Sunday 10/10/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAF, MLB & NFL games
HITMAN | NFL Teaser - Sunday, Oct 10 2021 1:00PM
MIN/NE
(-130)Bookmaker 461 DET vs 462 MIN double-dime bet
Analysis: 2* 6.5 PT TEASER: Vikings -0.5/Patriots -2.5 -130
Make sure you get New England below 3. I also have value on Minnesota -7, especially with the Detroit injuries to Okwara and Ragnow.
475 SFX +6.0 (-110)Bookmaker vs 476 ARI double-dime bet
Analysis: Good with or without Jimmy G
478 KAN -2.5 (-110)BetOnline vs 477 BUF double-dime bet
Analysis: I am at KC -3 in this one. This line should bounce around 2.5 and 3 all week.
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BRAD POWERS
1/2* Saints
1/2* Titans
1/2* TEASER Seahawks/Bills
1* 49ers
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Dave Essler
3* GOM
Chargers ML -125
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Scott Speltzer
8-U NFL GOY
49ers +5
3* Titans -4.5
3* Chiefs -2.5
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IC
7U -Unit Play. #471. Take Browns +2 Over Chargers (Sunday @ 4:05 pm est)
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August Young
7-Unit Play. Take #462 Minnesota (-9.5) over Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 10th)
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Dave Cokin
5% Titans -4
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HITMAN | NFL Sides - Sunday, Oct 10 2021 4:05PM
472 LAC -1.5 (-110)Southpoint vs 471 CLE double-dime bet
459 TEN vs 460 JAC single-dime bet
Trevor Lawrence (JAX) O20.5 rush yds -115 (DK/Caesars)
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Larry Hartstein
NEW ORLEANS @ WASHINGTON | 10/10 | 1:00 PM EDT
NEW ORLEANS -130
ANALYSIS: Washington has major problems in the secondary and a big projected injury report after nine players were knocked out of the 34-30 win over Atlanta. Starting linebacker Jon Bostic (pectoral) and four-time Pro Bowl guard Brandon Scherff (knee) won't play, and tight end Logan Thomas seems likely to sit too. Marshon Lattimore can limit Washington's top weapon, Terry McLaurin. The Saints blew their home opener with a late collapse vs. the Giants, but Jameis Winston played well: PFF graded 86 percent of his throws as catchable, and he didn't have a single turnover-worthy play. Back Sean Payton and the Saints off a loss.
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R.J. White
NEW ORLEANS @ WASHINGTON | 10/10 | 1:00 PM EDT
NEW ORLEANS -1.5
ANALYSIS: Despite the score, the Saints offense had its best game last week against the Giants but watched the defense fall apart at the end. With the Washington defense being shockingly bad so far, I expect New Orleans to put up points in this game. The Washington offense has been great at times but inconsistent overall, and it'll be without key offensive lineman Brandon Scherff and possibly Logan Thomas, making things easier for a usually good Saints defense. With Washington never having much of a home field advantage, I expect the Saints to win this game so I have no issue laying the small number.
MIAMI @ TAMPA BAY | 10/10 | 1:00 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -10
ANALYSIS: The Bucs escaped Narrative Bowl 2021 with a win, and with a Thursday night matchup up next on the books, could this be a letdown spot? I don't see it. Miami is a mess right now and should be 0-4 after getting outplayed by the Pats in Week 1 but getting a win anyway. The O-line can't block for Jacoby Brissett, who holds the ball too long, and that means bad things against this Bucs pass rush. If that pass rush dominates, the Bucs' secondary injuries won't matter, and a backdoor cover won't be a concern. And Tom Brady should carve up a Dolphins defense that allowed 58 points to Derek Carr and Carson Wentz the last two weeks. Bucs roll in this one.
TENNESSEE @ JACKSONVILLE | 10/10 | 1:00 PM EDT
TENNESSEE -4
ANALYSIS: A week ago, the Titans were considered touchdown-plus favorite at the Jets and about the same on the lookahead against the Jaguars. But key injuries to Tennessee's receivers combined with a lack of confidence in their defense caused me to jump on the ugly Jets. After the Titans lost that game in overtime, the market swung wildly away from Tennessee this week, dropping the line to -3.5. We should've jumped on it then, and even before hearing any positive news about the WRs here, I think we have to jump in now with the distraction of Urban Meyer taking his team away from fully preparing to play a football game. Ryan Tannehill can have success against this bad defense no matter his receivers.
BUFFALO @ KANSAS CITY | 10/10 | 8:20 PM EDT
BUFFALO +3
ANALYSIS: This is one you want to play early in the week when you can still get Bills +3, as it's going to come off the number and the sharps won't let it settle back on 3 after. Why? Because the Bills have been the better team to date. That's not based on them thrashing the Fighting Davis Millses last week, but rather the continued excellence of a defense that has given up a league-best 4.0 yards per play is second at pressure rate on opposing QBs. The Chiefs won't just be able to march down the field repeatedly, and since their defense has been bad (including a league-worst 6.9 yards per play), aren't the Bills the better team right now?
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Matt Severance
CHICAGO @ LAS VEGAS | 10/10 | 4:05 PM EDT
LAS VEGAS -4.5
ANALYSIS: Obviously a short week for the Raiders and there will be a TON of Bears fans in Las Vegas, but Chicago is for sure going to be without its best offensive player in running back David Montgomery and perhaps its second-most important defensive player in tackle Akiem Hicks. The Bears have played two road games this season and lost by 20 in each. Oh, and they have a dufus coach in Matt Nagy who claims he will be starting Andy Dalton at QB if healthy. Whatever man. I'd imagine the Raiders can win by at least a TD. Chicago is 0-8 ATS in its past eight road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
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Emory Hunt
BUFFALO @ KANSAS CITY | 10/10 | 8:20 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY -2.5
ANALYSIS: Buffalo has gotten back on the winning track after their season-opening loss to Pittsburgh, reeling off three.straight victories. Granted, the Bills played three inferior squads, but they did what they had to do, which is blow them out. Now, they face a stiffer test in Kansas City, one that should be as entertaining as it is a challenging, because of the Chiefs' offense. Look for a back-and-forth affair, but with the Chiefs having the better QB, I expect them to be able to cover this spread easily.
NEW ENGLAND @ HOUSTON | 10/10 | 1:00 PM EDT
NEW ENGLAND -9
ANALYSIS: Houston's offense just isn't good with rookie QB Davis Mills under center. It's hard to trust them to sustain any type of success against Bill Belichick's defense. Belichick historically has made life miserable for rookie QBs, with the last one to beat him being Geno Smith of the New York Jets in 2013. Expect it to be a long day for Mills and the Texans.
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Allan Bell
TENNESSEE @ JACKSONVILLE | 10/10 | 1:00 PM EDT
TENNESSEE -4
ANALYSIS: When everyone jumps off the Titans bandwagon is when you should actually get on. Mike Vrabel is lethal in these situations and just look at Derrick Henry against his hometown Jacksonville, he has over 1k yards rushing against the Jaguars in his career alone and double-digit touchdowns. Yes, the Titans OL has big problems and we don't know (yet) the status of AJ Brown or Julio Jones, but back-against-the-wall-coming-off-a-loss Mike Vrabel doesn't mess around in these games. And don't get me started on the other team's head coach.
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Bump
Dave Cokin:
1.5x Titans -4
Rams -2:
49ers +5.5
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Circa Million Plays
Raiders -5.5
Chiefs -2.5
Cardinals -5.5
Jets +3
Browns +2
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IC
6* Saints -130
3* Falcons -2.5
3* Bengals +3
3* Bills +2.5
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Big AL
10-0 ATS NFL DIVISION GAME OF MONTH!
SAN FRANCISCO 49ers +5
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Jeff Ma-
rams- w
Titans
Dolphins
Saints
bears
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SUNDAY FOOTBALL PARLAY WINNERS
Play New York Jets +3 over Atlanta (NFL)
Atlanta has lost 14 of the last 19 games against the spread when playing in the 1st half of the season and they have lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread after scoring 30 points or more in their last game.
Play Miami +10 over Tampa Bay (NFL)
Miami has covered the spread in 8 consecutive games when playing in weeks five through nine and they have covered the spread in 10 of the last 14 games when playing as a road underdog.
Play Jacksonville +4 over Tennessee (NFL)
Tennessee has lost 13 of the last 20 games against the spread when playing as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points and they have lost 5 consecutive games against the spread after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in two consecutive games.
Play Buffalo +2.5 over Kansas City (NFL)
Buffalo has covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 games after scoring 30 points or more in their last game and they have covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games coming off a win by 21 points or more in their last game.
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Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole
DOUBLE PLAY:
Buffalo +2.5
SINGLE PLAYS:
Miami +10
Pittsburgh PK
New England-Houston UNDER 39.5
Buffalo—Kansas City OVER 50
Green Bay Cincinnati OVER 50.5
New York +7 Giants
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Tom Stryker
57-17 ATS NFL NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH
Falcons
27-9 ATS NFL AFC GAME OF THE WEEK
Browns
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Pure Lock
10* Atlanta Falcons -3.5
10* TB Rays +101
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Scott Kellen
Bengals +3 vs. Packers
Giants/Cowboys Over 52
Cowboys Team Total over 28.5
Bucs Team Total Over 28.5
Browns/Chargers Under 48
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Brent Musburger
Bills +2.5 vs. Chiefs
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Erin Rynning
Eagles/Panthers Under 46
Bengals +3 vs. Packers
Bills/Chiefs Over 56.5
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H&H Sports
NFL
Triple Dime - Panthers -155 (Moneyline)
Triple Dime - Bengals +3.5 - Upset game of the week
Triple Dime - Bills +3.5
Double Dime - Dolphins +10.5
Double Dime - Browns +3
Dime - Giants +7.5
Dime - Cardinals -5.5
NFL Totals
Triple Dime - Bengals/Packers Over 50.5
Double Dime - Panthers/Eagles Over 45
Double Dime - Bills/Chargers Over 56
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Big Al Bases
Under total Boston Tampa
White Sox
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WESTGATE CONTEST :
Actual top 5 this week
49ers
Chargers
Bills
Titans
Bengals
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Colin Cowhurd
Yet to have a winning week.
CAR
MINN
MIA
CLEV
BUFF
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WUnderdog
NFL
Philadelphia +3 vs carolina
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Gianni the Greek
4% Jets v Falcons over 46
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Anita Marks
Under Pittsburgh
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Pickswise Sports
NFL 3* Best Bets
Bucs/Dolphins Under 48.5
Chiefs -145 (Moneyline)
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HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Oct 10 2021 1:00PM
455 PHI / 456 CAR OVER 44.5 BetOnlinedouble-dime bet
Root
Contrarian- Ny Giants
Chairmans- Cleveland
Reserve- Cincinnati
Gold Standard- 49ers
Pinnacle - Chiefs
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Stephen Nover
Jags
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Jack Jones
15 Washington
15 Giants
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Matt Fargo
Saints
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Jim Feist
Giants
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Dave Price
6 Bengals
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Sean Murphy
Chargers
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Jesse Schule
Chiefs ml
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Lee Sterling
Steelers
Browns
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Mti teasers 6pt
pitt-cinci
pitt-clev
cinci-clev
10pt
minny
bucs
zona
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Totals 4 U
2021 NFL Inter-Conference Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Green Bay/Cincinnati under 50 1/2
Early NFL Football Bonus Winners
Philadelphia/Carolina under 46
New Orleans/Washington over 43
Detroit/Minnesota under 49 1/2
Denver/Pittsburgh over 39 1/2
2021 AFC Sunday Night Football Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Buffalo/Kansas City over 56 1/2
Late NFL Football Bonus Winners
Chicago/Las Vegas over 45
Cleveland/LA Chargers under 47
NY Giants/Dallas over 52 1/2
San Francisco/Arizona over 48 1/2
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PROFOOTBALLDOC
Arizona -2.5
New England/Houston Under 38.5
Minnesota -10
New Orleans -2.5
Las Vegas -5.5
Honorable Mention: Phila/Carolina under 45.5
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BONDI
7 Eagles
3 Raids
3 Cleve
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Maddux - All 10's - Lines when released
NYJ +3
GB OV 50'
SF +5'
Cin +3
Mia +10
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NFL(Bob Balfe)
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #462
Vikings -10 over Lions
This is a tough game for Detroit because they have a lot of injuries at running back and injury to their skill players. This Lions Offensive Line is being shuffled due to injury and I just don’t see them putting together enough solid drives today. This is a game that Dalvin Cook can use to get back on track as the Lions defense is just not that good. This pass defense is bad which will help the Vikings to run a balanced attack. Minnesota does have issues on their defense, but again I don’t believe the Lions are at full enough strength to make them pay. Look for the Vikings pass rush to get to Jared Goff many times today behind his makeshift offensive line. Take the Vikings.
