Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, December 31

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Portland at Oklahoma City
The Trail Blazers try to bounce back from last night's 102-100 loss in New Orleans as they face an Oklahoma City team that is coming off a 117-86 win over Houston and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Portland is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Portland (+4 1/2)

Game 501-502: Atlanta at Boston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 118.009; Boston 123.239
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 5; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 2 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-2 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Cleveland at Indiana (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 113.839; Indiana 124.496
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 10 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 13; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+13); Over

Game 505-506: Golden State at Orlando (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 120.882; Orlando 120.530
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 6; 205
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+6); Over

Game 507-508: Sacramento at Houston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 112.633; Houston 125.533
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 13; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 9 1/2; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-9 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Brooklyn at San Antonio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 111.217; San Antonio 127.803
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 16 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 12; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-12); Under

Game 511-512: Toronto at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 120.492; Chicago 115.010
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 5 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 513-514: Portland at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 122.544; Oklahoma City 125.331
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1; 219
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4 1/2; 211
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+4 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: Milwaukee at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 108.183; LA Lakers 118.711
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 10 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

NHL

Columbus at Colorado
The Blue Jackets travel to Denver tonight to face an Avalanche team that is coming off a 2-1 OT loss to Winnipeg and is 1-5 in their last 6 games after allowing 2 goals or less in the previous game. Columbus is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jackets favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+140)

Game 1-2: Pittsburgh at New Jersey (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.847; New Jersey 11.398
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-130); Under

Game 3-4: NY Rangers at Florida (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.107; Florida 9.985
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-110); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-110); Over

Game 5-6: St. Louis at Minnesota (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 12.576; Minnesota 10.042
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 3 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130); Under

Game 7-8: NY Islanders at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 10.535; Boston 12.626
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 9-10: Montreal at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.396; Carolina 11.322
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+100); Over

Game 11-12: Buffalo at Winnipeg (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 10.760; Winnipeg 12.182
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-170); Under

Game 13-14: Los Angeles at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.639; Dallas 11.425
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-110); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-110); Over

Game 15-16: San Jose at Anaheim (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.273; Anaheim 12.566
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-120); Under

Game 17-18: Columbus at Colorado (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.752; Colorado 10.583
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+140); Over

Game 19-20: Edmonton at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 9.936; Phoenix 11.484
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-180); 6
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-180); Under

Game 21-22: Philadelphia at Calgary (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.884; Calgary 10.458
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Under

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Seton Hall at Providence
The Pirates and Friars open up their Big East schedule this afternoon with Seton Hall looking to improve on their 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 games at Providence. Seton Hall is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Friars favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (+5 1/2)

Game 517-518: St. John's at Xavier (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 64.580; Xavier 70.940
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Xavier by 4
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-4)

Game 519-520: Kent State at Princeton (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 53.876; Princeton 67.561
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Princeton by 9
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-9)

Game 521-522: Ohio State at Purdue (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 75.848; Purdue 65.332
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-7)

Game 523-524: Richmond at Northeastern (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 59.999; Northeastern 58.847
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 1
Vegas Line: Richmond by 3
Dunkel Pick: Northeastern (+3)

Game 525-526: Seton Hall at Providence (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 57.444; Providence 60.345
Dunkel Line: Providence by 3
Vegas Line: Providence by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (+5 1/2)

Game 527-528: George Washington at Kansas State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 63.616; Kansas State 64.857
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 4
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (+4)

Game 529-530: Indiana at Illinois (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 65.020; Illinois 70.416
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois by 3
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-3)

Game 531-532: Eastern Michigan at Syracuse (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 55.546; Syracuse 71.823
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 19
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+19)

Game 533-534: Michigan State at Penn State (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 72.094; Penn State 64.449
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-5 1/2)

Game 535-536: NC-Wilmington at North Carolina (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Wilmington 46.866; North Carolina 74.877
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 28
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-22 1/2)

