SPORTS ADVISORS
NFL
Chicago (4-4 SU and ATS) at San Francisco (3-5, 5-2-1 ATS)
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Coach Mike Singletary will lead his 49ers against the team with which he built his Hall of Fame career when the Bears come to town for an NFC contest at Candlestick Park.
After cashing in its first four games of the season (3-1 SU), San Francisco has lost four in a row SU and gone 1-2-1 ATS in that span. The 49ers have been outscored by an average of 12.3 ppg during the skid (30.3-18), though they did put up some points Sunday before losing 34-27 to the Titans as a 4½-point home favorite. QB Alex Smith, who helped engineer a comeback that fell just short at Houston three weeks ago and who kept San Francisco competitive at Indianapolis two weeks ago, had three INTs and two fumbles (one lost) against Tennessee.
Coming off a 30-6 home rout of Cleveland, Chicago got belted 41-21 by Arizona as a two-point home favorite Sunday, falling to 1-3 SU and ATS in its last four outings. The Bears’ acquisition of Jay Cutler (14 TDs, 12 INTs) hasn’t quite panned out, as he has six TD tosses in his last four games offset by seven INTs and a lost fumble. Cutler hasn’t been helped by a running attack averaging just 90.5 yards per game, 28th in the league.
Chicago is 1-3 SU and ATS on the road, while San Francisco has followed up two straight blowout home wins and covers over division-rivals Seattle (23-10) and St. Louis (35-0) with back to back SU and ATS defeats at Candlestick, as the Niners preceded Sunday’s setback to Tennessee with a 45-10 home loss to Atlanta in Week 5.
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These teams have split the cash in six meetings this decade, with Chicago going 4-2 SU. The favorite and the home team have gone 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in those contests. In the most recent battle in 2006, Chicago rolled 41-10 as a 16-point home chalk. The SU winner is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these teams, 8-0 ATS in Chicago’s games this year and 5-2-1 ATS in San Francisco’s eight contests in 2009.
The 49ers are 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 games as a favorite (2-2 this year), but they are otherwise on pointspread upswings of 10-4-2 since Singletary took over as coach last year (8-3-2 last 13), 4-1-1 against the NFC, 6-2-1 after a SU loss and 5-2 in November.
The Bears are on positive spread-covering runs of 4-1 after a SU loss and 11-5 after a non-cover, but they carry negative ATS streaks of 1-5 on the road, 0-5-1 as a road pup, 1-3-1 on Thursday, 2-5-1 in conference play and 2-5 in November.
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The over for San Francisco is on streaks of 7-3 at Candlestick, 12-4 as a home chalk and 7-1 with the 49ers laying three points or less, and the over is 31-14-1 in Chicago’s last 46 games against NFC foes. The under for the Bears, though, is on rolls of 9-4 on the highway, 36-17-2 as a road pup and 5-1 after a SU loss. Finally, in this rivalry, the total has cleared the posted price in four of the last five regular-season meetings and is 7-2 in the last nine clashes (including four preseason games).
ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN FRANCISCO
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Bowling Green (4-5 SU and ATS) at Miami (Ohio) (1-9, 5-5 ATS)
The Falcons will try to continue their recent surge when they make the trek to Fred Yager Stadium for a Mid-American Conference East Division battle with Miami (Ohio).
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Bowling Green rallied from a 29-16 fourth-quarter deficit at Buffalo nine days ago and pulled out a shocking 30-29 victory as a three-point road underdog. Tyler Sheehan hit star WR Freddie Barnes with an 18-yard scoring pass with 39 seconds to play to steal the win, and Barnes finished with eight catches for 122 yards. Although Bowling Green got outgained 411-361, including 262-48 on the ground, it did score three rushing touchdowns.
The Redhawks rallied from a 31-13 third-quarter deficit to take a 32-21 lead at Temple a week ago tonight, but they failed on a two-point conversion attempt after their final touchdown with 2:36 to play. The Owls then marched down the field and kicked the game-winning field goal with three seconds left, prevailing 34-32. However, Miami did cover easily as a 17-point underdog, improving to 5-1 ATS in its last six (3-0 ATS in the last three), all as an underdog.
