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(@shazman)
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Friday 11/19/21 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB & NBA games

 
Posted : November 19, 2021 10:08 am
(@shazman)
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nbaundertips

Brooklyn Nets – Orlando Magic
Under 209
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Nba-Martingale

2 UNITS

Charlotte Hornets - Indiana Pacers Indiana Pacers @ 2.20
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Exterminator NBA system bet for today:

Oklahoma City Thunder {A} bet - Buy 3 points on the spread at no worse than -170 odds. If the {A} bet does not win, please double up on the {B} bet by taking them again on 11/20. The potential {C} bet is on 11/22.
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Tony Meja

3% Game: (317) Memphis at (318) Houston Play: Houston -8.5 (-110)

5% top play Game: (317) Memphis at (318) Houston Play: Total Over 59.5 (-110)
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Posted : November 19, 2021 10:10 am
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Matt Severance

S. ILLINOIS @ COLORADO | 11/19 | 8:00 PM EST
COLORADO -6.5
ANALYSIS: Early projections show the Buffs should be around 10-point favorites for this Paradise Jam matchup in the Virgin Islands -- I actually attended that once. Quite fun. Colorado hasn't been challenged in a 3-0 start. The Buffs are averaging 90.3 points and shooting 51.5 percent from the field. Southern Illinois lost at Little Rock and beat Austin Peay so an obvious step up here for the Salukis. CU has outrebounded its three foes by 17 per game and will have a massive size advantage here. I'm thinking this spread rises a few points by tipoff.

COLORADO @ SEATTLE | 11/19 | 10:00 PM EST
UNDER 6.5
ANALYSIS: You know the rule: 6.5 goals means Under. Should have won on Under 6 in the Avs' last game but they scored an empty-netter with 11 seconds left to push. Colorado remains without a handful of key offensive players led by Nathan MacKinnon. The Kraken are really starting to fade offensively, scoring two goals in each of their past two. I see a 4-2 final here in Colorado's first trip to Seattle.

GA. TECH @ GEORGIA | 11/19 | 9:00 PM EST
GEORGIA +5.5
ANALYSIS: Ah, the Clean Old-Fashioned Hate rivalry. This spread seems a bit off -- bet it drops by morning -- so I'll happily take the Dawgs and the points. Tech's lone loss is at home to a MAC school, while Georgia's is at a good Cincinnati team. The SportsLine Projection Model has Tech currently winning by a point and a few others I've checked list UGA as the favorite. Coach Tom Crean's club is led by three good veteran transfers in Aaron Cook, Kario Oguendo and Braelen Bridges.

NORFOLK ST. @ BOWLING GREEN | 11/19 | 5:30 PM EST
NORFOLK ST. +9.5
ANALYSIS: We won on a good Norfolk State team -- won the MEAC last year and a game in the First Four of the NCAA Tournament -- on Tuesday against William & Mary and I'm pretty surprised at this number at Bowling Green. The 1-2 Falcons were picked to finish sixth in the MAC and have a loss to Western Carolina, which isn't as good as Norfolk Sate. The SportsLine Projection Model has BGSU winning by 4. So does Sagarin. I will be quite shocked if the Spartans don't cover this spread and frankly think they can win outright.

STETSON @ LAMAR | 11/19 | 8:00 PM EST
LAMAR +1
ANALYSIS: Respect to readers if you can tell me where both Stetson and Lamar are located. Or if you know anyone named Stetson or Lamar personally (I don't know them but Georgia QB Stetson Bennett and of course Ravens QB Lamar Jackson). Anyways, this line seems off. The SportsLine Projection Model has Lamar winning by 5. So does ESPN's power rankings. Sagarin has the Cardinals by 2. Stetson has been blown out in both road games and had a quick turnaround/travel after losing Wednesday at Miami of Ohio.

