Bobby Maxwell
Oregon at BOISE STATE -3
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I'm 3-1 with my last four FREE selections and tonight I've got a comp winner on the opening night of college football. Play Boise State at home to get the win and cover over Oregon.
This one is going to be a fun one to watch. Two Top-20 teams in action on a Thursday night from the blue turf in Boise, Idaho, and two teams that are close enough in proximity to not really like each other.
Plus Oregon comes in with some added motivation of having been upset last year 37-32 in Oregon as 10-point favorites. But no matter how much motivation they have, they aren't ending the Broncos' 49-game home winning streak tonight. Look for Boise State to win this one by 10 to 14 points and keep the streak alive.
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Boise State opened the 2008 season with 12 straight wins, but when they weren't given a bid to a BCS Bowl, it was a bit deflating for the Broncos who went to the Poinsettia Bowl in San Diego and lost to TCU, 17-16, but they still cashed as a three-point underdog. Back running the offense for Boise is QB Kellen Moore who threw for 3,486 yards, 25 TDs and 10 INTs. Against these Ducks, Moore went into Eugene and threw for 386 yards and three TDs.
First-year head coach Chip Kelly takes over the Ducks after longtime coach Mike Bellotti hung them up after last season. Kelly was the offensive coordinator the last two seasons and he's got his work cut out for him with just 10 total starters back.
Oregon clearly plays in the tougher conference, but there's no other mid-major that stands up and fights more than Boise State. We saw it a few years ago when they went to the Fiesta Bowl and beat Oklahoma and we saw it last year when they waltzed into Eugene, Oregon and smacked the Ducks in the mouth, building a 37-13 lead after three quarters.
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Now they are at home and going to do it all over again. The Broncos are 40-17-2 ATS at home. Play Boise State to get this one.
4♦ BOISE STATE
Karl Garrett
Troy -7 at BOWLING GREEN
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G-Man going to his bread-and-butter this Thursday night, as I hit the college pigskin for a comp play winner on Troy over Bowling Green.
Yeah, I know it is hard to lay a touchdown on the road this early in the season, but the dynamics of Bowling Green breaking in a new head coach, and the fact the Trojans are a money-making 7-2 versus the spread as a road favorite their last 9 add up to a Troy road win, and cover if you ask me.
Bowling Green does have some talent back from last year's team, but they are also down to 3 returning starters on the defensive side of the ball, and they are facing a team that put up over 30 points per game once QB Levi Brown took over the reins for the Trojans.
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The Trojans are definitely the more well-rounded team, as they also have a running game that figures to gash this BG defense, and a kicking game that features one of the best in the nation in Sam Glusman.
Just too many check-marks on the G-Man's check-list on the side of the visitors tonight.
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Lay it with Troy!
3♦ TROY
Stephen Nover
North Texas +16 at BALL STATE
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The wise guys jumped on this 'dog early. The number has gone down, but North Texas still is worth playing at anything more than two touchdowns.
North Texas won just one game last season. The Eagles should be improved, though, this season. Coach Todd Dodge is in his third season with the program. He has 16 starters back, including his son Riley, who is the quarterback and well versed in the playbook and his father's philosophy. Todd Dodge was a coaching legend in the Texas high school ranks.
Ball State had one of its best seasons in school history last year. But the Cardinals will pay for that success this season. Coach Brady Hoke took off for San Diego State. Three-year starting quarterback Nate Davis is currently with the San Francisco 49ers and four starting offensive linemen have departed along with star wide receiver Darius Hill.
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The Cardinals have a new coaching staff, new quarterback and new center. Only 11 seniors are on the team. Twenty seven freshmen and sophomores out of 44 compose the first and second team.
It's not like there's a huge gap either between the MAC and Sun Belt conferences.
North Texas is ready to take a step up. Ball State is going to take several steps backward. Look for the Eagles to get the cover.