Game 537-538: Louisville at Central Florida (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 78.570; Central Florida 59.242
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-12 1/2)

Game 539-540: DePaul at Georgetown (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 55.406; Georgetown 66.029
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 14
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+14)

Game 541-542: North Texas at Texas A&M (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 52.104; Texas A&M 62.439
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 13
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+13)

Game 543-544: Northern Illinois at Iowa State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 48.106; Iowa State 78.943
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 31
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 24
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-24)

Game 545-546: Memphis at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 66.859; South Florida 61.119
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Memphis by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+7 1/2)

Game 547-548: Nebraska at Iowa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 59.509; Iowa 78.101
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Iowa by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-14 1/2)

Game 549-550: Villanova at Butler (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 71.234; Butler 69.653
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 4
Dunkel Pick: Butler (+4)

Game 551-552: Connecticut at Houston (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 67.962; Houston 55.747
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 12
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-10 1/2)

Game 553-554: Marquette at Creighton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 65.012; Creighton 77.666
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Creighton by 9
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-9)

Game 555-556: Duke vs. Elon (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 70.680; Elon 56.620
Dunkel Line: Duke by 14
Vegas Line: Duke by 16
Dunkel Pick: Elon (+16)

Freddy WillsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Virginia Tech vs. UCLAFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Virginia Tech +7½FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Here is the story here, UCLA may be getting a few offensive linemen back, but they won't be 100%. They were 110th in pass protection and Virginia Tech was #1 in sack %. VA Tech was also 5th in opposing QB rating, 11th in yards/attempts and 4th in completion % and 5th in ypc run defense as well as 5th nationally in 3rd down defense. UCLA was considered an elite offense, but vs. a top tier defense like Virginia Tech I think they will be just an average offensive team. I see an extremely low scoring game in this game and Virginia Tech should be able to stick around. Virginia Tech also sports the 5th best rushing defense which is also important considering UCLA will run it more than they pass.

Jim Feist

Sacramento Kings vs. Houston Rockets
Play: Sacramento Kings +11½

Sacramento is a young team with plenty of offensive punch, 14th in the NBA in scoring with 100 ppg. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Houston is a big favorite but doesn't play much defense, 24th in points allowed. The Rockets are 2-7 ATS against the NBA Pacific division and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games playing on one days rest.

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Boston College vs. ArizonaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Boston College +7.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Arizona is 2-7 ATS against teams with winning records and Boston College is 5-0 ATS against teams with winning records. Boston College has won 3 of 4 games and will win this game behind running back Andre Williams. Prediction: BC 27 ARIZ 24.

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Duke vs. Texas A&MFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Texas A&M -11.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Possible swan song for Johhny football. Texas AM has as potent a offense as anyone in college football. You have to score if you want to beat them. As poor as the defense has been, and part of the reason is they are on the field an awful lot, they are respectable on 3rd down, giving up less than 40%. In addition, head coach Kevin Sumlin signed an extention, so he is going nowhere after the game. Duke has had as magical of a season as any in recent memory. However, they just don't have the horses to stay with AM for 4 quarters. I can see this game similar to the Florida St game for Duke.