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Elite Sports Picks
San Francisco +5.5 over Arizona (NFL)
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Insider Sports Report
4* New Orleans -2.5 over Washington (NFL)
Range: -.5 to -4.5
3* Carolina -3 over Philadelphia (NFL)
Range: -1.5 to -5.5
3* Pittsburgh +1.5 over Denver (NFL)
Range: +3 to -2
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National Sports Service
5* Cleveland/L.A. Chargers OVER 47 (NFL)
3* New Orleans -2.5 over Washington (NFL)
3* Tennessee -4.5 over Jacksonville (NFL)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 10/10/21
4 Unit --> Carolina -3 over Philadelphia (NFL)
3 Unit --> Miami/Tampa Bay UNDER 48 (NFL)
3 Unit --> Detroit/Minnesota UNDER 49.5 (NFL)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 10/10/21
4★ Tennessee -4.5 over Jacksonville (NFL)
3★ New England -8 over Houston (NFL)
3★ Buffalo +3 over Kansas City (NFL)
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Northcoast Late Phones
3.5* New Orleans (-2.5) Washington 1pm
3* Under 39.5 New England/Houston 1pm
3* Pittsburgh (+2) Denver 1pm
Top Opinions:
Sunday Night Marquee: Buffalo (+3) Kansas City 8:20pm
Carolina (-3) Philadelphia 1pm NFC POD
Las Vegas (-5.5) Chicago 4:05pm AFC POD
Arizona (-5) San Francisco 4:25pm NFL Chalk
Over 52.5 NY Giants/Dallas 4:25pm
NY Giants (+7) Dallas 4:25pm NFL Dog
Under 39.5 Denver/Pittsburgh 1pm
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Doug Kezirian:
Rams-2.5 vs Seahawks
Dolphins+10 vs Bucs
Anita Marks:
Rams-2.5 vs Seahawks
Tyler Fulghum:
Rams vs Seahawks over 54
Bills vs Chiefs over 56.5
Joe Fortenbaugh:
Rams-2.5 vs Seahawks
Bills ML vs Chiefs
Bills+2.5 vs Chiefs
Browns vs Chargers under 47
Stanford Steve:
Seahawks+2.5 vs Rams
Todd Fuhrman:
Bengals+3
Chiefs-2.5 vs Bills
Chiefs vs Bills over 56.5
49ers+5
Patriots vs Houston under 39.5
Bears+200 ML
Browns+2 vs Chargers
Browns vs Chargers under 47
Kelly In Vegas Stewart:
Bills+2.5
Panthers-3.5
Bengals+3
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BTC SPORT
Upset in Arizona
Game: (475) San Francisco 49ers at (476) Arizona Cardinals
Date/Time: Oct 10 2021 4:25 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: San Francisco 49ers +5.5 (-110)
The NFC West is both the least-predictable and most-predictable division in the NFL at the same time. Confusing, right? It's the least-predictable because you shouldn't be shocked if any of the four teams win the division at the end of the year. Before the season, they were all grouped together in the futures market, and not a whole lot has changed since then. Anyone can win the division. It's also the “most-known” division because there's been stability amongst all four teams for quit a while. Kliff Kingsbury and Kyler Murray have been together for three years in Arizona. Russell Wilson and Pete Carroll have been together for ten seasons in Seattle. Sean McVay and Kyle Shanahan are each in their fifth year. There hasn't been a whole lot of turnover. These coaches and teams know each other very well, and that means that 5.5 points is too much in this matchup.
Everyone remembers how beat-up San Francisco was last year, right? C.J. Beathard was the starting quarterback. Jeff Wilson Jr. and Jerick McKinnon were the leading rushers. Kendrick Bourne was a leading receiver. The 49ers were an absolute mess last season. And when they went to Arizona at the end of the season and a) Were a six-point underdog; b) Won the game outright. So last year's MASH unit of a squad was +6 at Arizona, and this year's team is +5.5. I don't buy it.