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3♦ NORTH TEXAS
DUNKEL
Cleveland at Detroit
The Tigers look to build on their 5-1 record in their last 6 games as a favorite between -110 and -150. Detroit is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-135)
Game 951-952: Milwaukee at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Parra) 14.817; St. Louis (Smoltz) 16.281
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-180); Over
Game 953-954: NY Mets at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Misch) 14.019; Colorado (Marquis) 15.302
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-245); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-245); Under
Game 955-956: San Francisco at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.059; Philadelphia (Martinez) 15.860
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+130); Over
Game 957-958: Atlanta at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hanson) 15.295; Florida (Nolasco) 14.247
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-120); Over
Game 959-960: Arizona at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Buckner) 16.618; LA Dodgers (Garland) 15.756
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+190); Under
Game 961-962: Cleveland at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carmona) 14.783; Detroit (Robertson) 15.223
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-135); Over
Game 963-964: Boston at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buccholz) 14.769; Tampa Bay (Price) 16.661
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Over
Game 965-966: NY Yankees at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Gaudin) 15.846; Toronto (Romero) 16.201
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+125); Under
Game 967-968: Seattle at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Snell) 14.383; Oakland (Tomko) 16.293
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-120); Over
Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Torres) 16.034; Cubs (Dempster) 14.876
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-175); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+165); N/A
NCAAF
South Carolina at NC State
The Wolfpack open up the regular season looking to build on their 7-0-1 ATS record in their last 8 contests. NC State is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wolfpack favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: NC State (-3 1/2)
Game 127-128: South Carolina at North Carolina State
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 90.665; North Carolina State 99.866
Dunkel Line: North Carolina State by 9; 49
Vegas Line: North Carolina State by 3 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina State (-3 1/2); Over
Game 129-130: Utah State at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 80.805; Utah 100.492
Dunkel Line: Utah by 19 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Utah by 21; 52
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+21); Under
Game 131-132: Oregon at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 109.912; Boise State 105.588
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 4 1/2; 69
Vegas Line: Boise State by 6; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+6); Over
Game 133-134: Troy at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 88.330; Bowling Green 80.939
Dunkel Line: Troy by 7 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Troy by 6; 59
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-6); Over
Game 135-136: North Texas at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 61.380; Ball State 77.241
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 16; 55
Vegas Line: Ball State by 17 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+17 1/2); Under
NFL
Detroit at Buffalo
The final week of the preseason starts Thursday night with the Lions visiting Buffalo. The Bills are the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has Buffalo favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-3)
Game 101-102: Detroit at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 119.810; Buffalo 124.679
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5; 30
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3; 33
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-3); Under
Game 103-104: Philadelphia at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 118.773; NY Jets 123.094
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 4 1/2; 33
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 2 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-2 1/2); Under
Game 105-106: NY Giants at New England
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 121.337; New England 120.829
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 34
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: New England (+3); Under
Game 107-108: Washington at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 115.722; Jacksonville 123.920
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 8; 34 1/2
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 5; 35
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-5); Under
Game 109-110: Baltimore at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 121.431; Atlanta 123.467
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 33 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3); Under
Game 111-112: Indianapolis at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 115.508; Cincinnati 120.542
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 5; 40
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-3 1/2); Over
Game 113-114: Pittsburgh at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 120.717; Carolina 121.481
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 1; 38 1/2
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3 1/2; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3 1/2); Over
Game 115-116: Cleveland at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 119.866; Chicago 121.298
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 1 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3); Over
Game 117-118: Miami at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 123.426; New Orleans 125.812
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3); Over
Game 119-120: Green Bay at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 121.127; Tennessee 126.537
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 5 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3 1/2; 37
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3 1/2); Under
Game 121-122: Kansas City at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 117.201; St. Louis 121.980
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 5; 40 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 36
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-2 1/2); Over
Game 123-124: Arizona at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 117.433; Denver 120.604
Dunkel Line: Denver by 3; 39
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 125-126: Oakland at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 122.336; Seattle 126.628
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 4 1/2; 32 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-3); Under
WNBA
Seattle at Washington
The Storm look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games versus the Eastern Conference. Seattle is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the Storm favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+2).
Game 601-602: Seattle at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 114.076; Washington 110.518
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 3 1/2; 140 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 2; 143
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+2); Under
Randall the Handle
Chicago (A.L) +1.62 over CHICAGO
The South Side came out with a miracle win yesterday after they rallied for four runs after two outs and none on in the ninth inning. That was a huge momentum win and a win like that could definitely carry over here. Then we have the AL vs NL angle and it’s not like they’re playing the Phillies or Rockies. No, they’re playing a team that is a huge risk at this big price. The Cubbies just don’t win enough and they lose to so many bad pitchers that it would be extremely foolish to put any faith in them here. Yeah, they have an edge on the hill but that’s where any edge they have ends. Besides, Carlos Torres hasn’t looked bad at all in two starts. He walks too many but he can also strike out hitters and in those two starts against Cleveland and Tampa Bay his BAA was just .257. No doubt he has the ability, he just has to throw strikes and he and the South Side have a great chance to win. Note the 2:20 PM start time. Play: Chicago +1.62 (Risking 2 units).
