Saturday 10/31/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL and NCAAF games.
Mike Tierney
MICHIGAN ST. +25
MICHIGAN ST. @ MICHIGAN | 10/31 | 12:00 PM EDT
A rivalry matchup with a spread of two dozen-plus points? Call this the Overreaction Bowl from the Big Ten’s first weekend. Michigan went turnover-free in a 49-24 win over Minnesota, and how often does that happen? Even more rare is Michigan State’s turnover total - seven - in a 38-27 setback against Rutgers. Both teams should revert to the means. After allowing a game-opening TD drive, the Spartans yielded just 201 more yards as their new 4-2-5 defense under new coach Mel Tucker settled in. The Wolverines won’t run roughshod over it. Michigan State covered in 10 of 11 meetings before last year's blowout.
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Stephen Oh
Penn State +12
Arguably no Big Ten team has played the Buckeyes better recently than Penn State. Just 16 points have decided the last four meetings, and the last three matchups at Beaver Stadium have been tight, with no game being decided by more than seven points. The Nittany Lions' narrow loss at Indiana last week inflated this number a bit, but I still believe these are the two best teams in the Big Ten. My model says Penn State covers almost 60 percent of the time, so you're getting value at this number.
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Barrett Sallee
Ohio State-12
Penn State lost leading rusher Journey Brown last week and his successor Noah Cain this week. The Nittany Lions are going to have to rely heavily on quarterback Sean Clifford through the air and on the ground. That isn’t going to work against Justin Fields and the dynamic Ohio State offense. This might be a shootout, because Ohio State’s linebackers didn’t look great last week vs. Nebraska, but that’ll change this week against a Penn State team that lacks a true identity.
UNDER 64.5
LSU @ AUBURN | 10/31 | 3:30 PM EDT4:12 PM
The last thing that Auburn needs is for LSU and its explosive offense to have a ton of possessions. Running back Tank Bigsby is a great way to ensure that doesn’t happen. LSU will start Myles Brennan coming off of injury or freshman T.J. Finley at quarterback. Either way, coach Ed Orgeron will want to take away some pressure on the road and will rely on his running game. This won’t be the shootout that some are expecting.
UCF -2.5
UCF @ HOU | 10/31 | 2:00 PM EDT4:11 PM
The Cougars got lit up like a Christmas tree two games ago when they faced BYU, and I guarantee you that Knights coach Josh Heupel has examined that in great detail. Why? Because his quarterback, Dillon Gabriel, is one of the most dynamic players in the country. Houston won’t be able to keep pace in what will be a track meet — AAC style.
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Mike Tierney
Nebraska +3.5
Danny Vanden Boom began preseason practice as the Badgers’ fourth-string QB. One week into the season, he appears the likely starter. Graham Mertz, outstanding in Wisconsin’s opener, and immediate backup Chase Wolf reportedly have tested positive for the coronavirus. Jack Coan (foot), projected as the original starter, is recuperating. Vanden Boom last played in 2018 and threw a single pass. He benefits from Nebraska’s starting CBs suspended, yet only for a half. The Cornhuskers were hammered in their opener but by probable playoff invitee Ohio State
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JOHN RYAN
4% Big Ten Upset Alert
Game: (135) Ohio State at (136) Penn State
Date/Time: Oct 31 2020 7:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Penn State +12.5 (-110)
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Dave Cokin:
183 UAB -11.5
169 Temple +5
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Barrett Sallee
Best Bets
OHIO ST. -12
OHIO ST. @ PENN ST. | 10/31 | 7:30 PM EDT
Penn State lost leading rusher Journey Brown last week and his successor Noah Cain this week. The Nittany Lions are going to have to rely heavily on quarterback Sean Clifford through the air and on the ground. That isn't going to work against Justin Fields and the dynamic Ohio State offense. This might be a shootout, because Ohio State's linebackers didn't look great last week vs. Nebraska, but that'll change this week against a Penn State team that lacks a true identity.
UNDER 64.5
LSU @ AUBURN | 10/31 | 3:30 PM EDT
The last thing that Auburn needs is for LSU and its explosive offense to have a ton of possessions. Running back Tank Bigsby is a great way to ensure that doesn't happen. LSU will start Myles Brennan coming off of injury or freshman T.J. Finley at quarterback. Either way, coach Ed Orgeron will want to take away some pressure on the road and will rely on his running game. This won't be the shootout that some are expecting.
