Thursday 11/26/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL & NCAAF games
Happy Thanksgiving
Happy Thanksgiving to you also Shazman ....and to everyone that uses this site.
Football Jesus early text 11/18 Turkey day Dallas Cowboys -1 up to -3
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R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
1:01 PM
BAL +3.5
BAL @ PIT | 11/26 | 8:20 PM EST
These teams met at the beginning of November, and while the Steelers walked away with the win, they were somewhat lucky to do so. The Ravens outgained their opponent 457-221 on that day in a game that was competitive throughout, but the Steelers pulled off a win thanks largely to four turnovers, including an early pick-six. One reason the Steelers struggled in that game is they don't have the run game to win consistently against the Ravens defense, and teams have trouble passing on them unless they have Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. So I expect this to be a low-scoring game where one of these teams wins by three or less, and it's worth grabbing the hook if you can get it.
39-29-3 IN LAST 71 NFL PICKS | +670
24-10 IN LAST 34 PIT ATS PICKS | +1285
15-10 IN LAST 25 BAL ATS PICKS | +400
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Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
1:34 PM
WASHINGTON @ DALLAS | 11/26 | 4:30 PM EST
DALLAS -2.5
Have America’s bettors soured on America’s Team? This spot is small, perhaps because the memory of Washington’s 25-3 romp in the first matchup this year remains fresh. Factor in, also, Dallas’ 1-8 ATS record on Thanksgiving Day since 2011. However, the Cowboys have vastly improved, taking unbeaten Pittsburgh to the wire two games ago and tripping up Minnesota on Sunday. The ATS slump on the holiday is partly explained by Dallas having been a substantial favorite. Its straight-up mark is 4-5 this decade. A victory here should come with a cover.
+923 17-7 IN LAST 24 WAS ATS PICKS
+809 17-8 IN LAST 25 DAL ATS PICKS
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R.J. White
HOU -2.5
HOU @ DET | 11/26 | 12:30 PM ESTYESTERDAY 6:50 PM
Typically in a situation like this I want to be all over the home 'dog that looked terrible last week, but I'm not sure I can do it with Detroit. The matchup suggests the offense could have a good day, but Matthew Stafford and Co. couldn't do anything against another mediocre defense last week. Teams can beat the Texans by getting up early and running the ball down their throats, but the Lions are pros at losing big leads. If Kenny Golladay comes back and you want to play Lions at +3, I won't give you too much pushback. But this line is getting to 3 at some point, and right now I want to be the guy with Texans -2.5 in my pocket.
31-23-3 IN LAST 57 NFL ATS PICKS | +525
16-3-1 IN LAST 20 DET ATS PICKS | +1269
4-3-1 IN LAST 8 HOU ATS PICKS | +70
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Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
11:30 AM
AF -5.5
COLOST @ AF | 11/26 | 2:00 PM EST
Air Force went 11-2 last season but only returned three starters on offense. All the Falcons have done is lead the nation in rushing (336 ypg) after three games with their last game, a 28-0 win against New Mexico, being the most impressive and complete game. Colorado State has been in a wonky state for most of first-year head coach Steve Addazio’s season -- no spring practice, COVID-19 issues and snow limiting practices. Air Force has its act polished now. Air Force has won the last four meetings. Air Force to cover.
9-1 IN LAST 10 CFB PICKS | +790
2-1 IN LAST 3 COLOST ATS PICKS | +90
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R.J. White
WAS +3
WAS @ DAL | 11/26 | 4:30 PM EST1:26 PM
The lookahead line here was Cowboys -1, so we're getting two points based on their offense finally having a pulse against the Vikings. But their defense was also terrible, and had it not been for Vikings fumbles and penalties, they might have given up 40-plus points. Now the Cowboys have to face a better defense with a much stronger D-line to test their problematic O-line, and if the Washington defense shows up, Alex Smith and Co. can do enough to win this game outright. The run game is getting better for Washington, and Smith himself should have success throwing against a bad Cowboys secondary. It comes down to this: Washington will score points, but can we say the same for sure for Dallas?
