Saturday 9/17/22 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NFL & NCAAF games.
BRAD POWERS
2*Buffalo +19
2*Maryland -2.5
1*Cincinnati -20
1*Western Kentucky +7
1*Tulane +15.5
Added
1*Nebraska Under 67
.5*South Florida +24.5
.5*Vandy Over 58
.5*UAB Over 54.5
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GIANNI THE GREEK
4*Buffalo +14.5
4*Ohio +18
3*Troy +13
Added
3*Over 52.5 Colorado St-Washington St
3*Under 53 Old Dominion-Virginia
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R&R TOTALS
*TOP PLAY* NCAA-F: Take #111 Connecticut v #112 Michigan UNDER (58½ -110)
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Amedeus Mastrangelo
9* Nebraska U65
9* UCLA -14.5
10* Penn State -3
added
9* Michigan O60
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Paul Stone on VSiN
Auburn +3
Auburn Under 49.5
N. Illinois -2
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Ben Burns
5% Purdue/Syracuse Under
Both teams put up huge numbers last week in big blowouts against Indiana State and UConn, respectively, but that's not what we're expecting to take place this weekend.
Syracuse currently boast the 9th best defense in the league this season at home, 5th from Power 5 conferences, as they held Louisville to just 7 total points and 202 yards of offense back in Week 1.
That was incredibly impressive, especially considering Louisville came back last week to knock off a very good UCF team as outright underdogs on the road, so Syracuse's defensive ability has aged well to start the year.
Purdue meanwhile shut out Indiana State last week after losing narrowly to Penn State in Week 1, but face their first road game of the year on Saturday.
That shouldn't faze the Boilermakers all that much however as they ranked 21st in the country last season on total passing first downs allowed at just 8.5 per game on average, finishing the season even stronger at just 7.7 passing first downs allowed on average against their final three opponents also.
With the ability of both teams to run the ball effectively in this one, Purdue putting up 5.2 yards per rush last week against Indiana State, Syracuse putting up the exact same number against Louisville in their opening home game, plus both teams' effective pass defense as well, we expect this to be a slower-paced game here on Saturday between the Boilermakers and the Orange.
Take the Under 58.5 points on Saturday in the matchup between Purdue and Syracuse over in JMA Wireless Dome.
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Totals Guru
Louisiana Tech vs. Clemson O 52.5
Miami vs. Texas A&M O 44
Texas Tech vs. NC State U 55.5
Penn State vs. Auburn O 47.5
North Texas vs. UNLV U 64
Tulane vs. Kansas St. U 47.5
Georgia Southern vs. UAB O 54.5
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SUPERLOCK
Memphis -14
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SHARP TOTALS CLUB (5-1 so far CFB. Rates 2*3*)
2*FAU Under 62.5
2*Houston Under 61.5
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GoodFella
3* CFB NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF YEAR
Utah -21
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Jeff Hochman
4* NCAAF Premium Play
Fresno State +12
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King Creole
2* App St Over 52
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Dave Cokin:
Minnesota -26.5
Michigan State +3
Miami +5.5
Mississippi -16
Notre Dame -11
Texas -12.5
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Micah Roberts
CFB | PITTSBURGH @ W. MICHIGAN | 09/17 | 7:30 PM EDT
PITTSBURGH -10
ANALYSIS: We’ve got revenge on the minds of the Panthers after being upset at home by Western Michigan last season. But many of those Broncos players from last year are gone. Ball State jumped on Western Michigan last week before letting the Broncos back in to win late. Pitt hasn’t covered either of its games, but the Panthers should score quickly, easily and often against lesser competition and win by 20 points or more. The ground game -led by five returning linemen -- will lead the way. Pittsburgh covers.
CFB | MICHIGAN ST. @ WASHINGTON | 09/17 | 7:30 PM EDT
MICHIGAN ST. +3
ANALYSIS: New Washington QB Michael Penix Jr., formerly of Indiana, has lit it up in his first two games with the Huskies - two wins, two covers and two passing performances of more than 335 yards. But the opponents were Kent, against whom they got a late cover, and Portland State. I think his success this week will be modest versus the strong defense of Michigan State, which brought back three of its four defensive backs. The Spartans' ground game will control the clock. Take the points with Michigan State.