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Bowling Green has now scored at least 30 points in four of its last five games, but the defense has surrendered an average of 39.6 ppg in the last five after yielding just 19.3 ppg in the first three contests. Sheehan has passed for 2,990 yards (64.1 percent completion rate) for 16 TDs and six INTs, while Barnes leads the nation with 107 catches and 1,176 receiving yards, and he’s second nationally with 10 receiving TDs.
Miami, which began the season with seven straight losses before upsetting Toledo 31-24 as a five-point underdog on Halloween, scored a total of 71 points in its first seven games (10.1 ppg) but has tallied 85 in the last three (28.3 ppg). During this three-game surge, the offense has produced an average of 417 total ypg, nearly all of it through the air (372.7 passing ypg).
The Redhawks are on a 3-0 SU and ATS run in this rivalry, with all three being outright upset wins, including last year’s 27-20 victory at Bowling Green as a 9½-point road underdog – Miami’s only win over a Division I-A program in 2008. The Redhawks are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 series clashes, and the underdog has scored the upset each of the last four years.
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The Falcons are in ATS funks of 2-5 overall, 9-20 as a favorite and 2-7 when laying between 3½ and 10 points, but they’re also on positive pointspread runs of 13-2 on the road (2-2 this year), 6-2 as a road chalk, 4-1 against losing teams and 7-1 in November. Despite its current 5-1 ATS run from the underdog role, Miami is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight November contests and 8-20-1 ATS in its last 29 against teams with a losing record.
For Bowling Green, the under is on stretches of 6-2 on the road, 4-1 as a road chalk and 6-1 after SU victory. Miami has topped the total in five straight against losing teams, six of eight MAC games and four of five in November. Finally, the total has alternated the last four years in this rivalry, with the last two in Miami going over the posted price.
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ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
Ball State (1-8, 4-4 ATS) at Northern Illinois (6-3, 5-3 ATS)
Northern Illinois, which is riding a three-game winning streak, looks to remain in the hunt for the MAC’s West Division title when it welcomes one-win Ball State to Huskie Stadium.
The Cardinals followed up their first victory of the season – a 29-27 triumph over winless Eastern Michigan as a 2½-point underdog – with a 20-17 home loss to Ohio on Halloween, but they covered as a 5½-point underdog. Ball State started last season with 12 consecutive wins, then dropped the MAC championship game to Buffalo, got clobbered in the International Bowl by Tulsa and has lost eight of its first nine games this year. During the 1-10 SU slump, the Cardinals are 4-6 ATS in lined action.
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Northern Illinois destroyed Eastern Michigan 50-6 last Thursday, easily covering as a 21½-point home favorite. During their three-game winning streak (2-1 ATS), the Huskies have averaged 34.7 points and 378.7 yards per game (298.3 rushing ypg) while allowing just 12.7 points and 251.3 total yards per game (40 rushing ypg). Since a season-opening 28-20 loss at Wisconsin as a 16½-point underdog, the Huskies are 6-2 SU and 4-3 ATS in lined games, and they’ve been favored in each of their last six outings.
Northern Illinois has scored 27 points or more in seven of its last eight games while allowing 21 points or less in six of those contests. Conversely, Ball State has managed 17 points or less in seven of its last 10 going back to last year’s bowl loss while giving up an average of 30.5 ppg during this stretch.
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The Cardinals blasted Northern Illinois 45-14 as an eight-point home favorite last season, finishing with a 529-275 edge in total offense (310-115 passing). Prior to last year, the visitor had won four in a row in this rivalry, including Ball State’s 27-21 victory in 2007, though it failed to cash as a 9½-point road favorite in that one.
Despite its dismal SU record, Ball State carries several positive ATS trends, including 20-7 on the road, 11-4 in November, 18-5 versus winning teams, 11-5 as an underdog, 4-1 as a road underdog and 10-2 as an underdog of more than 10 points. Also, the ‘dog is 8-3 ATS in Ball State’s last 11 games. Northern Illinois is on pointspread upticks of 3-1 at home (all as a favorite, 10-4-1 in November, 4-1 on Thursday and 8-3 against teams with a losing record. However, the Huskies have failed to cover in nine of their last 11 as a favorite of more than 10 points.
