SPORTS ADVISORS
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Toledo (4-5 SU and ATS) at Central Michigan (7-2, 6-2 ATS)
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Central Michigan looks to bounce back from just its second loss of the season and move another step closer to the Mid-American Conference West Division title when it hosts the Rockets at Kelly/Shorts Stadium.
Toledo is coming off consecutive upset losses to MAC foes Temple (40-24 as a one-point home favorite) and Miami, Ohio (31-24 as a five-point road chalk). The Rockets field one of the worst defenses in Division I-A, giving up 31 points or more in eight of their nine games this year and nine of 10 going back to the end of last season. Overall, Toledo is surrendering 37.4 points and 425 total yards per game, including 177.8 rushing yards per contest.
The Chippewas have been idle since Halloween, when their seven-game winning streak came to a halt with a 31-10 loss at Boston College as a 5½-point road underdog. Central Michigan gave up a season-high in points while the 10 points was the lowest offensive output since a season-opening 19-6 loss at Arizona. The Chips (5-0, 4-1 ATS in conference) lead the MAC’s West Division by one game over Northern Illinois, and they’ve won their three home games by a combined score of 152-29, outgaining those three opponents by an average of 258 ypg (454-196).
Central Michigan has owned this rivalry lately, winning the last four meetings following a 10-game winning streak by the Rockets. Last year, the Chippewas went to Toledo and squeaked out a 24-23 win, but failed to cover as a 3½-point road favorite, ending a 4-0 ATS run against the Rockets as the underdog improved to 4-1 ATS in the last five clashes.
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The SU winner is 11-0 ATS in Toledo’s last 11 games and 11-2 ATS in Central Michigan’s last 13.
Both teams feature strong quarterbacks. Toledo’s Aaron Opelt is completing 59.4 percent of his passes for 1,863 yards with 15 TDs and six INTs, while Chippewas senior Dan LeFevour is connecting at a 68.8 percent rate for 1,848 yards with 16 TDs and five INTs.
The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after SU loss and 6-1 ATS in their last seven non-covers, but otherwise they’re in pointspread ruts of 8-19 on the road, 5-12 as a road underdog and 1-4 after a bye.
Other than a 7-15-3 ATS slump in November, the Chippewas are riding positive ATS streaks of 36-15-3 overall, 16-4-1 at home, 22-7-2 in conference, 22-8-2 as a favorite, 13-3 as a home favorite, 4-1 as a favorite of more than 10 points (all at home), 6-1-1 after a bye and 16-5-2 versus teams with a losing record.
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Toledo comes into this contest on “under” runs of 8-1 against winning teams, 11-5-1 as an underdog, 3-1-1 after a bye and 6-0 as a double-digit underdog. The under is also 4-1 in Central Michigan’s last five overall and 7-3 in its last 10 as a favorite. Finally, the under is 4-2 in the last six meetings in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CENTRAL MICHIGAN and UNDER
NBA
Cleveland (4-3, 3-4 ATS) at Orlando (6-2, 5-3 ATS)
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The Cavaliers get their first crack at the Magic since being upset in last year’s Eastern Conference finals as LeBron James and Co. resume a three-game road trip with a stop at Amway Arena.
Since opening the season with consecutive upset losses to Boston at home and Toronto on the road, Cleveland has won four of its last five games. The one defeat was Thursday’s 86-85 home setback to Chicago, but the Cavs rebounded the following night with a 100-91 win at New York as an eight-point road favorite. Cleveland has alternated ATS wins and losses in its last six games.
Dwight Howard (15 points, 10 rebounds) and three teammates scored in double figures Tuesday as Orlando capped a brief two-game road swing with a 93-81 win at Charlotte as a four-point favorite, which followed Sunday’s embarrassing 102-74 loss at Oklahoma City as a six-point chalk. The Magic are unbeaten in three home contests (2-1 ATS), averaging 117.3 points per game (51.8 percent shooting) and allowing 103 ppg (48.8 percent).