31-23-3 IN LAST 57 NFL ATS PICKS | +525
25-15 IN LAST 40 WAS ATS PICKS | +845
2-1 IN LAST 3 DAL ATS PICKS | +85
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Jimmy Adams
Game: (127) Colorado State at (128) Air Force - 5* Play Air Force -5.5
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Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
9:02 PM
BALTIMORE @ PITTSBURGH | 11/26 | 8:20 PM EST
PITTSBURGH -4.5
The Ravens are missing several key guys. Ben Roethlisberger has thrown 24 TDs against five INTs this season; he has so many terrific weapons. Over the last four games, Lamar Jackson has accounted for six touchdowns and six turnovers. The Steelers can all but lock up the division Thursday night and I think they'll make a statement here.
+89 2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ATS PICKS
Matt Severance
SEVERANCE PAYS
6:54 PM
BALTIMORE @ PITTSBURGH | 11/26 | 8:20 PM EST
PITTSBURGH -4.5
It will be a minor surprise if this game is played with the COVID-19 outbreak on the Ravens, who haven't been able to practice this week. If it does go off as scheduled, they will for sure be without both top running backs as well as defensive lineman Brandon Williams and linebacker Pernell McPhee as all four are on the COVID list. Three other key defensive starters, ends Calais Campbell and Derek Wolfe and cornerback Jimmy Smith, also are in question due to injury/illness. I usually wouldn't give this many points to a desperate Baltimore team, but how can the Ravens hang close in such dire straits?
+435 11-6-1 IN LAST 18 NFL ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ATS PICKS
Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
2:54 PM
BALTIMORE @ PITTSBURGH | 11/26 | 8:20 PM EST
PITTSBURGH -4.5
The traveling team generally enters a Thursday nighter at a slight disadvantage, and Baltimore’s challenge has been heightened with several reported positive tests for COVID-19. The Ravens have stumbled in three of their last four, with most of the blame falling on a suddenly stalled offense. QB Lamar Jackson's MVP award seems distant nowadays. There is too little time to fix what ails them. The Steelers have covered in all but two of their straight-up wins this season.
+925 16-6 IN LAST 22 BAL ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ATS PICKS
Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
10:35 AM
BALTIMORE @ PITTSBURGH | 11/26 | 8:20 PM EST
BALTIMORE +4.5
The Ravens won't have J.K. Dobbins or Mark Ingram, but Gus Edwards averaged 5.4 yards per carry in the last meeting with Pittsburgh. Ravens-Steelers games typically come down to the wire, so there's great value getting 4.5 points. Look for Baltimore to cover its fifth straight as an underdog overall and to improve to 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven visits to Pittsburgh.
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL ATS PICKS
+255 8-5 IN LAST 13 PIT ATS PICKS
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FujitaPunter
Dallas Cowboys - Washington Team : Under 46
Pittsburgh Steelers - Baltimore Ravens : Under 45
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SDQL
OVER 45
BAL @ PIT | 11/26 | 8:20 PM EST10:05 AM
The Ravens are desperate and can’t afford to be passive; they must try to capitalize on every scoring opportunity. This leads to high-scoring games. Indeed, the Over is 9-0 when Baltimore, under John Harbaugh, is on grass against a team that has more wins, is on a three-plus game winning streak and has allowed an average of fewer than 24 points per game over its last three games. With the Over a perfect 5-0 this season when the Steelers are off any game in which they scored fewer than 35 points and averaged at least three yards per rush, we are on the Over. We like the Over up to 46.5, but try to get 44.5.
6-1 IN LAST 7 NFL PICKS | +500
DAL -3
WAS @ DAL | 11/26 | 4:30 PM EST9:57 AM
The Cowboys' victory over the Vikings was not a fluke. Dallas converted 5-of-11 third downs in Minnesota. This has been a huge positive indicator for the Cowboys. Dallas is 14-0 ATS on artificial turf off a road win when it converted at least five third downs in each of its last two games. Finally, since the start of the 2017 season, the Cowboys are a perfect 6-0 ATS at home when they are not the dog against a divisional opponent that has at least as many wins on the season. Dallas sends a message to the league that it is back.