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Ball State is on “under” streaks of 6-3 overall, 7-2 on the road, 7-2 in November, 13-6 as a double-digit underdog and 4-1 on artificial turf. For the Huskies, the under is on runs of 33-15-2 overall, 12-3-1 at home, 17-7-1 in MAC play and 18-6-2 after a SU victory. Conversely, five of the last seven meetings in this rivalry have gone over the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
(23) South Florida (6-2, 3-3 ATS) at Rutgers (6-2, 3-3 ATS)
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Two teams coming off impressive upset victories get together at Rutgers Stadium, where the surging Scarlet Knights host South Florida in a nationally televised Big East battle.
South Florida ripped off five straight wins to begin the season, then got clipped by Top 25 foes Cincinnati (34-17 at home) and Pitt (41-14 on the road). However, the third time against a ranked opponent proved to be the charm for the Bulls, who knocked off then-No. 20 West Virginia 30-19 as a 2½-point home underdog in their most recent game Oct. 30. USF outgained the Mountaineers 421-323 overall, including a 189-118 rushing advantage.
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After two dismal performances in the losses to Cincinnati and Pitt, freshman QB B.J. Daniels came up huge against West Virginia, passing for 232 yards and three TDs while also running for 104 yards on 14 carries. South Florida has scored 30 points or more in six of its last nine games and has averaged 36.6 ppg in its last seven wins but 15.5 ppg in its losses to Pitt and Cincinnati. Defensively, the Bulls have held nine of their last 11 opponents to 20 points or less and has surrendered a total of 66 points (11 ppg) in its six wins this year but gave up 75 points (37.5 ppg) in the two losses to Pitt and Cincinnati.
Rutgers has won two in a row and four of its last six, and like South Florida, both of the Scarlet Knights’ losses came against Cincinnati (47-15 at home in the season opener on Sept. 7) and Pitt (24-17 at home on Oct. 16). The Scarlet Knights have been idle since Oct. 31, when they shocked UConn 28-24 as a 7½-point road underdog. In that contest, Rutgers returned the opening kickoff for a touchdown but gave up a 21-10 four-quarter lead, falling behind 24-21 with 38 seconds to play. However, one play after the ensuing kickoff, freshman QB Tom Savage hit Tim Brown with a short pass, and Brown went the distance for an 81-yard game-winning score with 22 seconds to play.
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Savage has 1,341 passing yards with eight TDs and just one INT since taking over the starting quarterback job, and he leads an offense that’s averaged 33.3 ppg in its six wins but just 16 ppg in its two losses. The defense has given up 11.5 ppg in the six victories, but surrendered 71 to Pitt and Cincinnati. Since starting last year 1-5 SU, Rutgers have won 13 of its last 15 games
When South Florida entered the Big East in 2005, it routed Rutgers 45-31 as a 2½-point road underdog. Since then, though, the Scarlet Knights have reeled off three straight wins and two straight spread-covers in this rivalry, including last year’s 49-16 rout as an eight-point road pup, with the Bulls committing six turnovers. The underdog has covered in all four meetings (3-1 SU) between these schools.
South Florida is on ATS runs of 6-3 overall, 3-1 as a favorite, 5-2 after a bye and 4-1 in November, but the Bulls have failed to cover in four straight Thursday contests, 11 of 15 against winning teams and five of seven as a road chalk. Rutgers carries positive pointspread streaks of 10-4-1 overall, 5-2 in Big East play, 5-2 on Thursday, 6-1 as an underdog, 8-2-1 after a SU win, 6-0-1 after a non-cover and 6-3 after a bye, but the Knights are have failed to cover in all three of their home games this year.
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The Bulls have topped the total in four straight games overall (all in Big East play) and seven of 10 after a bye, but the under is 5-2 in their last seven road games. The over is also 6-1 in Rutgers’ last seven Big East games, 11-4 in its last 15 in November, 4-0 in its last four on Thursday and 12-1 in its last 13 after a bye, but the under is 4-1 in the Knights’ last five overall (2-0 at home).
