Free Premium Service Plays For Thursday 10/8/20

Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
YESTERDAY 8:55 PM

TULANE +7
TULANE @ HOUSTON | 10/08 | 7:30 PM EDT
My model says the Green Wave cover the spread in well over 60 percent of simulations, so you're getting great value with them. After splitting its first two games of the season, Tulane erupted for 66 points in its destruction of Southern Mississippi last time out. The Cougars are playing their first game of 2020 after having a number of contests postponed or rescheduled due to the coronavirus pandemic. Expect them to be a bit rusty and the Green Wave to keep it close.

5-1 IN LAST 6 CFB ATS PICKS | +390
3-2 IN LAST 5 HOU ATS PICKS | +79
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Matt Severance
SEVERANCE PAYS
10:34 AM

CHICAGO +5.5
TAMPA BAY @ CHICAGO | 10/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
The Bears looked awful offensively in losing to the Colts on Sunday but at least got out of that quite healthy. The Bucs, on the other hand, had to rally from 17 down to beat the Chargers and are incredibly banged up. Expected out at a minimum for the quick turnaround are WR Chris Godwin, TE OJ Howard (done for year) and RBs Leonard Fournette and LeSean McCoy. WR Mike Evans is dealing with an ankle injury but likely will tough it out. The Chicago defense is good enough against that depleted unit to keep this game within a field goal at worse.

3-0 IN LAST 3 NFL ATS PICKS | +300
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Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
9:47 AM

CHICAGO +4.5
TAMPA BAY @ CHICAGO | 10/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
Just like last season, the Buccaneers' defense is not one to run on. They were No. 1 against the run in 2019 and they’re No. 2 this season, allowing just 64 yards per game. But the Bears don’t know who they are, or what they do well. Every game plan is kind of on the fly with no direction. But this is a spot where I think QB Nick Foles can gash Tampa Bay's secondary, similar to how Chargers rookie Justin Herbert did last week. Home-field advantage is worth barely a point, but the Buccaneers have some WR and TE concerns. Chicago's defense battles. I took the points with the Bears.

7-2-1 IN LAST 10 NFL PICKS | +480
4-2 IN LAST 6 CHI ATS PICKS | +179

6-4-3 IN LAST 13 TB ATS PICKS | +163

R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
YESTERDAY 9:12 PM

TAMPA BAY -4.5
TAMPA BAY @ CHICAGO | 10/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
I was on the Bears last week and was shocked at how poorly the offense played. With the Bucs bringing a defensive unit into this matchup that ranks second in DVOA to only the Colts, it's hard to see them finding a magical fix in just a few days time. That will leave this game in the hands of Chicago's quality defense, but I don't expect them to completely shut down the Bucs, even if Tampa Bay will be missing several key position players. The key to Tampa Bay's success on offense so far has been the excellent play of the O-line. Play at last week's level again and Tom Brady plus the running game should do enough to get the cover.

30-16-1 IN LAST 47 CHI ATS PICKS | +1272

20-9-4 IN LAST 33 TB ATS PICKS | +998

R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
YESTERDAY 9:10 PM

UNDER 44
TAMPA BAY @ CHICAGO | 10/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
With so much uncertainty on who will suit up at the skill positions for the Bucs, I think we're in a great spot to take the Under here. We should already be looking to play Bears Unders with their excellent defense and awful offense to date, and even though their games are 2-2 on the Under this year, they benefited from a bunch of injuries to the Lions secondary in Week 1, which finally allowed them to move the ball in the fourth quarter. Their other Over required another fourth-quarter rally against the Falcons. This Bucs defense is several levels above those two units, so I don't see the opportunity to put up points for Chicago here unless they get some more in-game injury luck.

5-3 IN LAST 8 NFL O/U PICKS | +170
3-1 IN LAST 4 CHI O/U PICKS | +190

Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
YESTERDAY 1:49 PM

CHICAGO +5.5
TAMPA BAY @ CHICAGO | 10/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
This number is trending downward as the Bucs' injuries start to pile up. Nick Foles and the Bears' offense could not have looked worse last week, but I think they'll be solid against a Tampa Bay defense allowing opponents to complete 71 percent of their throws. Grab the points in what should be a close game.

