Free Premium Service Plays For Thursday 10/1/20

R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
12:38 AM

N.Y. JETS +3
DENVER @ N.Y. JETS | 10/01 | 8:20 PM EDT
I thought the Jets, as bad as they are, represented good value last week against a good but not great Colts team. Boy was I wrong. The difference here is that we know the Broncos aren't good right now with their long list of injured players. It's never a good sign when it takes until Tuesday to know who's going to start at QB for a Thursday game, and it makes even less sense to make such a team a road favorite. As bad as Sam Darnold has looked, he's going to be the better QB here, and he'll be up against a defense that would have given up 26-plus points in three straight games if not for a Stephen Gostkowski meltdown in Week 1.

20-13 IN LAST 33 NFL PICKS | +555
18-14-2 IN LAST 34 NYJ ATS PICKS | +272

Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 3:15 PM
N.Y. JETS +3
DENVER @ N.Y. JETS | 10/01 | 8:20 PM EDT
Welcome to a scenario in which home-field advantage is enhanced in an empty stadium. The winless, hapless Jets will be spared the boos that could otherwise rain down on them. There is little else to endorse, so let’s focus on Denver. The visitors, also 0-3, have been ravaged by injuries, the latest Sunday to DT Jurrell Casey (biceps), who becomes the fourth Bronco Pro Bowler on injured reserve. With QB Drew Lock (shoulder) out, coach Vic Fangio must choose from among three candidates to start. Regardless, there is scant time to prepare. A long trip and a short week with a depleted roster might spell doom for a proud franchise.

12-7 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +435
10-6-1 IN LAST 17 NYJ ATS PICKS | +339
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Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
1:56 PM

UNDER 40
DENVER @ N.Y. JETS | 10/01 | 8:20 PM EDT
The Jets haven’t come close to sniffing a cover, going 0-3 SU and ATS and losing by an average score of 31-12. The Denver defense has played well getting covers the first two weeks. But the injuries (the Broncos' top five players are injured and top two players are out for the year) are just too much for me to side with the Broncos as they travel to the East Coast on a short week. The Bills and 49ers scored lots on the Jets, but the Broncos aren’t equipped to do that. Under.

4-0 IN LAST 4 NFL PICKS | +400
2-1 IN LAST 3 NYJ O/U PICKS | +95
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Ben Burns

2* Jets +3
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Matt Severance
SEVERANCE PAYS
2:06 PM

N.Y. JETS PK
DENVER @ N.Y. JETS | 10/01 | 8:20 PM EDT
Barring a tie, which would be so fitting, one of these franchises will become the fourth team this century to start 0-4 in consecutive seasons. Wishing I had taken the Jets Monday when they were getting 3 points as the money is pouring in on Gang Green to where it's a pick'em. The Broncos are devastated by injury and are giving UDFA Brett Rypien his first-ever start at QB. Isn't Sam Darnold better than him? If Darnold can't get well vs. a defense down many key guys, well, he shouldn't be an NFL starter. Meanwhile, the Jets should welcome back top WR Jamison Crowder. They are 4-1 in their past five at home.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +185
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Pete Prisco

Denver Broncos at New York Jets (PICK)
This is the dog game of the week, and it happens to be one that is on national television. Oh, boy. One of these 0-3 teams is a likely winner — there could be a tie — but who will it be? I'll go with the home team to wake up as Sam Darnold plays well and new Broncos starter Brett Rypien does not.

Pick: Jets 24, Broncos 17
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Matt Blunt
New York Jets/Denver Broncos Under 41.5
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Holden Kushner
New York Jets -125 (Moneyline)
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Kevin Rogers
Denver Broncos +2
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Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
12:36 AM

N.Y. JETS PK
DENVER @ N.Y. JETS | 10/01 | 8:20 PM EDT
Wish I had jumped on this earlier, but I'll still back the Jets at pick'-em against the Broncos, who are led by third-string QB Brett Rypien. New York should get a boost from the (expected) return of Jamison Crowder and tackles Mekhi Becton and George Fant. Look for Gregg Williams' scheme to force turnovers as the Jets finally win.

4-1 IN LAST 5 NFL ATS PICKS | +275
5-0 IN LAST 5 NYJ ATS PICKS | +500
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SDQL

CHI. CUBS -195
MIAMI @ CHI. CUBS | 10/01 | 2:08 PM EDT
9:17 AM
The Marlins are 0-10 on the road after a game as road dogs in which their opponent had fewer than six hits and fewer than 13 strikeouts and it is not a series opener. Miami lost those 10 games by an average of 4.6 runs. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 12-0 in the second game of a home series when they are off a loss in which they held the lead. Chicago is 25-0 before game No. 95 at home off a game as a favorite in which it used five-plus pitchers, did not win by five-plus runs and the bullpen did not allow five-plus runs.

