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(@shazman)
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Friday 11/12/21 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB & NBA games

 
Posted : November 12, 2021 11:28 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60755
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Carmine Bianco 4%
Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes
Total Over 5.5 (-120)
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BIG AL's 5-GAME NCAA HOOPS PACKAGE!

OSU -19.5 (-108)
IND -22.5 (-108)
UVA -17.5 (-106)
NEB -11.5 (-108)
UCLA -3.5 (-102)
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nbaclub info

Golden State Warriors – Chicago Bulls
Over 222
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Posted : November 12, 2021 11:31 am
(@shazman)
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TWTW SPORTS

NCAA YTD 8-1 (89%) +$15,800

2k Eastern Michigan -1.5
2k Western Kentucky -2.5
2k Oregon -7
2k Villanova +3.5
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XS SPORTS PICKS

Last 12 Selections 9-3 (75% Winners) +$26,950

NCAA FB:

5* Wyoming +14 (9pm)
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XS SPORTS PICKS

NBA YTD 32-15 +$43,700 (68% Winners)

NBA:

4* LA Lakers -2 (10:30pm)
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XS SPORTS PICKS

YTD NHL 36-30 +$37,450

NHL:

3* Carolina -1.5 +130 (7pm)

3* Chicago -1.5 +115 (8:30pm)
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Gambling God Sports Picks

World Cup Soccer
Canada

CBB
COLUMBIA +6

CFB
CINCINNATI -23

Sports Handicapper King

England League Two Soccer
NEWPORT COUNTY

NBA
CLEVELAND -4.5

NHL
CAROLINA

free play ncaa b eastern michigan -1
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Ocal Sports

NCAAF
South Florida +24 -120

NBA
Warriors team total over 213.5
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Posted : November 12, 2021 1:31 pm
(@shazman)
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CBS SportsLine Plays Friday 11/12

Matt Severance

IDAHO ST. @ PEPPERDINE | 11/12 | 10:00 PM EST
PEPPERDINE -3.5
ANALYSIS: It's obviously impossible to know in-depth about every team in the country. Don't know a heck of a lot about Idaho State of the Big Sky -- the Bengals were picked to finish sixth in the conference and opened with a win over Montana State. Pepperdine lost its two best players off last year's team that won the College Basketball Invitational but has eight guys back and a couple of good freshmen in Houston Mallette and Mike Mitchell Jr. Lorenzo Romar has recruited well wherever he has been. The SportsLine Projection Model has the Waves winning by 12. Sagarin by about 9. ESPN power rankings by 10.5.

MILWAUKEE @ BOSTON | 11/12 | 7:30 PM EST
UNDER 213.5
ANALYSIS: Both teams are missing big scorers in Khris Middleton and Jaylen Brown. The Bucks have been one of the best Under teams in the NBA with 75 percent of their games landing Under. Sixty percent of Boston's have and three of four at home.

CORNELL @ LAFAYETTE | 11/12 | 7:30 PM EST
LAFAYETTE -2
ANALYSIS: Cornell lost all five starters from its 2019-20 team -- the Ivy League didn't play last season -- while Lafayette has four starters back off last season's team that was a Patriot League contender. The SportsLine Projection Model has the Leopards winning by 11. Not sure I agree with that but ESPN's power rankings have Lafayette 6.6 points better. The Big Red are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games.

VILLANOVA @ UCLA | 11/12 | 11:30 PM EST
VILLANOVA +4.5
ANALYSIS: Wouldn't be a legitimate capper if I didn't preview this potential Final Four preview with an awesome late-night tipoff from UCLA. Frankly, this spread shocks me. The Bruins are good but I think a tad overrated -- remember, they barely snuck into the NCAA Tournament last year and should have lost in the First Four. Also, the Bruins lost starting big man Cody Riley to a knee injury in the opener. He averaged 10.0 points and 5.4 rebounds last season. Villanova is a veteran team that might not get this many points the rest of the regular season. UCLA might win at home but no way I'm not taking this many points.
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Mike Barner

SACRAMENTO @ OKLAHOMA CITY | 11/12 | 8:00 PM EST
OKLAHOMA CITY +4.5
ANALYSIS: The Thunder have been a much more competitive team at home than on the road. Despite three of their four home games being tough matchups against the Sixers, Warriors and Lakers, they are 3-1 ATS. Meanwhile, the Kings have lost three straight and might be without Tyrese Haliburton (back), who is listed as questionable, for the third straight game. I like the Thunder to keep this close.
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John Bollman

WASHINGTON @ COLUMBUS | 11/12 | 7:00 PM EST
COLUMBUS +110
ANALYSIS: The Caps played in Detroit last night and now they travel to Columbus to face the stingy Blue Jackets defense. The Blue Jackets last played on Saturday so this is this ultimate rust vs. rest argument. The Blue Jackets are 5-1-0 at home this season and both goalies have been very good for them. Vitek Vanecek was out for last night’s game for a maintenance day so it will be either Vanecek or Ilya Samsonov in net for the Caps. Regardless of who is in net, I still think the Blue Jackets have the goalie advantage. The Caps have lost 5 of the last 7 games in this matchup, take the home dog.
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Jerry Palm

CINCINNATI @ SOUTH FLORIDA | 11/12 | 6:00 PM EST
CINCINNATI -23
ANALYSIS: The Bearcats are fortunate to be as high in the College Football Playoff rankings as they are after three straight bad performances, each worse than the one before. They are still undefeated though and need to send a message to the selection committee this week. South Florida provides Cincinnati with a good chance to send that message.
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Max Gorenstein

ABILENE CHR. @ TEXAS A&M | 11/12 | 8:00 PM EST
UNDER 128
ANALYSIS: Both teams were terrible offensively in their openers. They both shot under 40 percent from the field. Defensively, the Aggies were dominant, holding UNF to just 46 points. The Wildcats showed flashes of defensive potential as well as they held the Utes to under 40 percent from the field. Both of these teams like to play at a slower pace. Go Under.

