Thursday 11/25/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB & NBA games.
Happy Thanksgiving
HITMAN | NFL Sides - Thursday, Nov 25 2021 8:20PM
109 BUF -4.0 (-110)Circa Sports vs 110 NOS double-dime bet
Analysis:
With the state of the Saints offensive roster due to injuries, this is a comically thin offense that you’d see in the second half of some preseason games.
The Saints will likely be without RB Alvin Kamara, TE Adam Trautman, LT Terron Armstead, G Andrus Peat, and RT Ryan Ramchzk. Once this injury report gets a little more mainstream, I could see this line closing closer to six.
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Pickswise Sports
NFL 3* Best Bet - Saints/Bills Under 45.5
2* Lions/Bears Under 41.5
2* Raiders/Cowboys Under 51
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H&H Sports
NFL
Triple Dime - Bills -5
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Andrew Jett
NFL - Dallas Cowboys -7
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Randy Chambers
NFL - Detroit Lions +3.5
CFB - Mississippi State (Moneyline)
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Chris Ruffolo
CFB - San Jose State +7.5
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Colin Cowturd Blazin 5
Dallas
Pitt
Denver
Houston
Indy
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Essler NFL 3*
Saints
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Northcoast Star Rated:
2* Under 42 Chicago/Detroit 12:30pm
Top Opinions:
Las Vegas (+8) Dallas 4:30pm (NFL Marquee)
Over 62 Mississippi/Mississippi St 7:30pm (College Marquee)
Mississippi St (-1.5) Mississippi 7:30pm
Regular Opinions:
Chicago (-3) Detroit 12:30pm
Under 52.5 Fresno St/San Jose St 3:30pm
Under 50.5 Las Vegas/Dallas 4:30pm
Had to Pick’em:
Fresno St (-7.5) San Jose St 3:30pm
Buffalo (-6) New Orleans 8:20pm
Over 45.5 Buffalo/New Orleans 8:20pm
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HITMAN | NFL Prop - Thursday, Nov 25 2021 8:20PM
Moss U33.5
(-110)William Hill 109 BUF vs 110 NOS single-dime bet
Analysis:
Zach Moss (BUF) U33.5 rush/rec yards -110 (DK)
Good down to 30.5
HITMAN | NFL Prop - Thursday, Nov 25 2021 4:30PM
Dak U
(-115)William Hill 107 LVR vs 108 DAL single-dime bet
Analysis: Dak Prescott (DAL) U275.5 Pass Yds -115 (DK/Caesars/Super Book)
HITMAN | NFL Prop - Thursday, Nov 25 2021 4:30PM
Pollard O
(-110)William Hill 107 LVR vs 108 DAL single-dime bet
Analysis: Tony Pollard (DAL) O36.5 Rush Yds -110 (DK/Caesars)
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Vegas Right Side (Scammer)
BEARS @ LIONS
BEARS -3 +100
BEARS ML -140
BEARS/LIONS OVER 39.5 -140
BILLS @ SAINTS
MAX BILLS -4 -120
MAX BILLS ML -215
BILLS/SAINTS OVER 44 -125
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SportsLine Projection Model
Bears 24, Lions 19
Cowboys 32, Raiders 23
Bills 25, Saints 20
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Harry Bondi
4 Buffalo
3 Ole Miss
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Fat Jack
6 -0 last weekend in football
Been on fire in all sports.
10-2 this week in college hoops
Bears
Saints
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Fezzik
Triple Detroit +3
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Brad Feinberg
Bills
Josh allen over 1.5 td -190. 18-3 last 21. I believe he is at least 70% here to do this and only have to hit 66% to be profitable. Dak under 275.5 passing yards. With Amari and lamb banged up, expecting a lot of runs from Dallas this week.