Seattle +1.19 over OAKLAND
The M’s are still eight games out of a wild card spot but they just beat the Angels twice in a row and their record against the A’s is a good one. In fact, the Mariners have won four straight in this series and overall this season they’ve beaten Oakland nine times in 12 games. Furthermore, Ichiro is back in the line-up and all he’s done is hit .448 against the A’s this year. Meanwhile, the A’s seldom win two in a row and after beating KC last night they’ll find the going much tougher against a team they have trouble against. Brett (Suitcase) Tomko has put up some nice numbers since coming over from the Yanks but you know that’s not going to last. Tomko has played for 11 teams in 12 years and it would appear that each team couldn’t get rid of him fast enough. The Mariners hitters have seen plenty of him and if past performance means anything he could be in for a rough outing. The M’s players have had a combined 120 AB’s against Tomko and they’re a solid 40-121 against him for a .331 batting average. In any case, the M’s are 10½ games better than the A’s, they’ve owned them this season and as a pooch, they sure offer up some decent value. Play: Seattle +1.19 (Risking 2 units).
San Francisco -½ +1.02 over PHILADELPHIA (1st 5 innings)
Based solely on the starters here, the Giants have a big edge in the first half of the game with Cy Young candidate, Tim Lincecum going up against Pedro Martinez. The Phillies have won all four of Pedro’s starts but two of those starts were rain-shortened, (five innings combined) thus, he really hasn’t been exposed yet. He faced the D-Backs once and in another outing the Mets got to him for four runs in six frames. Pedro is hittable and he’s pitched just 16 innings in four starts after being off for more then a year. This park certainly can’t help his cause. Meanwhile, Lincecum is the straight goods. He’s allowed two runs in 22 innings in his last three starts against the Phillies and his 2.33 ERA is the league’s second best mark. He’s lost just four times this season and the chances of the Giants taking a lead into the sixth are great. Play: San Francisco -½ +1.02 in the first five innings (Risking 2 units).
John Ryan
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San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Play: Philadelphia Phillies
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Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Philadelphia as they face the Giants and Lincecum set to start at 7:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 36-27 making 22.1 units since 2003. Play against NL road favorites with a money line of -125 or more with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season and after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs. Philly has played some of their best baseball against some of the best starters in baseball. Note that they are 27-13 (+12.2 Units) against the money line versus a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season; 36-20 (+18.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons. Phillies are also 37-21 (+15.6 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Their strong offense has been quiet over the last several games, but this too puts them into a strong role tonight noting they are 26-9 (+12.8 Units) against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Granted, it is based on history past, but Pedro will have a sell-out crowd supporting him and he also knows he is 3-0 when starting against SF with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 0.964. Lincecum is 13-4, but 3 of those 4 losses have come on the road. I strongly believe you will see the Phillies hitters attacking early in the count, but not necessarily on the first pitch. Lincecum allows a 358 BA on a 1-0 count, a 347 BA on a 1-1 count, and 343 BA on an 0-1 count pitch. Any team, must look FB early in the count and the Phillies are arguably the best FB hitting team in the NL. Batters hit his FB at a 255 clip, while he completely dominates batters with his change allowing a 172 BA. He uses that change to LH batters 22% of the time so it is possible for the numerous LH batters in the Phillies lineup to also sit on that pitch. He throws the change 19% overall when ahead in the count. Based on the AiS, I think Lincecum is the type of starter that the Phillies like to go after – a challenge if you will. Take the Phillies.
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets
Prediction: New York Jets
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Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Jets as they face the Eagles set to start at 7:00 EST. AiS shows a 75% probability that the Jets will win this game by 3 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 28-6 ATS for 82% winners since 1993. Play against road teams after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread in the last two weeks of the preseason. AiS shows a 90% probability that the Eagles will gain less than 75 yards rushing in this game. Philly is just 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) when they rush for 50 to 75 yards since 1993. Jets are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they allow 50 to 75 rushing yards since 1993. Jets do use the last 2 weeks as further preparation for the regular season. Note that they are 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) in the last two weeks of the preseason since 1993. Take the Jets.
