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(@shazman)
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Saturday 1/29/22 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAB & NBA games.

 
Posted : January 29, 2022 11:07 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58851
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NBASELECTION

Philadelphia 76ers – Sacramento Kings
Philadelphia 76ers -11
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FirstHalfTips

ROMANIA: Liga 1
FC Rapid – UTA Arad
First Half : X
Odds : 1.90
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The Prez

[NHL] (73) Toronto Maple Leafs at (74) Detroit Red Wings

4% REGULATION Toronto Maple Leafs -130
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Tomas Sports
Michigan St ml
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Greg Peterson

St. John’s +13 vs Villanova

Ole Miss Moneyline vs Kansas State

Oregon State vs Oregon Under 144.5

South Carolina vs Texas A&M Over 134.5

Stanford +13 vs UCLA

Updated Record 202-174-7
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Carmine Bianco

5% Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings
REGULATION Toronto Maple Leafs -130
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Al DeMarco

20 Dime Winner

Arkansas
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CleInsiderSports

NBA
Pelicans +5.5
Wizards +5.5
Nets +7

CBB
Wichita State -1
Missouri +9.5
Syracuse -1.5

NHL
Ducks/Senators U5.5
Oilers/Canadiens O6.5
Devils/Hurricanes O6
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BIG AL's RARE 5* NCAA PLAY -​

Middle Tenn St vs Western Kentucky​

Time: Saturday, January 29, 03:00 pm ET

Bet Type: Point Spread

Pick: Western Kentucky -5 (-110) (William Hill)

Rotation #: 658

Analysis:

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Middle Tennessee. In its last game, Western Kentucky gave the 17-4 UAB Blazers all they could handle, before falling by three points at home, 68-65. And that was Western's fourth straight loss by single digits. Still, the Hilltoppers either pushed or covered the point spread in that game. This afternoon, the Hilltoppers are favored against the Blue Raiders. And we'll lay the points, as home favorites off a home loss, and 3+ losses overall, have cashed 67.1% vs. conference foes off a road win, and 3+ wins overall. Even better: the Hilltoppers are a perfect 8-0 ATS as a home favorite off a home loss, if matched up against a foe with a winning ATS record. Take Western Kentucky. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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Posted : January 29, 2022 11:13 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58851
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Big al

NCAA NON-CONF. DOG OF THE MONTH!
Alabama

NHL SLAPSHOT CLUB
Calgary flames
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Sean Murphy

EARLY CBB AFTERNOON UNDERDOG SHOCKER!

West virginia
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RAS

St. John's/Villanova OVER 140.5
Georgetown/Butler OVER 138.5
Norfolk St. -6
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kelso

high roller 200 butler

50 unit nba parlay
20 mavs
20 griz
10 par

best bet club
15 florida st
15 kansas
15 notre dame
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The College Caps

LSU o123.5
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Al McMordie

5* NCAA PLAY - WKY -5
91% BIG SOUTH GAME OF THE YEAR! - Winthrop +3.5 -120
NCAA NON-CONF. DOG OF THE MONTH! - Alabama +3.5
OHIO VALLEY GAME OF THE MONTH! - Murray St -9.5
NCAA HIGH NOON HANGING - TCU +3 -102
NCAA HOOPS TRIPLE PACK - Awaiting Release
5-GAME NCAA HOOPS PACKAGE - Georgetown +5.5 -107 , WKY -4.5 , Elon -2.5 , Northeastern +6.5 , Texas St -6.5
NHL SLAPSHOT CLUB - Calgary -188
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Paul Stone

Seattle
Washington
West VA
Under TCU
Under Texas
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Posted : January 29, 2022 11:59 am
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Andy Lang

PGA Farmer's Open

[GLF] Golf Head to Head
3% Ryan Palmer over Cameron Tringale
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Jack Jones

20 cbb

Maryland
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Great Lake Sports

CBB
3* #767 Tennessee +3.5
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ZITI Sports
NHL
Anaheim Ducks -135 Ottawa Senators (12:35 PM)
New Jersey Devils vs Carolina Hurricanes OVER 6 -120 (7:05 PM)

