Notifications
Clear all

Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 5,2010

38 Posts
1 Users
0 Reactions
2,703 Views
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Denver Money

Calgary Flames @ Nashville Predators

The Flames coming into the game tonight winning their last 4 games. Calgary has also won 5 of the last 6 meetings versus Nashville and 4 of the last 5 in Nashville. In this series the road team is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings with 3 of those 5 victories being by Calgary. These two have met twice this season already and the road team won both games. It looks like Kiprusoff is to be in the net tonight for the Flames. Kiprusoff has a save % of .928 this season with 3 shutouts. On the other side of the ice we should see Ellis who has a save % of .908 and 0 shutouts this season.

2* Calgary Flames -105

Phoenix Coyotes @ Edmonton Oilers

Phoenix visits Edmonton tonight where they have struggled in recent history going 4-17-2 in last 23 meetings in Edmonton. Coyotes are also 8-20-1 in the last 29 meetings overall. In this series the home team is 5-1 the last 6 with 4 of those games being played in Edmonton including 1 matchup this season on 11/23 where Oilers won 4-0. Edmonton who has struggled this season has won 5 of their last 7 games versus a team with a losing road record. In the nets tonight we should see Bryzgalov who has a save % of .927 and 5 shutouts this season. Bryzgalov who is 22-11-4 overall has a road record of 7-10 this season. For the Oilers we should see Deslauriers who is 9-12-2 overall and 3-7 at home this season. Deslauriers has a save % of .906 and 1 shutout this season as well. His one shutout was when the Oilers beat Phoenix back on 11/23.

2* Edmonton Oilers +105

Atlanta Thrashers @ Pittsburgh Penguins

We get a matchup of two teams that are in a bit of a slump tonight when the Thrashers travel to visit the Penguins tonight in Pittsburgh. Both teams look to get back on track and with that said I think we should see some goals tonight. The over is 8-2 in the Thrashers last 10 games overall. The over is also 11-2 in the last 13 Penguins games in the third game of a 3-in-4 day situation. In the net tonight we should see Hedberg for the Thrashers who has a save % of .914 and 1 shutout this season. He faced the Penguins back on 11/21 and got the loss 2-3. For the Penguins Johnson is suppose to be in the net, he has a save % of .916 this season with 0 shutouts and is yet to face Atlanta this season.

2* Atlanta/Pittsburgh OVER 6 -140

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 12:41 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Mr. Vegas Wins

Iowa/Georgia Tech

A pair of teams that prefer to run the football, which keeps the clock moving and the score down. Iowa (10-2 SU, 7-3-1 ATS) has a great defense and a terrific offensive line. The offense (23 ppg) prefers to run the football behind offensive tackles Bryan Bulaga and Kyle Callaway. This defense ranks 10th out of 120 major college programs, allowing 15.5 points per game. Georgia Tech (11-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) is all about running the football. A year ago LSU had time to prepare for their option attack and held G-Tech to 3 points in a bowl that sailed under the total. Play Iowa/Georgia Tech Under the total!

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 1:02 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Hollywood Sports

Texas at Arkansas
Prediction: Texas

The Texas Longhorns (13-0) have two very impressive double-digit wins this season against Michigan State and North Carolina. But the Longhorns were sluggish on Saturday in their 76-70 win over Texas A&M Corpus-Christi. This lackluster performance should help ensure that Texas is focused as they travel to Fayetteville to take on an Arkansas (7-7) team that returns all five starters from last year's team that defeated the Longhorns by a 67-61 score. After losing to Baylor on a neutral court by 23-points, the Razorbacks bounced back to narrowly lose to Alabama-Birmingham by just one-point. Expect an Arkansas letdown here. In particular, the Longhorns will hold a dominate rebounding advantage over the Razorbacks tonight. Texas leads the nation with their 45.7 RPG average that produces a +9.2 rebounding margin per game average. Arkansas only rebounds 34.7 boards per game and get out-rebounded by 1.4 boards per game. Furthermore, Arkansas has failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games when an underdog of at least 13 points. Texas has covered eight of their last ten games as a favorite. Given Texas' desire to get back to playing good basketball -- and with their opportunity to get some payback from last season's loss -- expect the Longhorns to blowout the Razorbacks. Lay the points with Texas.