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Kenny White
CFB | CALIFORNIA @ NOTRE DAME | 09/17 | 2:30 PM EDT
NOTRE DAME -11
ANALYSIS: The Fighting Irish gave an all-out effort in their season-opening loss at Ohio State and then overlooked a very solid Marshall program. This week, we get the benefit of the line being over-adjusted due to last week's loss. California struggled offensively against both UC Davis and UNLV at home. Now, the Golden Bears are on the road against Notre Dame's tough defense. It will be a long day for California.
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Jerry Palm
CFB | NEVADA @ IOWA | 09/17 | 7:30 PM EDT
NEVADA +23
ANALYSIS: Somehow, a team that has scored a grand total of 14 points in two games is a 23-point favorite. I suppose Iowa's defense could score. After all, the Hawkeyes' D is responsible for four of those points. Maybe they'll post 7 field goals and a safety? Iowa will likley win, but this seems like too big of a number to trust to the Hawkeyes' offense.
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WUnderdog
Florida-24 vs south florida
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ROOT:
Contrarian: Arkansas St. +14.5
Chairman’s: SMU +2.5
Reserve: Oregon -3.5
Gold Standard: Texas A&M -6
Pinnacle: Washington -3.5
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Brian Bitler
10* NCAAF Non Conference Game of the Year - Washington -3.5
10* NCAAF Saturday Wake and Win - Indiana -6.5
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Marco D'Angelo 3% [CFB] (187) Pittsburgh at (188) Western Michigan
Time: 7:30 PM EDT Pittsburgh -10.0 (-110)
Analysis:
3% (187) PITT -10
Pitt has had this game circled on their calendar as last year W. Michigan came to Pitt and pull a huge Upset as 14 Underdogs. We were on W. Michigan in that game as Pitt was coming off a Big Win at Tennessee the week before. Yes Pitt was Fat n Sassy entering that game and didn’t take this MAC school seriously. That won’t happen this time as Pitt is coming off a loss to Tennessee last week so the Panthers will be Focused. Pitt had both QB’s banged up last week but Coach Narduzzi said after practice on Thursday that Kedon Slovis will be a game time decision but all reports appear he will be ready to go. The Panthers will over power this W. Michigan team as this defense got run over by both Michigan St and Ball St. PITT 34-17
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Ben Burns
4* GAME OF THE WEEK - Minnesota
BREAKFAST CLUB - Purdue
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Scott Spreitzer
7* Maryland -2.5
4* Minnesota -27.5
2* Mississippi -16.5
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Doug Upstone
7* Maryland -2.5
3* Auburn +3
3* Memphis -14
3* Purdue Under 60
2* S AL +15.5
2* MN -27.5
2* Vanderbilt +2.5
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Vegas Sports Informer
6* Maryland -2.5
4* USC -12
3* Tulane Over 47.5
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Matt Josephs
2* Syracuse -120
2* Georgia u55
3* West Virginia o54
1* Wisconsin 1Q u10
2* Boise State o51.5
2* Houston TT o33.5
3* Colorado State TT u18.5
1* Campbell +35.5
2* Jacksonville State +10
0.5* Michael Penix Jr. Passing Touchdowns Over 2.5
2* Fresno State TTo30.5
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Norm Hitzges
2* Notre Dame -11
2* Rutgers -18
2* Memphis -14.5
2* Mississippi -16.5
1* Syracuse -1.5
1* Kansas State -14
1* Auburn +3
1* Wisconsin -37.5
1* Buffalo +14
1* N.C. State -10
1* Iowa -24
1* Georgia State -19
1* Utah -21
1* UTSA +12
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Marc Lawrence
CFB Perfect System Club Play
Auburn
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Maddux - Lines when released
117 Texas State & Baylor Over 52
119 Western Kentucky +7 -120
140 Tulane & Kansas Under 49.5
148 Minnesota -27
185 Michigan State +3.5
Added
186 Michigan State & Washington Under 56.5
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RICKY TRAN
NCAAF, 09/17 10:35 PM Fresno State vs USC
PICK: Fresno State 11 for 7 Units
Ricky's 7* play on FRES.
NCAAF, 09/17 12:05 PM Purdue vs Syracuse
PICK: Syracuse -120 for 7 Units
Ricky's 7* play on SYR.
NCAAF, 09/17 6:05 PM Mississippi State vs LSU
PICK: Mississippi State -140 for 7 Units
Ricky's 7* play on MISST.