DALLAS @ PHOENIX | 11/19 | 10:00 PM EST
UNDER 211.5
ANALYSIS: This total is perplexing considering these teams combined for 203 points in the same gym on Wednesday when the Mavs were without Luka Doncic. He's listed as doubtful tonight. Why would the score change much? Dallas only got 98 points in the first game despite shooting 16-for-32 from deep, and the Mavericks aren't repeating that.
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Jeff Hochman

MEMPHIS @ HOUSTON | 11/19 | 9:00 PM EST
MEMPHIS +8.5
ANALYSIS: This will be the Houston Cougars' fourth game in 20 days. Big advantage for Memphis. Both teams won and covered recently against SMU. Houston was +1 while Memphis was +3 playing at SMU. This line seems high to me. Memphis has a really good offensive line (No. 39) and it even had the better stats against a common opponent Houston is 3-11 ATS in its past 14 games after a SU win of 20-plus points. Memphis is 6-0 ATS in this series of late. The Tigers won three games outright as underdogs.
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Max Gorenstein

FIU @ GREEN BAY | 11/19 | 8:00 PM EST
UNDER 133.5
ANALYSIS: These teams have terrible offenses. The Panthers' numbers are inflated from their game against a non-Division I opponent, and the Phoenix went to double overtime in their first game. The Phoenix like to slow the game down and should have no problem doing that against the Panthers. FIU is strong defensively, and both teams are on a back-to-back, which will hurt the offenses. Under is the play.
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Matt Severance

MICHIGAN @ UNLV | 11/20 | 12:30 AM EST
UNLV +13.5
ANALYSIS: This seems like a big number considering how mediocre Michigan has looked and that UNLV is unbeaten, a veteran team and at home, although technically a neutral site at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas in something called the Roman Main Event. I'd expect this game to do massive betting action because of the start time: 12:30 early Saturday morning ET. People love to chase on late-night games -- why Hawaii football home games do so well. That unusual tip time might affect the Wolverines a lot more than the Rebs as well.
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Posted : November 19, 2021 12:34 pm
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Gambling God Sports Picks

Spain Soccer
Athletico Bilbao

Nba
Sacramento -3.5

Cbb
George Mason -3
Eastern Washington -1

Sports Handicapper King

Ireland Soccer
Bohemians

Nhl
Seattle

Ncaa b
Colorado -7
North Dakota +4.5
St,Thomas +10.5

free play Ncaa f la tech -15.5
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Northcoast

Marquee
Under 49 La Tech/S Miss
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Larry Ness

9 Pacers
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IC

NCAAB +15.5u (6-3)

7-Unit Play. #306823. Take Over 127.5 Coppin State vs. Virginia (Friday @ 7pm est)

 
Posted : November 19, 2021 2:52 pm
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Max Gorenstein

ARKANSAS @ ALABAMA | 11/20 | 3:30 PM EST
ARKANSAS +20.5
ANALYSIS: The Crimson Tide have been great this year, but this spread is too high against such a strong team. The Razorbacks have been great on both sides of the ball. They are not on Alabama’s level, but they're not as bad as this line suggests. The Razorbacks are a very good rushing team and will use that run game to control the pace of the game. The Tide will win, but Arkansas covers.

HOFSTRA @ MARYLAND | 11/19 | 6:30 PM EST
HOFSTRA +11.5
ANALYSIS: This pick is a fade on the Terrapins, who have looked terrible to start this season. They are 3-1, but it is easy to see this team isn’t good. The Terrapins have struggled on both ends but play at such a slow pace it doesn’t show up in the stats. Now they have to play against a good Hofstra team. The Pride are 1-2, but they have looked good and are elite from three-point range. That is where Maryland has had most of its defensive struggles. If the Pride get hot from downtown, they should win this game outright. But for safety, take the points.
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Justin Perri

GEORGE MASON @ JAMES MADISON | 11/19 | 7:00 PM EST
JAMES MADISON +3
ANALYSIS: My model's only play on the board currently, it has James Madison as the winning team by around a point. So we'll take this solid edge and continue to bet on home teams getting points. George Mason is coming off a big win over Maryland, which is probably what is giving JMU the value here (i.e. letdown for Patriots).

SIENA @ GEORGETOWN | 11/19 | 6:30 PM EST
GEORGETOWN -15.5
ANALYSIS: I'm going without the model for this one, but this spread is too small for Georgetown. Siena has lost all three games by at least 18 points (0-3 ATS). The Saints were given +3 and +3.5 in their two most recent games, and they lost by 20 and 28. Those were against Delaware and Yale, and Georgetown is a level above those teams. Fade Siena until the Saints show they can keep a game anywhere near close.
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Posted : November 19, 2021 2:55 pm
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