UCF -2.5
UCF @ HOUSTON | 10/31 | 2:00 PM EDT
The Cougars got lit up like a Christmas tree two games ago when they faced BYU, and I guarantee you that Knights coach Josh Heupel has examined that in great detail. Why? Because his quarterback, Dillon Gabriel, is one of the most dynamic players in the country. Houston won't be able to keep pace in what will be a track meet — AAC style.
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WUNDERDOG CFB PICK:
Game: Purdue Boilermakers (139) @ Illinois Fighting Illini (140)
Time: Saturday 10/31 12:00 PM Eastern
Pick: Purdue -7 (-105) at Bovada
Tools: Public Consensus | View Matchups | Bet this game at BetUS
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MidAmerican Sports (Raiderman)
CFB
Kansas State +4 (Best Bet)
Texas Tech +15
Auburn +3
Missouri +13
Arkansas +13
Oklahoma State -3
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Strike Point Sports
7 - Wake Forest -12
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Peter Kahn
Boxing
Kahn is uncanny when it comes to picking fights. He is an astounding 24-2 on SportsLine boxing picks since the hiatus due to the coronavirus pandemic, returning $2,110 to $100 bettors.
Two weeks ago, Kahn called one of the year's biggest upsets, predicting Teofimo Lopez would stun Vasiliy Lomachenko to become the unified lightweight champ. The result? Lopez outhit the pound-for-pound king from the first bell, winning convincingly for a monster payout. Anyone who followed Kahn's advice won $350 for every $100 risked.
Now, Kahn has analyzed Davis-Santa Cruz as only he can. We can tell you he's betting the fight Over 10.5 rounds. But he has a MUCH STRONGER pick on who wins. He says a critical X-factor you're not even thinking about decides this must-see fight.
See Kahn's picks and analysis before you bet.
Here is Kahn's writeup (posted Tuesday):
When Gervonta Davis and Leo Santa Cruz meet Saturday in San Antonio, both the WBA lightweight world title and WBA super featherweight world titles will be on the line in an unprecedented scenario where the fighters will be fighting for world titles in two different weight classes.
Formally, Davis and Santa Cruz are scheduled to fight for Santa Cruz's WBA "super" 130-pound championship, as well as Davis' WBA world 135-pound crown. Though there is a lightweight title at stake in their Showtime Pay-Per-View main event, Davis and Santa Cruz are contractually committed to weighing in as junior lightweights.
With that being said, the oddsmakers aren't showing much respect for Santa Cruz and don't think the +475 underdog is capable of handing the -650 favorite Davis, his first loss.
Davis, (22-0, 21KOs), the two-division world champion, has overwhelmed his opponents thus far in his career with a 96% knockout percentage. Santa Cruz (37-1-1, 19KOs) has had a fantastic career, capturing world titles in three weight divisions along the way.
The oddsmakers have Davis as a prohibitive favorite for a reason. The two-inch height and reach advantage that Santa Cruz has over the southpaw isn't going to be enough to keep Davis off Santa Cruz in a 12-round fight. While Santa Cruz is a very seasoned boxer and champion who has a 49% knockout percentage, he's simply not going to be able to keep the explosive and stronger Davis off of him.
Most of Santa Cruz's knockouts have come at a smaller weight and he hasn't faced a fighter like Davis, who possesses the speed and power that will cause problems for him. In addition, Davis has expressed he feels his strongest at the 130-pound weight limit.
Santa Cruz's biggest win at super featherweight is most likely his 2017 hard-fought majority decision against Carl Frampton, in which he avenged the only loss of his career.
Davis, on the other hand, has walked through most of his opponents with the biggest win of his career, in my opinion, being in 2017 when he defeated Jose Pedraza. Don't get me wrong, Santa Cruz is an excellent boxer and if he fights the "right" fight, he could cause problems for Davis.
While many feel Santa Cruz is the most skilled boxer Davis could be facing to date, he's meeting him late in his career. The 32-year-old Santa Cruz is seven years older than Davis, who has only fought 79 professional rounds compared to the 261 rounds Santa Cruz has under his belt.