MLB, 09/17 2:25 PM Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs
PICK: Chicago Cubs -137 for 7 Units
WAGER TYPE: Action
Ricky's 7* play on CHC.
CFL, 09/17 7:05 PM BC Lions vs Calgary Stampeders
PICK: BC Lions 6.5 for 7 Units
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Brian Bitler
9* NCAAF Saturday Executive Order
Texas A&M -6
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IntPicks
College Football
3 Stars
UGA -24 (up to -26.5)
PSU -2 (up to -4.5)
Houston -8 (up to -10.5)
Miss St -2.5 (up to -5)
2 Stars
Ole Miss -16.5
Washington -3
Texas A&M -5.5
1 Star
Nebraska +11.5
Cal +11.5
Utah -20.5
MLB
2 Stars: Toronto ML (-164)
1 Star: SD @ Arizona Over 7 (-120)
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Nelly's
5* Ohio +18.5
5* Florida -24
5* Mich St. +4
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Ralph Michaels
4% Rutgers -18
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Gianni The Greek
Added
4*Over 63 Mississippi-Georgia Tech
4*Akron +47.5
4*Washington -3 (-125)
3*Nebraska +11.5…(3%)
3*Under 57 E Michigan-Arizona St
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Kelso
100 northern illinois
15 rutgers
15 kansas st
15 miami fla
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Sports Book Breakers NCAA
4.5-star UGA -24.5
4.5-star Miami Fl under 44.5
4.5-star Marshall -16
4.5-star Tulane under 48
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Tim Buzan
10 units Purdue vs Syr take Purdue 2
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Dionne D'Amico
NCAAF BEST BET PLAY
5* Mississippi State -2
Tim Michael
5% GAME OF THE WEEK > MIAMI/TEXAS A&M
Miami (Fl.) +6
Spartan
2* Liberty +16.5
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Bob Balfe:
College Football
2:30 PM EST
Rotation #136
Notre Dame -12 over California
KAN-HOU u.58.
MS.ST-LSU.u.53
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Brad Powers
Added
.5*Kent St UNDER 66.5
.5*Central Michigan UNDER 60.5
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Insider Sports Report
5* USC -11/FRESNO
3* SYRA -1.5/PURDUE.
3* RUTGERS -18/TEMPLE.
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ATS Covers
NCAAF 7:05 pm Arkansas State at Memphis
Memphis -14.5 for 1 units
NCAAF 7:05 pm Charlotte at Georgia State
Georgia State -20 for 1 units
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If you would be so kind and put up Bondi’s 7 star play today. He's hot and 2-0 on his 5 star or over this year. Thanks.
BONDI
7* Notre Dame
4* Mississippi
3* Oklahoma, Miami
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RAS
Indiana -6.5
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Marco D'Angelo
4%
[CFB] (137) North Texas at (138) UNLV
Time: 3:00 PM EDT
North Texas +2.5 (-110)
Analysis:
4% (137) N. TEXAS +2.5
Don’t over react to UNLV’s good showing last week against California. Two things to point out from that game. California hasn’t done anything offensively in two games so far so don’t suddenly think UNLV has a great defense. It also must be pointed out that California was in as big of a look ahead spot as you can have as they had a trip to Notre Dame on deck. Whether you like Notre Dame or not it’s a big deal to these kids to play in Notre Dame. You can also bet the California game plan last week was very vanilla not to show anything on tape for Notre Dame to see and prepare for. So I am completely throwing out that performance by UNLV. Now UNLV is going to be facing the best offense they have seen all year. N. Texas can score points and they are a 200 Club member. Teams I refer to as 200 Club Members are teams that both run and pass the ball for 200 or more yards. Talk about a balanced offense N. Texas both runs and passes for 238 yards a game. That kind of balance is very hard to prepare for as what do you try and take away as they do both extremely well. I just don’t see UNLV being able to stop N. Texas. I also want to point out the quirky start time. UNLV will have this game kick off at noon local time which for Vegas standards noon is way too early. N. Texas will be better acclimated to this start time. In what should be a high scoring game. N. TEXAS 41-31