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GEORGE WASHINGTON VS KANSAS STATEVlSlT THESPREAD.COM
PLAY: GEORGE WASHINGTON +4FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Conference play is now getting underway in earnest in college basketball. But there are still a handful of non-league games on the 12/31 slate and one of those hookups has caught my eye.
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George Washington isn’t getting much attention from the national talking heads, but the Colonials are off to a great start at 11-1. It’s also important to note that GW isn’t just beating up on a bunch of tomato cans. The Colonials have a win at Manhattan, as well as neutral court decisions over Miami, Maryland and Creighton.
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Mike Lonergan appears to have really put this team on the fast track after going just 23-38 in his first two years at the GW helm. Lonergan didn’t figure to win much with what he inherited, but his track record at Vermont is documentation as to his ability to win. The only real surprise to me is that it’s happening this fast at George Washington.
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There are a couple of big keys to explain the turnaround. Maurice Creek trasnferred to GW from Indiana and GW has transformed from a team with no long range ability last year to a squad now connecting at better than 41%, with Creek popping them at 47% by himself. Point guard Joe McDonald was a turnover machine as a freshman. This time around, he’s sporting a 58/18 A/TO ratio. Kethan Savage is putting up good numbers across the board and big man Isaiah Armwood has been a horse on the offensive glass.
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Kansas State is a hot team now, winning seven in a row after starting 2-3. The Wildcats own a nice win over Gonzaga, and their last three wins have been by a combined 70 points. But K-State is still a flawed team. The numbers tell the story as the Wildcats just aren’t very good shooters. They’re well below par in a variety of offensive categories. On the other hand, this Wildcats entry has some terrific defensive numbers. I wouldn’t count on George Washington getting too many easy looks against Bruce Weber’s suffocating man to man defense.
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I’ve got a few good reasons to look at the underdog today. First, GW is still very much under the national radar, and therefore it follows that lots of bettors might not realize how good they might be. The Colonials also have a better resume this season to date than K-State. Plus, the Wildcats could be looking ahead a bit to a big conference opener against Oklahoma State this weekend. Playing an opponent they defeated last season might not be the ultimate catalyst for a New Year’s Eve day game where the home crowd could conceivably even less focused than the team.
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I don’t have any worries about the road team’s approach today. I expect the Colonials to be treating this as a really big game, and I actually think they might just be the better team. I’m on George Washington plus the points to get this one.

Ray Monohan

Boston College vs. Arizona Boston College
Play: Boston College +7.5

As soon as this line was released I have loved the Eagles in this bowl. These teams have the same record and great running backs, Andre Williams and Ka'Deem Carey, but I think Arizona is getting aa little too much credit for their win over Oregon. Maybe this one will go up even more with Oregon winning the night before. Boston College is more than capable and very tough. They played FSU better than anyone this season and that is just as impressive and more than enough to make me think this one will be decided by a field goal.

Sean Higgs

Virginia Tech vs. UCLA
Play: Virginia Tech +7½

The Hyndai Sun Bowl features the 8-4 Virginia Tech Hokies vs the 9-3 UCLA Bruins. UCLA is currently listed as a 7 point favorite for the game here at Sun Bowl Stadium in El Paso.

I'm going to start here with Jim Mora and his Bruins. Make no mistake, these guys are looking at their first 10 win season in a few years and will want to get rid of that 23 point bowl loss last year to Baylor out of their mouths. No point of arguing here. UCLA has the much better offense on the field today. QB Brett Hundley had a nice year throwing for over 2800 yards and leading the Bruins in rushing (587) and contributing 31 TDs on the year (22pass 9rush).

So we have the spread offense and a solid defense for UCLA. At first look I was close to moving on UCLA. I think they played a tough schedule and showed they can play with some of the better programs in the land. It looks like Jim Mora is not going anywhere and he has a pretty QB that will come back next year and maybe lead this team further up the rankings.

On the other side of the coin we have Virginia Tech. What can I really say about these guys? Frank Beamer has this guys bowling for the 21st straight year. 21! That is the longest streak in the nation. It must be respected that even though he refuses to do anything about his stagnant offense, Beamer and DC Bud Foster continue to churn out top defensive units. Not too mention a special teams squad that always seems to make key plays.

I'll start with the Hokies O or lack there of. I really thought VT could be a dark-horse BSC contender. The defense, #4 in total yards allowing under 270 a game is a top flight unit. On their merit alone, this team should be good. But the QB play of Logan Thomas has been terrible. I think the kid regressed this year. He tossed 13 INTs this year to just 15 TDs. And adding insult to injury, his rushing yards were nearly cut in half.