My prediction is simple. I feel youth, power, and speed will defeat the veteran, experienced three-division champion, Santa Cruz. I'm picking Gervonta Davis to beat Santa Cruz to the punch and also landing the bigger punches along the way, causing Santa Cruz problems as the fight moves toward the second half. Obviously, the oddsmakers see it the same way I do and that is why Davis is such a big favorite.
While my gut tells me KO or TKO, I feel the +150 value for the fight to go the distance is worth the risk.
I'm picking Davis by decision.
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Big Al
4* Clemson
3* Ill, Penn St. UNLV,
1* SY, Geo St. A.Force
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Kevin Davis (VegasInsider)
CFB
Arkansas +360 (Moneyline)
Arkansas +13.5
Cincinnati -6.5
LSU/Auburn Over 63.5
Oklahoma Over 41.5 (Team Total)
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Virtual Locks
Joey Galloway 7-3 ytd
UCF -3
North Carolina -7
Jesse Palmer 5-4-1 ytd
Bearcats -6.5
K State +4.5
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Mississippi Kid
England Championship
Reading + 125 2U POD
Starts today @ 2:45 pm CST
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Vegas Sports Informer
6 over-63.5-bama
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Gold sheet
From vegas insider
cincinnati
lsu
charlotte
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Marc lawrence
Temple
auburn
louisville
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Big Al
4* Clemson = AL's 90% ACC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR!
Al McMordie's a terrific 26-10 his last 36 NCAA Conference Games of the Year (including a winner earlier this season on his AAC Conference Game of the Year). Now, for Saturday, it's Big Al's ACC Conference Game of the Year, and it's backed by a sweet 90% ATS situation. Get this BIG-TIME WINNER right now, and BURY your Book on Saturday!
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H&H Sports (CFB) - Triple Dime Central Florida -137 (Moneyline)
Double Dime - Cincinnati -6 (-120)
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LineHawk
10/31
WEST VIRGINIA -4 (-110)
DOUBLE HAMMER. There is going to be no stop to the offense from WV here. I have capped this game at WV -9. This is literally blow out City here. If you guys want to win your money lost from this past week trust me on this play completely. The Gas tank is full for WV and they won't let up.
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Elite Sports Picks
L.S.U. -2 over Auburn (NCAAF)
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Insider Sports Report
5* Mississippi -17 over Vanderbilt (NCAAF)
Range: -15.5 to -19.5
3* Boston College/Clemson OVER 58 (NCAAF)
Range: 56 to 60
3* Rice +1.5 over Southern Mississippi (NCAAF)
Range: +3 to -1
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National Sports Service
4* Georgia -17 over Kentucky (NCAAF)
3* Arkansas +13.5 over Texas A&M (NCAAF)
3* North Carolina -7 over Virginia (NCAAF)
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MEMBER PICKS
Primetime Sports Picks For 10/31/20
4 Unit --> Georgia St. +3.5 over Coastal Carolina (NCAAF)
3 Unit --> Cincinnati -6.5 over Memphis (NCAAF)
3 Unit --> Nevada/U.N.L.V. UNDER 59.5 (NCAAF)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 10/31/20
4★ L.S.U. -2 over Auburn (NCAAF)
3★ Temple/Tulane OVER 59 (NCAAF)
3★ Indiana -11.5 over Rutgers (NCAAF)
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Dave Essler
3* MWC GOY
Utah St +7.5
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Ultra Sports 10/31
Temple
Arkansas
Oklahoma St
Penn St
Missouri
West Virginia
Cincinnati
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Maddux
10 Troy +3.5
10 Missouri +14
10 Temple/Tulane under 62
10 Auburn +3
10 Cincinnati -6.5
10 Baylor +3
10 Iowa State/Kansas under 54.5
10 Coastal Carolina/Georgia State under 61.5
10 Mississippi -16.5
10 Texas/Oklahoma State under 59
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Mississippi Kid
Ark ST -3.5 3U POW
Cinn -7 2.5 U
Geo -9.5 1H 1U
Geo -17 1U
Kentucky 1H Under 7 1U
Tulane -5 2U
Duke -10.5 1U
OM Rebels -17 1U
Iowa Under 44 1U
Geo ST +3.5 1U
Louisville +3.5 1U
WV -3.5 1U
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Ben Burns
Georgia state
Texas (BIG 12 GAME OF THE YEAR)
San Diego State vs. Utah State under (total of week)
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Brad Feinberg
Oklahoma st
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Big Al
4* Clemson
3* Ill, Penn St. UNLV,
1* SY, Geo St. A.Force
Added big 12 GOM West Virginia
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SportsBook Breakers
Ohio st.
