Monday 9/6/21 free thread for handicapping and expert predictions for NCAAF, MLB & NFL games.
H&H Sports
CFB
Triple Dime - Mississippi -9.5 [-120]
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teamronaldinho
CHILE Primera Liga
Deportes Temuco – Magallanes
Deportes Temuco Over 1,5 @ 2.10
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totalgoalsvip
ENGLAND League One
Bolton vs Burton
Bet : 2 or 3 goals
Odd: 2.00
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james-martingale
France – National
Red Star – Orleans
Second Half : Over 1.5 Goals
Odds : 2.45 / 1 units
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over3goals
Euro U21 – Qualification
Czech Republic U21 – Albania U21
Over 3 @ 2.00
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Mike Tierney
LOUISVILLE @ OLE MISS | 09/06 | 8:00 PM EDT
UNDER 76
ANALYSIS: Few coaches in college football exercise a greater in-game influence than Lane Kiffin of Ole Miss. He is all about offense, and he dives deeply into the play-calling. Now that he has been scratched because of COVID-19, the role transfers to an assistant from whom the players are unaccustomed to taking directions. The total that was a tad too high to begin with is unlikely to be reached. Both defenses should be improved over a year ago, which admittedly isn’t saying much, but the Rebels’ previous final score was 26-20, perhaps a harbinger for this season. The Cardinals even recorded a shutout of Syracuse in their ninth game last year.
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Big Al
Yanks
Red Sox
Astros
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Matt Severance
LOUISVILLE @ OLE MISS | 09/06 | 8:00 PM EDT
UNDER 75.5
ANALYSIS: I realize both these teams were awful defensively last year, especially Ole Miss. However, this total is crazy and the biggest reason I am going Under is that the Rebs will be without head coach Lane Kiffin. Now, I think Kiffin is more important to Ole Miss than Nick Saban is to Alabama. Before Tide fans lose their minds, let me explain: Kiffin is his team's offensive play-caller. Saban doesn't call plays. Thus, we have to downgrade the Ole Miss offense a bit. And I actually think its defense will be better with nine starters back. This should end something like 40-30 so we're going Under (I'm not playing the spread).
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Barrett Sallee
LOUISVILLE @ OLE MISS | 09/06 | 8:00 PM EDT
OLE MISS -9.5
ANALYSIS: The over/under suggests that this will be a shootout, and there's no doubt that it will be. But that total is just a bit high. While Ole Miss' offense, led by coach Lane Kiffin, quarterback Matt Corral and running back Jerrion Ealy, will cruise up and down the field, the Rebels' defense will show signs of life for the first time in two years. With that said, a few stops on the Cardinals will go a long way toward putting this one in the win column for the Rebs. This one feels more like a 45-24 style game rather than "basketball on grass."
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Stitches--NY Post. Won again yesterday with the Mets. Season record now 78-76.
Monday's play (20 units) is on the Blue Jays.
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Wiseguy Team
1,000 Dime | MLB Total | Under 9 1/2 (Twins/Indians)
2,000 Dime | MLB Total | Under 11 (Giants/Rockies)
3,000 Dime | MLB Spread | Washington Nationals +1 1/2
4,000 Dime | MLB Spread | Los Angeles Dodgers -1 1/2
5,000 Dime Max Play | CFB Total | Under 75 (Louisville/Mississippi)
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MLB(Bob Balfe)
1:05 PM EST
Rotation #911-912
Royals/Orioles Over 10.5 runs
Bubic/Lowther
Both teams have really struggled this year, but what they both do pretty well is hit left handed pitching. The Orioles will start Zac Lowther who has only 8 innings of big league work and was rocked in that short amount of time. Kris Bubic goes for the Royals and he gives up a lot of hits with many of them being home runs. I think it will be batting practice this afternoon for both teams. Take the Over.
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JM SPORTS
Game: (923) Detroit Tigers at (924) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: Sep 6 2021 1:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: Detroit Tigers -140 T Skubal (LHP), B Wilson (RHP) Must Start
3 unit Detroit Tigers (-140) over Pittsburgh Pirates (Skubal/Wilson) —
The immediate difference is how this pitchers have performed in day games. Skubal is 5-2 with a 3.44 ERA in 11 starts, while Wilson is 1-3 with a 5.84 ERA in 5 starts and opponents are batting over .300! On top of that Wilson is 1-3 @ H with a 5.23 ERA and PIT is 1-4 in his L5 starts. Alongside that high ERA, the Pirates have struggled offensively this season, they are last in the league in runs/game, #27 in opponent runs allowed, totaling out to #29 in run differential. While the Tigers aren’t much better, being #19 in runs, #20 in opponent runs and #12 in batting average, paired with a solid ERA in day games should be enough to outdo this struggling Pirates team. Detroit is 11-2 in the first game of a series vs a non divisional opponent when the line is under 200 (5-0 on the road), they are 8-2 on the road vs a SP w/ ERA > 4.00, 5-0 after allowing less then 2 runs when the line is ≤ 135, and in Skubal’s L9 vs. RHP with a line > -140 Detroit is 7-2. The Pirates are 13-25as a D in the opener of a series (including 0-6 vs. LHP w/ line< 170, & 6-14 as D of ≤145. They have only won 11 out of their 42 games vs. LHP (including 2-9 @ H w/ 100<line115.
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XS Sports Picks Monday
MLB:
5 Detroit -1.5 +115
3 Colorado +127
3 Tampa Bay +120
4 Cincinnati Under 8 -111
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TRACE ADAMS
Top-Rated
1000♦
Winner
MLB 3-Run Road Rout
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 1000♦ on the L.A. Dodgers (Scherzer) -1 1/2 runs over the St. Louis Cardinals (Mikolas).
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MITCHELL NEWMAN
75 DIME
Winner
Non-Conference Living Lock
TODAY'S PLAY
Selection: 75 Dime winner on Ole Miss minus the points.
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JAY MCNEIL
100 DIME
Max Wager Winner
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 100 DIME play on the Louisville Cardinals
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GUS AUGUSTINE
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 40 Dime Minnesota Twins
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CHRIS JORDAN
300♦
College Football
Winner
Total of the Week - Part 3
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 300♦ Under Louisville-Mississippi
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John Bollman
TORONTO @ N.Y. YANKEES | 09/06 | 1:05 PM EDT
TORONTO +130
ANALYSIS: The Blue Jays bats have awoken after their onslaught of the Athletics relievers continued. They have now won 4 straight games and 7 of their last 10 while the take on the slumping Yankees. The Yankees just lost 2 straight to the Orioles and have lost 6 of 10. Hyun-Jin Ryu and Jameson Taillon are both capable of pitching gems or getting lit up so I will take the value on the dog.
+2769 97-71 IN LAST 168 MLB ML PICKS
+262 19-14 IN LAST 33 TOR ML PICKS
+65 3-2 IN LAST 5 NYY ML PICKS
11:09 AM
CINCINNATI @ CHI. CUBS | 09/06 | 2:20 PM EDT
CHI. CUBS +135
ANALYSIS: The Reds have the fifth worst wOBA in the league against lefties this season and they face Justin Steele today who allowed just 1 hit in 5 IP in his last start. The Cubs have sneakily won 6 straight games and 7 of their last 10 games including a 3 run 9th inning yesterday to walk off the Pirates. In the past three weeks, the Cubs are 11-7 while the Reds are 9-10. The Cubs are 3-4 against the Reds at home this season and they just won 2 out of 3 games in Cincy in August. Take the home dog.
+2769 97-71 IN LAST 168 MLB ML PICKS
+836 26-11 IN LAST 37 CHC ML PICKS
+62 11-8 IN LAST 19 CIN ML PICKS
11:07 AM
SAN FRANCISCO @ COLORADO | 09/06 | 4:10 PM EDT
COLORADO +135
ANALYSIS: The Rockies and the Giants actually have the same record at 11-8 in the past three weeks, and the Rockies are one of the best teams at home in the league. The Giants are coming off multiple high leverage bullpen games against the Dodgers so their bullpen should be worn out. Not ideal for Coors Field. Kevin Gausman has yet to pitch at Coors Field this season and he allowed 5 ER in 10.1 IP in Coors Field last season. Kyle Freeland has been pitching really well lately including one run allowed in 6 IP against the Giants in his only start against them this season. The Giants tend to struggle against lefties and Buster Posey should be out of the lineup after playing back to back nights. Take the Rockies at home.
+2769 97-71 IN LAST 168 MLB ML PICKS
+941 38-25 IN LAST 63 SF ML PICKS
+375 14-7 IN LAST 21 COL ML PICKS
11:01 AM
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Kyle Akins
PHILADELPHIA @ MILWAUKEE | 09/06 | 2:10 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -135
ANALYSIS: This is an elite pitching matchup with both starters (Zack Wheeler, Brandon Woodruff) pitching at All-Star levels. That gives the host Brewers an edge in such a game. Milwaukee has been playing well in the opening game of home series such as today, coming off Sunday's 6-5 win over St. Louis. The Brewers are 11-1 since May 24 at home in the first game of a series if they did not win by more than five runs or lose by more than three runs in the last game.
+510 19-12 IN LAST 31 MLB ML PICKS
+441 5-1 IN LAST 6 MIL ML PICKS
+315 3-0 IN LAST 3 PHI ML PICKS
10:22 AM
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Pickswise Sports
MLB 3* Best Bets
Reds -145
Dodgers -1.5 runs
CFB
1* Mississippi -9.5
1* Over 74.5
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Jack Winningham
Detroit Tigers -137
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H&H Sports
MLB
Triple Dime - Rays +136
Triple Dime - Giants -145
Double Dime - Nationals/Mets Over 9 [-120]
Double Dime - Blue Jays/Yankees Over 9.5 [-110]
Dime - Dodgers -1.5 runs [-114]
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Randy Chambers - SportsChatPlace
MLB
Tigers -140
Mets -120
Yankees/Blue Jays Over 9.5
Phillies +129
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Elite Sports Picks
Cincinnati (Gray) -160 over Chicago Cubs (Steele)
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Insider Sports Report
4* N.Y. Mets (Williams) -120 over Washington (Corbin)
Range: +100 to -140
3* Louisville +10 over Mississippi (NCAAF)
Range: +11.5 to +7.5
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National Sports Service
4* Milwaukee (Woodruff) -145 over Philadelphia (Wheeler)
3* Louisville/Mississippi UNDER 75.5 (NCAAF)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 09/06/21
4 Unit --> Cincinnati (Gray) -160 over Chicago Cubs (Steele)
3 Unit --> Minnesota (Ober)/Cleveland (Allen) UNDER 9
3 Unit --> Mississippi -10 over Louisville (NCAAF)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 09/06/21
4★ N.Y. Mets (Williams) -120 over Washington (Corbin)
3★ Louisville/Mississippi OVER 75 (NCAAF)
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AL DEMARCO - GM
Raise the Bar 20-Dime Release
MLB Dog of the Week
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 20 Dimes - Brewers Run Line
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KIRBY MAXWELL
40 Dime
Non-Conference
Total of the Week
TODAY'S PLAY
RATING: 40 Dime
PLAY: Under Louisville-Mississippi
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Godfatherlocks september 6th picks
3rd ever 10 dime ������ pick
3 top rated 2000 unit picks
3rd ever 10 dime / 10k unit pick
(2-0 record �� 10 dime picks / 4-2 overall all-time)
mississippi rebels -9.5 (ncaaf)
top rated 2000 unit picks
#1 - tampa bay rays +125 (mlb)
#2 - milwaukee brewers -140 (mlb)
#3 - colorado rockies +120 (mlb)
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Ben Burns GOY--Reds
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Master Sports
MLB
4* #922 Angels -130
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Marco D Angelo
4% Rockies
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tom stryker
MLB GRAND SLAM DIVISION BEST BET
Cincy
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Larry Ness
MLB 10* Total of the Week:
Under Cleveland
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Sean murphy
MLB total over Houston
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Sportsline Computer
MLB
Kansas City -111
New York Yankees -125
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Northcoast
Mississippi (-9’) over Louisville 8pm ESPN (Monday Night Marquee)
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Tokyo Brandon
1* Dodgers -.5 -115 First 5
Scherzer has not allowed more than a run in his last three starts and the Dodgers crush RHP. One red flag is the fact that the Dodgers had a late night crushing loss yesterday, but they should be ready for revenge at least in the first 5. Mikolas is an average pitcher who has a 1.41 WHIP. Take the Dodgers first 5 run line.
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