Thursday 9/8/22 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NFL & NCAAF games
Hitman
NFL
1* Allen Robinson (LAR) o55.5 rec yds -115
2* 6pt Teaser: Rams +8.5 w/ Vikings +7.5 (-120)
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GIANNI THE GREEK
4*Over 52.5 Bills/Rams
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Allan Bell
NFL | BUFFALO @ L.A. RAMS | 09/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
BUFFALO -2.5
ANALYSIS: Let's get all the prerequisites out of the way. Yes, Super Bowl winners are 19-3 SU in Week 1 games since 2000. Yes, the Rams are 5-0 SU and ATS in Week 1 games under Sean McVay. All of those stats are nice but quite frankly they're just stats. The Rams as an organization went all in to win the Super Bowl in terms of trades, lost draft picks etc. and they did it, hats off to them it was incredible to watch. All that said, that's why I'm fading them here. This game is a celebration, an exhale of accomplishment...with a QB coming back from surgery. Meanwhile this is Buffalo's year to make the run and they're coming in chewing gravel looking to make a statement. Josh Allen's last time out against Los Angeles he threw for 5 TD's and 300+ yards and left with a win. He'll do it again.
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R.J. White
NFL | BUFFALO @ L.A. RAMS | 09/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
L.A. RAMS +2.5
ANALYSIS: I have the Bills rated as the No. 1 team in the NFL heading into the season, a full point better than the next closest team. But once you factor in two points for home-field advantage, I can't see a scenario where they're 4.5 points better than the defending champion Rams. This line ballooned up to 2.5 after reports surfaced that Matthew Stafford was managing an elbow injury, but there's nothing indicating he's in danger of missing this game. Even if it clouds the Rams' 2022 outlook, it shouldn't have impacted this line. I don't think there's any way we're getting 3, and it's possible it moves the other way once people realize Stafford is good to go, so get in now.
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Mike Tierney
NFL | BUFFALO @ L.A. RAMS | 09/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
L.A. RAMS +2.5
ANALYSIS: You read it right. The Super Bowl champs launch their schedule as a home underdog. The Bills bandwagon is overflowing, with the public establishing them as this season’s favorites. However, the Rams have won every opener with Sean McVay as coach, and the past four defending champions have taken their openers straight-up — all against formidable foes. No coach puts less emphasis on exhibition results than McVay, who never uses his regulars, so their preseason scores are misleading. The Rams remain stout, and any health issues with quarterback Matthew Stafford’s passing arm should not surface until later. The 2.5 points is the worst number for an NFL dog, so hold off until game day in case it rises to 3.
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Emory Hunt
NFL | BUFFALO @ L.A. RAMS | 09/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
BUFFALO -2.5
ANALYSIS: What a great matchup to begin the season, in what could potentially be a Super Bowl preview. Even though the Bills will be with starting CB Tre'Davious White, I still have faith in rookies Kaiir Elam and Christian Benford. I worry about the Rams ability to generate pressure outside of Aaron Donald, and their ability to consistently protect Matthew Stafford. Because it's Week 1, I like the team who 'looked the part' in the preseason, and that's the Buffalo Bills.
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Sean Higgs
4* Bills -135
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ROOT:
Chairman’s: LA Rams +2
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ROCKETMAN
8*TOP PLAY* NFL: Take #451 Bills (-2 -110) v Rams (8:20 PM EST)
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Jimmy Adams
4%
(913) Chicago White Sox at (914) Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-103) D Cease (RHP) Must Start
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Marc Lawrence
NFL Thursday Night Prime Time Play!
L.A. Rams
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THE MONEY TEAM SPORTS ⚾️
September POD's 5-1 (83%)
Last 119 Picks 72-47 (61%)
Yesterday 1-2 -1,060
MLB YTD 192-152 +114,010 (56%)
Last 89 Selections 64-25 +61,690 (72%)
10k POD - St Louis -1.5 -130
1k Milwaukee -1.5 +109
1k Chicago Cubs Over 8
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Ralph Michaels
Selection: Buffalo Bills ML (-135)
Rating: 4%
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Essler NFL
2* Buff/Rams Under
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Delphi Sports
MLB
3* #912 NY Yankees -138
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Kelso
15 Bills
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Tomas Sports
Rams ml
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Root
Reserve Philadelphia Phillies
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Northcoast
Top Opinions:
Thursday NFL Marquee - LA Rams (+2.5) Buffalo 8:20pm
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ATS Covers
MLB 6:50 pm Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies -129 for 1 units
NFL 8:25 pm Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams +2.5 for 1 units
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newworldinsiders
WEST COAST INSIDER: Giants OV 7
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Marco D'Angelo
2%
(913) Chicago White Sox at (914) Oakland Athletics
1H Chicago White Sox -0.5 (-125) D Cease (RHP), J Sears (LHP) Must Start
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Tom Stryker
10-2 ATS NFL Elite Info Power Play
Buffalo Bills
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ATS Covers
MLB 6:50 pm Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies -129 for 1 units
NFL 8:25 pm Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams +2.5 for 1 units
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newworldinsiders
WEST COAST INSIDER: Giants OV 7
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Marco D'Angelo
2%
(913) Chicago White Sox at (914) Oakland Athletics
1H Chicago White Sox -0.5 (-125) D Cease (RHP), J Sears (LHP) Must Start
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Tom Stryker
10-2 ATS NFL Elite Info Power Play
Buffalo Bills
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Zack Cimini
NFL | BUFFALO @ L.A. RAMS | 09/08 | 8:20 PM EDT
BUFFALO -135
ANALYSIS: We have a terrific matchup to open up the NFL season as the defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams host the Buffalo Bills. I expect the Bills to be the aggressive team and showcase that they are rightfully the team to beat this season. The variable of a small spread can always be tricky considering likely lapses due to early-season rust. Take the money line in case the Bills win by a point or two.
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Matt Severance
MLB | MIAMI @ PHILADELPHIA | 09/08 | 6:45 PM EDT
UNDER 7
ANALYSIS: I'm personally going to bump this up to 7.5 (Under would be -140) because that way if NL Cy Young favorite Sandy Alcantara holds the Phillies to four runs, I'm going to win because it's federal law that the Marlins are prohibited from scoring more than three. They ended a nine-game streak of scoring two or fewer with a ninth-inning solo homer last night but still lost 4-3. It's Kyle Gibson for the Phils, and he has a 2.92 ERA this year against Miami. It appears that winds are blowing slightly in tonight. For some reason, the Phillies are resting shortstop Edmundo Sosa even though he's 5-for-5 with two doubles, two homers and four RBIs in the first two games vs. Miami. It doesn't matter who is starting for the Marlins. We're 2-0 in this series so let's finish the sweep as this might be my only play on a weird/light schedule.