Troy vs. Bowling Green
Play: Bowling Green +7
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Bowling Green as they host Troy University set to start at 7:00 EST. AiS shows a 74% probability that BG will lose this game by 7 or fewer points. This is certainly a game that may see an SU win by the dog as the AiS shows a 50% probability that BG will win this game. Supporting this potential upset is a system that has gone 108-70 making 52.5 units since 1997. Play against a road team versus the money line that is a good offensive team from last season scoring 31 or more points/game in non-conference games. Take Bowling Green for a 3* Live Major DOG play.
Erik Scheponik
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Troy vs. Bowling Green
Play: Troy -7
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The Sun Belt actually appears to have passed, or at least pulled even with the MAC in college football's conference pecking order, and Troy is the clear class of the league. This is a team that led LSU 31-3 and went toe-to-toe with Ohio St.(outyarded the Buckeyes), both on the road last season, so this season-opening road trip shouldn't be too much of a task. They are 7-2$ their last 9 as a road favorite. Bowling Green returns only 3 defensive starters, and there will no doubt be an adjustment period to new HC Clawson and 2 two new coordinators. Troy will outclass them here. Troy by 11.
Rocketman
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Troy vs. Bowling Green
Play: Troy -7
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Troy has 13 starters back from a decent 8-5 team last year while Bowling Green returns only 11 starters from their 6-6 team. Troy is 11-2 ATS last 3 years when playing on Grass. Troy scored 32.8 points per game overall last year while Bowling Green allowed 32.6 points per game at home last season. Bowling Green was only 1-4 SU at home last year. Trojans are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games. Trojans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite. Trojans are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Falcons are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 home games. We'll recommend a small play on Troy tonight!
Tom Stryker
Oakland Raiders vs. Seattle Seahawks
Play: Oakland Raiders +3
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After getting absolutely embarrassed at home by New Orleans last week, Oakland should come to play on Thursday night. My NFL Pre-Season database agrees.
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Dating back to the 1984 Pre-Season, there have been 15 teams that have played after suffering a blowout loss of 35 points or more. These teams have rebounded to post a profitable 9-5 SU and 9-4-1 ATS including a nearly perfect 5-1-1 ATS provided they check in off back-to-back SU blemishes. The Raiders fit this unique system and the tightener perfectly. Equally impressive, preseason guests coming off back-to-back SU blemishes are a solid 16-8 ATS provided they're matched up against an opponent that checks in off a straight up underdog win. The Silver and Black fit this quick angle too.
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Seattle owns a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS mark right now and they've looked good in the preseason. The Raiders certainly don't want to limp into the regular season and they'll put forth their best effort tonight. Take Oakland
Freddy Wills
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Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs
Play: Chicago Cubs -1.5
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Take the Cubs during the day game here on the run line. It's plain and simple if the Cubs played during the day this year they would have wont he division. They have won 80% of their home wins by more than 1 run including 17 straight! The Whitesox visit here today with Torres on the mound who in two starts has allowed twice as many runners as innings pitched (9.1). Dempster has not pitched extremely well, but he'll go at home and during the day two spots he has pitched better as well as he'll be on a bounce back start which should motivate him more. Dempster who gave up 4 ER in his last start will have the day start as well as the liberty of facing a struggling offense in the White Sox who are hitting just .186 in their last 5 and .218 in their last 10 vs. RHP. They are also scoring just 2.25 R/9 and 3.76 r/9 vs. RHP in their last 5 and 10 games. All along their bullpen has been terrible and really has fallen apart on them in August. In their last 10 games they have a 7.36 ERA. With Torres on the mound they are going to need that bullpen and I fear it could fall apart on them big time here. Cubs on the other hand has a 0ERA from their bullpen in the last 5 and 2.70 in their last 10 so expect them to shut down the White Sox here today. The White Sox are 4-17 in their last 28 as a road dog and the Cubs are 15-3 when Dempster pitches at home with the total 9-10.5. White Sox are also 0-4 in their last 4 overall vs. RH starter and 7-21 overall in their last 28 on the road including a recent 2-8 stretch that they are in.
LT Profits
Oakland Raiders @ Seattle Seahawks
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The Seattle Seahawks have played well defensively this preseason while the Oakland Raiders are coming off an embarrassing 45-7 home loss, and the fact that the Oakland starters figure to see much more action here than the Seattle starters should ensure a low scoring game.
The Raiders were just pitiful in what was supposed to be a Week 3 dress rehearsal for the regular season, but then again, maybe it was an accurate dress rehearsal and they really are that bad. Regardless, many of their starters spoke up after the game about wanting to play in this preseason finale, meaning that the regulars figure to play much longer than originally planned.
