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(@shazman)
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Saturday 1/1/22 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB & NBA games.

 
Posted : January 1, 2022 6:19 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60082
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Topic starter
 

Gianni the Greek

CFB
281) Utah +6 (-120)…(4%) - Bookmaker at 6.5 (Buy ½ at 5.5)
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Dave Essler

CFB (3*) Bowl Total of the Year
Ohio St Under 64.5
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Jeff Hochman

4* NCAAF Saturday Bowl Premium Play

Oklahoma State +2.5
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Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

Double Play
Oklahoma State +2.5

Single Plays
Kentucky-Iowa under 44.5
Utah +4.5
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Marc Lawrence Preferred Picks:

10☆ CFB BOWL GOY..... OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS.

WHITE HOT 5☆ COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL 20-ATS KILL PLAY....ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS
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Root
Pin Bowl GOY - Okla st
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Big Al
Iowa under
Oklahoma state
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King Creole

Saturday, Jan. 1st / 12:00pm ET / 9:00am PT
#275-276
OUTBACK Bowl
PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS vs ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS
4**** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL
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Gianni the Greek

CFB

281) Utah +6 (-120)…(4%) - Bookmaker at 6.5 (Buy ½ at 5.5)
Added

275) Arkansas ML (-135)...(5%) - BIG MOVE via Draftkings
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Tomas Sports
Toledo ml
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Al McMordie

NCAA BOWL ELITE INFO TOTALS WINNER - Baylor Over 55.5
NCAA FOOTBALL TOTAL OF THE WEEK! - Iowa Under 44.5
5* NCAA FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR! - Oklahoma St +2
NEW YEAR's DAY BOWL HIGH ROLLER! - Ohio St -3.5
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Vegas Sports Informer

8* College Football Bowl Game of the Year - Kentucky -3
4* Utah +4.5
4* Baylor Under 56
3* Notre Dame -2
2* Arkansas -2
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Doug Upstone

6* MS -1.5
4* Utah +4.5
3* Iowa +3
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Brian Bitler

10* CFB Saturday Early Executive

Penn State +2.5
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Jimmy Moore

10* College Bowl GOY

Utah Utes +4.5 (#281) - (5:00 est) ESPN

 
Posted : January 1, 2022 6:28 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60082
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Matt Severance

PENN ST. @ ARKANSAS | 01/01 | 12:00 PM EST
ARKANSAS -119
ANALYSIS: OUTBACK BOWL -- I originally thought Penn State would win this game but no longer do. While Arkansas did lose leading receiver Treylon Burks to an opt-out, the Nittany Lions have now lost maybe their three best defensive players in linebackers Ellis Brooks and Brandon Smith and safety Jaquan Brisker, who was a team captain, defensive MVP, All-American and a semifinalist for the Thorpe and Bednarik awards this year. PSU receiver Jahan Dotson, who had 91 receptions for 1,182 yards and 12 touchdowns this season, also has passed on the bowl. No reason to bother giving 1 point; we'll take the moneyline.

+903 55-41-1 IN LAST 97 CFB PICKS
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Jeff Hochman

OKLA. ST. @ NOTRE DAME | 01/01 | 1:00 PM EST
OKLA. ST. +2.5
ANALYSIS: I think losing coach Brian Kelly to LSU doesn't bode well for Notre Dame in this game. The Fighting Irish will be without their top RB (Kyren Williams) and top safety (Kyle Hamilton) as well... The Cowboys played a tougher schedule and own the better defense... Oklahoma State's defensive line is ranked No. 3, while Notre Dame's is ranked No. 59... The Fighting Irish went 6-1 straight-up against other bowl teams, getting outgained in four of the seven games. The Cowboys went 7-2 straight-up against bowl teams, outgaining six of nine foes... Notre Dame has played in seven New Year's Six/BCS/CFP bowl games since 2000 and is 0-7 straight-up and ATS, with a 102-263 point differential. Take the underdog.

+860 13-4 IN LAST 17 CFB PICKS
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Max Gorenstein

TOLEDO @ KENT ST. | 01/01 | 2:00 PM EST
TOLEDO +1
ANALYSIS: This line looks wrong. The Toledo Rockets are a much better team than the Golden Flashes. Kenpom ranks the Rockets as the 100th best team and the Golden Flashes as the 184th team. The Rockets are rolling. They are 7-2 SU and ATS over their last nine games. On the other side, the Golden Flashes are just 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six games against a Division I opponent. The Rockets are a much better team with a much better offense. They should easily win this game.

+927 55-42 IN LAST 97 CBB PICKS
1:54 AM

WEST VIRGINIA @ TEXAS | 01/01 | 12:00 PM EST
WEST VIRGINIA +8.5
ANALYSIS: Fading the Longhorns in this spot. This is only their third game where they are not double digit favorites. The Longhorns got beat up by Gonzaga and lost a close game to Seton Hall. I am a big fan of this Mountaineers team and coach Bob Huggins. They are 11-1 SU and they have covered each of their last four games. The Mountaineers have a dominant defense. Kenpom ranks them as the 25th best defense in the nation as they are only allowing 59.8 PPG. This game is going to be a slow paced defensive battle. The spread is too big. The Mountaineers are going to give the Longhorns trouble all game. Take the points with West Virginia.

+927 55-42 IN LAST 97 CBB PICKS
1:45 AM

PROVIDENCE @ DEPAUL | 01/01 | 3:00 PM EST
UNDER 140.5
ANALYSIS: Both of these teams have been playing low scoring games recently. The Under has cashed in each of the Friars last five games and in four of the Blue Demons last five games. The Friars have an elite defense as they are only allowing 61.8 PPG and just 55.5 PPG on the road. Even with the Blue Demons fast pace, they are only allowing 67.1 PPG. This game will be a defensive battle. The Friars play at a very slow pace that will help keep this game under the total.

+927 55-42 IN LAST 97 CBB PICKS
1:45 AM

E. WASHINGTON @ N. ARIZONA | 01/01 | 4:00 PM EST
E. WASHINGTON -2.5
ANALYSIS: The Eagles have been great ATS this season. They are 8-3 ATS including 7-2 ATS away from home. On the other side, the Lumberjacks are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. Fun random stat: the Lumberjacks are 1-7 ATS in their last eight Saturday home games. The Eagles defense is great at defending the three point line. A lot of the Lumberjacks production is from downtown. The Eagles also have a solid offense. They will be able to slow down the Lumberjacks offense while their offense thrives against the lackluster Lumberjacks defense.

+927 55-42 IN LAST 97 CBB PICKS
1:44 AM
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Justin Perri

IDAHO ST. @ MONTANA ST. | 01/01 | 3:00 PM EST
MONTANA ST. -12
ANALYSIS: In baseball we had the Colorado Rockies on the road, in college basketball we have Idaho State. It's rare to have such clear cut auto-fade teams, but Idaho State is that bad and this line has value. My model is making this a 15.5 point win for Montana State who should take care of the Bengals for an easy Big Sky win. I wouldn't go past 13 in case this line happens to move, but definitely take the value against a terrible Idaho State team that is 1-9 ATS this season.

+608 49-39-1 IN LAST 89 CBB ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 IDST ATS PICKS
2:25 AM

TOLEDO @ KENT ST. | 01/01 | 2:00 PM EST
TOLEDO +1
ANALYSIS: Kent State is playing terribly and Toledo looks like they might be a force in the MAC this season. I am surprised that Toledo is getting a point here, I think they win this game. My model agrees and has this as a 3 point win for the Rockets over the Golden Flashes. Kent State has lost four of its last five games while shooting 37% from the field and just 24% from three in those last five. Toledo should get it done.

+608 49-39-1 IN LAST 89 CBB ATS PICKS
2:11 AM
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Posted : January 1, 2022 7:22 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60082
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Pickswise Sports

CFB 3* Best Bet - Mississippi -120 (Moneyline)

CFB 2* Plays
Arkansas -149 (Moneyline)
Iowa/Kentucky Over 44
Notre Dame/Oklahoma State Under 45.5
Utah +4.5
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Ross Tucker Sports

CFB
Notre Dame -110
Ohio State -4
Mississippi -120
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nbaundertips

Brooklyn Nets – Los Angeles Clippers
Under 214
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Power Sports

EARLY* O/U POWER-BOMB
8* Under 46 Oklahoma State/Notre Dame

TOTAL POWER
10* Over 55.5 Baylor/Ole Miss

NCAAF GAME OF THE YEAR
10* Ohio State -6.5
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The Prez

Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 (-115)
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JOSEPH D'AMICO

ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE GAME OF THE MONTH

4* Arkansas -130
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LockCity

Toledo ml
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Posted : January 1, 2022 8:03 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60082
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Adam Trigger

OK St ML (4%)
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Bob Balfe

Kentucky -3
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Stanford Steve

Arkansas
Iowa
Utah under
Ole Miss
Ole Miss Over
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Chris Fallica

Arkansas Under 48
Iowa
Ohio State
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Big Al NHL Minnesota
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Paul leiner
3000* ole miss
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AAA

10* NCAAF GAME OF THE YEAR

Kentucky
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Greg Shaker

3 Baylor/Mississippi O51 (good up to 57.5)
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Larry Ness

10* Bowl Game of the Year: Mississippi
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Tom Stryker

6* NCAA Bowl Game of the Year: Oklahoma State
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Posted : January 1, 2022 11:04 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60082
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Bondi

7* Kentucky
3* Arkansas, Oklahoma State
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Greg Peterson

Iowa State +8 vs Baylor

Wyoming -1 vs Boise State

Wake Forest vs Miami Under 150.5

NC State vs Florida State Over 142

Oregon -5.5 vs Utah

Updated Record 134-111-4
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Tom Stryker

14-1 ATS NCAA High Roller Bowl Best Bet

Penn State
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4deep bets -Tommy G
MAX BETS​
12pm: Arkansas ��-155 (5u) max
1pm: Oklahoma St�� +1.5 (5u) max
1pm: Kentucky�� -157 (5u) max

2-3 UNITS​*
12pm: Texas ��-9 (2u)
2pm: Baylor�� -7 (2u)
2pm: Kent State �� -140 (3u)
3pm: Providence �� -122 (3u)
6pm: Virginia ��+4 (2u)
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Posted : January 1, 2022 11:28 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60082
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Northcoast

3* Under 43.5 Citrus Bowl (Iowa/Kentucky) 1pm ABC (Marquee Triple)

Top Opinions:
Marquee Triple: Under 50.5 Outback Bowl (Penn St/Arkansas) 12pm ESPN2
Penn St (+3) Arkansas (Outback Bowl) 12pm ESPN2
Kentucky (+3) Iowa (Citrus Bowl) 1pm ABC
Marquee Double: Under 58.5 Sugar Bowl (Baylor/Mississippi) 8:45pm ESPN

Regular Opinions:
Marquee Double: Over 64 Rose Bowl (Utah/Ohio St) 5pm ESPN
Marquee Single: Over 45.5 Fiesta Bowl (Oklahoma St/Notre Dame) 1pm ESPN Oklahoma St (+1) Notre Dame (Fiesta Bowl) 1pm ESPN
Mississippi (-1) Baylor (Sugar Bowl) 8:45pm ESPN

Had to Pickem:
Ohio St (-4) Utah (Rose Bowl) 5pm ESPN
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Pointwise Phones

4 Kentucky
3 Utah
2 Okla St
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Posted : January 1, 2022 11:32 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60082
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Maddux - Lines when posted

OK St +1'
OH ST -4
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CleInsiderSports

Penn State +3
Arkansas/Penn State Over 51
Oklahoma State pk
Utah/Ohio State Under 64
Baylor +1
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H&H Sports
CFB
3.5* Mississippi -106 (Moneyline)
Triple Dime - Kentucky -110 (Moneyline)
Double Dime - Notre Dame pk
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Dr Bob

1* Ark over 48 or better
2* Okl St
2* Ohio St
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Posted : January 1, 2022 12:49 pm
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