Sunday 10/17/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAF, MLB & NFL games
HITMAN
251 MIA -3.0 (-110)BetOnline vs 252 JAC double-dime bet
267 ARI / 268 CLE UNDER 50.5 Westgatedouble-dime bet
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Dave Essler
3* GOM
Cowboys Under 50
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Las Vegas Chris
5% Bills -5
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HITMAN
272 NEP +4.0 vs 271 DAL double-dime bet
263 CIN -2.5 vs 264 DET double-dime bet
6 PT TEASER: TB -0.5/KC -1
261 LAC / 262 BAL OVER 51.5
255 GBP -4.5 vs 256 CHI double-dime bet
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Ben Burns
Jaguars +3.5 vs Miami
Under 43 Texans/Colts
Browns -2.5 vs Cardinals
Patriots +4.5 vs Cowboys
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Micah Roberts
SEATTLE @ PITTSBURGH | 10/17 | 8:20 PM EDT
PITTSBURGH -5
ANALYSIS: The Seahawks have failed to cover or win three of their last four. Russell Wilson gave it his all to make them competitive, but even he couldn’t create the magic. Now he’s out, and Geno Smith is in. Also, Chris Carson is out as well. Also, the Seahawks already had the worst-ranked defense and second-worst run defense. I expect the Steelers to build a slow grind and get the cover. Big night for Najee Harris. Steelers to cover.
DALLAS @ NEW ENGLAND | 10/17 | 4:25 PM EDT
DALLAS -175
ANALYSIS: Wiseguys have been betting the Patriots while every public parlay has the Cowboys on it. In this instance, the public knows what it's doing. The Cowboys have covered every game using a different style in each case. Run, pass or defense -- they’re doing it all very well. The Patriots have beaten the Jets and Texans and lost to the Dolphins. The Cowboys are polished and in a different class. Cowboys to win. I'm taking the money line.
MIAMI @ JACKSONVILLE | 10/17 | 9:30 AM EDT
JACKSONVILLE +3
ANALYSIS: The British are going to think we dislike them for sending them our worst American football teams every time, but the Jaguars have kind of been London’s home team. They come into this game as an underdog with no wins on the season yet they statistically have the better offense and defense in this game. And the Dolphins have their top receiver and corner out for this one. I took the points with the Jaguars.
ARIZONA @ CLEVELAND | 10/17 | 4:05 PM EDT
CLEVELAND -170
ANALYSIS: The Cardinals have some major problems this week with COVID-19 protocols that could keep a few starters (including Chandler Jones) out. We're still waiting on official word. But Kyler Murray is banged up as well, which always means limiting his deep throws. Nick Chubb (calf) is out for the Browns, but the holes will still be open for Kareem Hunt and the No. 1 rushing team against the Cardinals' biggest defensive weakness. The Browns' price will get higher soon with more Cardinals news. Browns money line is the play.
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Jeff Ma- (4-1 last week)
Seahawks
Dolphins
Chargers
Cardinals
Patriots
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Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole
SINGLE PLAYS
Indianapolis -10
Carolina +1.5
Kansas City—Washington OVER 54.5
New England +3.5
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Erin Rynning
Jaguars/Dolphins Under 47
Colts/Texans Under 44
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Pure Lock
10* Kansas City Chiefs -7
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Tony Finn
3% Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 (-120) - (EARLY TOP of the TICKET I)
3% Cincinnati Bengals -3 - (EARLY KICK TOP of the TICKET II)
5% Cleveland Browns -2.5 (-115) - (LATE KICK BIG TICKET)
4% Dallas Cowboys -4 - (LATE KICK PRIVATE PLAY)
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Football Jesus
Ravens
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Marc Lawrence
Preferred Picks Super Hot 17-4 ATS NFL GOW......NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
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Pointwise phones
4- cleveland
3- buffalo, detroit
2- baltimore , dallas
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IC
7) CLE -3
3) DET +3.5
3) JAX +3
3) LV +3.5
6) TEN +5.5