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The Magic eliminated the heavily favored Cavaliers in six games in last spring’s Eastern Conference Finals, going 5-1 ATS. Orlando also went 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS against Cleveland in the regular season and has cashed in 10 of the last 11 meetings since the 2007-08 season, including six straight at Amway Arena. Going back further, the Magic are on 20-8-1 ATS roll against Cleveland. Finally, the home team went 8-1 SU (6-3 ATS) in the nine head-to-head clashes last year.
The Cavs have covered in eight of their last 11 when coming off three or more days of rest, but they’re otherwise in ATS slumps of 4-9-1 overall going back to last year’s playoff series against Orlando, 3-9-1 against the Eastern Conference, 2-6-1 against the Southeast Division and 1-4 on Wednesday.
The Magic, who are 2-3 ATS since starting the season with three straight spread-covers, are on positive pointspread stretches of 10-4 against Central Division opponents and 11-3 against Eastern Conference foes.
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For the Cavaliers, the “under” is on runs of 6-0 overall, 8-2 on the road, 5-0 against the Eastern Conference and 5-2 on Wednesday. Conversely, Orlando carries “over” trends of 6-2 at home, 6-1 against the Eastern Conference, 4-0 on Wednesday and 6-1 against teams with a winning record. Also, the over is 6-1 in the last seven series meetings overall and 13-6-1 in the last 20 battles in Orlando.
ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO and OVER
Dallas (5-2 SU and ATS) at San Antonio (3-3 SU and ATS)
The Spurs and Mavericks get together for the first time since last year’s opening-round Western Conference playoff series, with Dallas making the short trek to AT&T Center.
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Dallas heads to San Antonio off of last night’s 121-103 rout of the Rockets as a 6½-point home favorite, as Jason Terry (24 points) and Dirk Nowitzki (23) were among six players to score in double figures. The Mavericks have won and covered five of six since a season-opening upset loss to Washington, and they’ve scored 107, 129 points and 121 points in their last three games after averaging just 93.5 ppg in their first four contests. However, Dallas also has given up more than 100 points in each of its last three games after surrendering 85, 84 and 80 in its previous three.
Playing without All-Stars Tim Duncan and Tony Parker, the Spurs still managed to snap a two-game SU and ATS slide Monday, getting past Toronto 131-124 as a 4½-point home favorite. San Antonio entered the fourth quarter down by two points, but outscored the Raptors 38-29 in the final stanza. Manu Ginobili led the way with a season-high 36 points, while Richard Jefferson (24 points) and seldom-used guard George Hill (22) also had huge games.
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Dallas knocked its division rivals out of the playoffs in five games last spring, going 4-1 ATS. Including four regular-season meetings, the Mavericks went 6-3 SU and ATS against the Spurs last year, including 3-2 SU and ATS at the AT&T Center. Additionally, Dallas is on an 11-3 ATS run in San Antonio, but the favorite covered in six of the final eight clashes in 2008-09.
The SU winner is 8-0 ATS in Dallas’ games this year and 6-0 ATS in San Antonio’s contests. Going back to last year, the winner has cashed in 11 straight Spurs games and 21 of the Mavericks’ last 23 outings. Finally, the SU winner has gotten the money in each of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry.
Dallas is on ATS runs of 5-1 overall, 9-3 on Wednesday and 6-2 against Southwest Division opponents. San Antonio has now covered in four of its last five at home, but is otherwise in ATS slumps of 1-5 against winning teams, 2-5 against the Western Conference, 2-7 versus division rivals and 4-11 on Wednesday.
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The under has cashed in seven of the Mavs’ last eight when they play on back-to-back nights, but the over for Dallas is on runs of 8-3 on the road, 8-3 on Wednesday and 6-1 versus the Southwest Division. Likewise, the Spurs are on a slew of “over” streaks, including 9-3 overall, 11-1 at home, 4-1 when playing on one day of rest, 5-1 on Wednesday and 6-1 against Southwest Division opponents. Finally, five of the last six series battles between these clubs last year – including three straight in San Antonio – topped the posted total.
