Thursday 9/23/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games
MARC LAWRENCE
Game: (303) Marshall at (304) Appalachian State
Date/Time: Sep 23 2021 7:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: Marshall +7.5 (-115)
Edges - Thundering Herd: 3-0-1 ATS as a dog when coming off a SU loss as a double-digit favorite, and 6-1-1 ATS as a non-conference road dog, and 4-0 ATS away in weekday games …
Mountaineers: 3-7-1 ATS at home when coming off a home game, including 0-4-1 ATS versus .600 or greater opponents … With the Herd coming off a 42-38 loss to East Carolina as a double-digit favorite in a game in which they gained 647 yards, we recommend a 3% play on Marshall. Thank you and good luck as always.
Play on Marshall +7.5
Line Parameters +7 or more, 2% +5.5 or more.
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SportsLine Projection Model
CAROLINA PANTHERS AT HOUSTON TEXANS | 09/23 | 8:20 P.M. ET
Against the Spread
Pick: Carolina -7.5
The Panthers are covering the spread in 52 percent of simulations.
Over/Under
Pick: Over 44
The Over is cashing in 51 percent of simulations.
Money line
Pick: Houston +300
The Texans win in 30 percent of simulations, leaving value at those odds
Projected final score: Panthers 27, Texans 18
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Stitches--NY Post. Literally, on fire. Won again yesterday with the Cardinals. Season record now 91-79.
Thursday's play (20 units) is on the A's.
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TMTW SPORTS
MLB 186-143 +$70,000
NFL 13-3 (81%) +$30,930
NCAA 18-7 (72%) +$32,620
3k St Louis +105
3k Baltimore Over 9 +100
4k Marshall Over 59.5 -110
5k FH Houston Over 21.5 -105
5k Houston Over 43 -110
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XS Sports Picks Thursday
NFL YTD 5-4 (56%) +$7,270
5k Carolina FH -4.5 -115
5k Carolina -9 +100
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XS Sports Picks Thursday
NCAA YTD 23-16 (59%) +$25,370
3k Marshall Over 59 -110
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XS Sports Picks Thursday
MLB This Week 8-4 (67%) +$7,950
5k St Louis +103
5k Seattle +140
5k Atlanta -1.5 -123
5k Houston -1.5 -105
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Elite Sports Picks
Milwaukee (Houser) -120 over St. Louis (Wainwright)
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Insider Sports Report
4* L.A. Dodgers (Scherzer) -1.5 runs -150 over Colorado (Freeland)
Range: -135 to -175
3* Appalachian St. -7 over Marshall (NCAAF)
Range: -5 to -9
3* Carolina/Houston UNDER 43.5 (NFL)
Range: 45.5 to 41.5
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National Sports Service
4* Oakland (Bassitt) -145 over Seattle (Kikuchi)
3* Marshall/Appalachian St. OVER 59.5 (NCAAF)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 09/23/21
4 Unit --> St. Louis (Wainwright)/Milwaukee (Houser) UNDER 8
3 Unit --> L.A. Dodgers (Scherzer)/Colorado (Freeland) UNDER 10.5
3 Unit --> Marshall +7 over Appalachian St. (NCAAF)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 09/23/21
4★ Toronto (Matz)/Minnesota (Pineda) UNDER 9.5
3★ Carolina/Houston OVER 43.5 (NFL)
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GUS AUGUSTINE
20 Dime
Primetime
Teaser Winner # 3 in a Row
Thursday Night Teaser of the Month
The Pick: 20 Dime 7-point teaser Carolina Panthers and Under
The Line: At 10 am eastern the lines are Carolina -8 and 43 points.
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CHUCK O'BRIEN
Biggest MLB Play of my Career Goes Again
Top-Rated
100 DIME
MLB Winner # 53 of 87
4-Run Mismatch of the Month
100 Dime Play:Braves Run Line
Line as of 7:30 AM Eastern: Braves -110 at -1 1/2 Runs
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KIRBY MAXWELL
40 DIME
College Football
Total of the Month # 2 in a Row
RATING: 40 Dime
PLAY: Over Marshall-Appalachian State
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JAY MCNEIL
60 DIME
Non-Conference Dead Mortal Lock
The Pick: 60 DIME play on the Marshall Thundering Herd.