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 1:03 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

SPORTS WAGERS

Detroit +8½ over DALLAS

Wow, if you’re betting the Mav’s here this one looks almost too easy and therefore the play is the other side. The Pistons are a complete grease-fire at the moment with nine straight losses and they’re hard-pressed to score 20 a quarter. Prince, Hamilton and to a lesser extent Gordon, all back in the line-up have not helped one bit and in fact, they’ve been more of a liability than an asset. The former two cannot hit an easy look. Meanwhile, the Mav’s are one of the best in the business and they’re certainly not going to be in a sympathetic mood after getting pasted by Lakers by 35 points. A look at the Mav’s past few games shows that at home they were favored over Memphis by 8½, over New Orleans by 8½ and over Philly by 12. The point is, if they were favored over that trio by at least this many, why are they only an 8½-point choice over the brutal Pistons? It would be simple to pull the trigger on Dallas, as they should wallop this intruder but damn, you really need some discipline and balls to pull the trigger on the Pistons. Again, this one looks way too easy and you’ll probably even see this one go up to –9 after 5:00 PM when all the square money comes pouring in. This one is a trap my friends and therefore I’m siding with the books. Play: Detroit +8½ (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).

NEW JERSEY +1.05 over Milwaukee

Not really sure how a team goes 3-30 but that’s the plight of the Nets these days and therefore they really have nothing to lose. In fact, they’re showing a lot of positive signs these past few games, as they hung with the Cav’s in its last game and beat the Knicks the previous one. They also came close to beating the Rockets just before X-Mas. Besides, it’s not like teams get jacked up to come here to play and thus, it makes the visitor a much easier target. Furthermore, the Bucks road record is almost as bad as the Nets home record. In fact, Milwaukee is 3-11 on the road and has just two wins overall in its last nine games. The Nets are awful but this is a winnable game and at least they’re showing some spirit while the Bucks are showing nothing. Play: New Jersey +1.05 (Risking 2 units).

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 1:06 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Rocketman Sports

Georgia Tech vs. Georgia
Play: Georgia +5

Georgia Tech is 1-5 ATS since 1997 as a road favorite of 3 1/2 to 6 points. Georgia is 6-1 SU at home this year allowing only 57.7 points per game. Georgia is 6-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home vs Georgia Tech since 1997. Yellow Jackets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Southeastern. Yellow Jackets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 0.5-6.5. Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast. Home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Yellow Jackets are 0-4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Georgia. We'll recommend a small play on Georgia tonight!

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 3:32 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Freddy Wills

New Mexico vs. San Diego State
Play: New Mexico State +3.5

I'm going with NM State here as they have played a stronger opponent and have a stronger strength of schedule than the home team in San Diego State. New Mexico beat this team by 27 at home a year ago and will likely be up against a tougher team than they faced last year, but the road team is 7-1 ATS in this series over the last 8 match ups and New Mexico is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings. SDSU has a strong strength of schedule thus far but is 38 percentage points from what New Mexico has faced and they just won by just 5 to a UC River teams that is much worse than New Mexico while that's not usually a good theory to back teams in I just believe this New Mexico team is going to dominate the Mountain West.

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 3:32 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Phoenix Suns -2.5

The Kings have lost 5 of their last 6 and I think they'll fall again tonight against a Suns squad that will be looking to bounce back from an embarrassing 25-point home loss to Memphis. The numbers are certainly on Phoenix's side tonight as plays on any team off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, playing with 2 days rest, are 25-5 ATS the last 3 seasons. Plus, the Suns are 12-3 ATS after allowing 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 112.2 to 105.3. Bet the Suns for 1 Unit.

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 3:33 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Jack Jones

Chicago Bulls vs. Charlotte Bobcats
Play: Under 187

Chicago is scoring just 90.6 ppg on the road this year against teams who allow 99 ppg and they are giving up just 97.2 ppg against teams who score 100.1. The Bobcats have played great defense at home, allowing just 89.7 ppg against teams who normally score 98.7. They also don't score a lot of points, putting up just 92.2 ppg overall against teams who give up 98.5 ppg.

Chicago was on a bit of a roll, but they lost last night to Oklahoma City. That puts us in a good situation tonight because they have amped up their defense a little bit after a loss this season, going 13-4 for the UNDER.

Both of these teams prefer a slower pace, so I think this total has been sat a tad bit too high and the value is with the UNDER.

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 3:34 pm
Page 3 / 3
Share: