Monday 9/13/21 free thread for handicapping and expert predictions for NCAAF, MLB & NFL games.
Pointwise phones
2- baltimore
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Marc Lawrence
NFL Perfect System Club Monday Night
LV Raiders
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SportsLine Projection Model
BAL at LV | 09/13 | 8:15 p.m. ET
Against The Spread:
Pick: Baltimore -4
Baltimore covers 52 percent of simulations
Over-Under
Pick: Under 50.5
The Under hits on 56 percent of simulations
Projected Final Score: Baltimore 27, Las Vegas 22
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Matt Severance
Vegas +4.5
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RJ White
Vegas +4
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Mike Tierney
Ravens -4.5
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Allan Bell
Ravens -4.5
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SYSTEM PLAYS
Baltimore Ravens ML
Toronto Blue Jays ML
San Diego Padres ML
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greenpunter us
Las Vegas Raiders +4
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Stitches--NY Post. Won yesterday with the Tigers. Season record now 83-78.
Monday's play (10 units) is on the Marlins.
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Scott Spreitzer-
Raiders +4 (2U)
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Justin Perri
BALTIMORE @ LAS VEGAS | 09/13 | 8:15 PM EDT
BALTIMORE -4
ANALYSIS: Baltimore has been plagued by injuries over the last two weeks, but that shouldn’t impact its chances to cover much. The Ravens still have one of the best secondaries in the league even without Marcus Peters (done for season) and should be able to out-scheme Las Vegas. John Harbaugh is 10-3 ATS in Week 1 and 9-4 ATS when his team has extra rest mid-season. Bottom line, when his guys are rested they usually cover. My model also has a slight edge, making this game closer to the -5 opening line. Take the Ravens to cover.
MINNESOTA @ N.Y. YANKEES | 09/13 | 2:05 PM EDT
OVER 10
ANALYSIS: The average total between these two teams this year has been 11.8 over the six games they’ve played. Today's weather should help the total as there's wind blowing out to right, which effectively makes the short porch at Yankee Stadium even shorter. The Yankees’ pitching has been a mess as they’ve allowed 5+ in each of their last eight games with an average of 7.1 allowed. The Twins play high-scoring games on the road at a good rate, with an Over record of 42-25-4 while away from Minnesota. I expect both starters to struggle and for runs to be scored liberally, so grab the Over.
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Andrew McInnis 5%
Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox -120 E Rodriguez (LHP), L Gilbert (RHP) Must Start
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Randy Chambers - SportsChatPlace
NFL - Raiders +4.5
MLB
Mets -105
Giants -105
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Matt Severance
MINNESOTA @ N.Y. YANKEES | 09/13 | 2:05 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -180
ANALYSIS: We've seen this situation a few times this year where a club has to fly in for a makeup game and then fly right back out. It usually doesn't go well for that team. I don't expect it to for Minnesota, either. Aaron Judge is in the lineup for the Yanks after leaving Sunday night's game with some dizziness. New York's Luis Gil is the first Yankees pitcher to start his first four MLB appearances and allow just three total runs over those first four starts -- the previous team record was five runs by Chase Whitley in 2014 and Slow Joe Doyle in 1906. Slow Joe Doyle. That's awesome.
SAN DIEGO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 09/13 | 9:45 PM EDT
SAN FRANCISCO +1.5
ANALYSIS: I'm pretty confident this moneyline will flip so I will happily take the Giants as home dogs on the runline while I can. San Francisco is on a seven-game winning streak, its longest of the season. The reason the Giants are dogs is they are going with a bullpen day against Yu Darvish, but he has been rather uneven.
BALTIMORE @ LAS VEGAS | 09/13 | 8:15 PM EDT
LAS VEGAS +4.5
ANALYSIS: Potentially huge news out of Ravens camp today in that the team fears that both star cornerback Marcus Peters and new starting running back Gus Edwards -- the No. 1 with JK Dobbins out for the season -- suffered torn ACLs in practice. Wow. Sometimes, you have to jump the lines when you hear breaking news like this. I actually was leaning Raiders and the points regardless because of the Ravens being so banged up at RB and receiver and it being the first Raiders home game in Vegas with fans.
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sharp football totals
(NFL) RAVENS VS. RAIDERS OVER 50.5
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Northcoast
2* Balt -4
Marquee Over 50- Baltimore/Vegas
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Elite Sports Picks
Houston (Odorizzi) -180 over Texas (Howard)
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Insider Sports Report
4* St. Louis (Wainwright)/N.Y. Mets (Hill) UNDER 8.5
Range: 9 to 8
3* Las Vegas +4 over Baltimore (NFL)
Range: +5.5 to +1.5
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National Sports Service
4* Baltimore/Las Vegas OVER 50.5 (NFL)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 09/13/21
4 Unit --> Houston (Odorizzi) -180 over Texas (Howard)
3 Unit --> Baltimore/Las Vegas UNDER 50.5 (NFL)
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Top Ranks Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 09/13/21
4★ Baltimore -4 over Las Vegas (NFL)
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WUnderdog
MLB
Miami-106 @ washington
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Pickswise Sports
NFL 3* Best Bet
Ravens/Raiders Under 50.5
NFL
2* Ravens -3.5
MLB Best Bet - Cardinals -110
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H&H Sports
MLB Weekend 8-1 overall and Yesterday cashed NL Game of the Month Dodgers 8-0..
MLB
Triple Dime - Cardinals -105
Double Dime - Rays +126
Double Dime - Mariners/Red Sox Over 7.5 [-115]
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CHRIS JORDAN
500♦
Monday Night
AFC Game of the Month
The Pick: 500♦ Las Vegas Raiders
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JACK BRAYMAN
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 100 Dime Las Vegas Raiders
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SCOTT DELANEY
40 Dime
AFC Total of the Week Part 2
The Pick: 40 Dime UNDER Baltimore Ravens-Las Vegas Raiders
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GUS AUGUSTINE
20 Dime
Monday Night
Teaser of the Month
The Pick: 20 Dime 6-point teaser, RAIDERS and UNDER
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MITCHELL NEWMAN
75 DIME
Monday Night Lock
Selection: 75 Dime winner on the Baltimore Ravens
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TRACE ADAMS
Top-Rated
1000♦
AFC Lock
The Pick: 1000♦ on the Las Vegas Raiders plus the points
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JAY MCNEIL
60 DIME
A.L. Playoff Implication Lock
The Pick: 60 DIME play on the Seattle Mariners (Gilbert) over the Boston Red Sox (Rodriguez).
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KIRBY MAXWELL
40 Dime
National League
Game of the Week
PLAY: St. Louis Cardinals
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AL DEMARCO - GM
Raise the Bar 20-Dime
MLB Winner # 2 in a Row
4-Run Rout of the Week
The Pick: 20 Dimes - Toronto
The Line: Toronto -130 at 8:30 am pacific
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Bryan Leonard
MLB Game of the Week
4% St. Louis Cardinals ML
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Micah Roberts
ST. LOUIS @ N.Y. METS | 09/13 | 7:10 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS +115
ANALYSIS: The Mets come off an emotional Subway Series win and are only three games out for the final NL wild-card slot, but the Cardinals are only one game out and have veteran ace Adam Wainwright carrying them every five days. The Cardinals have won four straight behind him and nine of his last 10. The price is cheap. Take the Cardinals to win.
BALTIMORE @ LAS VEGAS | 09/13 | 8:15 PM EDT
LAS VEGAS +4
ANALYSIS: There's no doubt the Ravens are the better team, but I've bet that the Raiders are competitive with a chance to win. QB Derek Carr has to hit a deep pass or two, RB Josh Jacobs (illness) needs to play and gain 100 yards on the ground and the Raiders' defense can't give up last year's average of 29.9 points. Those are a lot of needs, but I like Las Vegas to cover in a high-scoring game.
