Tuesday 1/4/22 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB & NBA games
H&H Sports
CFB
3.5* - Kansas State -6 (Gave it out 2 weeks ago when they were Underdogs)
LSU in bad shape
Coaching staff
LSU defense injuries and opt-outs
Offense all 4 scholarship Quarterbacks are not on bowl roster
walk-On QB will be starting and Top running back Tyrion Davis-Price not playing
Kansas State in good shape for bowl game...
So if you like Kansas State grab it now as number is moving...
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Matt Severance
LSU @ KANSAS ST. | 01/04 | 9:00 PM EST
KANSAS ST. -2.5
ANALYSIS: Texas Bowl -- The massive talent drain at LSU continued today as All-American linebacker Damone Clark opted out -- no school in the country has lost more talent to injury/draft/out-outs since September than the Tigers. I'm not even sure who their QB will be with Max Johnson transferring out. Backup Myles Brennan withdrew his name from the NCAA transfer portal but isn't expected to play. Freshman Garrett Nussmeier is the team’s lone scholarship QB but LSU likely doesn't want to burn his redshirt. K-State quarterback Skylar Thompson missed the regular-season finale but is expected to play in this game. This will get over 2.5 for sure.
+1018 58-42-2 IN LAST 102 CFB PICKS
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Zack Cimini
LSU @ KANSAS ST. | 01/04 | 9:00 PM EST
KANSAS ST. -4.5
ANALYSIS: TEXAS BOWL -- This is the last bowl game before the BCS Championship. Expect the trend of the non-BCS SEC bowl teams to continue to struggle. Auburn, Florida, Tennessee and Mississippi State all lost outright, while Kentucky needed a touchdown on its final drive to secure a win. Kansas State may lack the flashy plays, but it can churn away with a simplistic game plan for four quarters. Take the Wildcats.
+290 4-1 IN LAST 5 CFB PICKS
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Jeff Hochman
CALGARY @ FLORIDA | 01/04 | 7:00 PM EST
CALGARY 120
ANALYSIS: The Flames are ranked No. 4 in shot differential and No. 4 in shots against. The Panthers have won three straight games, despite getting outshot in two of the three. Calgary is ranked No. 12 in face-off win percentage, while Florida is ranked No. 29. Goalie Jacob Markstrom and blue-liner Erik Gudbranson have led the Flames to the second best GAA in all of hockey (2.23). Both played in Florida and should have some good insight. The Panthers will be without two of their best offensive players due to COVID-19 restrictions. I expect the Flames to improve to 8-2 in the past 10 meetings.
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Max Gorenstein
KENTUCKY @ LSU | 01/04 | 7:00 PM EST
UNDER 139.5
ANALYSIS: These teams are elite defensively. The Wildcats are allowing just 60.5 PPG and holding opponents to 37.9 percent from the field and 27.1 percent from deep. The Tigers have the best defense in the nation. They are allowing 55.3 PPG and holding opponents to just 34.5 percent from the field and 26.2 percent from behind the arc. This has allowed the Under to cash in 10 of the Tigers last 11 games. The Under has also cashed in seven of the Wildcats last 11 games. I am expecting the defenses to rule this game and keep the scoring to a minimum.
VANDERBILT @ ARKANSAS | 01/04 | 8:30 PM EST
VANDERBILT +7
ANALYSIS: Fading the Razorbacks in this spot. Their best player, JD Notae, should be returning after missing last game with an illness. He will not be 100% ready to go for this game it should hurt the Razorbacks. The Commodores have been playing well recently. They are 6-3 SU and ATS in their last nine games including two wins at the Diamond Head Classic in Hawaii. This spread is just too high. Take the points with the Commodores.
+710 17-9 IN LAST 26 CBB O/U PICKS
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Justin Perri
ILLINOIS @ MINNESOTA | 01/04 | 7:00 PM EST
MINNESOTA +7
ANALYSIS: Minnesota should not be getting seven points here. My model has it at four and even KenPom has five, its pretty rare to see his projections off the line by multiple points. Almost every model I trust has an edge on this play. Minnesota is 10-1 SU this season and should keep this competitive. Grab the points as I wouldn't be surprised to see this close at a lower number.