Finally, all four meetings between these teams have gone over the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
NBA
Cleveland (5-3, 4-4 ATS) at Miami (6-1 SU and ATS)
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Two of the league’s biggest stars go head to head for the first time this season, as LeBron James and the Cavaliers wrap up a three-game road trip against Dwyane Wade and the Heat at American Airlines Arena.
Cleveland is coming off Wednesday’s 102-93 victory at Orlando as a one-point road underdog, with James scoring a game-high 36 points and Mo Williams chipping in 28 points. Since dropping their first two games of the season to Boston (at home) and Toronto (on the road), the Cavaliers have won five of six (4-2 ATS). They’ve now won and cashed in three straight on the road.
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Miami extended its winning streak three in a row (SU and ATS) with Tuesday’s 90-76 rout of Washington as a nine-point home favorite, as Wade poured in a game-high 41 points. Since a season-opening 115-93 rout of New York, the Heat have scored between 90 and 96 points in six straight games, and they’ve held five of their last six opponents to less than 90 points.
Cleveland took three of four from the Heat last year (2-2 ATS) and is 6-1 SU in the last seven meetings, but just 4-3 ATS (all as a favorite).
Going back to last season, Cleveland is riding ATS streaks of 14-6 when playing on back-to-back nights, 7-2-1 as a road favorite and 13-4 when laying less than five points, but 5-9-1 overall, 3-7 on Thursday and 3-6-1 against the Southeast Division. Miami has covered in five of its last six home games (4-1 ATS this year), five straight against the East and four straight against the Central Division, but the Heat are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 on Tuesday.
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Both teams went over the total in their season-openers but followed that up with six straight “unders” before Cleveland barely eked over the total last night in Orlando. The Cavaliers were involved in their highest-scoring contest last night (195 points), while four of the Heat’s six games have featured 184 combined points or fewer.
In this rivalry, the under is on runs of 13-6 overall and 10-4 in Miami. Additionally, the under is on streaks of 8-3 for Cleveland on the road, 7-1 for Cleveland as a road favorite, 4-0 for Miami at home, 5-1 for Miami against teams from the Central Division, 6-0 for Miami when playing on one day of rest and 21-18 for Miami on Thursday.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MIAMI and UNDER
Phoenix (8-1, 6-3 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (6-1, 2-5 ATS)
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Following a brief stop at home last night, the scorching Suns return to the road once again as they pay their first visit of the season to the Staples Center for a Pacific Division clash with the well-rested Lakers.
Phoenix enjoyed a successful 4-1 SU and ATS Eastern Conference road trip, then came home Wednesday and throttled the Hornets 124-104 as a 6½-point favorite, the team’s fourth consecutive win and cover. The Suns spread the wealth in the win, as seven players – including all five starters – scored in double figures. Phoenix has now hit triple digits in every game this year, and dating to last season, it has reached the century mark in 12 straight games and 44 of 50 contests, tallying 109 or more 33 times.
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Los Angeles has been off since Sunday’s 104-88 dismantling of New Orleans, easily covering as a 6½-point home favorite. It was the Lakers’ second straight spread-cover after starting the season 0-6 ATS. Phil Jackson’s crew has won five in a row, including consecutive double-digit home wins in their last two, and they’re averaging 108 ppg during the winning streak (48.7 percent shooting) while allowing 99.2 ppg (43.1 percent). Going back to last year’s playoffs, only twice in their last nine games have the Lakers allowed an opponent to score more than 98 points.
The Suns upset the Lakers 118-111 as a 4½-point home underdog in last year’s final meeting, ending L.A.’s four-game win streak (3-1 ATS) in this rivalry. The Lakers are still 6-3 ATS in the last nine series battles, but 2-3 ATS at home. In fact, the visitor is 7-3 ATS in the last 10.
While Phoenix is 5-1 SU and ATS on the road this year and has covered in four straight overall, it is still in ATS slumps of 5-16 on Thursday and 4-10-1 as an underdog of five to 10½ points (all on the highway). Los Angeles, which has been favored in every game this season, went 1-4 ATS in its final five games against divisional foes last year, but it is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 when playing after three or more days of rest and 15-6 ATS in its last 21 in the Thursday night marquee spotlight.
