Tom Freese
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Detroit Pistons vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Play: Under 180
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Portland is 9-3 UNDER their last 12 games as favorites and they are 16-7-1 UNDER their last 24 home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of less than 40%. The Trailblazers are 50-23-1 UNDER on Wednesday and they are 12-4 UNDER their last 16 games. Detroit is 6-2 UNDER off a straight up loss and they are 5-1 UNDER off a double digit loss. The Pistons are 35-17-1 UNDER their last 53 games as underdogs of 5.0 to 10.5 and they are 7-1 UNDER their last 8 games vs. Portland. PLAY ON 'UNDER'
Randall the Handle
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MINNESOTA -½ +1.15 over Phoenix
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The Wild return home from a four-game trip but unlike years gone by, teams returning home from a trip are not coming up lame and the Wild are in no position to take a night off after losing three straight. Two of those games went into OT and as a result of that the Wild have picked up points in six of its last eight games. Furthermore, they own the Coyotes at the Excel Energy Center, as they’ve beaten Phoenix seven straight games there and have outscored them 27-9 over that stretch dating back to ’06. Against the Wild, Ilya Bryzgalov has a 1-7 record, a GAA of 3.42 and a save percentage of .891. As for the Coyotes, well, they’re in somewhat of a funk with just two wins in its last eight and a slew of significant injuries. The Coyotes have three of its top defensemen out and not only do they lose their talents but they lose their grit as well. The Wild have always been a damn good home team and in fact, they’ve won eight of its last 10 at home. Minnesota is playing a lot better these days despite the three-game losing streak. They come to play almost every night and after a brutal first period against the Canes and falling victim to the Canes, one would expect a big bounce back tonight. Play: Minnesota -½ +1.15 (Risking 2 units).
subject title should be Wednesday , November 18, 2009 and not November 17, 2009. :-X
Hey, anyone can make a mistake. 😛
Just thought I would mention it so it does not confuse anyone.
Thanks Blade for all your fine work !!! 🙂
8)
Please remove this post after the date is corrected. Thanks Blade. ;D
YANKEE CAPPER
Atlanta Hawks -7.5
Detroit Pistons +10.5
Buffalo/Miami-OH o52.5
Florida -22.5
Texas -25.5
Dallas Stars +150
Colorado Avalanche +120
ROCKETMAN
Phoenix @ Minnesota
Play: Minnesota -140
Minnesota is 18-4 the past 3 years and 5-0 this year at home when the total is 5 1/2. Minnesota is 5-2 at home this season. Minnesota is 7-1 SU and ATS overall vs Phoenix last 3 years including 4-0 SU and ATS at home vs Phoenix last 3 seasons. Coyotes are 31-71-4 in their last 106 vs. Northwest. Coyotes are 8-20 in their last 28 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Coyotes are 2-5 in their last 7 overall. Coyotes are 1-4 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Wild are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest. Wild are 10-2 in their last 12 games as a home favorite. Wild are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Wild are 8-2 in their last 10 home games. Wild are 11-3 in their last 14 games as a favorite. Wild are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Wild are 10-3 in their last 13 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Wild are 5-2 in their last 7 Wednesday games. Home team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Favorite is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Coyotes are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings. Coyotes are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota. We'll recommend a small play on Minnesota tonight!
King Creole
ATL / MIA Under 189
This Atlanta / Miami series in Southeast Division play has gone a PERFECT 0-4 O/U In the last 4 meetings since December of last season. We'll play for those LOW-scoring numbers to continue. Especially with a in-season System that's delivered solid "UNDER" results so far in the 2009/2010 season.
11-21 O/U for all Division home favorites of -3 > points (Hawks). And when the OU line is 190 < points, the results have gone 2-12 O/U.
1-8 O/U so far in 2009: All NBA road dogs of 10 < points playing off a SU home favorite loss (Miami).