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ATS ADVANTAGE: DALLAS and OVER
DUNKEL INDEX
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Toledo at Central Michigan
The Rockets look to bounce back from their 31-24 defeat to Miami (OH) and build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Toledo is the pick (+17) according to Dunkel, which has Central Michigan favored by only 14. Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+17)
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Game 103-104: Toledo at Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 75.619; Central Michigan 89.802
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 14; 64
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 17; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+17); Over
NBA
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Denver at Milwaukee
The Bucks are coming off a 102-87 win over New York and look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games following an ATS victory. Milwaukee is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Bucks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+4)
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Game 701-702: Golden State at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 112.536; Indiana 120.181
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 7 1/2; 227
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 223 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-5); Over
Game 703-704: Chicago at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 115.330; Toronto 123.536
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 8; 214
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 5; 208
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-5); Over
Game 705-706: Atlanta at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.238; New York 116.685
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+5 1/2); Over
Game 707-708: Philadelphia at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 112.940; New Jersey 116.154
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 3; 186 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 709-710: Utah at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 116.629; Boston 126.784
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 10; 189
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 711-712: Charlotte at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 115.394; Detroit 118.858
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 176
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 4; 172
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+4); Over
Game 713-714: Denver at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 121.337; Milwaukee 121.963
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 1; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 4; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+4); Under
Game 715-716: Portland at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 123.782; Minnesota 109.654
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 14; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 7 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-7 1/2); Over
Game 717-718: Cleveland at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 122.565; Orlando 126.319
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 4; 211
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 719-720: Memphis at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 112.507; Houston 125.625
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 13; 218
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 8; 215
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-8); Over
Game 721-722: Dallas at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 120.086; San Antonio 122.171
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 723-724: New Orleans at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 115.251; Phoenix 122.724
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7 1/2; 221
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 5 1/2; 216
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-5 1/2); Over
Game 725-726: Oklahoma City at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 113.982; LA Clippers 117.564
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-2 1/2); Under
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NCAAB
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Robert Morris at Syracuse
The Orange look to build on their 12-2 ATS record in their last 14 home games. Syracuse is the pick (-18) according to Dunkel, which has the Orange favored by 24. Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-18)
Game 727-728: Detroit at California
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 49.742; California 66.827
Dunkel Line: California by 17
Vegas Line: California by 18
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+18)
Game 729-730: North Carolina Central at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina Central 29.500; North Carolina 81.620
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 52
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-45 1/2)
Game 731-732: Robert Morris at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Robert Morris 53.045; Syracuse 76.976
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 24
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 18
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-18)
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NHL
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Los Angeles at Carolina
The Kings look to take advantage of a Carolina team that is 1-10 in its last 11 against teams with a winning record. Los Angeles is the pick (-170) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-170)
Game 51-52: Detroit at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.645; Columbus 11.360
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+110); Under
Game 53-54: Edmonton at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.936; Buffalo 11.225
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 55-56: Los Angeles at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 10.875; Carolina 10.564
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-170); Over
Game 57-58: Anaheim at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.630; New Jersey 12.159
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-135); Under
Game 59-60: NY Islanders at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.010; Washington 12.271
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 61-62: Colorado at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.992; Chicago 11.503
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-160); Over
Frank Jordan
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Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks
Play: New York Knicks +5.5
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In each of their 7 losses the Knicks were down at one point or another by 20 points. The case was the same Monday, but they showed some guts as they closed the game and had a shot at the end of the game against Utah at home to win or tie, but missed. None the less the Knicks are going to start to play tougher as they defend their home court and beat the Hawks on Wednesday. Play New York
Rob Vinciletti
Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks
Play: Over 208.5
What we want to do in this game is play the on the over any time we have a road favorite that has 3+ days of rest and scored 120 or more in their last game. These teams have gone over the total all four times since 1995,averaging 220 points. This is a rare system that is further supported by the fact that all 4 games have gone over the total in New York that pas t 3 years. Atlanta has gone over in 5 of their 7 games this year and will have no problem going up and down the court at a fast pace with the Knicks.