6-1 IN LAST 7 NFL PICKS | +500
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HITMAN | NFL Side - Thursday, Nov 26 2020 8:20PM
125 BAL 4.5(-110) Westgate vs 126 PIT double-dime bet
Analysis: PROPS
Duke Johnson (HOU) U3.5 Receptions +105 (DK)
Andy Dalton (DAL) U253.5 Pass Yds -115 (WHill/BET365)
Terry McLaurin (WSH) O73.5 Rec Yds -105 (MGM)
MTI
5 GOY Dallas-3
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Dr Bob
1* Dallas Under 46 or Better
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Nevada sports service
Redskins
Butler
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RALPH MICHAELS
Game: (123) Washington Football Team at (124) Dallas Cowboys
Date/Time: Nov 26 2020 4:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Dallas Cowboys -145
3* Dallas ML -145 Washington
VERY fair price playing the Money LIne instead of -3
Game: (129) New Mexico at (130) Utah State
Date/Time: Nov 26 2020 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: New Mexico -6.5 (-110)
#129 3* New Mexico -6.5 Utah St
These Covid teams are a solid ply against. Utah St also has an interim HC and their QB, a P-12 transfer who started the first 4 games, left the team.
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Prediction Machine
NFL Pick: Houston Texans at Detroit Lions Over 51.5
H&H Sports (NFL) - Triple Dime Houston Texans -155 (Moneyline)
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In Game Trap
10* - Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions OVER 51.5
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Jack Winningham
Houston-3
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Date Expert Rating Game Play
Nov 26 Tony Mejia 5% [CBB] (307101) Howard at (307102) Belmont
Time: 5:00 PM EST Total Over 149.5 (-110)
Analysis: Get in on this game immediately since the number is likely to line but we like it all the way up to 165 considering how dominant the Bruins were in their debut under Bucky McMillan, scoring 145 points against Greenville midway through the second half. The young prodigy of a head coach takes up-tempo to a new level and wants to lead the nation in possessions. Howard has a talented freshman who should do damage of his own in five-star recruit Makur Maker so expect to see points. Ride the over for a five-percent winner.
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Nov 26 Tony Mejia 4% [CFB] (129) New Mexico at (130) Utah State
Time: 7:00 PM EST Total Under 52.0 (-115)
Analysis: We're left with a pair of winless teams that have been held in single-digits in scoring in three of their combined losses for our football entertainment on Thanksgiving night, so if you're going to subject yourself to this one, you need to come out of it with a good feeling and a cash. Utah State has kicked QB Jason Shelley off the team for violation of team rules but he's been inaccurate as it is.
New Mexico senior QB Tevaka Tuioti has been in concussion protocol for the past few weeks and may be sidelined again, leaving Trae Hall at the controls. Most of the Lobos' best defensive players have exited the program, so the team being housed at the Hilton in Las Vegas for $70,000 a week just to get this season in is really down to bare bones. The same can be said for the Aggies, who have seen LB Cash Gilliam, DB Tory Lefeged and top WR Deven Thompkins all transfer out this month. Things are that bad in Logan.
Utah State has lost five straight dating back to a bowl-game loss to Kent State last December, while the Lobos have lost 13 sraight, which includes 12 in a row on the road and 19 in the Mountain West. That's why it's puzzling that they're favored. The Aggies have had a ton of personnel changes and dealt with contact tracing due to COVID-19, so we're really choosing between the more prepared but wearier Lobos, who will be playing their third game in 13 days, and a USU squad that has an edge due to altitude and has been out of action for the last 11 days, playing Fresno last in Logan on Nov. 14.
Defense should rule the day on a cool night that will feature little wind. With USU OC Brodie Reeder also out and QB Andrew Peasley just returning, the Ags are likely to be out of sync against Rocky Long's 3-3-5. Expect the under to come through here.
Nov 26 Tony Mejia 4% [NFL] (121) Houston Texans at (122) Detroit Lions
Time: 12:30 PM EST Houston Texans -3.0 (-110)
Analysis: The Lions have again ruled out receivers Kenny Golladay and Danny Amendola, so scoring won't come easily for the Lions, who were blanked in Carolina and come in as home underdogs here. Last week's loss in Charlotte really changed the trajectory of the season for Detroit since it could've been playing to get up over .500 at home if it hadn't fallen so flat. First-round pick Jeff Okudah has had a shaky season at corner but is still a great athlete and won't be a part of the mix in the secondary due to injury. With Kenny Stills and Keke Coutee back for the Texans and Will Fuller joining Brandon Cooks as impressive threats for Deshaun Watson to throw to, Houston should roll by more than a field goal in this Thanksgiving opener. Take the points and ride the Texans.