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Tom Fornelli
Ravens/Raiders
Under 50.5
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Cal Sports
4% Cardinals
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R.J. White
BALTIMORE @ LAS VEGAS | 09/13 | 8:15 PM EDT
LAS VEGAS +4
ANALYSIS: I think Baltimore is a much better team than Las Vegas, so I get this line; in fact, I thought it was a few points short a few weeks ago. But the Ravens have been struck hard by injuries during the preseason, and we saw that derail multiple teams last year that were expected to be pretty good on paper. Running backs are largely replaceable, but it doesn't help when you lose your top three guys in the span of two weeks. Throw in the Marcus Peters injury and Baltimore playing shorthanded at receiver, plus what should be an electric crowd for the Raiders' first game in Vegas with fans in the stands, and I think the value is with the home team.
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Matt Severance
TAMPA BAY @ TORONTO | 09/13 | 7:07 PM EDT
TORONTO -125
ANALYSIS: Tampa Bay will apparently use Collin McHugh as an opener ahead of Ryan Yarbrough, and Yarbrough was destroyed last time out by Boston. Jays rookie pitcher Alek Manoah has a 1.69 ERA in two starts vs. the Rays. Tampa is without three of its best offensive players in Wander Franco (IL), likely AL Rookie of the Year Randy Arozarena and Brandon Lowe (both for rest).
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Jack Winningham
Las Vegas Raiders +4 over the Baltimore Ravens
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Larry Hartstein
BALTIMORE @ LAS VEGAS | 09/13 | 8:15 PM EDT
LAS VEGAS +4
ANALYSIS: The Raiders' defense will be improved this year due to several key additions plus coordinator Gus Bradley. He's the same coordinator who devised a plan while with the Chargers to shut down Lamar Jackson in the playoffs, when Jackson was a rookie. Look for the Raiders to play inspired before a raucous crowd and take this game to the wire.
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Sean Murphy
10 Seattle rl
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Jack Jones
20 Blue jays
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Stephen Oh
BOSTON @ SEATTLE | 09/13 | 10:10 PM EDT
SEATTLE +1.5
ANALYSIS: My model says the Mariners cover in over 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Each of Boston's last four games and six of their last eight have been one-run decisions. The Red Sox have lost three of those six. Meanwhile, three of the Mariners' last five contests have been decided by one run. Take Seattle +1.5 runs at -145.
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Mike Tierney
BALTIMORE @ LAS VEGAS | 09/13 | 8:15 PM EDT
BALTIMORE -4.5
ANALYSIS: To say that coach John Harbaugh gets the Ravens ready for season openers is an under statement. Baltimore has outscored its last four Week 1 opponents by a remarkable average of 41-5, with margins of victory at 32, 49, 44 and 20. While conventional thought suggest the Monday night home underdog side holds an edge, the theory did not stand up last year. Visitors went 12-5 straight up, with one of the wins achieved by Baltimore at Cleveland. Las Vegas overhauled much of its roster and the extreme makeover can pay off eventually, but the schedule-maker dealt the Raiders a rough card in the opener.
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Jim Feist
Cardinals
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Max Gorenstein
BALTIMORE @ LAS VEGAS | 09/13 | 8:15 PM EDT
OVER 50.5
ANALYSIS: The secondaries are the weak points of these defenses. This is going to make for a lot of passes and a high-paced game. The loss of Marcus Peters is really going to hurt the Ravens in this one. Both teams should be able to make scoring look easy.
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Adam Trigger
LV +4
Blue Jays
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Allan Bell
BALTIMORE @ LAS VEGAS | 09/13 | 8:15 PM EDT
BALTIMORE -4.5
ANALYSIS: Don't overthink this one. The Baltimore Ravens are a better team offensively than Las Vegas and a much better team defensively than Las Vegas...oh and might have the best FG kicker in the league too. The Ravens have outscored its opponents 144-19 over the last three season openers, in fact they've won the last three by 30+ points each. Lamar Jackson has no problem playing on the road either, he's 13-4-1 ATS in his career. In case you need any further convincing, Baltimore has had the No. 1 rushing offense in back-to-back seasons. The Raiders rush D? Bottom 10. Take the Ravens.
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H&H Sports
NFL
Triple Dime - Ravens -3 [-120]
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Sportsline Computer
MLB
Toronto -130
Saint Louis -105
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Vegas sharks - rays ML
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