So we have VT with a poor offense but the defense generated 25 turnovers of their own. This defense is on par with anything the Bruins have seen. I will say close to Stanford. Hokies aren't flashy. If these guys ever changed their style of play watch out. They are going to run the ball. Eat clock. Force turnovers and maybe do something on special teams.

I am going to back the VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES +7 here. Again. Not a knock on UCLA. But I will grab the team with a better defense here. UCLA put together an impressive season. But this is by far their toughest non-conference game. Not sure if they are physical or disciplined enough to play a 'between the trench' type game that VT is going to want to do. Hokies will slow the tempo and it wouldn't shock me to see them with a chance for the outright win here.

Rob Vinciletti

Atlanta vs. Boston
Play: Over 200½

This play is derived from the 11-2 totals system that plays to the over for home favorites of 4 or less that scored 100 or more as a home favorite in their last game and lost to the spread by 1-3 points, Like Boston, vs an opponent that scored 100 or more a a road dog. These games average 212 points per game. For further support we note that 4 of the last 5 in the series here have flown over the total. Atlanta has played over in 12 of 13 in December, 14 of 19 vs losing teams, 9 of 11 off 3+ overs and 6 of 7 on the road if they scored 100 or more on the road in their last game. Boston has posted overs in 7 of 8 at home if they scored 100 or more at home in their last game and 4 of 5 as a home favorite of 3 or less. Look for a free flowing game here resulting in an over.

Rob Vinciletti's Featured Package

Charlie ScottFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Virginia Tech vs. UCLAFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Over 47FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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While Unders have been Winners so far this Bowl Season, I had this Over isolated early in my Bowl Handicapping. The numbers don't add up and 47 is a Bad Total. The "Feel" Handicappers develop from doing this for 30+ Years Tells me Over. Throw in Nice weather Today in El Paso, 47 is the lowest posted Total of the Season for UCLA, and the Over has cashed in 3 of VaTech's last 4 games.

Jimmy Boyd
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Kent State +9
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Kent State has been a good team to back on the road when they are playing a team with a winning record. They have a 10-2 ATS record in this situation over the last two seasons. They are also 8-1 ATS against teams averaging 33 rebounds per game or less. The Golden Flashes will have a huge advantage on the boards, and they are also the better ball control team averaging just 10 turnovers per game. Fewer turnovers and more rebounds will translate into more shot attempts, and that should allow Kent State to get enough points to keep this game close with Princeton.
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The Tigers come into this game with a 0-4 ATS record in their last four home games. Princeton is not a high scoring team averaging 74.5 points per game, and I think there is a lot of value on Kent State coming into this game averaging 75.6 points per game against a schedule that is equal in talent with the Tigers. The Golden Flashes are also a good foul drawing team, and that gives them another significant advantage. Kent State averages just shy of 73 percent from the free throw line and they have had 25 attempts per game. The Tigers average just 19 free throw attempts per game at home.