5-1 IN LAST 6 CHI ATS PICKS | +390
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Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
11:25 AM

TULANE +6.5
TULANE @ HOUSTON | 10/08 | 7:30 PM EDT
The tough-luck Houston Cougars have yet to play a game 2020, with a total of five games postponed or canceled because of the pandemic. While you might expect them to come out inspired and aggressive, most teams, all of which are using makeshift rosters to varying degrees, have been sloppy in their season debuts. This doesn't bode well against a solid Tulane club that already has played three games and has shown a powerful run offense that racked up more than 400 yards against Southern Miss in its last outing.

10-4 IN LAST 14 CFB PICKS | +559
5-3 IN LAST 8 TULANE ATS PICKS | +168

2-1 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS | +90
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Bruce Marshall
CFB - Tulane +7
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Joe Nelson
Tulane/Houston Over 59.5
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Football Jesus
BEARS +points
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Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
YESTERDAY 5:00 PM

TAMPA BAY -3.5
TAMPA BAY @ CHICAGO | 10/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
Tampa Bay's offense has seemingly hit its stride, and everyone is getting involved in the act. Although the Bucs lose tight end OJ Howard to an injury, expect Cameron Brate to pick up the slack. Chicago is facing a young, athletic defense that will force Nick Foles to get rid of it quickly. And with no run game to speak of, the Bears' offense will once again be held in check.

11-2 IN LAST 13 NFL ATS PICKS | +885
8-4-1 IN LAST 13 TB ATS PICKS | +358

5-2 IN LAST 7 CHI ATS PICKS | +281

Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
YESTERDAY 2:49 PM

TAMPA BAY -3.5
TAMPA BAY @ CHICAGO | 10/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
I don't know why people would be betting the Bears here. I don't like Nick Foles against that defense. It's kind of a revenge game for Tom Brady, for that Super Bowl loss to Foles when he was with the Eagles. Brady had five touchdown passes last week and he's so comfortable in that offense.

7-3-4 IN LAST 14 TB ATS PICKS | +362

2-1 IN LAST 3 CHI ATS PICKS | +80
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SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS
8:03 AM

ATLANTA -140
ATLANTA @ MIAMI | 10/08 | 2:08 PM EDT
Miami lacks the leadership and mental toughness to slow down the steamrolling Braves. The Marlins are 0-6 at ‘home” vs. a team that has won at least its last three games and 0-13 as underdogs of more than 110 in at least the third game of a series when coming off a shutout loss and their opponent’s starter has an ERA under 6.00. The Braves are 12-0 as favorites when it is not the first game of a series and coming off a game in which they drew one or fewer walks. Atlanta is also 15-0 in at least the third game of a series coming off a home game in which it left fewer than 10 men on base, as long as it is not a dog of more than 130. The Dodgers are 2-0 in their series, so the Braves will want to get their series over as soon as possible.

110-62-1 IN LAST 173 MLB PICKS | +1098
16-4 IN LAST 20 ATL ML PICKS | +1014

4-1 IN LAST 5 MIA ML PICKS | +240
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Pete Prisco

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5) at Chicago Bears

Playing on a short week on the road is always tough, but Tampa Bay should be ready for it. The Bears aren't good on offense, even with Nick Foles now at quarterback, and Tampa Bay should be able to limit them. The Bucs have some injury issues on offense, but they will do enough to win this one.

Pick: Bucs 28, Bears 20
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Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
10:18 AM

TAMPA BAY -190
TAMPA BAY @ CHICAGO | 10/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
Tom Brady is getting better with the Buccaneers every week, having tossed five TDs to five different receivers vs. the Chargers. Tampa Bay will max protect and keep Brady on his feet to find his targets downfield. The Buccaneers defense is fourth in the league, allowing just over 310 total yards per game while Bears are eighth. The short week is always tough on the road team, but no one will be more prepared for this game than Brady and Bruce Arians. Tampa Bay’s defense will be the difference here, forcing Nick Foles into a few turnovers with some sacks. The Bears are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 Thursday night games and 1-8 ATS in their last nine following a SU loss.
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