K state.
Ole miss
Wake
Rutgers.
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Brandon Lang
75 Dimes on Auburn
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Mike Missanelli
North Carolina
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Wayne Root
Millionaire - Texas Tech
No Limit - Houston
Perfect Play - Auburn
Inner circle - Virginia
Pinnacle - PSU
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Goodfella
Early Noon GOY
Georgia over Kentucky up to -17.5
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Lee Sterling
Top college play
Oklahoma st
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Emory Hunt
KSTATE +3.5
CINCY -6.5
ND -20
LSU -3
OKLAST -3.5
OHIO ST -12
BAMA -31
BYU -28.5
LALAF -16.5
Good Saturday my fellow financial friends. I wouldn't ask if there wasn't a good reason Shaz, but is there a chance to post the FREE selections service plays? I do a consensus and fade them and was 34 games over .500 at one time. No biggie if you can't post...appreciated as always.
Super Lock Line
NCAAF: Georgia -17
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Tkwins
4* Indiana -13
4* Navy +14 (free play)
4* Ohio St -10
4* Texas Tech +16
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5 Star Baller
NCAAF: Cincinnati -6.5
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Bob Balfe
Cincy -7/Memphis
Houston+3/u.c.f
Boise st-14/af
Over 49 boise
Nevada-13.5/UNLV
Over 60 nevada
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Marco D'Angelo
TAKE AUBURN -2 as my 5% SEC GAME OF THE MONTH.
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POWER PLAY WINS
NCAAF: Ole Miss -17
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VAUGHN WILSON-(EAGLE EYE SPORTS)
Michigan
Oklahoma
Indiana
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GOLD PLAY SPORTS-(EAGLE EYE SPORTS)
Georgia Tech
Ohio St/Penn Under
Syracuse
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ATS
WF -14
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Marco D'Angelo
3% (130) GEORGIA ST +3.5
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Josh Nagel
TULANE -6
UNLV +13.5
OVER 59.5 WAKE @ CUSE
FLA -14
GAST +3.5
TEXAS +3.5
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Marco D'Angelo
4% (159) NAVY/SMU OVER 58.5
3% (137) MEMPHIS +6.5
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The judge
cincy over 57
w vir -3 1 half
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Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole
DOUBLES:
Boise State -14
SINGLES:
West Virginia -3.5
Duke -9.5
Penn State +12
Nevada -14
Cincinnati -6.5
Northwestern +2.5
Temple +4
Louisiana -17
Ole Miss -16.5
Appalachian State -31
Mississippi State +31
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Brian Bitler
10* CBF Late Steam Add
Houston +3 (-118)
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Brian Edwards
Ole Miss -17 @ Vandy
Alabama -18 1st half vs Mississippi St
Kansas St +4.5 @ West Virginia
Missouri @ Florida > 61.5
Arkansas +12 @ Texas A&M
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DR. CHUCK
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Cincinnati Total Over 30.5 (-110)
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Tom Stryker
Kansas State
Boise State
Louisiana
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Maddux
added
10 Rice/So Miss UNDER 59
10 MSU/Michigan UNDER 53
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Krackman CFB
Michigan under 53
duke -9.5
northwestern +3
lsu -3
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Hi Shaz, have you seen Northcoast yet? They are releasing a 5* GOM. today.. I need to know who to bet against. LOL
Marc Lawrence
5* game of the month
Auburn
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Lee Sterling
35 okie st
30 cincy
25 WVA, GA, over VaT
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Bondi
4* W.Virginia, Arkansas (2 Team Parlay)
3* Iowa
3* Penn State
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RALPH MICHAELS
3% Total Under 51.0 (-110) Iowa State
5% Indiana -12.5 Rutgers 3:30 PM
3% Ole Miss -17.5 Vanderbilt 4 PM
4% Boise St -13.5 (-110)
FIRST HALF #113 3% North Carolina -3.5 (-120) Virginia 8 PM
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Dave Cokin
5% Boise
UNC -7
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worldwager
300 memphis