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The Suns carry “over” trends of 4-1 overall, 5-0 on Thursday, 8-1 when playing on back-to-back nights and 23-10 as a road pup. Meanwhile, although they’ve topped the total in four of their last five overall, the Lakers are still on a bevy of “under” runs, including 20-7 at home, 11-5 against the Western Conference, 4-1 versus the Pacific Division and 35-16-1 as a favorite.
Finally, the over is 7-3 in the last 10 Suns-Lakers battles, including 4-1 at the Staples Center.
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ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
DUNKEL
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Chicago at San Francisco
The 49ers look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games as an underdog. San Francisco is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the 49ers favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-3)
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Game 105-106: Chicago at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 126.950; San Francisco 134.540
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 7 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 3; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-3); Under
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NCAAF
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South Florida at Rutgers
The Scarlet Knights are coming off a win at Connecticut and look to build on their 9-2-1 ATS record in their last 12 games following a SU win. Rutgers is the pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Scarlet Knights favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+1)
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Game 107-108: Bowling Green at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 77.869; Miami (OH) 75.786
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 2; 52
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 3 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+3 1/2); Under
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Game 109-110: Ball State at Northern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 67.994; Northern Illinois 87.841
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 20; 49
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 17; 46
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-17); Over
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Game 111-112: South Florida at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 91.900; Rutgers 93.044
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 1; 43
Vegas Line: South Florida by 1; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+1); Under
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NBA
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Phoenix at LA Lakers
The Lakers look to take advantage of a Phoenix team that is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games as an underdog between 5 and 10 1/2 points. Los Angeles is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 11 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-7 1/2)
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Game 501-502: Cleveland at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 122.981; Miami 124.020
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1; 178
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 2; 181
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2); Under
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Game 503-504: Phoenix at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 118.724; 130.468
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 11 1/2; 220
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7 1/2; 218
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-7 1/2); Over
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NCAAB
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James Madison at Ohio State
The Buckeyes look to build on their 13-4 ATS record in their last 17 non-conference games. Ohio State is the pick (-16 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Buckeyes favored by 20. Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-16 1/2)
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Game 505-506: James Madison at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 52.988; Ohio State 72.809
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 20
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-16 1/2)
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Game 507-508: Georgia State at NC State
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 52.414; NC State 66.606
Dunkel Line: NC State by 14
Vegas Line: NC State by 10
Dunkel Pick: NC State (-10)
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NHL
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Minnesota at Tampa Bay
The Lightning look to take advantage of a Minnesota team that is 2-9 in its last 11 road games against teams with a winning record. Tampa Bay is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Lightning favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135)
Game 1-2: Ottawa at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.031; Philadelphia 12.657
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-160); Under
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Game 3-4: Florida at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.851; Boston 11.638
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-185); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+175); Under
Game 5-6: Atlanta at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.041; NY Rangers 11.999
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
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Game 7-8: New Jersey at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 12.323; Pittsburgh 11.681
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 9-10: Vancouver at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.027; Detroit 12.319
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-150); Over
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Game 11-12: Minnesota at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 12.105; Tampa Bay 12.384
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); Over
Game 13-14: Nashville at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.644; St. Louis 11.409
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+145); Under
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Game 15-16: Montreal at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.583; Phoenix 11.322
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+130); Under
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Game 17-18: Dallas at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.167; San Jose 12.929
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-185); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-185); Over
Frank Jordan
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South Florida vs. Rutgers
Play: Rutgers -2.5
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South Florida and Rutgers are each 6-2 and have 2 losses in the conference play. South Florida is 3-1 on the road and have outscored their opponents by 100 + points. Rutgers is 3-2 at home and both home losses are in conference play. Rutgers has won 4 in a row in this match up including a couple years ago with the big upset over South Florida who was number 2 in the country at that time. Look for Rutgers to continue their dominance over South Florida as they even up in Big East play. Play Rutgers
John Ryan
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Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers
Play: Ottawa Senators
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Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Ottawa as they travel to face Philadelphia set to start at 7:00 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 37-26 making 30.3 units in profits since 1996. Play against a favorite against the money line after allowing 2 goals or less in 4 straight games facing an opponent after winning their previous game in overtime. Ottawa HC Clouston is a solid 15-7 against the money line (+9.1 Units) after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored while serving as the Senators HC.