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Matt Severance
LSALLE +10
LSALLE @ STJOHN | 11/26 | 2:00 PM EST9:36 AM
We think LaSalle can win this outright. The Johnnies are playing their second game in 24 hours and didn't look very good Wednesday in a last-second win over a Saint Peter's team that isn't as good as LaSalle. St. John's also played without starting forward Julian Champagnie, a member of the 2019-20 All-Big East Freshman Team, due to a foot injury and he's not expected in this one. The Explorers bring back three starters, led by senior guards David Beatty and Scott Spencer as well as welcome a former Top 100 national recruit in transfer Clifton Moore from Indiana. Guard Jack Clark, who looked good in 10 games in 2018-19 as a freshman before getting hurt and missing all of last season, is back.
KANSAS +4
GONZAG VS KANSAS | 11/26 | 1:30 PM ESTYESTERDAY 5:40 PM
If this terrific matchup between the No. 6 Jayhawks and No. 1 Zags were any other day but Thanksgiving, I would be in attendance as it's played in Fort Myers, Fla. This could be Mark Few's most talented team yet at Gonzaga and he landed the highest-ranked recruit in school history in Jalen Suggs. That said, KU's Bill Self always has multiple five-star recruits on the roster, and he might have the nation's top defensive player in Marcus Garrett. It's obviously hard to get a true feel on these openers, especially at a neutral site, but every projection/model I have checked (including SL's) has it a two-point game. It is a 10:30 a.m. Pacific time start for the West Coast Zags, so we'll take the 4. Kansas is 4-2 vs. top-ranked teams under Self.
HOU -3
HOU @ DET | 11/26 | 12:30 PM ESTYESTERDAY 3:53 PM
I do NOT recommend betting a game sitting right at -3 and will be buying Houston down to -2.5. Favorites have been dominant on Thanksgiving for years, and the Lions have lost their past eight overall as home dogs (3-5 ATS). However, I'm taking Houston not so much for any betting trends but that Detroit appears to have quit on lame-duck coach Matt Patricia (see news feed story on how Thursday might be Patricia's last game) and that the Lions will be without several key injured players, led by WR Kenny Golladay and rookie cornerback and No. 3 overall pick Jeff Okudah. In fact, Detroit might be down several players in the secondary. Good news indeed for Deshaun Watson, who has yet to lose an NFL game in his career on short rest.
11-6-1 IN LAST 18 NFL ATS PICKS | +435
2-1-1 IN LAST 4 DET ATS PICKS | +90
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Pickwise - Bradley/Xavier under 140
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Ben Burns
Breakfast club
Illinois
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Bill Marzano
GONZAG -4
GONZAG VS KANSAS | 11/26 | 1:30 PM EST9:48 AM
This is a Thanksgiving treat of a heavyweight matchup. Gonzaga is loaded and will be tough to match up against all season. The Bulldogs have experience, athleticism, size, and most importantly, they have depth. They can score at will and have a solid defense. Gonzaga is dangerous from beyond the arc and likes to push the pace. Kansas lost some key players to the NBA but are still going to have a say. This is just a tough matchup for the Jayhawks in the first game of the season and it will most likely take them a few games to get going. Kansas is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games as an underdog.
HOU -3
HOU @ DET | 11/26 | 12:30 PM EST9:38 AM
The Lions could still be in the wild card hunt with a win, but this team has really struggled in the last several weeks. Matthew Stafford doesn't look like himself and lacks weaponry around him. The Texans are having a horrible year, but they have a lot of offensive talent and that is where the difference is. Houston has been horrible on defense, ranking last in the AFC, but look for a great game here. Detroit has issues on offense and is not far behind the Texans defensively.
4-2 IN LAST 6 HOU ATS PICKS | +175
3-2 IN LAST 5 DET ATS PICKS | +81
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Larry Hartstein
OVER 51
HOU @ DET | 11/26 | 12:30 PM EST8:33 AM
Even with all their injuries, the Lions should bounce back at home offensively after getting shut out last week. We know Deshaun Watson, Will Fuller and Brandin Cooks are going to do their part, especially with Detroit severely banged up in the secondary. Go Over.
4-2 IN LAST 6 NFL O/U PICKS | +180
DAL -150
WAS @ DAL | 11/26 | 4:30 PM ESTTUE 11/24
The Cowboys have put together two strong performances, narrowly falling to Pittsburgh and then winning outright as 7-point underdogs in Minnesota. This is a good spot because Washington's 20-9 win over Cincinnati was misleading, given the Bengals lost Joe Burrow early in the second half. The Bengals were winning 9-7 at the time. Plus, it's a revenge spot after Dallas was humiliated at Washington earlier this season. Back Dallas.