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Dave Cokin
5% Raiders/Broncos under 44.5
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TMTW SPORTS SUNDAY OCTOBER 17TH
NFL YTD 23-17 (58%) +$5,270
2k Miami -3 -105 (9am)
5k Kansas City -7 (1pm)
5k Kansas City -13.5 +200 (1pm)
3k Dallas FH Under 24.5 -120 (4:25pm)
3k Denver FH -3 -105 (4:25pm)
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Rocketman (Rocky Atkinson)
10 Top Side Play · [257] Kansas City Chiefs
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steve merril
over kc
bills
cinn
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World Worst Picker
Cleveland Browns
We take: Cards
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ATS LOCK CLUB
8 straight winners
4 dodgers under
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Jack Jones
15 Texans
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Ross Benjamin
Bears
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Stephen Nover
Gom Chiefs
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Rickey Tran
Baltimore ml
Denver ml
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Dennis Macklin
Chargers
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Rob v/Golden Contender
5 Bengals
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Dave Price
6 Lions
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Big al
Gom Browns
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Jim Feist
Browns
Patriots
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Sean Murphy
Browns ml
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Matt Fargo
Denver
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Lee Sterling
Redskins
Tennessee
La chargers
Arizona
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Larry Ness
Legend- Browns
LV Insider- Ravens
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TRACE ADAMS
Double Your Wager
2000♦
Division Rivalry Game of the Year
The Pick: 2000♦ on the Green Bay Packers
The Line: At 6:00 am eastern time, the Packers are -6 points.
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JACK BRAYMAN
100 Dime
MAX WAGER
NFC NORTH GAME OF THE YEAR
The Pick: 100 Dime Chicago Bears
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CHRIS JORDAN
The Pick: 400♦ Washington Football Team
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Root
Contrarian- Carolina
Chairman’s- Washington
Root Trust
Reserve- Baltimore
Gold Standard- Chicago
Pinnacle- New England
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Doug Kezirian:
Browns-3 vs Cardinals
Vikings vs Panthers under 45.5
Joe Fortenbaugh:
Browns-3 vs Cardinals
Vikings vs Panthers under 45.5
Todd Fuhrman:
Chargers vs Ravens over 52
Titans+5.5 vs Bills
Jaguars+3.5 vs Dolphins
Browns-3 vs Cardinals
Cowboys vs Patriots under 51
Pete Prisco:
Chargers+3 vs Ravens
Chargers vs Ravens over 52
Dolphins-3.5 vs Jaguars
Browns-3 vs Cardinals
Cowboys-3.5 vs Patriots
Titans+5.5 vs Bills
Matt Youmans:
Eagles+7
Browns-2.5
Broncos-3.5
Kelly in Vegas Stewart:
Lions+3.5
Titans+5.5
Seahawks+5.5
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Oskeim Sports
OSKEIM'S ULTRA-RARE NFL NON-CONF GAME OF YEAR
Handicapper:*Oskeim Sports
League:*NFL
Competition:*Arizona Cardinals vs Cleveland Browns
Time:*Sunday, October 17, 04:05 pm ET
Bet Type:*Point Spread
Pick:*Cleveland Browns -3 (-110)
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Ben Burns
RISE AND SHINE SPECIAL - Jaguars +3.5
SUNDAY BREAKFAST CLUB - Under 43 Texans/Colts
GAME OF THE WEEK - Browns -2.5
NON-CONF ANNIHILATOR - Patriots +4.5
TOP GUN - 10* Dodgers ml
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Cal Sports (Ralph Michaels)
5% Over 54 Chiefs WFT
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westgate
WOLFGANG - W20 L4 T1 LW 3-2
Week 6 Picks: CAR BAL CLE NE TEN
FYTE ON - W19 L4 T2 LW 4-0-1
Week 6 Picks: KC BAL CLE DEN TEN
XERRI 1 - W20 L5 T0 LW 4-1
Week 6 Picks: MIN LAC CLE LV SEA
GAMBLING RATS - W20 L5 T0 LW 4-1
Week 6 Picks: JAX KC DET CLE NE
DR. B - W19 L5 T1 LW 3-2
Week 6 Picks: TB KC CAR CLE BUF
TEMPEST - W19 L5 T1 LW 2-3
Week 6 Picks: HOU CHI DET LV NE
CLE 841
GB 690
LAC 643
DAL 628
KC 584
BUF 487
DET 447
NE 443
MIN 413
JAX 394
PIT 379
HOU 329
CAR 307
DEN 306
ARI 291
LAR 289
