Friday 9/17/21 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games
Emory Hunt
MARYLAND @ ILLINOIS | 09/17 | 9:00 PM EDT
MARYLAND -7.5
ANALYSIS: It's good to see Maryland QB Taulia Tagovailoa finally settle in at the position. He's making smart decisions with the football and using his legs to create and extend plays. The Terrapins' offense looks much more in sync this season. Illinois will get back starting QB Brandon Peters in this game. Expect an up-and-down return for him, as Maryland's defense is playing some of its best ball.
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Pickswise Sports
CFB 3* Best Bet - Maryland -7
CFB
2* Louisville +7
2* Louisville/UCF Under 67.5
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Andrew Jett
CFB
UCF -6.5 (Top Play)
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Chris Ruffolo
CFB
Illinois/Maryland Under 61.5 (Top Play)
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Alan Scozzari Sport
GOM
Italy Serie A
Sassuolo -0,5 -110
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dubaibets asia
Spanish : LaLiga
Celta Vigo – Cadiz
Celta Vigo -1
Odds : 2.00
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totalmatchvip
PERU: Liga 1 – Clausura
Cusco – Alianza Lima
Over 2.5
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both-to-score
FRANCE: Ligue 1
Strasbourg – Metz
Both to score : YES @ 1.95
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Stitches--NY Post. Rained out yesterday. Season record remains 85-79.
Friday's play (10 units) is on the Rockies again.
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Ben Burns - CFL MONEYLINE FAN APPRECIATION SPECIAL (71%)
Saskatchewan Roughriders -175
I'm playing SASKATCHEWAN on the ML. These teams both just played b2b games against the same team. The Argos eked out a split with Hamilton. The Riders dropped both meetings against Winnipeg. That's going to have them extra hungry for this one. Playing at home, in front of their passionate fans, provides an added advantage. The Riders have won the past four meetings. Two were 25-point blowouts while another win came by eight points. The other was by a single point. Going back a bit further finds that the Riders have won seven of the past eight meetings, including each of the past three here in the prairies. Knowing that five of their next six games are on the road, the Riders know they need to take care of business here. Look for them to get it done.
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The Prez
4% - Toronto Blue Jays RL - Action
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TMTW Sports
Yesterday's Recap
MLB 1-1 +2000 / NFL 1-0 +3000 / NCAA 0-1 -5500
5k LA Dodgers -1.5 -105
3k Seattle -102
3k Miami -1.5 +125
5k Louisville Under 67 -108
3k FH Louisville +3.5 -105
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Northcoast:
Maryland (-7) over Illinois (Friday Marquee)
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August Young
Minnesota Twins +1.5, RL, +100
Braves +150
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Andrew McInnis 4% Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners -101 C Flexen (RHP), B Singer (RHP) Must Start
4% Atlanta Braves at (964) San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants -167 I Anderson (RHP), L Webb (RHP) Must Start
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Maddux
10 Maryland -7
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IC
WNBA -29.4u (41-42-2)
4 - MIN -9.5 vs IND
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MATT RIVERS
Top-Rated
100 DIME
College Oddsmakers Error
TODAY'S PLAY
Pick: 100 DIME Central Florida
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GUS AUGUSTINE
40 Dime
Winner
Non-Conference Total of the Week
UCF-Louisville Over/Under
TODAY'S PLA
The Pick: 40 Dime Under Central Florida-Louisville
The Line: At 9:20 am eastern the line is 67 points.
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CHRIS JORDAN
TODAY'S PLAY
300♦
College Football
Winner
Non-Conference Bankroll Builder
The Pick: 300♦ UCF KNIGHTS
The Line: At 6 am pacific, the line is -6' points
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TOMMY BRUNSON
50 DIME
Winner
Late Night Lock Total
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: My 50 Dime play is Maryland-Illinois Over the total.
The Line: At 7:00 am eastern time, the total is 61 points.