BIG AL
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Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Lakers
Prediction: Phoenix Suns
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On Wednesday, Phoenix routed the New Orleans Hornets, 124-104, and that sets it up for a strong showing tonight in Los Angeles. Because Phoenix didn't have to go down to the wire to win the game, coach Alvin Gentry was able to rest his key players for the entire fourth quarter. Steve Nash played just 22:36; Amare Stoudemire 25:34; and Grant Hill 30:51. Granted, Los Angeles is even more rested than Phoenix, to the extent the Lakers have been off since Sunday, but at least the Suns weren't over-worked last night. Phoenix is scoring 111 ppg, and is the only team to have scored more than 100 points vs. Boston, who has the league's toughest defense. The Lakers will get Andrew Bynum back in their lineup tonight, but will still be without Pau Gasol, and his absence is really affecting the team. Take the points with Phoenix.
Jim Feist
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Bowling Green vs. Miami Ohio Total
Play: Over 57½
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The Bowling Green Falcons (4-5 SU/4-4 ATS) are a scrappy, pass happy team under new head coach in Dave Clawson. Senior QB Tyler Sheehan (16 TDs, 6 picks) is a terrific talent and leads a team that can’t run the football, but averages 340 yards passing and 24 points. He has an excellent target in senior WR Freddie Barnes (1,176 yards, 10 TDs). Barnes leads the country in receptions with 107, 30 more than the next leading receiver. He's also tops in receptions per game (135) and receiving yards. They come off a thrilling 30-29 upset at Buffalo, as Sheehan was 22 of 40 for 313 yards and a touchdown. But the defense has been suspect, giving up 419 yards in a 44-37 home loss to Ohio (as a favorite). They had a wild 36-35 win at Kent as Sheehan was 44-of-63 for 505 yards and 4 TDs, and a 31-17 win at Ball State with 455 yards (376 passing). Miami of Ohio (1-9 SU/4-6 ATS) is getting better under new coach Michael Haywood, beating Toledo 31-24 and a 34-32 loss to Temple despite 478 yards behind freshman QB Zac Dysert (10 TDs, 10 INTs). He threw for 344 yards against Toledo in the win and 426, 3 TDs last week against Temple. Looks like plenty of offense, Play Bowling Green/Miami of Ohio Over the total!
JR TIPS
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SUNS at LAKERS
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The Phoenix Suns are off to their best start in 29 seasons and playing a successful up-tempo style and they look to win their fifth straight game tonight against the defending champion Lakers for the first time this season. After a 4-1 eastern trip, Phoenix blew out New Orleans 124-104 on Wednesday. Amare Stoudemire had 21 points, Grant Hill added 18 and six other Suns scored in double figures as Phoenix set a season high in points as they have scored 100 points or more in each of its first nine games this season leading the NBA in points per game this season with 112.3. Steve Nash played only 23 minutes Wednesday, but he posted his fourth consecutive double-double with 12 points and 10 assists leading the league in assists with 12.6 per game. Kobe Bryant averaged 28.3 points and 6.8 rebounds as the Lakers won three of four versus the Suns in 2008-09. The Lakers have lost 5 in a row but will likely be without forward Pau Gasol, who has yet to play this season because of a strained right hamstring suffered in the preseason. The Lakers know they willl have to buckle down on defense to beat this Suns team as this may be the first game of the season the defending champs get up for. The lakers will set the tone on the defensive side of the board and not let Phoenix run around like gym rats tonight's as they have done all season. After a 5-game east coast road trip and back to back games, it will be ver difficult for the Suns offense to continue to play at this high level against the champs.
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TAKE UNDER 218
Sports Gambling Hotline
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Chicago at SAN FRANCISCO
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With head coaches Lovie Smith, and Mike Singletary being defensive-minded, you would think that tonight's NFL Thursday night special would be a low-scoring one, but we feel that is the wrong school of thought for this game, as both teams have been giving up their fair share of points lately.