TOP 5 YTD RECORD
12-12-1
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Hunt valley sports
12 Cleveland -3.5
10 Pittsburgh -5
2 Parlay Cleveland/Pittsburgh,
6 Denver -4
4 Under 46 Minnesota/Carolina
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Capping football
Vikings - 2 1/2
Detriot +4
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JAY MCNEIL
100 DIME
Max Wager Winner
AFC Stone Cold Lock
The Pick: 100 DIME play on the LA Chargers
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GUS AUGUSTINE
Second-Ever
RAISE THE BAR
150 DIME
NFL Release of my Career
Non-Conference Game of the Year
The Pick: 150 Dime Dallas Cowboys
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NFL(Bob Balfe)
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #266
Giants +8 over Rams
Giants/Rams Over 48.5
Matthew Stafford has looked great to start the year, but we have to remember he still is in a new system on the other side of the country in an early kickoff. The Giants are without Saquon Barkley we should see Daniel Jones more active with his feet running and throwing the ball which helps a little bit against the Rams pass rush. The Rams have a good defense, but they are very thin in their secondary and don’t have much depth. The Giants have offensive weapons to move the football. This Giants Secondary might not be elite, but it does have playmakers and a lot of depth. As the season moves on depth is huge because opposing teams can’t take advantage of key injuries as much. I think the GMen will hang in this game to the end. We will play side and total both treated as straight bets. Take the Giants and the Over.
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ASA
7 star CLEVELAND
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Big Al
game of the month, NEW ENGLAND
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Mti teasers
6pts
chargers-rams
10pts
min-cinci-indy
min-cinci-pitt
min-indy-pitt
cinci-indy-pitt
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Totals 4 U
2021 NFC North Division Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Green Bay/Chicago over 44
Early NFL Football Bonus Winners
Houston/Indianapolis over 43
LA Chargers/Baltimore under 51
Cincinnati/Detroit under 47
LA Rams/NY Giants under 48 1/2
2021 AFC Conference Primetime Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Seattle/Pittsburgh over 42 1/2
Late NFL Football Bonus Winners
Arizona/Cleveland over 49 1/2
Las Vegas/Denver under 43 1/2
Dallas/New England under 50 1/2
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Bob Balfe
Mn -2.5/car
Nygiants +8//rams
Over 48.5 nyg-rams
Az+3/clev
Over44>lv-denver
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PROFOOTBALLDOC (14-11 for season)
Rams -7.5
Chiefs -6.5
Packers -5.5
Vikings -2.5
Colts/Texans Under 43.5
Honorable Mention (Doesn't count towards record):
Bengals -3.5
Steelers -4.5
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SCOTT DELANEY
Sunday Night Bailout Total
Sunday Night
Total of the Month
The Pick: 50 Dime UNDER Seattle-Pittsburgh
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TOMMY BRUNSON
75 DIME
Interconference Lock
The Pick: My 75 Dime play is the Cleveland Browns
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Bondi
7* Cleveland
3* Chicago, New England
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BTC SPORTS
Pittman is The Man
Game: (253) Houston Texans at (254) Indianapolis Colts
Date/Time: Oct 17 2021 1:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 2 units
Play: Michael Pittman Jr Over 62.5 Receiving Yards
Michael Pittman Jr is averaging 5.8 receptions per game for 73.6 yards per game with three of those five games coming on the road against some pretty good teams. Now, he's playing at home in a dome with perfect conditions against the worst team in the league, and I just need him to eclipse 60 yards? I'll bite.
TY Hilton is set to return this week, which might take a target or two away from Pittman Jr. but I really don't think it's going to matter. Pittman Jr. has led the Colts in targets each of the last four weeks and he clearly has a chemistry developing with Wentz. He's one of three receivers in the league to have 40+ targets without a dropped pass this season.