COLLEGE HOOPS
West Virginia +8.5 -110 Arkansas (2:00 PM)
Morehead State +10 -110 Murray State (5:00 PM)
Oklahoma vs. Auburn OVER 138 -110 (2:00 PM) (2 BOXES OF ZITI)
Indiana vs Maryland UNDER 135 -110 (2:30 PM)
Central Michigan vs. Northern Illinois UNDER 139 -110 (4:00 PM)
Portland vs Gonzaga OVER 157 -110 (9:00 PM)

SOCCER UNDER SYSTEM
Spain - Segunda Division- Real Oviedo CF vs. Almeria UNDER 2 -102 (3:00 PM)

SOCCER OVER SYSTEM
Scotland - Premier League- Ross County vs. Rangers OVER 2.5 -135 (7:30 AM)
England - National League- Boreham Wood vs. Kings Lynn OVER 2.5 -154 (10:00 AM)
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Posted : January 29, 2022 12:54 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 58851
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Pickersmx

Mushu
200 Dimes NCAAB
Arizona-21

Lady Pickers
150 Dimes NCAAB
Baylor -3
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Godfatherlocks january 29th picks

massive 10k unit picks
#1 - kansas jayhawks -5.5 (ncaab)
#2 - brooklyn nets +7 (nba)

huge 5k unit picks
#1 - louisville cardinals +6 (ncaab)
#2 - xavier musketeers -1.5 (ncaab)
#3 - maryland terrapins +1.5 (ncaab
#4 - central florida knights +6.5 (ncaab)
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Stephen Nover

1* Richmond
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Marc Lawrence

4* College Hoops Game Of The Week! - Nevada
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Dave Essler

2* N Iowa Under
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Posted : January 29, 2022 1:53 pm
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Posts: 58851
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Justin Perri

ILL.-CHICAGO @ OAKLAND | 01/29 | 3:00 PM EST
OAKLAND -11.5
ANALYSIS: Oakland is the best team in this conference and should have absolutely no issue with Illinois-Chicago. In their last two games, the Flames lost to Detroit Mercy by 13 and Wright State by 16. Oakland is ranked 100 spots better than both of those teams and is still getting a smaller line. My model is makes this line 15 points and I think it could come closer to 20 points based on recent play. UIC might be one of the bottom 50 teams in the nation right now. I'll take the home favorite here in this massive mismatch.

+280 5-2 IN LAST 7 CBB ATS PICKS
3:19 AM

GEORGIA ST. @ UL-MONROE | 01/29 | 3:00 PM EST
UL-MONROE +4.5
ANALYSIS: What model doesn't have this line as too big? All of my favorite models and my own are saying that this should much closer to a one point loss, or maybe even a pick'em, for Louisiana Monroe. Have they been great this season? No, they have not. They are 2-8 against the spread in their last ten games but have defended home court well, winning 7 of the 11 games on their own floor. Lucky for us, Georgia State on the road is just 2-7 ATS and I think they're prone to taking a loss in this game. Even if the Panthers win here, I like the ULM Warhawks to cover with the generous 4.5 points. Trust the model.

+280 5-2 IN LAST 7 CBB ATS PICKS
3:09 AM

SAINT JOSEPH'S @ ST. BONA. | 01/29 | 2:00 PM EST
SAINT JOSEPH'S +11
ANALYSIS: I really do not trust the Bonnies to cover a double digit spread right now. Plus, we just won on St. Joes, who looked solid in that win against Duquesne. Bonaventure is a underwhelming 5-11 ATS this year and while they probably win this matchup, +11 is too many points. These teams both just lost to George Mason in the last week, and Bonaventure's defeat was two points worse! My model is coming back with St Joes losing by 7.5 points. I'll take the 3.5 points of value and fade what appears to be a public side in St Bonaventure.

+280 5-2 IN LAST 7 CBB ATS PICKS
3:02 AM

VCU @ RICHMOND | 01/29 | 4:00 PM EST
VCU +3
ANALYSIS: My model has this one with VCU winning by a point. This should be a tight game and getting +3 on a team like VCU that has done so well on the road this season (7-1 ATS) is a good value play. This is a battle between Virginia teams that know each other well and that VCU has won in recent years. The last three games between these A10 foes in Richmond have been won by VCU. I'll wager that it probably goes to the Rams today again, but if not, they should cover +3. Take the points.