While this may or may not actually give Oakland a chance to win this game against a Seahawks team that could not care less, it does almost certainly ensure that this will be a low scoring game, as any success the Raiders have will be hard earned vs. a Seattle defense that is allowing just 12.3 points per game this preseason.
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This outcome will be determined by what happens on the Seattle offensive end, and frankly, we do not expect much there either. The Seahawks have nothing else to prove this preseason with their 3-0 start, and while a perfect preseason would be nice, it is more important to keep the starters on the sidelines this week with the regular season beginning next week.
In fact, Seattle Coach Jim Mora is already publicly underplaying the perfect record, as he says he will play his fringe players that are on the bubble for the vast majority of the game, as he seems more interested with evaluation than with trying to win this meaningless contest.
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Pick: Raiders/Seahawks Under 36.5
Mike Rose
North Carolina State -5
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HC Steve Spurrier leads his South Carolina Gamecocks into battle with plenty of question marks. He still really hasnt totally decided whether junior QB Chris Smelley or sophomore QB Stephen Garcia is his man under center. A defense which held its opponents to 21.1 points per game (#31 in the nation) and held opposing passing attacks to just 159.4 yards per game (#2 in the nation) now has plenty of holes to fill. On top of that, the Gamecocks struggled on the road last year, going just 2-3 SU and ATS in five road games.
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The NC State Wolfpack believe that they can contend for the ACC Championship this season in spite of the fact that they finished with the worst record in the ACC Atlantic Division last year. QB Russell Wilson has been absolutely fantastic since taking over the reigns of the NCSU offense in the middle of last season. He holds the nations longest streak of passes without an interception, and he had the best TD/INT ratio of any quarterback in the country last year. With a bunch of returning starters from a defense that held three of its L/4 regular season opponents to 17 points or less, HC Tom OBrien could find plenty of success this year.
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Theres a reason that the football betting line in this game has jumped from three up to five. South Carolina cleaned NC States clock last year, winning in Columbia 34-0. The result wont nearly be the same this year. Well look back at the line in this game and laugh in several weeks when the Wolfpack are contending for an ACC title and the Gamecocks are struggling to gain bowl eligibility.
Tom Freese
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San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: Under
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Philadelphia starter Pedro Martinez has a better than 4 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. Philadelphia is 6-0 UNDER off a loss. The Phillies are 20-6 UNDER their last 26 games vs. righty starters and they are 4-1 UNDER their last 5 meetings with the Giants. San Francisco is 15-6 UNDER their last 21 games as favorites and they are 7-0 UNDER with Tim Lincecum in Game 3 of a series. The Giants are 15-7-1 UNDER vs. NL East teams and they are 7-3-1 UNDER their last 11 road games vs. winning teams. PLAY ON 'UNDER'
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit on NY Yankees -128
Bottom Line: We don't usually see the Yankees at such a great price, especially when they are facing a team that is 14 games under .500. Romero has better numbers than Gaudin on the season but I'm willing to wager a unit that New York outscores the Jays here. Here's the key: the Yankees are hitting .282 as a team with an OPS of .843. Plus, the Blue Jays are 0-6 in Romero's last 6 starts vs. the American League East. Take the Yanks.
JR TIPS
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Red Sox at Rays
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The Rays took a second straight victory Thursday night at Tropicana Field as Pat Burrell homered and snapped an eighth-inning tie with an RBI single while Evan Longoria followed with a two-run homer to help Tampa Bay even the set with an 8-5 victory last night.The Rays improved to 9-5 against Boston this season and are third in the wild-card race, five games behind the Red Sox. Longoria is hot for the Rays as the third baseman is batting .409 with two homers in his last five games.Longoria is batting .362 with eight homers and 26 RBIs against Boston this season.Boston starts Clay Buchholz (3-3, 4.38 ERA) who is coming off one his better outings, allowing one run and three hits while striking out a season-high nine in 8 1/3 innings to earn the win in a 3-2 victory over Toronto on Saturday.The Rays start David Price (7-6, 4.63), who's coming off a strong effort after giving up one run in 7 1/3 innings to earn the win in a 3-1 victory at Detroit on Saturday.The left-hander, who's 6-2 with a 2.96 ERA in nine home starts, earned the win in his only start against the Red Sox by allowing two runs in six innings of a 6-4 victory Aug. 5th. The Rays top hitters are hot and they are play at another level against Boston at home. This hot Tampa bay offense will only need 4 runs with David Price on the mound tonight.
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