Tony Pollard over 44 rushing yards
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Bryan Leonard
4% CFB - Miss St -1.5
3% CBB - San Diego St -6
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Greg Peterson
Baylor vs VCU Over 129
Iona +12 vs Alabama
Dake -2 vs Belmont
New Mexico +12.5 vs UAB
Maryland -1 vs Richmond
Updated Record 48-31-1
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Gambling God Sports Picks
Uruguay Clausura Soccer
PENAROL
NFL
LAS VEGAS +7.5
CFB
SAN JOSE STATE +7.5
Sports Handicapper King
Uefa Europa Soccer
MARSEILLE
NFL
CHICAGO -3
NCAA B
SAN DIEGO -2.5
SAN DIEGO STATE -6
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In Game Trap
Buffalo Bills -6.5 (20*)
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Adam Trigger
Miss. St -135 (4%)
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Happy Thanksgiving to you also. And thank you for being here
Elite Sports Picks
Mississippi/Mississippi St. UNDER 64 (NCAAF)
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Insider Sports Report
4* Mississippi St. -2 over Mississippi (NCAAF)
Range: -.5 to -4.5
3* Dallas -7.5 over Las Vegas (NFL)
Range: -5.5 to -9.5
3* Buffalo/New Orleans OVER 45.5 (NFL)
Range: 43.5 to 47.5
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National Sports Service
4* Chicago/Detroit UNDER 41 (NFL)
3* Las Vegas/Dallas OVER 51.5 (NFL)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
4 Unit --> Mississippi St. -2 over Mississippi (NCAAF)
3 Unit --> Fresno St. -7.5 over San Jose St. (NCAAF)
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Top Rank Sports Picks®
Over 25 years of handicapping excellence in Football, Basketball and Baseball.
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 11/25/21
5★ Buffalo/New Orleans OVER 45.5 (NFL)
3★ Fresno St./San Jose St. OVER 52.5 (NCAAF)
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SportsAnalytics 24/7
NCAAF
2* Mississippi St ML -130**
NFL
1.5* Saints Under 46 -130
Buy half point(s) to get to 46
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Sports Betting Guru
NCAAB GOY:
Dayton +5.5
NFL VIP:
Saints +6
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Carmine Bianco 4% Buffalo Bills & Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys and Buffalo Bills 6.5 PT Teaser
Carmine Bianco 4% Buffalo Bills & New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots 6.5 PT Teaser
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IC
5 LV/DAL o51.5
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HITMAN | NFL Prop - Thursday, Nov 25 2021 12:30PM
Goff U
(-115)William Hill 105 CHI vs 106 DET single-dime bet
Analysis:
Jared Goff (DET) U214.5 Pass Yds -115 (Kambi/Consensus)
Since Dan Campbell took over play calling for the Lions, the Lions have combined for 131 yards passing in regulation in two games against the Steelers and the Browns. Dan Campbell has openly spoke of how he felt the need to protect Jared Goff in the Steelers game due to his injury, and he comes into today's game far from 100% healthy. In a game script that should theortetically remain neutral based off the current 3 point spread, I expect more conservative play calling from Campbell.
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Bob Balfe
Bears -3 over Lions
Bears/Lions Over 41.5
Raiders +7.5 over Cowboys
Bills-6.5 over Saints
Larry Hartstein
FEATURED PICK
CHICAGO @ DETROIT | 11/25 | 12:30 PM EST
DETROIT +3
ANALYSIS: Jared Goff is trending towards playing. He has been good versus the Bears in his last two matchups, including this season with Detroit. In Week 4, he went 24 of 38 for 299 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions. Justin Fields, Akiem Hicks and Allen Robinson aren't likely to play for Chicago. Without Hicks, Detroit should keep running the ball effectively like it has the past two games. It's always hard to judge motivation, but you know the Lions will be all-in -- this is their best chance to win a game. Bears players seem to want Matt Nagy fired.
+1960 46-23 IN LAST 69 NFL PICKS
+299 11-7 IN LAST 18 CHI ATS PICKS
+119 9-7-1 IN LAST 17 DET ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 11:22 AM
BUFFALO @ NEW ORLEANS | 11/25 | 8:20 PM EST
BUFFALO -4.5
ANALYSIS: This is a nice bounceback spot for the Bills after their embarrassing home loss to the Colts. Buffalo was minus-4 in turnover margin in that game, but has not lost two straight this season. Most of the Saints' production at Philly came in garbage time. Expect the Bills' defense to dominate the banged-up New Orleans offense. While the Saints typically stop the run, they're vulnerable to big-play passing attacks like Buffalo's. Lay the points.
