Saturday 8/14/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAF, MLB & NFL games.
IC
3* Raiders -2.5
1* Bears -3.5
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RJ White
Jets +1.5
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Alan Scozzari Sport
Guaranteed C Wager
Spain LaLiga
Levante 0 -114
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underticket
U Craiova 1948 – Chindia : Under 2.5 @ 1.52
Girona-Amorebieta : Under 2.5 @ 1.50
Total Odds : 2.28
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both-to-score
EGYPT: Premier League
Ceramica Cleopatra – Ghazl El Mahallah
Both to score : YES @ 2.20
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james-martingale
ENGLAND: League One
AFC Wimbledon – Bolton
Second Half : Over 1.5 Goals
Odds : 2.20 / 2 units
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dubaibets asia
ENGLAND: League Two
Walsall – Forest Green
Bet : Walsall +0 @ 1.90
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Matt Severance
N.Y. YANKEES @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 08/14 | 7:10 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX -125
ANALYSIS: I am trying to figure out if there may be a hangover from that incredible Field of Dreams game. Unprecedented obviously. So I'll just take the Sox here because Dylan Cease has been so good at home and the Yanks are still without all the players why we bet against them on Thursday (and nearly had a stroke). Rare sellout on South Side and I do think that matters slightly.
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Fezzik Last 2 days 0-4
2 Jets ml
2 Jac -3.5
2 Den o 34
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The Prez
4% - SD Padres RL, ACTION
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Marco D'Angelo
4% - 1H Oakland A's -.5 ACTION
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Today's plays from PREFERRED PLAYER GROUP 8/14/2021
PPG Consensus Group Boston Red Sox ML $1,000,000.00
Lockmasters Padres/Diamondbacks Over 8.5 $500,000.00
Jason Mitchell Sports Houston Astros ML $500,000.00
Cincinnati Winners Nationals/Braves Under 9 $500,000.00
Parlay King 2 Team ML Parlay - Red Sox, Astros $200,000.00
Handicapping Marketer VIP PLAY: Boston Red Sox RL $10,000.00
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Stitches--NY Post. Rained out yesterday. Season record 68-63.
For Saturday he is sticking with his Pirates play--game 2 with Keller (10 units) and 10 units on the Orioles as well.
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MLB(Bob Balfe)
7:10 PM EST
Rotation #980
Royals +105 over Cardinals
Keller/Lester
The 37 year old Jon Lester has struggled this year. Lester had an outstanding career, but father time has his strikeouts down, walks up, hits up and home runs per 9 innings up. His opponent today Brad Keller is nothing to write home about, but the Royals are a much better team at home and one thing the Cardinals struggle at is hitting right handed pitching on the road. Take the Royals.
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Master Sports
MLB
3* #952 Philadelphia +130 (Moore)
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JM SPORTS
Game: (977) Toronto Blue Jays at (978) Seattle Mariners
Date/Time: Aug 14 2021 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: Toronto Blue Jays -139 H Ryu (LHP), Y Kikuchi (LHP) Must Start
3 unit Toronto Blue Jays (-139) over Seattle Mariners (Ryu/Kikuchi) –
Pitching matchup is key in this play, Ryu is 11-5 TY TY with a 3.62 ERA but he is a different person depending on the situation. Ryu is a LHP w/ a 6-3 record w/ 3.12 ERA in 12 starts on the road, 7-3 w/ 3.18 ERA in 12 starts @ night, and 3-0- w/ 3.86 ERA in 5 starts since the All-Star Break. Along with the fact that the Blue Jays are 6-1 in Ryu's 7 starts as an AF (which includes a 6-0 record when line is < -110.) After a disappointing ending on Friday, these Blue Jays are ready to bounce back, they are 5-0 as an AF off B2B L's, 8-3 after a L where they outhit their opponent, 5-1 after allowing 6 or less hits in a L, and 11-3 as a F following a game where they couldn't manage to hit a HR, all that on top of a 7-1 record as an AF after a game where they never led. Kikuchi has an ERA over 4.00 @ home (4.53), @ night (4.94) and in his L5 starts since the All-Star Break (4.67). With Kikuchi on the mound and Seattle posting a 6-15 record after a W in the FGS and a 4-10 record after a W where they got outhit, I am going with Toronto.