LARRY NESS
ORL -12 vs OKL
I guess it's safe to say the Scott Brooks has got things turned around in Oklahoma City. The Thunder won in Miami last night 100-87 and are now 6-5 to open the young season. Oklahoma City didn't win its sixth game last year until its 38th game. The Thunder won just eight road games all of last year but they've now won three straight on the road, something this franchise last accomplished back in March of 2007 when the team was located in Seattle. "We wanted to start off playing basketball that our fans could be proud of," coach Scott Brooks said. "We are creating an identity of playing winning basketball." I guess so. The Thunder are quickly establishing a "Big Three" of their own. Durant (28.5-7.5), Westbrook (16.4-4.9-7.50 and Green (15.5-5.4) could be the centerpieces of this team for a decade! The Thunder come to Orlando having just beaten the Magic in Oklahoma City 102-74 on November 8. Kevin Durant had 28 points and Russell Westbrook scored 17 while handing out 10 assists as Oklahoma City shot 57.1 percent in snapping a seven-game losing streak in the series. Vince Carter, Rashard Lewis and Ryan Anderson all missed that game for the Magic. Getting his regular starting lineup on the court at the same time has been a major problem for Stan Van Gundy in the early going. Orlando lost Turkoglu to free agency over the summer but made a blockbuster trade to bring in Vince Carter from the Nets. The Magic also got Ryan Anderson in that deal plus signed Matt Barnes, Jason Williams and Brandon Bass to add depth to the team that lost to the Lakers in the NBA Finals. However, Rashard Lewis missed the first 10 games because of a league suspension, Carter and Anderson each missed four games with ankle injuries plus Bass and Marcin Gortat have missed one game apiece because of illnesses. Now comes the worse news, that PG Jameer Nelson will have arthroscopic surgery to repair torn cartilage in his left knee in an injury he suffered in a 97-91 win over Charlotte on Monday. He's expected to miss four to six weeks. All that said, I fully expect the Magic to be focused on this game, after that 102-74 loss in Okla City. The Thunder come in playing very well but they've lost NINE of their last 11 in Orlando, including FIVE straight by an average of 13.6 PPG. Lay it.
Sports Gambling Hotline
Buffalo -4 at MIAMI-OHIO
Tuesday comp play winner on Phoenix over Houston. Now a 4-1 free play run the last 5 days.
College football tonight, and a pair of going-nowhere teams meet as 3-7 Buffalo takes on 1-10 Miami-Ohio.
We will side with the Bulls, as Buffalo's last 3 games have been decided by a total of 7 points. Buffalo has lost ALL 3, but we feel they are due for a break-out tonight, and it will come at the expense of a Redhawks team they drilled 31-17 last season.
Buffalo is also on an 11-3 spread run their last 14 on the road, while Miami-Ohio is currently on a 2-7 spread slide their last 9 lined games as a single-digit underdog.
We expect Turner Gill's team to blow this one open before it is all said and done.
Play on the Bulls minus the single digits.
1♦ BUFFALO
Karl Garrett
Miami +7' at ATLANTA
Underdog winner in the NBA last night on Golden State plus the points as the G-Man has hit 4 of my last 6 comp play selections.
Another NBA dog tonight, as Miami covers at Atlanta.
Yes, the Hawks are red-hot right now, but they were extended to overtime on Monday at home against Portland before winning and covering their 5th in a row.
Miami dropped a 100-87 decision last night at home to Oklahoma City, but I think that is because they were looking ahead to this game against an Atlanta team that erased them from the playoffs last year in seven games.
The Heat was able to cover in their lone try this season when playing in a back-to-back situation, and my feeling is Atlanta is about due for a clunker.
G-Man taking the points with the Heat this Wednesday night.
3♦ MIAMI
Stephen Nover
Charlotte at PHILADELPHIA -4
Philadelphia is averaging 97.3 points per game. That number is skewed, though, by the 76ers scoring 141 points in overtime earlier this season versus the hapless and defenseless Knicks.
Charlotte is averaging 83.3 points per game, worst in the NBA.
So why try to make an over work? Two reasons: It's a very low total and the presence of Stephen Jackson in a Bobcats uniform.
Beating the NBA is about zigging and zagging at the right time and taking advantage of a small window before the oddsmaker makes an adjustment. Jackson is that small opening with the Bobcats and their over/unders.
Jackson gives Charlotte's moribund offense a huge boost. Jackson, acquired from Golden State in deal that cost the Bobcats defensive specialist Raja Bell, brings a gunslinger mentality to Charlotte. He'll hoist shots from anywhere. He's an accomplished 20-point scorer.
Prior to obtaining Jackson, the Bobcats scored 81, 75 and 74 points in their last three games. They took 64 shots in their past two games before Jackson arrived. Jackson played in Charlotte's last game on Monday against Orlando. It was his first game in a Bobcats uniform.
The Bobcats got off 71 shots in a 97-91 road loss to Orlando. The Bobcats' 91 points were the second-most they've scored in regulation this season. They also shot a season-best 50.7 percent from the floor. Jackson scored 13 points. Flip Murray scored 31.
Jackson makes Murray more of a scoring threat. Orlando ranks 11th defensively giving up 94.8 points per game. Philadelphia is 22nd in defense, allowing 102.4 points per game.