+1960 46-23 IN LAST 69 NFL PICKS
+529 32-24 IN LAST 56 NO ATS PICKS
TUE 11/23
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R. J. White
FEATURED PICK
LAS VEGAS @ DALLAS | 11/25 | 4:30 PM EST
UNDER 51.5
ANALYSIS: The Raiders gave up 32 points one week after the Chiefs rang up 41, but those games actually weren't as similar as they may appear. Last week, the Raiders were down just 16-13 before the Bengals scored with just over five minutes left, and then Cincy proceeded to tack on 10 quick points on short fields to make the final score even less reflective of how the game went. The Cowboys offense has struggled in two of its last three games, while the Raiders offense hasn't played well since the Week 8 bye. I expect Dallas to focus on running the ball with the receiving corps banged up, and if the Raiders offense isn't putting pressure on Dallas, this game is going to come Under.
+80 3-2-1 IN LAST 6 NFL PICKS
+390 5-1 IN LAST 6 LV O/U PICKS
YESTERDAY 4:34 PM
BUFFALO @ NEW ORLEANS | 11/25 | 8:20 PM EST
UNDER 45.5
ANALYSIS: The Saints are coming off three straight losses, though they've managed to score more than 20 points in each. But the scoreboard last week was a mirage; the Saints did absolutely nothing for most of three quarters, with one TD drive of six yards and a bunch of punts and turnovers. Down big, they managed to finally get it going against a soft defense, but that doesn't mean we can just pencil them in for 20 points here, especially with another brutal final injury report on the short week. The Bills offense has struggled mightily since the bye against non-Jets opponents, and I'm done counting on a magical fix. This feels like a game destined for a 24-17 type of final.
+80 3-2-1 IN LAST 6 NFL PICKS
+180 4-2 IN LAST 6 NO O/U PICKS
YESTERDAY 5:01 PM
CHICAGO @ DETROIT | 11/25 | 12:30 PM EST
CHICAGO -3.5
ANALYSIS: The Bears did a great job of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory last week, following up a big play on a broken coverage that gave them the lead by falling apart defensively against Ravens No. 2 QB Tyler Huntley. They'll likely face another backup this week, whether it's Tim Boyle or David Blough, and a Lions offense that's managed to scrape together 77 net yards of passing offense in back-to-back games. Even with several key Bears defenders hurt, that's not going to cut it. Andy Dalton is a capable enough quarterback to get this unit to 20 points by feeding David Montgomery and protecting the ball, and with the Lions QB situation I just don't know they can even do that on offense.
+645 55-44-2 IN LAST 101 NFL ATS PICKS
+1559 20-4-1 IN LAST 25 DET ATS PICKS
+857 36-25-1 IN LAST 62 CHI ATS PICKS
MON 11/22
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Matt Severance
BUFFALO @ NEW ORLEANS | 11/25 | 8:20 PM EST
BUFFALO -6
ANALYSIS: I really don't like giving this many points on the road in a short week, but the Saints will be without Alvin Kamara again .. and may not have Mark Ingram, either. If they had a good quarterback and some great receivers, that might not matter, but New Orleans doesn't. The Who Dats also are down their No. 1 tight end. Buffalo has tended to follow a lousy game this season with a blowout. The Under might be a wise play, too.
YESTERDAY 3:47 PM
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Micah Roberts
BUFFALO @ NEW ORLEANS | 11/25 | 8:20 PM EST
BUFFALO -6
ANALYSIS: The Bills' No. 1 defense got roasted last week in a 41-15 loss to the Colts, and it was in Buffalo. The Bills are now 6-4 and 5-4-1 ATS and have lost three of their last five. Sound the alarms. Is something is wrong? The Jaguars solved the Rubik's Cube that was the Buffalo attack three weeks ago, and the Colts dominated the Bills. But the Saints have lost three straight and have Trevor Siemian starting at quarterback, while their top two running backs are questionable. I like the Bills to get back to scoring a few TDs, and maybe the defense scoring as well, to get the cover.