The Prez
(33) Colorado Avalanche at (34) Chicago Blackhawks
4% Total Over 6.0 (+105)
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Vegas Sports Informer
3* KN St -3.5 another clown with a 3.5 point line differnce
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Potato Kmish
LSU -1
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LockCity
Providence ml
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Big Al
1* LSU/Kansas State 'over' 47.5
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Ben Burns
GOM Kansas St-3.5 another clown line is KS -7.5
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Drew Martin
5% Play
Auburn at South Carolina
Jan 4 2022 6:30 PM EST
Play: Total Over 145.5 (-110)
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Pure Lock
10* Bowl GOY
LSU +1 (sent this out weeks ago)
10* Illinois -7
10* Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5
10* Phoenix Suns -7
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Adam Trigger
Marquette +2 (5%)
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Carmine Bianco
NHL
Flames at Panthers, over 1.5 1P -132, 3%
Avalanche ML -236 & Lightning ML -232 Parlay, +103, 3%
Avalanche at Blackhawks, over 1.5 1P -133, 3%
Avalanche at Blackhawks, over 6 -111, 3%
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Dave Essler
3* GOM
Pacers Under 208.5
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Power Sports
8* Michigan -4
8* Air Force +20.5
10* Marquette +2.5
10* Kansas State -7
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Northcoast
3* Kansas St -7
Regular Opinion:
Marquee Double: Under 47.5 LSU/Kansas St
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JM Sports
5 UNIT CBB TOP PLAY
North Alabama +6.5 (306091)
Matt Severance
TAMPA BAY @ COLUMBUS | 01/04 | 7:00 PM EST
COLUMBUS +1.5
ANALYSIS: Blue Jackets co-leading scorer Oliver Bjorkstrand will play for the first time since Dec. 16. If Columbus had No. 1 netminder Elvis Merzlikins in net, I'd probably take the Jackets for the outright upset. Don't trust backup Joonas Korpisalo that much, but I do like this price of -130 at +1.5 on the puckline as the Bolts have lost three in a row.
+743 10-2 IN LAST 12 NHL PICKS
+195 5-2 IN LAST 7 TB ATS PICKS
11:07 AM
ARMY @ BUCKNELL | 01/04 | 7:00 PM EST
BUCKNELL -1
ANALYSIS: This line is starting to creep up at some books so let's grab it now -- otherwise I'd wait until about 30 minutes before tipoff for any COVID updates. Maybe oddsmakers know something. Bucknell has won seven straight at home vs. Army. The Bison last time out nearly knocked off preseason Patriot League favorite Boston University as leading scorer Andrew Funk had a good look at a three-pointer fall just short in the final seconds. That was on the road, where Bucknell has yet to win. It has won three in a row at home. The Bison are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as favorites.
+1273 59-42-4 IN LAST 105 CBB ATS PICKS
11:03 AM
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Mike Tierney
LSU @ KANSAS ST. | 01/04 | 9:00 PM EST
KANSAS ST. -7
ANALYSIS: LSU is down to two freshman QB walk-ons after losing an appeal to play Garrett Nussmeier, the usual backup, because of the redshirt rule. The Tigers also are minus RB Ty Davis-Price. K-State dropped its last two games outright but yielded only 42 points combined, so the Tigers will be hard-pressed to score. LSU scored in the 20s the past two games but averaged under 15 ppg in the previous three. Two defensive starters have opted out, whereas the Wildcats lose nobody.
+739 57-45-2 IN LAST 104 CFB PICKS
+267 6-3 IN LAST 9 LSU ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 3:13 PM
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Ameer Tyree
SAN ANTONIO @ TORONTO | 01/04 | 7:00 PM EST
TORONTO -6
ANALYSIS: Dejounte Murray has been ruled out for San Antonio's Tuesday matchup against Toronto. The Spurs are 1-3 straight up without their starting point guard and have dropped three straight without him in the lineup. The Raptors are completely healthy and have covered in five straight home games. They won three of those contests by double-digits.