+280 5-2 IN LAST 7 CBB ATS PICKS
2:54 AM

WAKE FOREST @ SYRACUSE | 01/29 | 8:00 PM EST
WAKE FOREST 100
ANALYSIS: With Wake Forest's spread at +1, I'm going to opt for the moneyline at even odds. My expected distribution of results indicates that if the Demon Deacons lose, it'll be by multiple points more times than not. So I'll leave the point on the table. The model does make Wake a -135 favorite here, though. Even KenPom puts them at 61% to win, which equates to -156 in American odds. I think we're getting good value on a strong Wake Forest team here, they beat Virginia on the road and have been hot since. Grab the moneyline.

+217 11-8 IN LAST 19 CBB PICKS
2:47 AM
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Matt Severance

SEATTLE @ N.Y. ISLANDERS | 01/29 | 2:00 PM EST
N.Y. ISLANDERS -180
ANALYSIS: This is another Saturday one I'm picking early. The Islanders had been a cash machine for me of late until losing at home to the Kings on Thursday. You know how we harp on West Coast teams playing in that early window on the East Coast in the NFL and how much of a disadvantage it is? Well, we have that here with Seattle in a 2 p.m. ET start. Plus, I have a feeling the Kraken will not start No. 1 Philipp Grubauer because he's due a game off and with Seattle playing again Sunday. I like the Islanders even if it is Grubauer and this will get north of -200 by game time.

+1242 50-29-2 IN LAST 81 NHL PICKS
+627 25-14 IN LAST 39 NYI ML PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 SEA ML PICKS
YESTERDAY 4:47 PM

WINNIPEG @ ST. LOUIS | 01/29 | 3:00 PM EST
ST. LOUIS -175
ANALYSIS: This is a Saturday game, and I may not be at a computer so let's pick this now -- the Jets are free-falling on a six-game losing streak, while the Blues are 14-2 in their past 16 at home and have the hottest goaltender in the league in Ville Husso. The Finn is 6-0-0 with a 1.11 goals-against average and .965 save percentage in seven games this month. This ML will only rise.

+1242 50-29-2 IN LAST 81 NHL PICKS
+500 8-2 IN LAST 10 STL ML PICKS
YESTERDAY 10:30 AM
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Stephen Oh

HOUSTON @ UCF | 01/29 | 8:00 PM EST
HOUSTON -7
ANALYSIS: Houston keeps losing players to injury, but Kelvin Sampson's crew just keeps rollin'. The Cougars are 17-2, have won nine in a row and are coming off a 43-point win against East Carolina. The Coogs don't just beat opponents; they destroy them. UCF is just 3-4 in its last seven games. I'm on Houston.

+390 5-1-1 IN LAST 7 CBB PICKS
+75 3-2 IN LAST 5 HOU ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 10:13 PM
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Max Gorenstein

DUKE @ LOUISVILLE | 01/29 | 12:00 PM EST
DUKE -6.5
ANALYSIS: The Blue Devils are the much better team here as they are ranked 9th in the country. Kenpom ranks the Blue Devils 103 spots ahead of the Cardinals. The Cardinals are 1-9 ATS in their last nine games, including 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. The Blue Devils haven’t been great ATS but this spread is way too small. I am expecting the Blue Devils to dominate this game on both ends with their size and skill, and easily cover this spread.

+477 18-12-2 IN LAST 32 CBB PICKS
2:50 AM

SAINT JOSEPH'S @ ST. BONA. | 01/29 | 2:00 PM EST
SAINT JOSEPH'S +11
ANALYSIS: Fading the Bonnies in this spot. They are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games. This is too many points to be laying against a good Hawks teams. The Hawks are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games. The Hawks will be able to get good looks from deep all night, and use that to keep this game close. The spread is just too big. Take the Hawks here.

+477 18-12-2 IN LAST 32 CBB PICKS
2:50 AM

MIDDLE TENN. @ W. KENTUCKY | 01/29 | 3:00 PM EST
MIDDLE TENN. +5
ANALYSIS: Another favorable spread for the Blue Raiders. They are the better team in this matchup and they are getting points. They are 13-3-1 ATS, including 7-2-1 ATS away from home. On the other side, the Hilltoppers are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four games and it won’t get easier in this game. The Blue Raiders are live to win outright. They should be able to slow down the Hilltoppers offense and cover this spread.