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Rocketman
10* LA Chargers -3.5
The Los Angeles Chargers take on the Rams in Los Angeles on Saturday night. The LA Rams are 1-7 ATS last 8 preseason games in Early or Week One. LA Chargers are 9-3 SU and 12-0 ATS last 12 preseason meetings overall vs the Rams including 7-0 ATS when playing at the Rams during that time. I like this Chargers QB rotation better than the Rams rotation. My Rocketman line for this game is the LA Chargers by 14. We`ll play the LA Chargers for 10 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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Dave Cokin
3% [MLB] (971) Tampa Bay Rays at (972) Minnesota Twins
Time: 7:10 PM EDT 1H Minnesota Twins -130 M Wacha (RHP), K Maeda (RHP) Must Start
Analysis:
Oddsmakers making the case for Minnesota here. The Rays are on fire, the Twins are 16 games below .500, and yet it's Minnesota that's favored and not even all that cheap. I'm more about matchups than interpreting the betting line, but this one is pretty clear. That doesn't mean it's an automatic winner by any means, but when I see one that fits as this much of an outlier, it sure gets my attention. And in this case, it's supported by a definite mound edge with Kenta Maeda facing Michael Wacha. The OPS comparison is telling. Maeda is .066 better on the season, and .277 better when factoring in the home/road splits. Recent form also points Maeda's way as Wacha is off two very poor starts. With the starting pitcher advantage and the line being where it is, I'm backing Minnesota to win the F5 tonight.
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Pickswise Sports
MLB Best Bet - Padres -1.5 runs
Afternoon NFL Preseason Football
2* Bears -3
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William Brinson
Brewers -1.5
Rockies Under 8.5
Cardinals Over 9.5
Blue Jays Over 8.5
Orioles Under 10
Braves Under 9
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SCOTT SPREITZER MLB
6 - Dodgers -0.5, -120 (First 5 Inn) over Mets
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BookmakerPLAYS
METS UNDER 8.5 runs
ST LOUIS CARDS UNDER 10 runs
YANKEES
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SEAN MICHAELS
25 Dime
Preseason Lock # 3 in a Row
Chicago
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R.J. White
NFL
Miami Dolphins @ Chicago Bears | 8/14 | 1 PM ET
Dolphins +3.5
The Bears' quarterback situation is troubling, with Andy Dalton, Justin Fields, and Nick Foles battling for the starting job. While Fields has gotten positive coverage ahead of his rookie season, no member of this signal-calling trio has played above-average football in the pros recently. Uncertainty under center and Matt Nagy's 0-3 record in preseason games give the visitors favorable odds to cover as underdogs. Brian Flores is 3-1 in preseason games and has a quality backup in Jacoby Brissett backing up Tua Tagovailoa. The Dolphins are bursting from the seams with talented, young players who are looking to establish roles. The Bears should struggle to score against an elite pass defense and don't seem to have the offensive depth to score consistently.
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Doug Upstone
6* A's -1.5 -130
1* Braves -170
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Top Flight Sports
Broncos -145 (4u)
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NORTHCOAST SPORTS
3.5 Jacksonville -3
3 DENVER -2 1/2
MQPP OVER 36 BEARS?MIAMI
MQPP Ravens -2 1/2
MQPP (SUN) CAROLINA + 2 1/2
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Totals 4 U
August's American League Primetime Total of the Month!!!!!
NY Yankees/Chicago White Sox under 9 1/5
MLB Baseball Bonus Winners
LA Dodgers/NY Mets under 8 1/2
Tampa Bay/Minnesota over 9 1/2
Toronto/Seattle under 8 1/2
St Louis/Kansas City over 10
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CHRIS JORDAN
200♦
Preseason Total
The Pick:200♦ Over Chiefs-49ers
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GUS AUGUSTINE
40 DIME
NFL Early Bankroll Builder
The Pick: 40 Dime Denver Broncos
The Line: At 8:30 am eastern, the line is -2 1/2 points
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AL DEMARCO - GM
NFL Preseason Winner # 3 in a Row
The Pick: 10 Dimes - Packers
The Line: Packers -3 at 12:05 am pacific
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TMS
megladon is Padres
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Jack Winningham
Cubs/Marlins over 7.5 -120
**1/4 unit** $25 for $100 bettors small play on Orioles +258
Chiefs/49ers Under 38.5
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JAY MCNEIL
100 DIME
Max Wager Winner
The Pick: 100 DIME play on the Cleveland Browns plus the points.
The Line: At 7:00 am eastern time, the Browns are +2 1/2 points.
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TRACE ADAMS
Raise The Bar
1500♦
MLB Mismatch of the Month
The Pick: 1500♦ on the Houston Astros (Garcia) -1 1/2 runs over the L.A. Angels (Barria). Both listed pitchers must start or this is a no play.