3-2 IN LAST 5 NFL PICKS | +80
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SportsLine Computer
NFL Office Pool Picks
Thursday, Nov. 26
Texans 24, Lions 23
Cowboys 25, Washington Football Team 22
Steelers 25, Ravens 19
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Northcoast
2* Dallas (-3) Washington
Top Opinions
New Mexico (-6.5) Utah St
Houston (-3) Detroit
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Tom Stryker
Lions
Cowboys
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Wayne Root
Dallas
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Dwayne Bryant
5% NFL Turkey Day Max Bet
Dallas Cowboys -2.5 (-115)
5% play at -3 or lower. 4% play at -3.5 to -4.5. 3% play at -5. No play at worse than -5.
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ATS LOCK
4 texans
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Bondi
3* Detroit
3* Washington
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John Rainey aka Rainman - All Regular Plays (1☆)
New Mexico -6
Texans -3
Redskins +3
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College Basketball(BOB BALFE)
2:00 PM EST
Rotation #774
Austin Peay -4.5 over East Tennessee State
ETSU was 30-4 last year and had the best record in the Southern Conference. Fast forward to this year and they lost a heck of a coach in Steve Forbes in addition to losing their top 6 players. This year ETSU is starting guys who are normally role players. The Buccaneers added a few transfers, but even they were role players at other schools. Austin Peay lost a few guys from last year ans well, but their top two players in Terry Taylor and Jordyn Adams return and Matt Figger is looking to get this team to the top of the Ohio Valley Conference in his fourth year at head coach. The Governors have scoring power while ETSU just isn’t there yet. Take Austin Peay.
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Bill Hilton - Gameday
1 - Dallas -3
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Executive
Washington 300%. +3
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Tony Jizzelli
HOU-3
Wash +3
LSU-28.5
Ill -41
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Worlds Worst Picker NFL
Peabody’s pick
Houston
We take
Detroit
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Al Demarco
Top-Rated 15-Dime Release
Xavier
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Kirby Maxwell
50 Dime
FOOTBALL
Winner # 3 in a Row
Detroit
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Mitch Newman
Top-Rated
100 DIME
WINNER # 29 of 44
(- and 9 out of 11 -)
NFC East Game of the Year
Dallas
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Jack Brayman
50 Dime
NFL Winner # 2 in a Row
Thursday Total of the Month
Texans-Lions Over 51
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Chris Jordan
400♦
NFL Winner # 14 of 21
NFC East Total of the Month
Dallas-Washington Over 45
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Bob Valentino
75 DIME
NFL Winner # 4 in a Row
NFC East Stone Cold Lock
Dallas
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Stephen DeAngelo
30 DIME
Winner # 2 in a Row
Non-Conference Best Bet
Nebraska
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Scott Delaney
40 DIME
Winner # 22 of 35
Dallas and over Teaser .. 6.5 pts teaser
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Eric schroeder
40 Dime
Winner # 4 in a Row
Gonzaga
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Chuck O'Brien
50 DIME
Line Error Lock
Houston
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Gary Bart
NFL - Dallas Cowboys -2.5
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David Schwab
CBB
Gonzaga -4
Gonzaga/Kansas Over 155
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Michael Crosson
Gonzaga -4
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Jonathan Willis
Houston Texans -3
Best Bet Cowboys/Washington Football Team Under 46.5
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Joe Williams
NFL
Washington Football Team/Cowboys Over 46
Texans/Lions Under 52
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Paul Leiner
2000 cowboys
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Sports Picks Weekly
Wednesday, Nov 25th 2020
NFL:
Houston/Detroit Over +51 (-127)
Washington +3 (-120)
Washington TT Over +21.5
NCAAf:
New Mexico/Utah St. Over +49 (-117)
NCAAB:
Liberty +6 (-115)
San Francisco -8
Auburn -7 (-125)
Auburn/St. Joseph's Under -155.5
Kansas +4 (-120)
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Elite Sports Picks
Houston -3 over Detroit (NFL)
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Insider Sports Report
4* Dallas -3 over Washington (NFL)
Range: -1.5 to -5.5
3* Auburn -8.5 over Saint Josephs (NCAAB)
Range: -7 to -11.5
3* New Mexico/Utah St. UNDER 51.5 (NCAAF)
Range: 53 to 49
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National Sports Service