There is such a huge difference from both the play-callers and quarterback from having a full week to prepare a gameplan and inserting a guy in at halftime because of an injury. I trust Shanahan to have a good gameplan in place for Trey Lance this week. This is too many points. Take San Francisco.
Upset in the Desert
Game: (475) San Francisco 49ers at (476) Arizona Cardinals
Date/Time: Oct 10 2021 4:25 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1 units
Play: San Francisco 49ers +205
The NFC West is both the least-predictable and most-predictable division in the NFL at the same time. Confusing, right? It's the least-predictable because you shouldn't be shocked if any of the four teams win the division at the end of the year. Before the season, they were all grouped together in the futures market, and not a whole lot has changed since then. Anyone can win the division. It's also the “most-known” division because there's been stability amongst all four teams for quit a while. Kliff Kingsbury and Kyler Murray have been together for three years in Arizona. Russell Wilson and Pete Carroll have been together for ten seasons in Seattle. Sean McVay and Kyle Shanahan are each in their fifth year. There hasn't been a whole lot of turnover. These coaches and teams know each other very well, and that means that 5.5 points is too much in this matchup.
Everyone remembers how beat-up San Francisco was last year, right? C.J. Beathard was the starting quarterback. Jeff Wilson Jr. and Jerick McKinnon were the leading rushers. Kendrick Bourne was a leading receiver. The 49ers were an absolute mess last season. And when they went to Arizona at the end of the season and a) Were a six-point underdog; b) Won the game outright. So last year's MASH unit of a squad was +6 at Arizona, and this year's team is +5.5. I don't buy it.
There is such a huge difference from both the play-callers and quarterback from having a full week to prepare a gameplan and inserting a guy in at halftime because of an injury. I trust Shanahan to have a good gameplan in place for Trey Lance this week. This is too many points. Take San Francisco.
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VIP Sports Lock Club
NFL Buffalo Bills +3
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Best Sports Capper
NFL Arizona Cardinals -5
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JD Sports Authorities
NFL Tampa Bay Buccaneers -10
NFL Denver Broncos -1
NFL Carolina Panthers -3
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Adam Trigger
SF
Jax
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Greg Shaker
3 NY Giants/Dallas O51.5
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Andrew McInnis
2% Green Bay Packers at Cincinnati Bengals
1Q Total Over 9.5 (-125)
2% Game total over 51.5 (-110)
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Bob Balfe
Minnesota -10
Houston +8
LA Chargers -2
Buffalo +2.5
NO/Washington U43.5
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GoodFella
NFL 3* TEASER OF THE YEAR
Vikes -.5
NE -2
Good to -3 he says
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ASD Pioneer Picks
471 Browns +3
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Power Play Wins
NFL Dallas Cowboys -7
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Clay Travis -
Falcons -3
Titans -4.5
Steelers-1.5
patriots/Texans under 39.5
bills +3
Colts +7
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Brian Edwards Vegas Insider:
Giants +7 @ Cowboys & over 52
Titans -4.5 @ Jaguars
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PickersMx
Mushu
150 Dimes NFL
Tampa Bay -10
La Barba Pickers
100 Dimes NFL
Dallas Cowboys -7
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Mike Lombardi
raiders
giants
Titans
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Maddux
added
TB OV 48
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Lenny Stevens
20* NFL Blowout of the Month: SAINTS
20* Underdog Shocker: SF 49ers
10* kC
10* Denver
10* Eagles
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ASA Inc
10* NFL *GAME OF THE MONTH*
SF
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Nelly Sports
NFL Play on SF
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Oskeim Sports
HUGE 5* NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH
SF Under
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godfatherlocks
massive 10 dime / 10k unit picks
#1 - new orleans saints -2.5
#2 - green bay packers -3
massive 5000 unit picks
#1 - las vegas raiders -5.5
#2 - los angeles chargers -2.5
#3 - pittsburgh steelers +1.5
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Advantage Sport
10* San Francisco 49ERS
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3 Rivers Sports
MLB
3* #933/934 Astros/White Sox OVER 8.5
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charlie
minn over 49.5
cinn +3
49 +5.5
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Al Demarco
Raise the Bar 20-Dime Release
NFC West Game of the Month
Arizona Cards
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Ben Burns
Denver over
san fran under
bills under 1st half
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