BIG AL
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Utah Jazz at Boston Celtics
Prediction: Boston Celtics
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The Celts opened the season with three straight wins and covers, by an average victory margin of 22.3 points, and an average cover of 16.8 ppg. But Boston has dropped four of its last five ATS, including three in a row. That trend should reverse itself tonight, as Boston has had the last three days off, and the Celtics are 30-20 ATS their last 50 with at least three days' of rest. Doc Rivers' crew is playing incredible defense, and it leads the league in points allowed at 84.4 ppg. Utah is a poor 44-70 ATS its last 114 on the road, including 22-45 ATS vs. a foe that's not off a SU/ATS loss. Lay the points with Boston.
Matt Fargo
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Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks
Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks
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Denver is coming off a very fortunate win last night as it was able to get the victory after the officials revered what would have been a winning shot by the Bulls with 0.3 seconds remaining. That win spells nothing but a letdown especially considering the fact that this is the final game of the Nuggets current roadtrip. Denver is 3-2 in the first five games and while it no doubt would like another win to finish with a winning, it will be hard for it not to look ahead to its home game on Friday with the Lakers. Playing against these teams that are finishing long roadies and wanting to get home have been very profitable and the fact that there is a big game on tap only adds to it. Milwaukee came into the season with very low expectations and it was expected to be one of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference. Injury prone Michael Redd is already sitting on the pine with a knee injury but the Bucks have done anything but fold as they are 3-2 on the season including a perfect 2-0 at home. One of those two losses came by a single bucket in Chicago so the record could even be better than it currently stands. The Bucks have had four days off prior to this game while Denver is in off the second of a back-to-back set so we have a big advantage as far as rest is concerned. Milwaukee is palyign excellent defense this season as it has yet to allow 100 points as is giving up an average of just 85.2 ppg on 41.7 percent shooting which are both second in the NBA and that is pretty solid both categories were middle of the pack last season. Milwaukee falls into a solid situation. Play on home teams that have won four or more straight games against the spread in a game involving two teams that are winning between 60 and 75 percent of their games. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. Denver was extraordinary against the number last season but it was only 2-4 both straight up and ATS in the second of back-to-back games when both were on the road. 3* Milwaukee Bucks
Tom Freese
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Charlotte Bobcats vs. Detroit Pistons
Play: Under 172
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Detroit is 6-0 UNDER their last 6 home games and they are 8-2 UNDER their last 10 games overall. The Pistons are 34-16-1 UNDER their 51 games when playing with 2 days of rest and they 4-1 UNDER as a favorite. Charlotte is 6-1 UNDER off a double digit home loss and they are 4-1 UNDER their last 5 games off a loss. The Bobcats are 5-2 UNDER their last 7 games as underdogs and they are 6-1 UNDER on Wednesday. PLAY ON 'UNDER'
Glenn Andrew
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Charlotte Bobcats vs. Detroit Pistons
Play: Under 172
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This is a match-up of 2 defensive teams that are lacking the "Star Power" offensively. The Pistons are virually a shell of what they were a few years ago. Chauncey Billups and Rasheed Wallace have left and Detroit failed to pick up any players to fill their offensive output. Charlotte has been built for the future. They have several key defensive players (Chandler, Bell, Diaw), but none of them have stepped into the lead role on offense. Expect a low scoring game with the winning team scoring in the low 80's. Take the under!