+477 18-12-2 IN LAST 32 CBB PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 MTSU ATS PICKS
2:49 AM

BAYLOR @ ALABAMA | 01/29 | 4:00 PM EST
BAYLOR -3
ANALYSIS: This spread doesn’t make sense. The Crimson Tide are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games, including 0-6 ATS in their last six home games. The Bears are playing great. They are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three games covering the spread by an average of 8.83 PPG. Baylor star James Akinjo is likely to play in this game which would give the Bears an additional boost. The Bears are the much better team. This spread should be a lot higher. Lay the points with the Bears.

+477 18-12-2 IN LAST 32 CBB PICKS
+175 4-2 IN LAST 6 BAYLOR ATS PICKS
2:48 AM
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John Bollman

VEGAS @ TAMPA BAY | 01/29 | 7:00 PM EST
TAMPA BAY -140
ANALYSIS: Lightning have won 8 of their last 10 games and they are 15-4-3 at home this season while the Knights have won just 3 of their last 10 games. Both teams are relatively healthy, but Nikita Kucherov is out for the Lightning. I think that’s why this price is slightly cheaper, but the Lightning did just fine without him for the season last year, so there’s no reason not to take the Lightning this cheap at home.

+610 41-28-1 IN LAST 70 NHL PICKS
+319 34-25 IN LAST 59 TB ML PICKS
+595 15-9 IN LAST 24 LV ML PICKS
9:45 AM

WINNIPEG @ ST. LOUIS | 01/29 | 3:00 PM EST
ST. LOUIS -175
ANALYSIS: Blues have now won 7 of their last 9 games and they are 17-4-2 at home this season. Jets have now lost 6 games in a row and they are 7-8-6 on the road this season. Ville Husso has been playing really well for the Blues so I would expect him to get the start again, while Connor Hellebuyck could be headed for a night off. Jets are still missing a bunch of key players while the Blues are completely healthy. Take the Blues at home.

+610 41-28-1 IN LAST 70 NHL PICKS
+785 13-5 IN LAST 18 STL ML PICKS
9:44 AM

ANAHEIM @ OTTAWA | 01/29 | 12:30 PM EST
OTTAWA 120
ANALYSIS: Senators have won 2 of their last 4 games and they really could be on a 4-game winning streak right now if it weren’t for a couple extra time losses. Ducks are playing well right now on this road trip but this will be their 4th road game in 6 days and they almost blew a 4 goal lead in their last game. Senators are missing a bunch of key players but the Ducks are missing a couple key players too. Can't wait until baseball season where these home dogs actually get me excited, but at the same time we can't just abandon our strategy. Take the home dog.

+610 41-28-1 IN LAST 70 NHL PICKS
+342 16-8 IN LAST 24 ANA ML PICKS
+490 7-4 IN LAST 11 OTT ML PICKS
9:43 AM
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Matt Severance

GEORGETOWN @ BUTLER | 01/29 | 12:00 PM EST
BUTLER -245
ANALYSIS: So, I may change up my hoops picks a bit as I am sort of treading water of late. I have generally taken small home favorites on the moneyline. I'm gonna try larger favorites as part of a two-team parlay. We no doubt will take a big hit once in a while. But I don't see how Butler loses this game at home. My 2nd parlay game TK

+1516 105-74-3 IN LAST 182 CBB PICKS
11:43 AM
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Posted : January 29, 2022 2:10 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 58851
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Pickswise Sports

3*
Wizards/Grizzlies Under
Nets/Warriors Under

3*
LSU
Auburn
Iowa State/Missouri Over
NC State/North Carolina Over
Texas A&M/South Carolina Under

2*
Texas Tech
Texas
Virginia Tech
Baylor ML
Illinois ML
Kansas & Over
Indiana/Maryland Over
Virginia/Notre Dame Under
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Executive

600 - A&M
300 - Kan
300 - SF
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Posted : January 29, 2022 2:28 pm
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