INDIANA ST. @ PURDUE | 11/12 | 8:30 PM EST
PURDUE -24.5
ANALYSIS: The Boilermakers are absolutely loaded and they proved it in their first game as they put up 96 points on 50 percent shooting. Even though the Sycamores won their first game, they didn’t look good. They turned the ball over at a very high rate and their defense was subpar. The Boilermakers should be able to put up 90-plus points again and cover.
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Justin Perri

CANISIUS @ EAST CAROLINA | 11/12 | 7:00 PM EST
EAST CAROLINA -5.5
ANALYSIS: I picked against ECU in the opener, but I'll back the Pirates to cover Friday. I make them 7.5-point favorites, which isn't the biggest edge but my model has high levels of confidence in it. I expect the game to be a sweat, but I think ECU wins by six to eight. Lay it.

UTAH ST. @ RICHMOND | 11/12 | 6:00 PM EST
UTAH ST. +6
ANALYSIS: My model has a 3.5-point edge on this game, meaning I make Utah State +2.5 in this one. Both these teams failed to cover in their first game by about 15 points, with Utah State actually losing its opening match. I think the Aggies bounce back nicely, and there's some extra value because they failed to win their last game. This is a well coached squad. Take the points.

W. KENTUCKY @ MINNESOTA | 11/12 | 6:30 PM EST
MINNESOTA +3
ANALYSIS: It appears to me that the wrong team is favored in this one, as I make Minnesota to be a 2.5-point favorite. I'll gladly take the points against a Hilltoppers squad that just beat Alabama State by five when favored by 26.
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Emory Hunt

CINCINNATI @ SOUTH FLORIDA | 11/12 | 6:00 PM EST
CINCINNATI -23.5
ANALYSIS: Despite a shaky showing last weekend, the Bearcats were able to move up in the CFP rankings. However, all throughout the week they were questioned with how they won their previous game. In this matchup they are facing an inconsistent South Florida offense. With the Bearcats defense -- combined with needing to win with style in order to impress the playoff committee -- I expect Cincinnati to not take its foot off of the gas against the Bulls.
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Larry Hartstein

HARTFORD @ CAMPBELL | 11/12 | 1:30 PM EST
CAMPBELL -5.5
ANALYSIS: This game is part of the Duke Veterans Day Weekend Showcase in Durham. The Camels are North Division favorites in the Big South; they returned 99 percent of their scoring and minutes played from last season. Hartford won the America East last season but is not as good defensively; this season they're picked to finish fourth. In their opener, the Hawks got 16 more free throws and still lost by 18 to Wagner. Look for Campbell to execute its Princeton offense effectively and cover.

NEW YORK @ CHARLOTTE | 11/12 | 7:00 PM EST
CHARLOTTE +1.5
ANALYSIS: The Knicks are known for defense under Tom Thibodeau but lately they've been getting lit up. Opponents are shooting 41 percent from deep over New York's last seven games. And the Knicks' starters are the biggest problem: they've been outscored by 15.6 points per 100 possessions. The young and talented Hornets got a huge win in Memphis last time out and I think they carry it over here.

N. ILLINOIS @ INDIANA | 11/12 | 7:00 PM EST
N. ILLINOIS +25
ANALYSIS: The Northern Illinois Huskies were impressive in their season opener, winning by seven as big underdogs to Washington. They registered 14 blocks and held Washington below 30 percent shooting. Indiana should win but this is too many points.
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Micah Roberts

CINCINNATI @ SOUTH FLORIDA | 11/12 | 6:00 PM EST
SOUTH FLORIDA +23.5
ANALYSIS: USF freshman QB Timmy McClain wasn't great in his last outing, but he moved the ball, made some good passes, managed the game and showed leadership against a good Houston defense in a 54-42 loss. Those were the most points the Bulls scored this season. Cincinnati has the mounting pressure of being undefeated, and the Bearcats have looked scared of losing and tentative in their past three (0-3 ATS).
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Zack Cimini

UTAH ST. @ RICHMOND | 11/12 | 6:00 PM EST
UTAH ST. +6.5
ANALYSIS: Utah State suffered a stunning loss to open the season, losing to UC Davis, 72-69. Now the Aggies will need to regroup as they face a Richmond team that has all five starters back, including four players heading into their fifth season. Yet, Richmond experienced key injuries and COVID-19 issues last season and will need time to mesh together. Take the points with Utah State.
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Posted : November 12, 2021 2:41 pm
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