JR TIPS
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Hornets at Suns
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Steve Nash has been red-hot lately for the Phoenix Suns and will matchup against Chris Paul who twisted his left ankle shortly before halftime Monday night but returned in the third quarter to lead New Orleans to a 112-84 win over the Los Angeles Clippers with 24 points and 10 assists despite sitting out the fourth.The Hornets were blown out 104-88 by the Lakers for their fourth loss in five games before they beat the Clippers on Saturday. Steve Nash has been at his best recently leading the league with 12.6 assists per game and is coming off the NBA's first 20-point, 20-assist game since 2006. Nash scored 21 points and posted his second 20-assist game of the season Monday night in a 119-115 win at Philadelphia. Phoenix is coming off a 4-1 road trip which included victories over division leaders Boston and Miami although New Orleans has won six of the last seven matchups and Chris Paul has averaged 27.0 points and 12.1 assists while Steve Nash has appeared in six of those games, averaging 20.5 points and 10.8 assists, but he's also had 28 turnovers while Paul has 15. Chris Paul is one of the league leaders with 26.3 points and 9.8 assists per game despite the Hornets starting off the season with their worst start since he was drafted. Jason Richardson has averaged 28.3 points and gone 16 of 22 from 3-point range in he last three games while the Hornets top 3-point threat for New Orleans Peja Stojakovic who made his first start of the season Monday to replace Julian Wright. Stojakovic hit two 3's and scored eight in the first quarter as the Hornets raced to a 10-point lead in their last game. This is another situation like Memphis last night in which you have a team playing their first game at home after a long road trip and this time the Suns are coming off a long East Coast road trip which will make it real tough in their first game back at home in over a week. The Hornets are in a good spot to win but and will definitely keep this game under the spread.
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TAKE HORNETS +6
EZWINNERS
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Toledo Rockets @ Central Michigan Chippewas
Play: Central Michigan Chippewas
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I expect Central Michigan to roll in this game behind senior quarterback Dan LeFevour who has broken numerous school and conference records this year. Toledo has one of the worst defenses in the nation. The Rockets rank 101st in the nation in total defense and they are just as bad against the run as they are the pass. Normally I would consider taking the generous points with the Rockets, but they are not the explosive offensive team that they were earlier in the season. The Rockets suffered injuries to starting quarterback Aaron Opelt and backup quarterback Austin Dantin which forced them to use junior Alex Pettee who was third on the depth chart. Opelt, a senior and four year starter for the Rockets, returned to the lineup in their last game against Miami after missing two games with a shoulder injury, but struggled mightily. The Chippewas are 13-3 against the spread in their last sixteen games as a home favorite. Lay the points.
JIM FEIST
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER / LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
TAKE: LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
The Clippers are off a home game where they were booed while getting blown out by New Orleans. However, they are still 3-1 the last 4 games. They are playing some defense, holding half their opponents under 100. Chris Kaman had 14 points and six rebounds against New Orleans and had a chip on his shoulder after the game: "We didn't come mentally prepared for this game, and that's why we lost," Kaman said. "We've just got to bring the effort. We didn't have the effort tonight. Nobody really played that great for us." They take on a weak Oklahoma City squad in the second of a back to back road situation, playing at Sacramento last night. An excellent bounce back spot for the rested home team off a bad game. Play the LA Clippers.
Dominic Fazzini
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Golden State at INDIANA -4'
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I hit my second straight complimentary selection Tuesday, winning easily as the Mavericks trounced Houston. I'm now 19-13 with my last 32 free plays, and I'm coming strong with another NBA winner today!
The Pacers are a team that could sneak up on the rest of the Eastern Conference this season. Danny Granger has blossomed into a star and is averaging 22.8 points per game, center Roy Hibbert has shown vast improvement so far in his second season and Tyler Hansbrough had a strong NBA debut Friday, contributing 13 points and five rebounds in 14 minutes off the bench.
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Hibbert could be the key to Indiana's success, as he has posted three straight double-doubles and is also averaging 2.8 blocks per game this season. With him in the middle against a much smaller Golden State team, the Pacers should control the paint and the boards.
The Warriors are horrid on defense, giving up 113.2 points per game, while Indiana has allowed an average of just 87.5 points over its last two games, against Washington and New York.
Granger scored 42 points at Golden State on Jan. 11, and the Pacers have won seven of the last eight meetings between the teams in Indiana. The favorite is also 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings between the teams.
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The Warriors are 18-51-1 ATS in their last 70 games following a straight-up win, while the Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after an ATS win. Take Indiana to cover the points tonight.
3♦ INDIANA
Bobby Maxwell
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Robert Morris at SYRACUSE -17
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Now 5-1 with my last six FREE selections at this site and coming out tonight with a comp selection on Syracuse as the Orangemen host Robert Morris.