+371 8-4 IN LAST 12 NO ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 6:45 PM
CHICAGO @ DETROIT | 11/25 | 12:30 PM EST
DETROIT +3
ANALYSIS: The Bears will be starting backup QB Andy Dalton, as starter Justin Fields is out with rib issues. DL Akeem Hicks is out, and star WR Allen Robinson is doubtful. Jared Goff is expected to return at QB for Detroit after he missed last week’s 13-10 loss at Cleveland. The Lions haven’t won a game, but they’re 6-4 ATS this season. The Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings with the Lions, including an Oct. 3 meeting the Bears won 24-14 at home. This bet is against Dalton. The Lions likely win, but I took the points.
+159 6-4 IN LAST 10 CHI ATS PICKS
+60 4-3 IN LAST 7 DET ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 6:17 PM
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Max Gorenstein
ILL.-CHICAGO @ HAWAII | 11/25 | 4:00 PM EST
HAWAII -1
ANALYSIS: The Rainbow Warriors have looked good offensively and they have a big rest advantage in this one. The Flames have been terrible offensively; they struggle to get good looks. Hawaii also should dominate the glass against Illinois-Chicago. Lay the small number and look for Hawaii to win easily.
+679 20-12 IN LAST 32 CBB PICKS
9:14 AM
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Matt Severance
LOUISVILLE @ MISS. STATE | 11/25 | 9:30 PM EST
MISS. STATE -1
ANALYSIS: CBS Sports Network has this game from the Bahamas. KenPom ranks unbeaten Mississippi State six spots ahead of Louisville nationally. The Bulldogs have trounced their first four opponents but this will be an obvious step up in competition. Louisville has a home loss to Furman on its resume and comes off a not-impressive close home win over Detroit. MSU leads the SEC in field goal percentage (52.0) and three-point field goal percentage (45.7) and has four impact transfers. Louisville is 1-7 ATS in its past eight as a dog. I believe this spread should be a few points higher.
PRESBYTERIAN @ NEW ORLEANS | 11/25 | 2:00 PM EST
NEW ORLEANS -2
ANALYSIS: This is a true home game for New Orleans as it hosts the UNO Classic. This spread seems off via various models as SportsLine's has the Privateers winning by seven and ESPN's BPI by 10. New Orleans has perhaps the best backcourt in the Southland Conference in seniors Derek St. Hilaire (21.6 ppg) and Tony Green (10.5 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 4.3 apg). The Privateers won easily on Wednesday, while Presbyterian had to play down to the wire vs. VMI. New Orleans is 10-1 ATS in its past 11 at home.
+785 21-12-1 IN LAST 34 CBB ATS PICKS
FRESNO ST. @ SAN JOSE ST. | 11/25 | 3:30 PM EST
FRESNO ST. -7
ANALYSIS: Now that this has dropped from 7.5 we will play it -- knowing a push is very possible. No chance, I don't think, it gets to -6.5 but I'd buy it down to that if you can. Fresno State would reach the Mountain West title game with a win and a San Diego State loss Friday to Boise State. San Jose State is playing for bowl eligibility but has regressed in a big way this year largely due to awful QB play. The Spartans rank 112th in points per game and 114th in yards per game. FSU averages 33.0 ppg behind excellent QB Jake Haener.
+943 40-27 IN LAST 67 CFB PICKS
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Emory Hunt
BUFFALO @ NEW ORLEANS | 11/25 | 8:20 PM EST
BUFFALO -6.5
ANALYSIS: Buffalo is in desperate need of a "get-right" game, after what we saw Sunday against the Colts. The Bills get exactly that in a Saints team coming off a bad loss to the Eagles, one in which they gave up more than 200 yards rushing on the ground. Without Alvin Kamara and a questionable Mark Ingram, this Saints offense will be all on the shoulders of QB Trevor Siemian. That's not a good look for New Orleans.
+220 13-10 IN LAST 23 NFL ATS PICKS
+700 17-9 IN LAST 26 NO ATS PICKS
10:57 AM
LAS VEGAS @ DALLAS | 11/25 | 4:30 PM EST
DALLAS -7.5
ANALYSIS: Both teams got handed bad losses last weekend. However, with a new game brings new optimism. We know the Cowboys' offense is much better than what we saw Sunday against Kansas City, even without Amari Cooper. We also know Las Vegas' defense isn't the best at minimizing big plays. Look for the Dallas offense to get back on the right track at home.
