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(@shazman)
Posts: 60082
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Thursday 1/13/22 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAB & NBA games

 
Posted : January 13, 2022 11:34 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60082
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Carmine Bianco

2% Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes
1P Total Over 1.5 (-128)

2% Ottawa Senators at Calgary Flames
1P Total Over 1.5 (-127)
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Stephen Nover

3* CBB Big10 Dom

Ohio St/Wis Under
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Greg Peterson

Ohio State vs Wisconsin Under 140

Austin Peay +23 vs Belmont

Oregon +11 vs UCLA

BYU +15 vs Gonzaga

Arizona vs Colorado Under 150

Updated Record 163-139-4
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Max Gorenstein

INDIANA @ IOWA | 01/13 | 9:00 PM EST
INDIANA 150
ANALYSIS: The Indiana Hoosiers have really struggled on the road. They haven’t won a game outside the state of Indiana since January 21st, 2021. That game was in Iowa. The Hoosiers have had the Hawkeyes number. The Hoosiers are 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings. This will be a battle of the Hoosiers elite defense against the Hawkeyes elite offense. I am expecting the Hoosiers defense to win this battle and lead them to their first road win in almost a year.

IUPUI @ GREEN BAY | 01/13 | 8:00 PM EST
UNDER 121
ANALYSIS: Both the Jaguars and the Phoenix are in the bottom 20 in Division I in terms of pace of play. They also have two of the worst offenses in the nation. They both rank in the bottom 20 in PPG, bottom 50 in field goal percentage, and bottom 10 in three point percentage. This game is going to be terrible to watch because of the slow pace and terrible offenses. I would be surprised if either team gets to 60 points in this game.

+590 18-11 IN LAST 29 CBB O/U PICKS

FAU @ MIDDLE TENN. | 01/13 | 7:00 PM EST
MIDDLE TENN. -3.5
ANALYSIS: The Blue Raiders have been great at covering the spread this season. They are 10-2-1 ATS and 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games. The Blue Raiders are a great home team as they are 4-0 SU and ATS in their home arena. On the other hand, the Owls are not a good road team. They are just 1-3 SU and ATS in true road games. The Blue Raiders should be favored by more in this matchup, especially on their home court. Lay the points.
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Justin Perri

SIUE @ E. ILLINOIS | 01/13 | 9:00 PM EST
SIUE -6.5
ANALYSIS: I'm going with a pick that my model considers a lean, but I feel is a bit too valuable to ignore. I am pretty surprised that Eastern Illinois is only a 6.5 point underdog. The Panthers are 0-12 on the season against division one opponents. They are a bottom ten team in all of D1 and while they have covered in five of their twelve losses, this will likely not be one of them. Of their defeats, just twice has the final margin been single digits. Take the value fading one of the worst teams you can bet against.

OAKLAND @ CLEV. ST. | 01/13 | 7:00 PM EST
OAKLAND +2
ANALYSIS: Two of the best teams in the Horizon league face off here and the wrong team is favored. I have Oakland projected to win in my model by 2 points. They are the stronger team in this conference and have beaten the same opponents in stronger fashion. They should be able to win this on the road against a familiar opponent. It might not be a runaway game, but Oakland plus the points is a great value pick. Grab it while you can.

+290 4-1 IN LAST 5 CBB PICKS
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Matt Severance

GEORGIA ST. @ SOUTH ALABAMA | 01/13 | 9:00 PM EST
SOUTH ALABAMA -120
ANALYSIS: This spread/ML seems low Thursday as South Alabama is way higher via both KenPom and Sagarin rankings. USA has two of the top seven scorers in the Sun Belt in Charles Manning (17.2 ppg) and Jay Jay Chandler (15.5 ppg). The Jaguars rank in the Top 3 of the Sun Belt in scoring defense (63.6 ppg), scoring offense (75.1), scoring margin (11.5), turnover margin (3.9), blocked shots per game (5.4 bpg) and turnovers forced (16.73). My only real worry here would be COVID issues, but otherwise South Alabama should win.

+2297 75-45-3 IN LAST 123 CBB PICKS

MONTREAL @ CHICAGO | 01/13 | 8:30 PM EST
CHICAGO -184
ANALYSIS: As of this writing, the Blackhawks are the only home team Thursday priced under -210 or so -- let's just take it now before it rises/comes off the board ahead of Montreal playing tonight in Boston with a very depleted roster. It should be third-string Sam Montembeault in net for the Habs, and he's an ugly 1-6-0 with a 3.98 GAA. Hawks netminder Marc-Andre Fleury shut out Montreal a few weeks ago for his 500th career win.