At the time of posting, Michael Pittman Jr's receiving yards is available at:
FanDuel over 60.5 (-110)
SuperBook Sports over 62.5 (-112)
DraftKings over 62.5 (-115)
Just Throw it to Jonnu
Game: (271) Dallas Cowboys at (272) New England Patriots
Date/Time: Oct 17 2021 4:25 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 2 units
Play: Jonnu Smith Over 2.5 Receptions
Here are the totals for New England's games this season: 43.5, 43, 43.5, 49 and 39. The 49 was in the game against Tampa Bay, and it ended up being played in a monsoon. Today's total against Dallas is 50. The Patriots haven't been involved in a game where a decent amount of scoring is expected all season. This will be their first game where both teams are expected to comfortably reach the 20's.
This should be a great spot for Jonnu Smith to break out and put up some numbers. Dallas’ defense ranks second-worst in covering tight ends, according to Football Outsiders’ DVOA. The Cowboys have allowed a league-worst 149.1 passer rating to quarterbacks who specifically target tight ends on play-action passes, according to Sports Info. Solutions.
FanDuel - Over 20.5 receiving yards (-110) / over 2.5 receoptions (+126)
DraftKings - Over 19.5 receiving yards (-120) / over 2.5 receptions (+140)
More Jonnu
Game: (271) Dallas Cowboys at (272) New England Patriots
Date/Time: Oct 17 2021 4:25 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1 units
Play: Jonnu Smith Over 20.5 Receiving Yards
Here are the totals for New England's games this season: 43.5, 43, 43.5, 49 and 39. The 49 was in the game against Tampa Bay, and it ended up being played in a monsoon. Today's total against Dallas is 50. The Patriots haven't been involved in a game where a decent amount of scoring is expected all season. This will be their first game where both teams are expected to comfortably reach the 20's. This should be a great spot for Jonnu Smith to break out and put up some numbers. Dallas’ defense ranks second-worst in covering tight ends, according to Football Outsiders’ DVOA. The Cowboys have allowed a league-worst 149.1 passer rating to quarterbacks who specifically target tight ends on play-action passes, according to Sports Info. Solutions. At the time of posting, Jonnu Smith's receiving yards is available at over 19.5 (-120) at DraftKings and 20.5 (-110) at FanDuel.
Light Load for Zeke
Game: (271) Dallas Cowboys at (272) New England Patriots
Date/Time: Oct 17 2021 4:25 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 2 units
Play: Ezekiel Elliott Under 76.5 Rushing Yards
Ezekiel Elliott is battling some lingering issues, and there really isn't a reason to put a heavy workload on his shoulders this week. Last week he was on the injury report because of a knee issue, and this week he's on because of sore ribs. Tony Pollard has shown that he's very capable of stepping in and carrying the workload for a week. Cross-conference road games are the least important games on a team's schedule. They have no bearing on tiebreakers within your division or conference. The Cowboys have a bye week next week, so if Elliott takes it easy this week, he'll have two weeks off to rest up for the second half of the season.
Last week against the Giants, Elliott only played 47 of 78 offensive snaps. Cowboys left tackle Tyron Smith had an MRI on Thursday, and his status for today's game is a little up-in-the-air. At the time of posting, Ezekiel Elliott's rushing total is available at…
FanDuel under 77.5 (-110)
Caesars under 76.5 (-115)
DraftKings under 76.5 (-115)
SuperBook Sports under 76.5 (-115)
Barstool Under 75.5 (-114)
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Greg Shaker
3 Dallas/NE U51.5
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Elite Sports Picks
Kansas City/Washington OVER 54 (NFL)
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Insider Sports Report
4* Cleveland -3 over Arizona (NFL)
Range: -1.5 to -5
3* Carolina +2.5 over Minnesota (NFL)
Range: +4 to PK
3* New England +3.5 over Dallas (NFL)
Range: +5 to +1
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National Sports Service
5* Cincinnati/Detroit UNDER 47 (NFL)
3* Miami -3 over Jacksonville (NFL)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 10/17/21
4 Unit --> Cleveland -3 over Arizona (NFL)
3 Unit --> Green Bay -6 over Chicago (NFL)
3 Unit --> L.A. Chargers +2.5 over Baltimore (NFL)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 10/17/21
4★ Cincinnati/Detroit UNDER 47 (NFL)
3★ Chicago +6 over Green Bay (NFL)
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Northcoast
