Dr. Bob
Buffalo (-24½) 35 MIAMI-OHIO 14
My math model favors Buffalo by 24½ points with a total of 49, so there is no line value in this game. However, Miami-Ohio applies to a 107-45-3 ATS contrary situation that plays on teams with bad spread records against teams with winning spread records. I also think it could be tough for Buffalo to get emotionally up for the lowly Redhawks after their showdown with Toledo last week. I'll lean with Miami plus the points.
OHIO (-6½) 31 Kent 24
My math model favors Ohio by 5½ points with a total of 55 points but Ohio applies to a solid 73-38-4 ATS blowout bounce back situation tonight so I'll lean slightly with the Bobcats.
Harry Bondi
Buffalo / Miami-Ohio Under 49
All the ingredients are here for a low-scoring game. First off, we have a big favorite in Buffalo that is coming off a deflating loss, playing on the road against an inferior opponent with a huge conference game on deck. That tells us the Bulls simply won't be fully focused on the task at hand and will likely put forth a lethargic effort. While that may sound like a good reason to grab the points with Miami-Ohio, there is no way we can back a team that is 0-10 straight-up, averaging 7 points per game and just 223 total yards per game. In conference play the last three years these two teams have gone "under" in 70 percent of their games (28 out of 40). Go under.
Thanks for all you do, Blade.