The Bears have been gouged for 45, and 41 points in 2 of their last 3 games. The lone exception a 6-point allowance to the inept Browns in between the pair of big numbers.
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The Niners have allowed an average of over 30 points per game over their last 4 games - all losses!
We would love to tell you that tonight is going to be a 12-10 field-position final score, but 12-10 could very well be the score at the end of the first quarter.
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Play on the OVER in San Francisco this Thursday night.
4♦ OVER
Karl Garrett
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Bowling Green -3' at MIAMI-OHIO
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I think Miami-Ohio's effort at Temple last week is going to leave them a little spent tonight at home against Bowling Green.
The Falcons used a fourth quarter rally to get by Buffalo outright in their last game, and in triple-revenge against the Redhawks, expect another huge effort from Bowling Green in this one.
Overall, Miami-O has won the last 3, and 8 of the last 9 both straight up, and against the spread, so you can see that the Falcons are on a bit of a mission when they take the field in this one.
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Bowling Green has been a money-maker of late, going 13-2 against the spread their last 15 road games.
Expect Falcons QB Sheehan who is # 2 in the nation in total offense to get his groove on once again as he did last week against the Bulls, and expect Bowling Green to get their triple-revenge.
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Take the Falcons as the small road favorite.
2♦ BOWLING GREEN
Bobby Maxwell
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S. Florida at RUTGERS -2'
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FREE winner on Wednesday makes me now 6-1 with my last seven comp selections and I'll improve on that mark with today's comp selection, laying the small chalk and playing Rutgers at home over visiting S. Florida.
Rutgers has won two in a row and four of its last six , with both losses in that span coming to Big East leaders Cincinnati and Pitt. Tonight the Scarlet knights are at home and will be able to get this win over the Bulls.
Neither one of these teams has been in action lately, with Rutgers off since October 31 while South Florida has been idle since October 30. Both teams pulled off upset wins last time out with Rutgers upsetting UConn 28-24 as a 7 ½-point underdog. The Scarlet Knights blew a 21-10 fourth-quarter lead only to steal the victory with an 81-yard game-winning score with 22 seconds left on the clock.
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The key change for Rutgers has been the installation of QB Tom Savage into the starting rotation. He has thrown for 1,341 yards, eight TDs and just one INT since taking over the starting job. His offense has averaged 33.3 points a game in its six wins and just 16 in two losses.
The Scarlet Knights are on ATS runs of 10-4-1 overall, 5-2 in Big East action, 5-2 on Thursdays, 6-1 as an underdog and 8-2-1 after a SU win. Meanwhile, the Bulls have failed to cover in four straight Thursday contests and 11 of 15 against winning teams.
Rutgers has won each of the last three years against the Bulls, and done so pretty easily, including a 49-16 blowout win in Florida last year as an eight-point underdog. In fact, back in October 2007, South Florida was favored by two going into Rutgers and the Scarlet Knights pulled off the 30-27 home win.
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I’m playing the home team in Rutgers in this one.
3♦ RUTGERS
Dominic Fazzini
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South Florida +2' at RUTGERS
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I hit my third straight complimentary selection Wednesday with the Pacers' rout of Golden State. That makes me 20-13 over my last 33 free plays, and I'm going to pick up another victory with a move to college football today.
Rutgers QB Tom Savage has done well since taking over as the team's starter this year, but the freshman is going to be in over his head tonight. South Florida has the top-ranked pass defense in the Big East, allowing just 185 yards per game, and in Jason Pierre-Paul and George Selvie it has a pair of defensive ends that can apply immense pressure on quarterbacks.
The Bulls are third in the Big East in rushing, at 179.1 yards per game, and will face a tough test from the Scarlet Knights, who allow just 106.8 yards on the ground per game, but South Florida QB B.J. Daniels brings a dynamic to the game that not many signal-callers possess.
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Daniels, a redshirt freshman, didn't even take over as the Bulls' starter until their fourth game, but he has still managed to throw for 1,096 yards and 10 touchdowns. But that's not where he's going to give Rutgers the most problems. Daniels is also South Florida's leading rusher, with 519 yards (5.6 yards per carry) and four touchdowns.