NEW JERSEY @ N.Y. ISLANDERS | 01/13 | 7:30 PM EST
N.Y. ISLANDERS -209
ANALYSIS: Going to make a few NHL plays on lookahead lines because there are so many big favorites on Thursday and I think these numbers will only rise. New Jersey's top two goaltenders are out so the Devils will start Jon Gillies. There's a reason the 27-year-old journeyman has made only 14 career appearances in the NHL since 2016. New Jersey has a handful of other guys out, too, while the Islanders are very healthy other than Coach Barry Trotz in protocols.

+1149 22-9 IN LAST 31 NHL ML PICKS
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Zack Cimini

ABILENE CHR. @ GRAND CANYON | 01/13 | 9:00 PM EST
ABILENE CHR. +3.5
ANALYSIS: Abilene Christian may have looked ahead to tonight’s matchup against Grand Canyon, as the Wildcats lost consecutive home games against Sam Houston State and Stephen F. Austin. I expect a bounce-back tonight against a Grand Canyon team with a 12-2 record that does not correlate with its actual play. Take Abilene Christian.

C. CAROLINA @ APP. ST. | 01/13 | 6:30 PM EST
C. CAROLINA +3.5
ANALYSIS: In March these teams met in the Sun Belt Tournament semifinals, and Appalachian State edged Coastal Carolina, 64-61, in overtime. I expect the Chanticleers to be highly motivated for revenge and cover against an App State team that may have peaked during its tournament run.

+1081 24-12-1 IN LAST 37 CBB PICKS
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Matt Severance

WINNIPEG @ DETROIT | 01/13 | 7:30 PM EST
DETROIT 120
ANALYSIS: Now that Alex Nedeljkovic has been confirmed as the Detroit starter in net over Thomas Greiss, it's worth the minor upset play here as Nedeljkovic is 7-3-2 at home and the Wings may get back Dylan Larkin (32 points) from injury. At full health, the Jets are the better team, but they are far from that right now due to injury/COVID. Winnipeg is 2-5 in its past seven vs. teams with a losing record. The Jets are a .500 road team, while the Wings are seven games over .500 at home.

+1149 22-9 IN LAST 31 NHL ML PICKS

FAU @ MIDDLE TENN. | 01/13 | 7:00 PM EST
MIDDLE TENN. -160
ANALYSIS: I pretty much agree with everything Max Gorenstein said here -- the Blue Raiders probably should be bigger favorites (at least -5 instead of -3.5) but I'm not messing with the spread regardless as FAU isn't a bad team at all. Plus, there could always be the surprise COVID factor. Middle Tennessee is one of those full-court pressure teams and it has led to 133 steals and 252 forced turnovers through the team's first 15 games. Pressure defense always works better at home, where MT is unbeaten -- it's why West Virginia is nearly impossible to beat in Morgantown.

N. KENTUCKY @ YOUNGSTOWN ST. | 01/13 | 7:00 PM EST
YOUNGSTOWN ST. -170
ANALYSIS: Thought I posted this earlier but it didn't show up so I'm sure it was user error -- unfortunately, the ML moved from -160 to -170 in that time, although I doubt it matters as every model has Youngstown State winning despite entering on a two-game skid. Northern Kentucky is 0-5 on the road and has lost each by at least nine points and may have some COVID issues with its past three games postponed/canceled. These clubs are about the same regarding scoring defense but YSU is better offensively and is 8-2 this year when scoring at least 70. NKU has allowed a minimum of 70 points in three of its past four.