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Arizona -7 over Boston CollegeFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Yesterday we saw a middle-of-the-pack ACC team lose to Ole Miss, 25-17 but that was actually a flattering score to Georgia Tech. It wasn’t that close and probably should have been about 35-17. Here we have another average ACC team in Boston College that like Georgia Tech is one-dimensional with a strong running game and weak passing game. Boston College indeed surprised some people this year with its 7-5 record after a 2-12 season the year before but its best win came against Virginia Tech. The Eagles six other wins came against Villanova, Wake Forest, Army, New Mexico State, N.C. State and Maryland. Army and New Mexico State are two of the worst teams in Division I football and Maryland and N.C. State finished a combined 2-14 in ACC play. Offensively, the Eagles have one weapon – RB Andre Williams, who ran for 2102 yards on 329 carries. This is a pedestrian and predictable offense.
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Arizona posted a win over Oregon, they had a five-point loss to UCLA and they also played a much tougher schedule than the Eagles. The Wildcats also have a great RB in Ka'Deem Carey, who ran for 1716 yards on just 322 carries. Last season Carey ran for over 1929 yards on 303 carries. Carey has averaged close to six yards a carry for two years running but the Eagles can’t focus on one guy. The Wildcats have a QB that can run and pass, much like Marcus Mariota of the Ducks. QB B.J. Denker racked up 898 yards and 12 touchdowns on the ground. He also threw for over 2200 yards and 14 TD’s. Overall, the Wildcats ground game ranked 11th in the country and 35th in total offense. Boston College backed their way into a Bowl game with wins over some putrid programs and if the Wildcats show up and play to their capabilities, this one won’t be close.
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Mississippi State -7 over RiceFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The 10-3 Rice Owls are receiving a converted TD against a Bulldogs program that was 4-6 going into their final two games. In its last two games, MSU ended up defeating Arkansas and Ole Miss, both in OT, to finish the season 6-6 and qualify for this game. While the Owls were defeating teams like New Mexico State, UTSA, UTEP, Florida Atlantic, Tulsa, UAB and Louisiana Tech, the Bulldogs were losing to the best teams in the country. MSU’s six losses all occurred against schools with eight wins or more. Five of those six teams were ranked #15 or better when the Bulldogs played them. The Bulldogs played Alabama tough in a 20-7 defeat and they came close against Texas A&M. MSU’s four other losses occurred against Oklahoma State, Auburn, LSU and South Carolina. The Bulldogs average of 426.2 yards of total offense per game occurred against some of the best defenses in the nation.
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Mississippi State is one of the most undervalued programs in the country. With a couple of more wins over such notable programs, they would be -14 points here. This is a team that should dominate the line of scrimmage because the Bulldogs offensive line outweighs the Owls defensive line by an average of 40 pounds per man. That’s an incredible number that suggests the Bulldogs should be able to run wild here and give QB Dak Prescott all the time in the world to find open receivers. Rice is a good team in the C-USA but if this team played in the SEC, they likely would have gone 0-6 in conference play. A conference mismatch, a battle-tested mismatch and a talent mismatch has us heavily leaning to the vastly superior team spotting a cheap price.

Jeff Scott Sports
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3 UNIT PLAY
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Mississippi State/ Rice Under 50.5: I tell you one thing this better not be the one game that breaks the Under string that has been going on. LOL I just don't see a whole lot of points in this one. The Rice offense has been solid this year but they are a run based offense that will chew up allot of clock. They have averaged 31.4 ppg overall and 31 ppg on the road, but most all of that has been done vs very weak Conference USA defenses and now they step up to play a tough SEC defense that has played well down the stretch, allowing 15.7 ppg in their last 3 games, while allowing just 24.3 ppg overall. Now I know that Rice did face an SEC defense one this year and they scored 31 points in that one, but that game was also week 1 of the year and vs probably the worst SEC defense in the legue in Texas A&M. Plus the Aggies had some defensive suspensions in that game as well. The Owls have played solid defense this year, allowing just 351.1 ypg and 22.9 ppg on the year. On offense, the Bulldogs have scored 26.3 ppg overall, but just 20.9 ppg away from home and 16 ppg in their last 3 games. Down the stretch they have had some QB injuries, but Zac Prescott is slated to go in this one and he is more of a runner than passer. Both teams run the ball more than pass it and that should keep the clock rolling, while a couple of solid defenses should keep the scoring down. No more than 42 in this one.
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
2 UNIT PLAY
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
Boston College/ Arizona Under 57: This should be another one of those ground attack kind of games. The Boston College offense is a ball control offense that runs it 40 times a game, while passing just 20 times a game. That's a very low plays per game average that they have overall. The Eagles need to play that type of ball control offense if they have any hopes of winning, because this Arizona offense can score in bunches at times. Still, Arizona is also a run based offense that runs the ball 20 more times than they throw it per game. Arizona is 11th in the nation in rushing and 100th in passing, while BC is 20th in rushing and 115th in passing, so if the scoring is done here it will have to be the boring way, meaning time consuming drives. Look for this one to stay in the 40's