4* Washington/Dallas UNDER 46 (NFL)
3* Colorado St. +6 over Air Force (NCAAF)
3* Towson +8 over San Francisco (NCAAB)
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Primetime Sports Picks
MEMBER PICKS For 11/26/20
4 Unit --> Houston -3 over Detroit (NFL)
3 Unit --> Kansas +4 over Gonzaga (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Air Force -6 over Colorado St. (NCAAF)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 11/26/20
4★ Dallas -3 over Washington (NFL)
3★ Utah St. +6.5 over New Mexico (NCAAF)
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Rockdeman Sports
NFL 7 point teaser
Texans +4 & Over 45
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ASA
3* NFL TEASER THURS - Detroit +9 & Over 45.5
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PickWise Sports
NFL
3* Detroit Lions +3
3* Washington Football Team +3
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Sports insights
detroit +3
washington - dallas - under 46
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Jeff Ma
lions
washington
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Big Al redskins
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Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
11:59 AM
HOUSTON @ DETROIT | 11/26 | 12:30 PM EST
HOUSTON -160
The inactives were pretty bleak for the Lions. While I expect a mammoth effort from Matthew Stafford, the Texans should light up this defense. Houston, having played a brutal schedule, is better than its record. Back the Texans to win a high-scoring game.
+80 3-2 IN LAST 5 NFL PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 DET ML PICKS
Adam Silverstein
FLORIDA FAVORITE
10:11 AM
HOUSTON @ DETROIT | 11/26 | 12:30 PM EST
HOUSTON -3
Anyone picking on Thanksgiving, like myself, missed the best line on this game, which was Texans -2. But as the game draws closer, I have begun to think Houston might have a substantial lead late. The question is whether it can keep it. The Lions are already without Kenny Golladay, Danny Amendola and Jeff Okudah. There's a chance D'Andre Swift won't be available either. I like Brandin Cooks to have a big day against Detroit's depleted secondary and Deshaun Watson to take care of business otherwise. I would not take this with the hook and dislike taking it at the full three, but that's where we are right now.
+460 8-3-1 IN LAST 12 HOU ATS PICKS
+281 5-2 IN LAST 7 DET ATS PICKS
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Tony Finn
3% New Mexico
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Winning Sports Plays (J.R. Stevens)
Dallas Cowboys -2.5 (GOM)
Detroit Lions +3/ML +150
*Play ML for half your normal amount
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Pinnacle Sports Picks
Washington Football Team +3
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Marco D'Angelo
3% (122) HOUSTON/DETROIT OVER 51
The Detroit Lions were a complete no show last Sunday getting blanked 20-0. Stafford had his worst day of the season but insisted it had nothing to do with the thumb injury. Prior to getting shutout the Lions had scored 20 or more in every game this year I expect them to return to form against a Houston defense that up until the last 2 weeks had allowed 25 or more points in every game but one. In the last 2 games one was played in a rain storm in Cleveland and then they allowed 20 last week to the Pats. Houston has to go into Detroit off the short week playing a team they aren’t familiar with and feeling all Fat N Sassy off their big win over New England. In what should be a high scoring game the team with ball last should be the winner. TAKE HOUSTON/DETROIT OVER 51.
4% NFC EAST GAME OF THE WEEK
Game: (123) Washington Football Team at (124) Dallas Cowboys
Date/Time: Nov 26 2020 4:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Washington Football Team +3.0 (-120)
4% (123) Washington (+3)
Before we stamp Dallas back let’s remember that Dallas in their upset of Minnesota was the perfect storm as far as the set up went. Dallas had 2 weeks to prepare for Minnesota. Dallas caught Minnesota in a bad scheduling spot having to play off a short week after playing a physical game on Monday in Chicago. Minnesota’s defense is bad while Washington has a Top 10 defense in YPP, YPG and PPG. Note that Over the last 3 games since Alex Smith replaced Kyle Allen this Washington offense is much more efficient as teams can’t just key on stopping the running game of Washington. Alex Smith brings a more balanced offense which makes a good defense even better as they are on the field for less plays now that the offense is more consistent. We also find that DALLAS is just 2-9 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. In a mild Upset it’s WASHINGTON 23-20 as my 4% NFC EAST GAME OF THE WEEK.
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