3.5* Over 51 LA Chargers/Baltimore
3* Green Bay (-5) Chicago
3* Detroit (+3.5) Cincinnati
Top Opinions:
Seattle (+5) Pittsburgh
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AAA Sports
League: NFL
Competition: Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions
Time: Sunday, October 17, 01:00 pm ET
Bet Type: Moneyline
Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -180 (William Hill)
Analysis:
This is a 7* on CINCY MONEY LINE Poor Detroit can’t seem to buy a break. Twice in the past three weeks they have lost on a last second field goal. Last week they battled back from a 16-6 fourth quarter deficit and took a 17-16 lead with 37 seconds left. But they let Minnesota drive down to kick a game winning field goal on the final play. It was a very similar story and the same 19-17 final three weeks ago vs. Baltimore when Matt Prater got them with a record-setting 66 yard field goal at the gun. We get why people may think the Lions could break through this week when they host Cincinnati. But how can they overcome such continual heartbreak? Cincinnati is 3-2 after losing in overtime to Green Bay last week. Four of their five games have been decided by a field goal. So we won’t lay the points, but we do like the Bengals to win. The Lions haven’t scored more than 17 points in any of the last four weeks and Jared Goff is averaging only 6.6 yards per pass attempt. The team has covered back to back games just twice in its last six tries. Cincy has wins over Minnesota and Pittsburgh and could have beaten Green Bay. The money line means we don’t have to worry about them winning by more than three. Play CINCINNATI on the money line AAA
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King Creole
3* Over 52 LA Chargers/Baltimore
3* Over 43 Houston/Indy
3* Under 48.5 LA Rams/NY Giants
2* Under 47 Cincinnati/Detroit
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MITCHELL NEWMAN
Primetime Lock - Part 2
Selection: 50 Dime winner on the Pittsburgh Steelers
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KIRBY MAXWELL
BIGGEST NFL RELEASE
OF MY CAREER GOES AGAIN
12th Ever
100 DIME
NFL Play of my Career
PLAY: Cleveland Browns
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SEAN MICHAELS
Top-Rated
- 100 DIME
MAX WAGER -
Sunday Night Lock
Pick: 100 Dime release on Pittsburgh
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CHUCK O'BRIEN
Teaser of the Month
Pick: 50 DIME two-team, seven-point teaser on the Rams and Colts
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AL DEMARCO - GM
Raise the Bar 20-Dime Release
LA Rams
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Godfatherlocks october 17th picks
*** massive 10 dime / 10k unit pick **
minnesota vikings -2.5 (nfl)
massive 5000 unit picks
#1 - cincinnati bengals -3.5 (nfl)
#2- arizona cardinals +3 (nfl)
#3 - dallas cowboys -3.5 (nfl)
# - los angeles dodgers -180 (mlb)
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VIP Sports Lock Club
NFL Los Angeles Rams -8
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Best Sports Capper
NFL Denver Broncos -4
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Power Play Wins
NFL Arizona Cardinals +3.5
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Maddux - All 10's - Lines when released
Cin -3
Cleve Un 53
Cleve -3(05)
NE +4
KC-6'
Balt -2'
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Jack Winningham
Dallas -3 over New England (buy a half point)
3 Team Parlay with a hedge at the end: Los Angeles Rams money line, Kansas City Chiefs money line, Los Angeles Dodgers money line
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UDog
Bears +5.5
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H&H Sports
NFL
Triple Dime - Lions +3.5 (Upset Game of the Week)
Triple Dime - Ravens -150 (Moneyline)
Triple Dime - Cardinals +3.5
Triple Dime - Steelers -5
Double Dime - Packers -5.5
Double Dime - Chiefs -6.5
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I need help from my peers on this...Brian Edwards released a couple totals and I'm not sure if he's selected both overs or both unders. I read them as overs, but not completely sure about his use of >, so I'd appreciate any input.
Brian Edwards Vegas Insider:
Western Kentucky @ Old Dominion > 67
Texas A&M @ Missouri > 59.5
He either won both or lost both, so deciphering this would bring me great happiness.
They are both overs
I believe you are right. Usually a > means greater than, at least that is the way I have always interpreted it. So it would translate to overs.
Looks like your guy is picking well.