SPORTS ADVISORS
(5) Boise State (5-0, 4-0 ATS) at Tulsa (4-1, 2-1-1 ATS)
Boise State continues its quest for a BCS Bowl berth when it travels to Tulsa for a nationally televised non-conference clash with the Golden Hurricane.
The Broncos have won their first five games this season by margins of 11, 48, 17, 35 and 18 points. Most recently, they slept-walked through a 34-16 home victory over Division I-AA U.C. Davis on Oct. 3, but still piled up 386 total yards while allowing 234.
Tulsa also has been idle since Oct. 3 when it fried Rice 27-10, pushing as a 17-point road favorite. In their four victories over Tulane, New Mexico, Sam Houston State (Division I-AA) and Rice, the Golden Hurricane have put up 164 points and allowed 36, but in their lone defeat, they got steamrolled 45-0 at Oklahoma as an 18-point road underdog.
Boise State went 4-0 against Tulsa from 2001-04 when both teams were in the Western Athletic Conference, going just 2-2 ATS, with the last two meetings decided by seven and three points. In two trips to Oklahoma, the Broncos prevailed 52-24 as a 26-point favorite in 2002 and 45-42 as a 21-point chalk in 2004.
Boise’s high-octane offense is putting up 40.2 points and 440.8 total yards per game (193 rushing ypg). The key to the attack is sophomore QB Kellen Moore, who is completing 70 percent of his passes for 243 yards per game with 13 TDs against just two INTs. Defensively, the Broncos are allowing just 14.4 points and 273.8 yards per outings, and they’ve now held 14 of 17 opponents to 17 points or less since the start of last season, with 10 of those clubs scoring 10 points or less.
Like Boise, Tulsa’s offense is guided by a sophomore quarterback, as G.J. Kinne has completed 64 percent of his throws for 228 yards per game with 10 TDs and two picks. As a team, the Hurricane are putting up 32.8 points and 414.2 total yards per game overall but that average jumps to 516 yards and 56 points at home. Defensively, Tulsa yields 16.2 points and 299.2 yards per contest, but in the 45-0 loss at Oklahoma, the Sooners rolled up 529 yards (193 rushing).
The Broncos have cashed in seven straight lined games (6-0 ATS as a favorite) dating to last season, and they’re 8-1 ATS in their last nine as a road chalk, covering the number in those contests by an average of 14 ppg. Additionally, Boise State is on pointspread upticks of 12-2-1 overall, 4-1 after a bye, 37-17-1 in non-conference play, 4-1 against Conference USA foes, 35-15-1 versus winning teams and 4-0 as a road favorite of 10 points or less.
Tulsa has failed to cash in four straight games as an underdog, but is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a home pup. The Golden Hurricane are on further ATS runs of 3-1-1 overall, 8-1 at home, 8-2-1 on artificial turf and 7-1 after a bye.
Boise State has topped the total in four of its last five games against Conference USA competition, but otherwise the Broncos are on “under” runs of 4-1 in October, 3-1 on artificial turf and 3-1 in non-league action. Tulsa carries “under” streaks of 6-0 overall, 3-0-1 at home, 3-0 in non-conference play and 10-3-1 in October, but the over is 11-3-1 in the Hurricane’s last 15 against WAC teams, 9-3-1 in their last 13 as a home ‘dog and 6-1 in their last seven after a bye.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOISE STATE
Dunkel Index
NCAA Football
Boise State at Tulsa
The Golden Hurricanes look to build on their 9-1 ATS record in their last 10 home games. Tulsa is the pick (+9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Boise State favored by only 4. Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+9 1/2)
Game 103-104: Boise State at Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 102.413; Tulsa 98.444
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 4; 49
Vegas Line: Boise State by 9 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+9 1/2); Under
NHL
Edmonton at Chicago
The Blackhawks look to build on their 9-3 record in their last 12 home games. Chicago is the pick (-180) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-180)
Game 1-2: Los Angeles at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.672; NY Rangers 12.804
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-170); Over
Game 3-4: Pittsburgh at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.861; Carolina 11.562
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-125); 6
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-125); Under
Game 5-6: Nashville at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.065; Dallas 11.262
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-145); Over
Game 7-8: Edmonton at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 12.217; Chicago 13.145
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-180); 6
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-180); Under
Game 9-10: Minnesota at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.951; Anaheim 11.515
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+155); Under
Rob Vinciletti
Boise State vs. Tulsa
Play: Over 52.5
Boise.St is 5-1 over vs conference USA opponents and their defense has been exposed on the road especially in the Fresno game. Tonight they take on a high scoring Tulsa team that can score and has gone over 7 of 9 times coming off a bye week. Both offenses can score and score fast. Take the over in this one.