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c hotline
300 wv
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TEDDY DAVIS - sportscapping
12 PM - BOSTON COLLEGE+32
12 PM - WEST VIRGINIA-3.5
3:30 PM - NORTHWESTERN+2.5
4 PM - VIRGINIA TECH-3
4 PM - TEXAS+3.5
7:30 PM - PENN ST.+13
7:30 PM - MISSOURI+13
Free play - GEORGIA ST.+3-5
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SPORTS INSIGHTS
NCAAF Best Bets (30-26-1, +1.45)
8:00 PM (113) UNC - Over 61.5-106
8:00 PM (172) TX-ST. - Under 56-110
7:30 PM (160) SMU - Under 58.5-110
12:00 PM (115) UTSA 5-110
12:00 PM (117) KS-ST. 3.5-110
12:00 PM (180) KANSAS - Under 52-110
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lockeroom
100 georgia st
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Tom Franklin's Sportsmasters (The Swami CFB) -
10* Top Play Auburn -1
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Zack Cimini
CINCY -6.5
BYU -30.5
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national sportsline
200 duke
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sun belt sportswire
200 georgia st
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Clay Travis-
Alabama vs Mississippi State Under 63.5
LSU -2.5 vs Auburn
Boston College + 31 vs Clemson
Missouri + 14 vs Florida
Michigan -24 vs Michigan State
Georgia -14.5 vs Kentucky
Kentucky vs Georgia Under 42.5
Oklahoma State -3 vs Texas
Penn State + 13 vs Ohio State
Arkansas + 12.5 vs Texas A&M
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tex insiders
200 smu over
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victory sports
200 cinny
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The Sharp Plays
Top LJP Score of the Day West Virginia -5 over Kansas St achieves an LJP 3U.
~ TSP Live Sat #1
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premier picks
100 temple
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SPORTS BANK
lock
northwestern
regular
texas
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MILLIONAIRES CLUB
LOCK
GEORGIA TECH
regular
ark state under
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Derek Hayes (CFB) - $200 Texas +3.5
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Steve Budin
100 Dime- Michigan -21.5
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TOMMY KREIG
SPORTS CASH
SYSTEM
miss state +31
HIGH ROLLERS
TEXAS AM -13.5
EXTRA PICKS
west virginia -5
georgia tech +20.5
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Winning Sports Plays (J.R. Stevens)
Rutgers +13 (GOY)
Virginia +8
Georgia State +4
Penn State +11
Memphis +7
Illinois +9
Texas Tech +16
Temple +6
Arkansas +14
Kansas State +5
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VEGAS DOMINATION
DOM THE DOMINATOR
2* EACH
texas +3.5
north carolina -7.5
alabama over 63
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Northcoast
5*Boise St (-14) Air Force 6pm
4* Coastal Carolina (-3.5) Georgia St Noon
4* Indiana (-13) Rutgers 3:30pm
3* Texas (+3.5) Oklahoma St 4pm
3* SMU (-13) Navy 7:30pm
3* North Carolina (-7.5) Virginia 8pm
3* Nevada (-13.5) UNLV 10:30pm
4* Under 43.5 San Diego St/Utah St 9:30pm
3* Over 58.5 Temple/Tulane Noon
3* Under 42.5 Georgia/Kentucky Noon
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Joey Spikes
100 Dime Play of Year
App State -29.5
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gold key club
100 n carolina
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late info
100 geo st
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prime star
200 geo st
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Marco D'Angelo
2% Boise St -14
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preferred picks
200 auburn
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vip sports
300 n carolina
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Scott Rickenbach
Air Force +14.5
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Matt Fargo
Houston +3
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Steven Nover
Notre Dame Over 58.5
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Alex Smart
San Diego State -7
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Dr. Bob
2* Mizz
1* Miss
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cal sports
5 ind
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Executive
450% Virg Tech
300% Auburn
300% Okie St
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