The Scarlet Knights have defeated the Bulls in three consecutive games, including a 49-16 blowout last year. And many of the South Florida players didn't take kindly to Rutgers continuing to pass the ball in the fourth quarter, even completing a 93-yard TD pass with the score already 35-16, so revenge could definitely factor into tonight's game.
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The underdog in this series is 4-0 ATS in the past four games. And South Florida is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games overall, 6-2 ATS in its last eight as an underdog and 4-1 in its last five as a road 'dog. Rutgers, meanwhile, is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six home games and 0-3-1 ATS as a home favorite in its last four. Take the Bulls to cover tonight.
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NOTE: If the spread is 2 1/2 when you make your bet, buy up the half-point so you don't get beaten by the hook.
2♦ SOUTH FLORIDA
Jeff Benton
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Phoenix at LA LAKERS -7'
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For Thursday’s free play, I’ll take the Lakers and lay the points against Phoenix.
The Suns have GOT to be gassed. After surviving a five-game, seven-day East Coast road trip, they made a token appearance at home last night against the Hornets and rolled by 20 points and, now they’re back on the road for this game against Los Angeles. Obviously, a trip from L.A. to Phoenix isn’t exactly grueling, but playing your seventh game in a row in a different city, all in the span of 10 days? And your third back-to-back in that seven-game, 10-day stretch? Against the defending champions? That’s the recipe for disaster.
True, the Suns have won and covered four in a row overall and five of six on the road, but none of those games were against the defending champs. More importantly, Phoenix has played just one team with a true big man all year, and that was the Magic and Dwight Howard. Howard scored 25 points and Orlando cruised 122-110 as a 7½-point home favorite. Well, tonight, the Lakers are getting back center Andrew Bynum, who missed the last two games – both Lakers blowout wins over Memphis and New Orleans – with an elbow injury. Bynum was putting up All-Star-type numbers in his first five games, averaging 20 points and 10.6 rebounds while shooting 55 percent from the field.
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Finally, while the Suns have been racking up frequent-flyer miles through the season’s first three weeks, Los Angeles has played five of its first seven at home. Not only that, but the Lakers have played just twice in the last week, and both of those were at home against Memphis (114-98 on Friday) and New Orleans (104-88 on Sunday). L.A.’s pointspread mark down the stretch last year when getting three or more days off? 12-5. The Lakers are also 16-5 ATS in their last 21 Thursday night affairs (Phoenix’s recent Thursday night ATS mark is the exact opposite at 5-16).
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Perfect situational and fundamental spot to back the Lakers, who have won their last two by 16 points and should at least do the same against the dead-dog tired Suns tonight.
5♦ LA LAKERS
Spartan
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Rutgers +1 vs South Florida
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Thursday edition of college football with South Florida traveling to Rutgers to meet the Scarlet Knights. Both clubs currently stand at 6-2 and are well coached squads on both sides of the ball. Another typical year for Greg Schiano's team as they seem to grow stronger and play better as the season progresses. From what I have observed freshmen quarterback Tom Savage is playing sounder football and this has kept opponents from stacking the box against them stuffing the running attack. As long as Savage keeps this up and makes South Florida respect the passing game I feel Rutgers will get the home win. Should be a closely contested game but I see the Scarlet Knights prevailing by a field goal.
MTi Sports
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Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat
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The Cavaliers are 9-0 ATS (7.3 ppg) since April 27, 2008 after a game in which they had more turnovers than assists and the Heat are 0-4 ATS s a dog with at most one day of rest off a home win in which they trailed by 10+ points and 0-5-1 ATS after two wins in which Dwyane Wade increased his scoring by at least 15 points.
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Play on: Cleveland
VEGAS EXPERTS
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Bowling Green at Miami (OH)
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Not sure why this line is so low, but we'll gladly take advantage as we note BGSU has covered 10 of its last 12 road games, including a perfect 6-0 vs. the number if they have covered the number in two of their previous three games. They are also 8-1 ATS L9 in November and 11-1 ATS if they lost the turnover battle in consecutive games. Miami is a lost cause at 1-9 SU and is 0-7 ATS the last three seasons if 60 or more total points were scored in their previous game. They come off a 34-32 loss to Temple.
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Play on: Bowling Green