total is 5 1/2. Canadiens are 6-0 in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Canadiens are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Canadiens are 5-1 in their last 6 road games. Canadiens are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Canadiens are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Canadiens are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog. Canadiens are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Northeast. Canadiens are 9-4 in their last 13 Thursday games. Bruins are 2-5 in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Bruins are 2-5 in their last 7 home games. Bruins are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Canadiens are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Road team is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Underdog is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. We'll recommend a small play on Montreal tonight!
Bettor WinsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pittsburg vs. Connecticut
Play: Connecticut +6
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Jordan Todman is fourth in the country in rushing at 136.3 yards per game. He has found it tougher going lately, though. Opposing defenses have begun to key on him, while trying to make the Huskies move the ball through the air. Todman has rushed for 80 and 113 yards in his last two games against Louisville and West Virginia. We think Todman will open up the running against Pitt. Take UCONN as a home dog.
WunderdogFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Lightning vs. Capitals
Play: Under 6
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Capitals have exploded in several games this season, hitting the 5 goal mark or more on five occasions already this season. That bumps the total goals set for their games to 6 quite often. Despite the offensive explosions, this team has played UNDER in nine of the 15, or 60% of the time. When they play to a total of 6 or higher, that number jumps to 7-3 and 70% to the UNDER, so we are truly getting some value on the UNDER. In their final three playoffs games all posted at 6 last year, they came in UNDER those totals as well, making the mark 10-3 to the UNDER with a total of 6 or more. Going back to last season, the Lightning are 8-5 to the UNDER in their last 13 posted at 6+. Washington has served up eight UNDERs in their last 11 following a win. Tampa Bay has played four straight UNDERs vs. a team with a home winning percentage of over .600.
Dave PriceFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
1 Unit on Lakers/Nuggets UNDER 211.5
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Under is 13-4 in the last 17 meetings between these teams, and 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Denver. The Under is 9-2 in the Nuggets' last 11 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 11-2 in the Lakers' last 13 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less. Bet the Under.