Jeff Alexander
1 Unit on Charlotte Bobcats +2.5
The Knicks are just 1-4 at Madison Square Garden, where they have really struggled from distance. In fact, the Knicks are hitting an NBA-worst 26.0 percent of their 3-pointers at home. New York is 5-0 this season when it hits at least 40 percent of its 3-point attempts in a game, and 1-8 when it doesn't. Knocking in a high percentage against Charlotte will not be easy, consider the Bobcats are only allowing 35.8 percent shooting from beyond the arc this season. This will be the key tonight. The Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite, while the Bobcats are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Take the points.
Rocketman
Nevada vs Boston
Play: Boston -2.5
Nevada is 5-14 ATS last 3 years when the total is 130 to 139 1/2. Nevada is 4-16 ATS last 3 years when playing against a team with a losing record. Boston is 6-1 ATS since 1997 when the total is 130 to 139 1/2. Boston is 7-1 ATS since 1997 and 5-1 ATS last 3 years as a favorite. We'll recommend a small play on Boston today!
Jack Jones
Atlanta Hawks -3
I believe the Atlanta Hawks are showing excellent value Tuesday as just a 3-point road favorite at New Jersey. Clearly, the Hawks are the better team in this match-up and the only reason they are such a small favorite is due to their lackluster performance last night against the Boston Celtics, losing 76-99. They could not get anything going offensively, but I expect them to bounce back in a big way against the lowly 4-9 Nets tonight.
This play falls under a system that is 40-13 (75.5%) since 1996. It tells us to bet on any team (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog. Atlanta is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with New Jersey, winning by margins of 24, 30, 23 and 17 points, respectively. The Hawks have played their best ball on the road this year, going 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS while outscoring their foes by 7.7 PPG. Take Atlanta Tuesday.
Dave Price
1 Unit on LA Lakers -8
The Lakers have won 4 in a row by double digits, which has allowed Phil Jackson to get his starters plenty of rest. The Bulls have won 5 of 6, but they don't match up well with this long Lakers squad. It already hurts the Bulls not having Boozer, and they could be without Taj Gibson tonight as well. The Lakers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in this series. Lay the points.
Black Widow
1* on Washington Wizards -2
The Philadelphia 76ers are in major rebuilding mode this year, and that is shown by their 3-10 record overall. They have been battling several injuries this season, including their best player in Andre Iguodala. The shooting guard has missed their last 3 games where the 76ers have gone 0-3 ATS and he's questionable to play again tonight with a lingering Achilles injury. The 76ers are 1-6 on the road this season, losing by 7.1 points/game while the Wizards are 4-2 at home this year. Point guard John Wall is expected to return to the line-up tonight, and with him in there this is a potent starting line-up with the likes of Gilbert Arenas, Andray Blatche, Al Thornton and JaVale McGee, who went off for 20 points and 16 rebounds last time out. The 76ers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Most teams play better with rest, but that clearly has not been the case in Philly. The Wizards are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following a S.U. loss. Take Washington and lay the points.
Info Plays
3* on Atlanta Hawks -3
Reasons the Hawks cover:
1.) System Play. We'll Play On - Any team (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog. This is a 40-13 ATS System hitting 75.5% since 1996. After a brutal loss to Boston last night, we fully expect the Hawks to come back with a motivated effort tonight in New Jersey. Bet Atlanta on the road.
Lenny Del Genio
Philadelphia +2.5
This is a big revenge spot for the 76ers, who lost to the Wizards 116-115 in overtime three weeks ago. Philly did cover the game as three-point dogs though, which should not be a surprise considering the Wiz' horrible 14-32 ATS mark in games where they are favored by, or getting less than, three points. They are just 10-26 ATS the L36 times they've been favored, including 9-23 ATS here at Verizon Center. Breaking the numbers down even further, Washington is just 3-15 ATS as home chalk of three or less. Philly has not played since Friday when they upset Milwaukee 90-79 as 4.5-point home dogs, so they will be well rested. Take Philadelphia.
O.C. Dooley
Hawks -3
Last night’s NBA premium service Best Bet was an easy cover by Boston who went into Atlanta and drilled the Hawks (99-76) literally from wire-to-wire, which caused the team’s head coach to proclaim after the game that he was “embarrassed”. Following a 6-0 start, Atlanta has now lost 6 times in an 8-game span, but the oddsmakers have still cast them as a road favorite which speaks volumes. Following last night’s disaster, the Hawks are now 0-6 for the season against NBA “playoff caliber competition. Of course New Jersey is far from playoff caliber and they have lost the most recent 4 meetings with Atlanta by a whopping margin of 23 points per contest, so now you know why the Hawks are a road favorite. The Hawks have yet to cover the spread in front of their own fans, but on the ROAD their numbers (5-1 SU/ATS) are a completely different story. Turning to the database here is a 76-PERCENT SYSTEM (40-13 since 1996) which plays ON teams like Atlanta shaking off an upset blowout loss of 15+ points as a favorite, going up against an opponent who just lost outright as a road underdog but successfully “covered” the spread. That system favors Atlanta who in the past three years is UNDEFEATED where it count (10-0 ATS/ROAD) after “failing” to cover the spread 4 times in a 5-game span