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TRACE ADAMS
Top-Rated
1000♦
Big Ten Lock
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 1000♦ on Illinois
The Line: At 7:15 am eastern time, the Illini are +7 points.
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KIRBY MAXWELL
50 Dime
Big Ten
Game of the Month
TODAY'S PLAY
RATING: 50 Dime
PLAY: Maryland Terrapins
LINE: At 9:30 am eastern, the line is Maryland -7.
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JAY MCNEIL
50 DIME
MLB Road Rout
4-Run Winner
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 50 DIME play on the L.A. Dodgers (Buehler) -1 1/2 runs over the Cincinnati Reds (Castillo).
The Line: At 7:45 am eastern time, the Dodgers are -1 1/2 runs, -115.
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In Game Trap
20* UCF-7
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MITCHELL NEWMAN
50 DIME
Winner
MLB Mismatch Lock
TODAY'S PLAY
Selection: 50 Dime winner on the L.A. Dodgers (Buehler) -1 1/2 runs over the Cincinnati Reds (Castillo).
Price: At 8:15 am eastern time, the Dodgers are -1 1/2 runs, -115.
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AL DEMARCO
Raise the Bar 20-Dime
MLB Winner
3-Run Road Romp
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 20 Dimes - Philadelphia
The Line: Philadelphia -125 at 7:50 am pacific
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Great Lake Sports
MLB
3* #963 Atlanta +140 (Anderson)
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Elite Sports Picks
Philadelphia (Wheeler) -130 over N.Y. Mets (Walker)
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Insider Sports Report
4* San Diego (Velasquez)/St. Louis (Mikolas) OVER 8.5
Range: 8 to 9
3* U.C.F. -6.5 over Louisville (NCAAF)
Range: -4.5 to -8.5
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National Sports Service
4* Illinois +7 over Maryland (NCAAF)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 09/17/21
4 Unit --> San Diego (Velasquez)/St. Louis (Mikolas) OVER 8.5
3 Unit --> U.C.F./Louisville OVER 67 (NCAAF)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 09/17/21
4★ U.C.F. -6.5 over Louisville (NCAAF)
3★ Miami (Hernandez) -155 over Pittsburgh (Crowe)
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Tokyo Brandon
Game: (963) Atlanta Braves at (964) San Francisco Giants
Date/Time: Sep 17 2021 9:45 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1%
Play: 1H San Francisco Giants -138 I Anderson (RHP), L Webb (RHP) Must Start
Webb has been absolutely fantastic at home and also in his career vs the Braves. The Giants have every advantage here including BA v RHP and 30 day form. I do not trust their bullpen so make this a 1st5 ML play.
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Best VIP Winners
VIP Plays for friday, August 17
cfb central florida -6 1/2 (jason mitchell sports WHALE VIP play)
mlb under 9 (cws/tex) (Wise Guy Team 3,000 dime VIP play)
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Micah Roberts
UCF @ LOUISVILLE | 09/17 | 7:30 PM EDT
UCF -7
ANALYSIS: The Louisville defense is allowing 402.0 yards per game and is going to have a tough time slowing Dillon Gabriel and the UCF offense, which is averaging 583.0 yards. The Louisville offense, led by QB Malik Cunningham, won’t be able to keep up, much the same way the Cardinals fell short against Ole Miss. I’m on UCF to cover.
PHILADELPHIA @ N.Y. METS | 09/17 | 7:10 PM EDT
PHILADELPHIA -125
ANALYSIS: The Phillies have won two straight and sit three games behind the Braves in the NL East. The Mets sit 5.5 games back. I’m on Philadelphia not only because Bryce Harper is chasing an MVP award but also because Zack Wheeler decided to wake up from his August sleepwalk. The Phils have won his last three starts, and his last two have been amazing, allowing one run over 12.2 innings combined. Phillies to win.