The best thing that could have happened for Jim Boheim and the Syracuse Orangemen is that exhibition loss to the tiny New York college that got all the media attention. This team will be so focused from now on for these types of games, you will have to lay the chalk with them.
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The Orange beat up Albany on Monday, winning 75-43 as a 20-point home favorite and now they get Robert Morris. Plus you know they remember the March 2008 contest when they Orange edged Robert Morris 87-81 as 14-point favorites, coming up well short.
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Syracuse likes playing in the Carrier Dome, going 12-2 ATS in its last 14 at home, 10-2 ATS in its last 12 overall dating back to last season and 4-1 ATS in its last five non-conference contests.
2♦ SYRACUSE
Sports Gambling Hotline
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Toledo at CENTRAL MICHIGAN -17'
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Comp play last night in MAC play on Ohio-Buffalo OVER the total. Now 55-47-4 with our free plays.
Another total tonight in the MAC, only this time we will play the UNDER between Toledo and Central Michigan.
This time of year in Michigan, it is always wise to look for low-scoring affairs, as the wintery mix of weather tends to play havoc on high-octane attacks.
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The numbers we are looking at support an UNDER play, as the Rockets are on an 8-1 UNDER run against teams with a winning record, and Tim Beckman's team has also played 6 straight UNDERS when installed as a double-digit dog!
As for Central Michigan, the Chippewas are on a 4-1 UNDER clip their last 5 games overall, and 7 of their last 10 when favored have held LOW.
In this series, 4 of the last 6 showdowns have played LOW.
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Can't argue those numbers, so take the UNDER in this Wednesday night MAC showdown at Mt. Pleasant.
2♦ UNDER
Randall the Handle
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Los Angeles -½ +1.08 over CAROLINA
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At some point the Canes are going to win a game but as long as these opportunities are available, there’s no reason not to try and cash in. The best part about this game is that the Kings are coming off back-to-back losses and they won’t be in a sympathetic mood. Prior to those two losses they won six of eight and scored four or more goals in each of those six wins. The Kings have scored 58 goals, which is third in the league behind only the Caps and Sharks. They’ll be hungry for a win tonight after those back-to-back losses, as they continue its five-game road trip. Meanwhile, the Canes are without Staal and now Ward, its two best players or for sure its two most important players. Carolina has gone seven straight games without scoring more than twice. The front office and coaches have no confidence in Michael Leighton so they went out and signed Manny Legace. Legace will be in net tonight making his season debut. Here’s a guy that hasn’t played this year and played just 29 games last season. His save percentage a year ago was just .885 and the chances of him being sharp tonight are slim and none and slim left town. The Canes motivation level has to be sinking, as its fan base is dwindling quickly and they’ll play to a tiny crowd tonight and that can’t help. Jump on this one early for the best line possible. Play: Los Angeles -½ +1.08 (Risking 2 units).
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Colorado +1.57 over CHICAGO
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There’s a great chance the Av’s will get back a few healthy bodies for this one. It appears as though Milan Hejduk, Darcy Tucker and perhaps even Tom Preissing will all be in the line-up tonight. Pressing hasn’t played a game this year but he’s a valuable and skilled back-liner and he’s the guy the Av’s picked up in the Ryan Smyth deal. The Av’s are coming off a 5-3 loss to the Oilers but don’t put too much weight on that. It was one game and they were missing some key players. They’ll be back playing their hearts out again tonight and when they do they’re very difficult to beat, as their 12-4-0-2 record will attest to. Meanwhile, the Blackhawks are off to a good start, however, a close look at its schedule reveals a team that has had it fairly soft thus far. The Blackhawks last six wins have come against Nashville (twice), Edmonton, Minnesota, Montreal and L.A. Chicago is just 4-5 over its last nine games and the two times they’ve face the Av’s this year, both have gone to OT. The bottom line is that the Av’s have as good a chance to win as the Blackhawks and as far as value goes, this one has it written all over it. Definite overlay. Play: Colorado +1.57 (Risking 2 units).