JIM FEIST
MINNESOTA WILD / ANAHEIM DUCKS
TAKE OVER
These teams are struggling, and the reason is obvious: defense. Minnesota is off two straight losses, giving up 10 goals. Anaheim has given up 14 goals in 5 games. The defense collapsed the last game, giving up 3 goals in the 3rd period of a loss at the Rangers. Look for an offensive show in southern California, play the Wild/Ducks Over the total.
Karl Garrett
Boise State -9 at TULSA
G-Man is on a 7-2 comp play run my last 9 free selections.
Wednesday night I will play the over between Boise State and Tulsa.
Each team has been idle since October 3rd, so after the opening series kinks are worked out, expect the scoreboard to get cranking here!
After scoring just 19-points in their opening game win over Oregon, Boise State has averaged 45.5 points per game over their last 4 wins, and should be able to put some TD's on the board in this one.
Throw out their blanking at the hands of Oklahoma, and Tulsa comes into this one averaging 41 ppg in their 4 wins.
The Broncos have played OVER in 4 of their last 5 against Conference USA competition, while the Golden Hurricane has gone HIGH to a tune of 11-3-1 their last 15 versus the WAC.
G-Man calling for the OVER as the way to go in this non-conference showdown.
1♦ OVER
Sports Gambling Hotline
Boise State -9 at TULSA
Our free play run stands at 44-33-4 the last 81 days.
Total play this Wednesday night as Boise State invades Tulsa.
We will play the UNDER in this game, as we have a feeling both teams are going to show us a little something on defense in this game.
Boise State has allowed just over 14 points per game through their first 5 games, while Tulsa is allowing just over 16 points per game through their first 5 games this year.
The Broncos are on a 4-1 UNDER run in the month of October, and are also LOW in 3 of their last 4 out of conference, while the Golden Hurricane is on a 6-0 UNDER run their last 6 lined games, and a 10-3-1 UNDER tear their last 14 in the month of October.
Just not expecting to see too many points when this one is all said and done.
Play on the UNDER.
3♦ UNDER
VEGAS EXPERTS
Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes
Penguins come in looking for a franchise best fifth straight road win to open the season, but will be facing a revenge-minded Hurricanes team that remembers getting swept out of last year's Stanley Cup Playoffs. Goaltender Cam Ward is 5-0 with a 1.80 Goals Against Average in his last five home regular season starts vs. Pittsburgh and the team will be well rested considering they have been off since a home loss on Saturday to the Lightining. Go with the dog here.
Play on: Carolina
Tom Freese
Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks
Prediction: Over
Edmonton is 15-5-1 OVER after allowing 2 goals or less in their last game and they are 19-7-1 OVER vs. an opponent who scored 5 or more goals in their last game. The Oilers are 5-1 OVER vs. a team with a winning record they are 4-0 OVER vs. Western Conference teams. Chicago is 7-3 OVER their last 10 games vs. winning teams and they are 5-1 OVER off a win. The Blackhawks are 5-1 OVER when playing with one day of rest and they are 6-0 OVER their last 6 home games. PLAY ON 'OVER'
John Ryan
Los Angeles Kings vs. New York Rangers
Play: New York Rangers
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the NY Rangers as they host Los Angeles set to start at 7:00 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 76-28 making 35.1 units since 2004. Play against road dogs of +100 to +150 against the money line after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game facing an opponent after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games. Kings are just 1-13 against the money line (-12.1 Units) against good possession teams averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opponent over the last 2 seasons. Take the Rangers.
EZWINNERS
Boise State Broncos @ Tulsa Golden Hurricanes
Play: Over 53
As much as I hate to, I'm going to play the obvious play here. Both of these teams have high powered offenses and can put up some points. Boise State has a very underrated defensive unit, but Tulsa playing at home should be able to do their share of the scoring. Tulsa was torched by another top 10 team in Oklahoma and the Broncos should be able to damage with their high powered attack as well. Play on the OVER.