The Line: At 7:15 am eastern time, the Astros are -1 1/2 runs, -115.
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MITCHELL NEWMAN
75 DIME
Winner # 71 of 118
MLB Road Rout of the Month
Selection: 75 Dime winner on the LA Dodgers (Buehler) -1 1/2 runs over the NY Mets (Walker).
Price: At 7:30 am eastern time, the Dodgers are -1 1/2 runs, -115.
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KIRBY MAXWELL
40 Dime
Winner # 5 of 8
Road Rout of the Week
PLAY: Toronto Blue Jays Run Line
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KIRBY MAXWELL
40 Dime
Winner # 5 of 8
Road Rout of the Week
PLAY: Toronto Blue Jays Run Line
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Goodella
3* TRIPLE DIME GAME OF MONTH
NY JETS
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I haven't seen you post Been Burned (Ben Burns) in awhile. He was tearing it up too, so if you come across him, please don't hesitate to chunk him out there. Always appreciate what you do.
Action Network 8/14
Sharp Action
The line for Cardinals vs. Royals opened at Royals +100 and peaked at a high of +104 around 6 a.m. ET before settling at a consensus at -115 as tracked by three bet signals
Big Money
At the time of this writing, the 32%of bettors backing the under have generated 43% of the money wagered on Saturday’s matchup.
Top Experts
One of The Action Network’s top MLB experts is betting on the Royals on Saturday night.
PRO Report Pick: Royals -109
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charlie
browns +3.5
saints +2
jets over 33
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Vegas Sports Informer CFL
6 Hamilton/Sask UNDER 49 1/2 10pm EST
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Vegas Sports Informer CFL
6 Hamilton/Sask UNDER 49 1/2 10pm EST
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R.J. White
Denver Broncos @ Minnesota Vikings | 8/14 | 4 PM
Vikings +2
Mike Zimmer has coached the Vikings for seven preseasons, and he's won his opening game in all seven en route to putting together an impressive 20-5 record overall. And yet we're catching a point at home here, likely due to Minnesota's so-so depth behind Kirk Cousins while Denver brings in two fringe NFL starters batting to be named QB1. But it's not like the Vikings were stacked at QB in those previous 20 wins for Zimmer, so I'm trusting the excellent coach to give us a win here.
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Sportsline Computer
MLB
Philadelphia +120
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IC
7-Unit Play. #980. Take Kansas City -110 over St. Louis (Saturday @ 7:10pm est)
We roll with Kansas City here as they hook up against St. Louis. I know it can be a bit scary to back Brad Keller but we will do it here as mind you, you have a guy here who just rocked by St. Louis but who also had a sub 3 era last year. This is a Kansas City team here who I believe is favored for a reason and I think the Cardinals are frankly playing over their heads. With Lester struggling in general and with Keller having faced American League lineups throughout, I think it makes sense here to take AL pitcher on the bounce-back here. Lester also did not give up a HR in his last game and I think he likely struggles today and definitely gives up a homerun today. Lester has given up 14 runs in 15 innings, and 18 hits, and 5 walks in his last 2 starts for 23 baserunners in 15 innings, let's roll with Kansas City to do well as this is the same Keller that has decent potential and even held Chicago to 1 run in 7 innings on the bounce-back. Hence, go Royals.
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EW Sports Picks
Phil Phillies
KC.ROYALS
Minn Twins
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Dr. Chuck
Game: (955) Chicago Cubs at (956) Miami Marlins
Date/Time: Aug 14 2021 6:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Miami Marlins -154 Z Davies (RHP), Z Thompson (RHP) Must Start
As a general rule of thumb….(hope I don't get my ass kicked by Rosengurtle!) the Cubs aren't dogs to “bad teams” and this fits for the Fish at home….with a solid 4-10 SU record since they won the series….plus we get to FADE DAVIES AND BACK ZACH…..YES PLEASE!
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Top Flight Sports
Hanwha Eagles (4u)
Mariners +1.5 (4u)
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Matt Severance
CHI. CUBS @ MIAMI | 08/14 | 6:10 PM EDT
MIAMI -157
ANALYSIS: If you listen (watch? not a tech guy) the Early Edge, you know I am Cubs Fade central. They will obviously win a game or two and burn us but will still be super profitable fading the rest of the way. Won't get prices much lower than this. I don't really see that happening here. Marlins pitcher Zach Thompson has a 2.45 home ERA.