The Line: At 7:15 am eastern time, Marshall is +7 points.
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Larry Hartstein
CAROLINA @ HOUSTON | 09/23 | 8:20 PM EDT
CAROLINA -7.5
Micah Roberts
MARSHALL @ APP. ST. | 09/23 | 7:30 PM EDT
MARSHALL +7
R.J. White
CAROLINA @ HOUSTON | 09/23 | 8:20 PM EDT
CAROLINA -7.5
Justin Perri
KANSAS CITY @ CLEVELAND | 09/21 | 6:10 PM EDT
OVER 9
Matt Severance
CAROLINA @ HOUSTON | 09/23 | 8:20 PM EDT
UNDER 44
Micah Roberts
CAROLINA @ HOUSTON | 09/23 | 8:20 PM EDT
CAROLINA -8
Matt Severance
CHI. WHITE SOX @ CLEVELAND | 09/23 | 1:10 PM EDT
CLEVELAND +1.5
John Bollman
SAN FRANCISCO @ SAN DIEGO | 09/23 | 4:10 PM EDT
SAN FRANCISCO -111
ST. LOUIS @ MILWAUKEE | 09/23 | 2:10 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS +105
CHI. WHITE SOX @ CLEVELAND | 09/23 | 1:10 PM EDT
CLEVELAND +130
August Young
*5 San Diego Padres -105
*4 Minnesota Twins +125
*4 Los Angeles Angels +147
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Jack Winningham
San Francisco Giants -108 over the San Diego Padres, 4:10 PM EST
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Greg Shaker
NFL Total Destroyer
Panthers-Texans Under 43.5
PLAY: UNDER Panthers/Texans
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY
The Panthers defense is the best in the NFL after 2 weeks of the season. That includes all categories, total yards, total points, passing, running. They have put extreme pressure on the QB this season with 8 sacks and lots of hurries. They face the Texans who will be without the Tyrod Taylor and that is big news. It is the reason why this side line has gone from the open of 4.5 all the way to 8 as of this writing. Davis Mills gets the nod and he did not look too good last week in the 2nd half against a somewhat marginal Browns D. I don't think he is going to have much success even though he will have more time to prepare albeit it is a short week. If the Texans can run the ball he might have success but Carolina has been solid stopping the rush and you can best bet because of that Mills will be in long yard 3rd down plays all game against the Best Passing D in the league. It's not likely to be pretty. The fact is my only concern is that the visitors will cause some turnovers that could lead to quick Panther Scores. The Texans are not bad on defense and Carolina is just OK on offense ranked 18th in the league for points scored. Panther games have played UNDER the last 5 games dating back to last season. It's a pretty easy choice and our NFL Models agree. That makes this a strong 2*UNDER.
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Pure Lock
10* Toronto Blue Jays -138
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JACK BRAYMAN
Thursday Night Total of the Month
The Pick: 40 Dime UNDER Panthers-Texans
The Line: As of 11:30 pm eastern Wednesday, the line is 43 points
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H&H Sports
MLB
Triple Dime - Dodgers -1.5 runs [-160]
Triple Dime - Athletics -145
Double Dime - Braves -1.5 runs [-120]
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MITCHELL NEWMAN
75 DIME
Interconference Lock
Selection: 75 Dime winner on the Carolina Panthers
Price: At 7:00 am eastern time, the Panthers are -8 points.
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TRACE ADAMS
Top-Rated
1000♦
Week 3 Bankroll Builder
The Pick: 1000♦ on the Carolina Panthers.
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AL DEMARCO - GM
Top-Rated 15-Dime Release
Panthers
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CHRIS JORDAN
500♦
Thursday Night
Game of the Month
Carolina Panthers
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World Worst Picker
App St. -
We take:
Marshall +
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Sean Murphy
10* Under Marshall/App
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