+220 13-10 IN LAST 23 NFL ATS PICKS
+920 30-19-1 IN LAST 50 DAL ATS PICKS
10:54 AM
CHICAGO @ DETROIT | 11/25 | 12:30 PM EST
CHICAGO -3
ANALYSIS: Even at this juncture of his career, Andy Dalton is a much better quarterback than Jared Goff. That's not what you want to hear if you're a Lions fan, as Goff will be tied to this offense for at least one more season. This game will be close because of the quick turnaround nature. But with Goff returning from an oblique injury, who knows how effective he'll be against an aggressive Bears defense.
+220 13-10 IN LAST 23 NFL ATS PICKS
+176 6-4 IN LAST 10 DET ATS PICKS
+90 2-1-1 IN LAST 4 CHI ATS PICKS
10:52 AM
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The Blackwell Call Thu Nov 25th, 2021 12:30pm EST
10 Top Side Play · [106] Detroit Lions
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Wise guy team
1,000 Dimes NFL Lions +3
2,000 Dimes NFL Raiders +7.5
2,000 Dimes CBB Iona +11.5
5,000 Dimes CFB Mississippi +2.5
5,000 Dimes NFL Bills -6.5
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August Young
4-Unit Play: Take #796 Miami Florida -6 -110 over Dayton (12:00p.m., Thursday, November 25)
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PickersMx
Mushu
100 Dimes NFL
Buffalo Bills -6
Pickers Extra Pick
100 Dimes NCAAB
Kansas Jayhawks -14
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Dr Bob
1* Dallas OVER 51.5
1* Buffalo team total OVER 26.6 or play the game OVER 45 as alternative
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Las Vegas Pipeline
75* Bears
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H&H Sports
NFL
Triple Dime - Bills -5 (giving out Monday)
Triple Dime - Cowboys -7 [-120]
Dime - Lions +3.5 [-120]
CFB
Triple Dime - Mississippi State/Mississippi Over 64
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Godfatherlocks november 25th
happy thanksgiving day!!!
massive 10 dime / 10k unit picks
#1 - chicago bears -2.5 (nfl)
#2 - las vegas raiders +7.5 (nfl)
#3 - new orleans saints +6.5 (nfl)
#4 - mississippi state bulldogs -1.5 (ncaaf)
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Steve Budin
CALI-CARTEL
50 Dime
Thanksgiving Day Appetizer
Chicago Bears
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GUS AUGUSTINE
4th-Ever
200 DIME
DOUBLE MAX WAGER
NFL Release of My Career
Interconference Game of the Year
The Pick: 200 Dime Dallas Cowboys
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Happy Thanksgiving to all you risk takers, and a special shout out to you Shaz. It's cold and windy here so it's a perfect day to watch other people on TV try and make me money. Lots of food to devour and my bed keeps texting me...gotta go.
Maddux
10 - Det +3(15)
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TOMMY BRUNSON
NFC North Total of the Month
The Pick: My 50 Dime play is the Chicago Bears-Detroit Lions Under the total
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JAY MCNEIL
Turkey Day Stone Cold Lock
The Pick: 75 DIME play on the Dallas Cowboys
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AL DEMARCO - GM
Top-Rated 15-Dime Release
Bears
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CHRIS JORDAN
Mountain West Game of the Month
The Pick: 500♦ Fresno State Bulldogs
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KIRBY MAXWELL
Thursday Night Game of the Year
RATING: 80 Dime
PLAY: Buffalo Bills
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TRACE ADAMS
Raise The Bar
1500♦
SEC Living Lock
The Pick: 1500♦ on the Miss State Bulldogs
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MITCHELL NEWMAN
SEC Game of the Month
Selection: 75 Dime winner on the Miss State Bulldogs
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SEAN MICHAELS
2nd Biggest Play of the Year Goes Again
Pick: 75 Dime - Miss State
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Las Vegas Cris
4% Buffalo Bills -4
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Bill Hilton - Gameday
1 - Dallas -7'
1 - Miss St -2
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Fezzik
Triple San Jose St +7’
Double Dallas/Vegas under 51
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Tom Stryker
CFB Play on Fresno St
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Power Sports
NFL Play Under Buffalo
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