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John Bollman
MILWAUKEE @ PITTSBURGH | 08/14 | 7:05 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -203
ANALYSIS: This is about as high as I will go for a ML pick but the Brewers got worked in Game 1 of this doubleheader and I just don't see the Pirates getting the sweep. The Brewers have all their better relievers available for Game 2 while the Pirates will likely go with a watered down lineup against a lefty after winning the first game. Mitch Keller has allowed four runs in each of his last three appearances, take the Brewers to get the split.
+1539 40-30 IN LAST 70 MLB ML PICKS
+1447 35-16 IN LAST 51 PIT ML PICKS
+271 14-10 IN LAST 24 MIL ML PICKS
5:07 PM
CHI. CUBS @ MIAMI | 08/14 | 6:10 PM EDT
MIAMI -157
ANALYSIS: The Cubs have lost nine in a row and they are much worse on the road at 21-38. Zach Davies has allowed seven runs in each of his last two starts while Zach Thompson has pitched well for the Marlins. The Marlins actually have a winning record at home at 28-27 and they have won their last two games. The Cubs were even spotted a lead last night before the Marlins put up an 11 run inning. Take the Marlins at home.
+1539 40-30 IN LAST 70 MLB ML PICKS
+723 19-8 IN LAST 27 CHC ML PICKS
+601 22-13 IN LAST 35 MIA ML PICKS
4:37 PM
ATLANTA @ WASHINGTON | 08/14 | 6:05 PM EDT
ATLANTA -172
ANALYSIS: The Nats have lost five in a row and nine of their last 10 while the Braves are still in the division race. These pitchers faced each other’s teams last start and Corbin was hit hard while Max Fried pitched well. Fried has pitched a quality start in four of his last five starts. Corbin allows righties to hit .295 against him and should struggle against a righty dominant lineup for the Braves. Take the Braves to win their ninth game out of their last 11.
+1539 40-30 IN LAST 70 MLB ML PICKS
+416 8-4 IN LAST 12 ATL ML PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 WAS ML PICKS
4:37 PM
HOUSTON @ L.A. ANGELS | 08/14 | 9:07 PM EDT
L.A. ANGELS +183
ANALYSIS: Jaime Barria has made three starts since being added back to the roster and he has pitched quality starts in all three. Luis Garcia is much worse on the road going 3-3 with a 5.08 ERA and the Angels have seen him three times already this season. Ohtani is heating up again, take the value in the Angels at home at plus money.
+1539 40-30 IN LAST 70 MLB ML PICKS
+1641 29-12 IN LAST 41 LAA ML PICKS
+91 9-7 IN LAST 16 HOU ML PICKS
4:36 PM
CLEVELAND @ DETROIT | 08/14 | 6:10 PM EDT
DETROIT -125
ANALYSIS: Sam Hentges vs. Willy Peralta in what could be Miggy’s 500th home run game. Hentges won’t pitch too deep into the game as he hasn’t gone more than five innings all season. Willy Peralta has been a casualty of some bad defensive plays lately that have cost him some runs and pitches. The Tigers are much better at home at 32-26, take the Tigers at home.
+1539 40-30 IN LAST 70 MLB ML PICKS
+3015 59-21 IN LAST 80 DET ML PICKS
+1413 39-20 IN LAST 59 CLE ML PICKS
4:35 PM
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Justin Perri
CHI. CUBS @ MIAMI | 08/14 | 6:10 PM EDT
MIAMI -1.5
ANALYSIS: There's absolutely no need to stop fading the Cubs. Anyone who has done so with me knows I cite their terrible record against winning teams to illustrate their decrepit state. Well, the Marlins are a winning team at home (28-25) and should be able to get a win Saturday. Not only have the Cubs lost eight straight, but all of them have been by multiple runs. So until we see the Cubs have some sort of decent pitching we can keep taking the better lines (-1.5, +130).
+711 14-5 IN LAST 19 MLB PICKS
+90 3-2 IN LAST 5 MIA ATS PICKS
5:42 PM
HOUSTON @ L.A. ANGELS | 08/14 | 9:07 PM EDT
HOUSTON -1.5
ANALYSIS: There's value playing against the Angels on the run line (-1.5, -135) Saturday. Los Angeles has lost by multiple runs in all of its last 12 defeats. Their starter , Jamie Barria, has been solid but his expected numbers indicate he's due for a bit of regression. He has allowed a .360 xwOBA and has a strikeout rate of just 12 percent. The Astros have a great lineup and starter Luis Garcia should be able to do well against the Angels, who are worse against right-handed pitching.
+711 14-5 IN LAST 19 MLB PICKS
+100 2-1 IN LAST 3 LAA ATS PICKS
5:40 PM
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