TAKE N. TEXAS as my 4% CFB UPSET SHOCKER
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Master Sports
MLB
3* #973/974 Texas/Tampa Bay OVER 6.5
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Northcoast College Late Phone:
5H Maryland (-2.5) SMU 7:30pm FS1
4H Rutgers (-18) Temple 2pm ESPN Plus
4H Kansas St (-14) Tulane 3pm ESPN Plus
4H Washington (-3.5) Michigan St 7:30pm ABC
3H Indiana (-6.5) WKU Noon Big10 Network
3H Auburn (+2.5) Penn St 3:30pm CBS
3H Mississippi (-16.5) Georgia Tech 3:30pm ABC
Top Opinions:
NC Sportsline Comp #9 POD (Just missed out as LP) - Notre Dame (-12) California 2:30pm NBC
Marquee 900 POD - Syracuse (-1.5) Purdue Noon ESPN2
Marquee Inside Information - Buffalo (+13.5) Coastal Carolina 1pm ESPN Plus
Georgia (-25) South Carolina Noon ESPN
Minnesota (-27.5) Colorado 3:30pm ESPN2
Mississippi St (-2.5) LSU 6pm ESPN
Georgia St (-20) Charlotte 7pm ESPN Plus
NC State (-10.5) Texas Tech 7pm ESPN2
Memphis (-14.5) Arkansas St 7pm ESPN Plus
Eastern Michigan (+20.5) Arizona St 11pm P12 Network
Northcoast STAR RATED TOTALS PLAYS:
4H Over 59 Vanderbilt/Northern Illinois 3:30pm CBS Sports Net
4H Under 60 Purdue/Syracuse Noon ESPN2
3H Under 41 California/Notre Dame 2:30pm NBC
3H Over 58 Kansas/Houston 4pm ESPNU
Top Opinions:
Over 64 Arkansas St/Memphis 7pm ESPN Plus
Under 48 Pittsburgh/Western Michigan 7:30pm ESPNU
Over 61.5 Charlotte/Georgia State 7pm ESPN Plus
Northcoast STAR RATED SMALL COLLEGE PLAYS:
4H Chattanooga (-20) North Alabama 6pm ESPN Plus
3H Ball St (-18) Murray St 2pm ESPN Plus
Top Opinions:
Montana (-23.5) Indiana St 1pm ESPN Plus
Duke (-26.5) NC A&T 6pm ESPN Plus
Over 58 Arkansas/Missouri St 7pm SEC Network
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Lenny Stevens
20* BLOWOUT of the Month: OKLAHOMA
20* RUTGERS
10 Wash U
10 Auburn
10 SYR
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kelso bases
15 white sox
15 diamondbacks
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Carmine Bianco
4% Georgia at South Carolina
Georgia -25.0 (-110)
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HURRICANE BILL:
SATURDAY:
Category 4: (200) - Utah (-21.5) - 10:00
Category 4: (119) - W. Kentucky ( +6.5)
Noon
Category 3: (145) - Vanderbilt (+2.5) - 3:30
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Marc Lawrence
4* Game 168 - LSU (+2.5) - Game
of the Week
3* Game 144 - Auburn (+3)
2* opinion lean - Florida Atlantic
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Brian Edwards Vegas Insider:
South Carolina + 25.5 vs Georgia
Georgia State -20.5 vs Charlotte
Fresno State + 11.5 @ USC
California + 12 @ Notre Dame
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John Rainey/Rainman
CFB
5☆ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +6'
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Brad Powers
Added
.5*Missouri St +26
1*SE Louisiana UNDER 60.5
.5*Eastern Michigan +11.5 1st Half
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Executive
450 NCST
300 WASH
250 SMU
250 FL ATL
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Marco D'Angelo
4%
[CFB] (137) North Texas at (138) UNLV
Time: 3:00 PM EDT
North Texas +2.5 (-110)
Analysis:
4% (137) N. TEXAS +2.5
N. TEXAS 41-31
TAKE N. TEXAS as my 4% CFB UPSET SHOCKER
ADDED
5% [CFB] (183) SMU at (184) Maryland
SMU +2.5 (-110)
4% [CFB] (175) Texas Tech at (176) NC State
NC State -10.0 (-115)
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Tommy Brunson
100 DIME Non-Conference Dead Mortal Lock
Ark St +14.5
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Gus Augustine
50 DIME Non-Conference Total of the Year
UNLV over
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SPORTS BANK
lock
texas am
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MILLIONAIRES CLUB
lock
south florida
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SILVER STAR
game of month
ucla
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CHRIS FALLICA
bears board
colorado state
oregon
tulane
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