This is a key game for Elton Brand. He's been so disappointing for the 76ers that he's in danger of losing his starting spot. He'll be looking to put up points in the paint.
2♦ Bobcats/Sixers OVER
Drew Gordon
San Antonio at DALLAS -1
Now 5-2 L7 Free Plays! For tonight's complimentary play, we're looking at the Spurs/Mavericks match up.
Intriguing match up, as bettors are looking back to the last meeting between these two teams, this past Wednesday - a 93-83 Spurs outright home win and cover without the services of Duncan or Parker. Logic dictates that just a week later, and now WITH Duncan and Parker in the lineup, the Spurs should roll in this match up, right? WRONG! If basketball was that easy to predict, then I'd be out of a job. Read on...
Fact is, the absence of Duncan and Parker propelled this Spurs team to give a 100% effort last week, and they delivered at home. However, fast forward seven days and the mindset of these two teams is different: A. The Mavericks are in revenge mode, after last week's embarassing loss. B. The Spurs played very un-inspriging baketball with Duncan and Parker in their last one, losing to the Thunder at home... And this is the team you want to back in Dallas? And C. The Mavs are now at home, which is key coming off a succesful road trip in which the only game they lost was at San Antonio (3-0 SUATS after that game).
Finally, its the Mavericks who are dealing with injuries this time around with Howard out, Dampier doubtful, and Marion questionable. Again, do not get caught overreacting to injury (just like I told you when I took the Spurs last Wednesday), as the Mavericks are deep enough to overcome a couple injuries in the short-term. In the end, look for the Mavs to circle the wagons at home in this payback game Wednesday night!
Take Dallas over San Antonio in this NBA match up.
3♦ DALLAS
Chris Jordan
Nevada at UNLV -6
Battle in the Silver State, and it's up to the Runnin Rebels to make good for the institution, after Reno spanked the Rebs on the gridiron earlier this season.
Nevada had so many off-court distractions during the offseason, I'd honestly like to know how it is going to start this season productively and cohesive. Seems impossible, with a new coach and a decimated roster.
The Pack might have two all-around great players; the rest are going to need time to mesh with one another.
UNLV has the better bench, and appears to be ready for the season ... much more than Nevada does.
3♦ UNLV RUNNIN' REBELS
Scott Delaney
Utah State at Utah
History doesn't count in this one tonight.
The better team is the Aggies, hands down, and I like my chances with the lesser-known program to make a statement against big-brother Utah.
Fact is, Utah State has enough talent to wear its second-straight Western Athletic Conference crown. This is no joke in Logan, Utah, where coach Stew Morrill runs a disciplined offense and gets the absolute best out of whomever is on the roster
Good news for Morrill is he has a slew of talent back from last year's team, most of his production I should say.
Utah State is 1-0 after a season-opening, 66-60 win over Weber State; Utah, however, lost to Idaho, 94-87.
Play Utah State tonight.
3♦ UTAH STATE AGGIES
SPORTS WAGERS
MEMPHIS –5 over L.A. Clippers
One really has to wonder how the Clip Joint is going to compete tonight. They appeared gassed and completely subdued last night after losing to the Hornets for the second time in eight days. Now they’ll travel again to play its third game in four nights and the tail end of back-to-backs. Furthermore, they lost Kareem Rush and he joins guards Eric Gordon and Blake Griffin and now the Clippers have nobody to run the offense. This team is mentally and physically fatigued and they’ll play a rested Memphis team that’s coming off a win. One win does wonders to team moral and the Iverson distraction is now a thing of the past as well. What you can count on is a Grizz team that should absolutely dominate the boards and play to its potential. This is a highly talented team off to a bad start and they couldn’t have handpicked a better opponent to make it two straight. Play: Memphis –5 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).
MILWAUKEE/New Jersey under 189
Focus for the Bucks could be way off tonight after facing Denver, Dallas and Golden State and then playing an 0-11 team at home. The Bucks have won five of six and this looks like a “breather” game for them and might be treated as such. Furthermore, after playing that trio of very up-tempo games in which all three games exceeded this total by 20 points or more, the line here is a bit enticing but be very cautious. You see, Dallas, Denver and the Warriors play a run and gun style so it’s no surprise those three games went over. In fact, the books posted a total of 193 against Dallas and now this game is just four points lower? The Nets can barely hit 80 points against anyone and they’re very aware that they’re not going to outscore anyone in an up-tempo game; no way, no how. So either the books were way off in their Dallas/Milwaukee total or they’re way off here. You make the call. Play: Milwaukee/New Jersey under 189 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).