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Matt Severance
L.A. DODGERS @ CINCINNATI | 09/17 | 7:10 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS -160
ANALYSIS: The Reds apparently may get All-Star outfielder Jesse Winker back from a long IL stint so that lineup will be that much better, but the pitching matchup is incredibly one-sided in favor of the Dodgers' Walker Buehler over the Reds' Luis Castillo. Plus, Cincinnati has used its three best relievers each of the past two days so they aren't available. LA was off Thursday so no pen worries -- Buehler is capable of a complete game regardless. Frankly, you almost have to take the Dodgers the rest of the way when they are under -200. Cincinnati is 0-5 in its past five after a win.
UCF @ LOUISVILLE | 09/17 | 7:30 PM EDT
UCF -6.5
ANALYSIS: Now that this has dipped under 7, which may be temporary, let's try it on the Knights. Hard to see Louisville running the ball with much success against the nation's No. 2 rush defense, and Cards QB Malik Cunningham really isn't the type of guy who should be throwing it 40 times. On the flip side, UCF's offense is explosive behind QB Dillon Gabriel, and UofL couldn't stop Ole Miss in the season opener at all. Maybe the Knights' offense isn't quite as good as the Rebs', but it's not that far off.
ATLANTA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 09/17 | 9:45 PM EDT
SAN FRANCISCO -157
ANALYSIS: Lost on the Giants at home the past two days, but going back to the well here. SF has clinched a playoff spot but is neck-and-neck with the Dodgers to avoid the wild-card game so there remains plenty of motivation. Logan Webb (10-3, 2.80) is 5-0 with 1.66 ERA at home this year. The Braves were supposed to play Thursday at home but had to wait around for a postponement and then fly across the country. Ian Anderson is a solid pitcher but has a 6.75 ERA in two starts this month. Atlanta has dropped its past four as a dog.
PITTSBURGH @ MIAMI | 09/17 | 7:10 PM EDT
MIAMI -145
ANALYSIS: Pittsburgh had to play Thursday and travel, while Miami was off. The Bucs enter on a seven-game road skid and scheduled starting pitcher Wil Crowe has a 7.04 ERA in 46.0 away innings. The Marlins have won four straight as favorites and are 6-2 in their past eight at home. Elieser Hernandez allowed one run over five in his lone outing this year vs. Pittsburgh.
OAKLAND @ L.A. ANGELS | 09/17 | 9:38 PM EDT
OAKLAND +100
ANALYSIS: This is one of those times we are betting a lookahead line because we know things are going to change -- Friday's change being that Shohei Ohtani will not pitch for the Angels due to a sore arm and probably pitch won't the rest of the way; it won't apparently affect his hitting. The Halos haven't announced a starter Friday yet (likely a bullpen day), but I'd expect the A's to be favored eventually. It will be Cole Irvin for them, and he has a 3.24 ERA in four starts this year vs. LA. Oakland has won six of its past eight in Anaheim.
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WUnderdog
MLB
Atlanta +156 @ san francisco
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Sean Murphy
Big Ten game of year on Terps
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Big Al
FRIDAY MLB HIGH ROLLER
WHITE SOX
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Nellys
Friday MLB Total Delivery
Over Colorado
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Parlay Winners
FRIDAY MLB BASEBALL
Play Tampa Bay -235 over Detroit (MLB)
Detroit has lost 119 of the last 180 games when playing as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have lost 55 of the last 89 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs. Detroit has lost 44 of the last 66 games when playing in the month of September and they have lost 39 of the last 55 games when playing on a Friday.
MORE MLB BASEBALL PLAYS
Play St. Louis -140 over San Diego (MLB)
Play Seattle -120 over Kansas City (MLB)
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Parlay Winners
FRIDAY FOOTBALL
Play Louisville +7 over Central Florida (NCAA)
Central Florida has lost 14 of the last 19 games against the spread when the total posted is greater than 63 points and they have lost 9 of the last 11 games against the spread coming off an OVER the total in their last game.
Play Illinois +7.5 over Maryland (NCAA)
Maryland has lost 82 of the last 148 road games against the spread and they have lost 45 of the last 77 games against the spread after allowing 100 or less rushing yards in their last game.
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