+2297 75-45-3 IN LAST 123 CBB PICKS
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Posted : January 13, 2022 11:41 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60082
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Doug Knudson

Oregon State vs. USC (NCAAB) - 11:00 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: -15/-110 USC
Rating: 7*
MY MODELS MADE USC -19.5

Oregon vs. UCLA (NCAAB) - 9:30 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: -10.5/-110 UCLA
Rating: 7*
MY MODELS MADE UCLA -15

Idaho vs. Weber State (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: 16.5/-110 Idaho
Rating: 7*
MY MODELS MADE WEBER ST -12.5

Indiana vs. Iowa (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: -4.5/-110 Iowa
Rating: 7*
MY MODELS MADE WEBER ST -12.5

Abilene Christian vs. Grand Canyon (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: 4/-110 Abilene Christian
Rating: 7*
MY MODELS MADE GAME PICK

Georgia State vs. South Alabama (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: -1.5/-110 South Alabama
Rating: 7*
MY MODELS MADE S ALABAMA -5.5

South Dakota State vs. Nebraska Omaha (NCAAB) - 8:30 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: -15/-110 South Dakota State
Rating: 7*
MY MODELS MADE S DAKOTA ST -19.5

IUPUI vs. Wisconsin Green Bay (NCAAB) - 8:00 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: -9.5/-110 Wisconsin Green Bay
Rating: 7*
MY MODELS MADE WISC GREEN BAY -14

UL Lafayette vs. Texas Arlington (NCAAB) - 8:00 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: -1/-110 UL Lafayette
Rating: 7*
MY MODELS MADE UL LAFAYETTE -5.5

Canisius vs. Niagara (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: -6.5/-110 Niagara
Rating: 8*
MY MODELS MADE NIAGARA -11.5

Oklahoma State vs. Texas Tech (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: 8.5/-110 Oklahoma State
Rating: 8*
MY MODELS MADE TEXAS TECH -3

Northern Kentucky vs. Youngstown State (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: 3/-110 Northern Kentucky
Rating: 7*
MY MODELS MADE NORTHERN KENTUCKY -1

North Texas vs. Marshall (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: -4/-110 North Texas
Rating: 7*
MY MODELS MADE N TEXAS -8.5

NC Greensboro vs. The Citadel (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: 2.5/-110 The Citadel
Rating: 7*
MY MODELS MADE N TEXAS -8.5

GAME OF THE DAY
Cal Santa Barbara vs. Long Beach State (NCAAB) - 10:00 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: -3.5/-110 Cal Santa Barbara
Rating: 10*
MY MODELS MADE UC SANTA BARBARA -9.5
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The Prez

[NHL] (11) Seattle Kraken at (12) St. Louis Blues

4% REGULATION St. Louis Blues -135
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CleInsiderSports (11-1 L2 days)

Early CBB
Washington State -7.5
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Doug Upstone
NBA
6U Memphis -4.0

Season: 33 - 47 / -52.1U
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IowaKidPix
Pelicans ml
Twolves +5
Warriors ml
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Centaur Sports

10 Unit. Under Oklahoma City Thunder / Brooklyn Nets
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Right Angle Sports

UNC Asheville +7
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Goodfella

3* CBB

Ohio St/Wis Over
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WUnderdog
CBB
Northern Kentucky +3.5 vs youngstown state
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Posted : January 13, 2022 2:54 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 60082
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Topic starter
 

Tomas Sports
Marshall ml
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ZITI Sports
SOCCER UNDER SYSTEM

Spain - Super Cup- Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Club Bilbao UNDER 2 -103 (2:00 PM)

SOCCER OVER SYSTEM

Italy - Cup- Napoli vs. Fiorentina OVER 2.5 -119 (12:00 PM)

NBA

Denver Nuggets -8 -110 Portland Trail Blazers (10:10 PM)

COLLEGE HOOPS
Cleveland State -1 -110 Oakland (7:00 PM)
Ohio State +3.5 -110 Wisconsin (7:00 PM)
Stanford vs Washington State UNDER 137.5 -110 (5:00 PM)
UTEP vs Charlotte UNDER 136 -110 (7:00 PM)
Western Illinois vs. North Dakota UNDER 155.5 -110 (8:00 PM)

NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Carolina Hurricanes OVER 6 -113 (7:05 PM)
Winnipeg Jets -135 Detroit Red Wings (7:35 PM)
Pittsburgh Penguins -140 Los Angeles Kings (10:35 PM)
New York Rangers -122 San Jose Sharks (10:35 PM)
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Sports Analytics 24/7

NCAAB (early)
~ 61-43 YTD, 3-6 run

Kennesaw St +5 -120 (4:30)
~Buy half point(s) to get to 5
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Smart Money Sports

NCAAB: Arizona -15.5 (3 units)
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In Game Trap

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Carolina Hurricanes OVER 6.5 (20*)
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Chris Jordan

Ultra Rare 1500♦

CBB Wisconsin
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Posted : January 13, 2022 5:39 pm
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