55-29 IN LAST 84 MLB ML PICKS | +816
11-4 IN LAST 15 CHC ML PICKS | +521

2-1 IN LAST 3 MIA ML PICKS | +40

ATLANTA -135
CINCINNATI @ ATLANTA | 10/01 | 12:08 PM EDT
9:15 AM
Cincinnati has been terrible when seeking immediate revenge for a shutout loss, going 0-8 before game No. 150 on the road after a shutout road loss when it is not a series opener. The Reds were in this spot twice this season and they were outscored 19-2 in the two. The Braves have done well in this spot, going 11-0 at home off a home game in which they struck out more than five times, drew fewer than four walks and scored in two or fewer innings. Atlanta won those 11 games by an average of 5.00 runs.

55-29 IN LAST 84 MLB ML PICKS | +816
13-4 IN LAST 17 ATL ML PICKS | +714
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Ben Burns

2* Jets +3
2* Jets/Broncos Under 20.5 first half
3*Cubs -178
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MTI

4.5-Star Broncos at Jets OVER 40 - The Jets have scored 17, 13 and 7 points respectively so far this season, and this has dropped the odds considerably on Adam Gase being the first coach NFL fired in 2020. Teams in this spot have, not surprisingly, become more aggressive early in the season in an effort to get more points on the board. As evidence, home teams that are below 300 and have scored under their team total for two games in a row are 24-0 OU before week 6 when they are not a FG-plus favorite and they forced at least four punts in their last game. The SDQL text is:

week<=5 and H and p:dps<0 and pp:dps -3 and WP = 4 and season>=2006

It is not surprising that a focus on more risk-taking has led to points for their opponent. These games have gone over the total by an average of 14.21 ppg with an average final score of 25.5 points to 31.5 points.

Turning our attention to the Broncos, we find that they are 11-0 OU on the road when they are off a loss as a dog and their QB was sacked three-plus times in each of their last two games, going over by an average of 12.36 ppg. Check it out with this SDQL:

team=Broncos and A and p:LD and 3<=po:sacks and 3=19951224

Lets go OVER this low number.
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Goodfella

DOUBLE DIME PLAY

St. Louis Cards +1.5
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11th Hour
4U Atlanta Braves
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Elite Sports Picks

Denver/N.Y. Jets UNDER 40.5 (NFL
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Insider Sports Report

4* San Diego (Davies) -155 over St. Louis (Wainwright)
Range: -140 to -180

3* Denver +2 over N.Y. Jets (NFL)
Range: +3.5 to -1
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National Sports Service

4* Atlanta (Anderson) -135 over Cincinnati (Castillo)

3* Denver/N.Y. Jets OVER 40.5 (NFL)
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Primetime Sports Picks For 10/01/20

4 Unit --> Chicago Cubs (Darvish) -180 over Miami (Sanchez)

3 Unit --> Cincinnati (Castillo)/Atlanta (Anderson) UNDER 7.5

3 Unit --> San Diego (Davies) -155 over St. Louis (Wainwright)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 10/01/20

5★ Chicago Cubs (Darvish) -180 over Miami (Sanchez)

3★ N.Y. Jets -1.5 over Denver (NFL)
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John Bollman
THE EXECUTIVE
11:21 AM

CINCINNATI +130
CINCINNATI @ ATLANTA | 10/01 | 12:08 PM EDT
Ian Anderson is a rookie and will be making his first start against the Reds and in the playoffs. Castillo is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in three career starts vs. Braves. Castillo was 4-0 with a 1.26 ERA in four starts in September and the Reds had 11 hits yesterday despite being able to score. I like the Reds to take advantage of the Braves rookie today.

5-1 IN LAST 6 MLB ML PICKS | +450
2-1 IN LAST 3 CIN ML PICKS | +100

5-3 IN LAST 8 ATL ML PICKS | +45
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Wayne Root
Millionaire- Broncos
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Vsi
6* -Padres-1.5+125
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Accu Picks

MLB
3* Reds/Braves OVER 7.5
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Game of the Year

St Louis Over 8.5
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Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
11:39 AM

DENVER PK
DENVER @ N.Y. JETS | 10/01 | 8:20 PM EDT
Denver is starting a new quarterback in Brett Rypien. His start gives the Broncos a bit more consistency in the passing game, which allows guys like Jerry Jeudy, KJ Hamler, Tim Patrick and TE Noah Fant to have productive days against a Jets secondary that's been vulnerable against the pass. On the other side, the Jets' offense can't get out of its own way, and the Broncos defense will be able to capitalize on their ineffectiveness.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL ATS PICKS | +90
3-0 IN LAST 3 NYJ ATS PICKS | +300

3-0 IN LAST 3 DEN ATS PICKS | +300
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newworldinsiders

Florida Cubs Over 7
Vegas Cardinals +1.5
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I haven't seen the "Service Plays" that often lately. The only reason I even bother is because they are 39 games under .500 the past couple or so weeks, and I've done well fading those free picks. Thanks as always Sir Shaz.