+715 12-5 IN LAST 17 NBA PICKS
10:06 AM
MEMPHIS @ CLEVELAND | 01/04 | 7:00 PM EST
MEMPHIS +3
ANALYSIS: Memphis is fresh off beating Brooklyn outright but is a three-point underdog against a Cleveland side that's lost three of its last four games. While Darius Garland cleared health and safety protocols on Monday, he could need to shake off some rust after a four-game layoff if he returns to the hardwood. Guarding Ja Morant Isaac Okoro in health and safety protocols will be tough. The star guard has tallied 31.6 points per contest over his last five contests. The Grizzlies have won five straight and covered in nine of their last 10 games.
+715 12-5 IN LAST 17 NBA PICKS
9:54 AM
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John Bollman
SAN JOSE @ DETROIT | 01/04 | 7:30 PM EST
DETROIT -110
ANALYSIS: Red Wings have seriously struggled out of the break losing their first two games, but I think this is a good get right spot for them. They are 11-5-2 at home this season and the Sharks have allowed 7 and 8 goals in two of their last 3 games. Sharks are just 8-8-0 on the road this season and Nick Leddy is expected to be back for the Red Wings. James Reimer was in goal for both those 7 and 8 goals against games and he should be starting again tonight. Take the Red Wings to break out of their mini slump at home.
+65 2-1 IN LAST 3 NHL PICKS
+685 15-7 IN LAST 22 DET ML PICKS
+280 9-5 IN LAST 14 SJ ML PICKS
10:30 AM
CALGARY @ FLORIDA | 01/04 | 7:00 PM EST
FLORIDA -135
ANALYSIS: Panthers are still 17-3-0 at home this season and they have won 3 in a row out of the break while they face the Flames who are on a 2-game win streak out of the break themselves. However, the Flames played two struggling teams in their two games while the Panthers beat a couple good teams in the Rangers and Lightning. Both these teams are relatively healthy after bouts with COVID, and the Panthers only three home losses have weirdly all come against bad teams. Take the Panthers at home.
+65 2-1 IN LAST 3 NHL PICKS
+890 23-11 IN LAST 34 FLA ML PICKS
10:29 AM
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Matt Howe
SETON HALL @ BUTLER | 01/04 | 8:00 PM EST
SETON HALL -3.5
ANALYSIS: I like Seton Hall to win and cover in a bounce-back performance after dropping back-to-back hard-fought contests against Providence and Villanova. The Pirates' defense ranks 29th in the country while Butler's offensive efficiency checks in at No. 161, according to KenPom. Seton Hall also protects the ball very well (15.8 percent turnover rate - 20th-best in the country) while the Bulldogs do not. Butler turns over the ball at a 21.8 percent clip, ranking 304th nationally. I like Seton Hall to get back in the win column and cover on the road.
+409 14-9 IN LAST 23 CBB PICKS
1:02 PM
ILLINOIS @ MINNESOTA | 01/04 | 7:00 PM EST
MINNESOTA +7
ANALYSIS: I'll take the points with a 10-1 Minnesota team at home that has played tough all season. The Illini have not traveled since Dec. 6 and have major turnover issues, with a turnover rate of 21.8 percent, ranking them No. 299 in the country in that category. On the contrary, Minnesota protects the ball extremely well, with a turnover rate of just 14.4 percent, 14th best in the country. The Golden Gophers also play tough defense, which is why I expect this game to be close. While Illinois is No. 11 in the nation in 3-point percentage (39.7), Minnesota allows opponents to shoot just 24.8 percent on threes, which ranks second in the country.
+409 14-9 IN LAST 23 CBB PICKS
1:00 PM
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Micah Roberts
AUBURN @ SOUTH CAROLINA | 01/04 | 6:30 PM EST
SOUTH CAROLINA +9.5
ANALYSIS: I love what coach Bruce Pearl has done at Auburn after losing much of his production from last year's team. He just regrouped, hit the transfer portal, and picked up a top-five recruit in scoring leader Jabari Smith. Its top four scorers are all new. They just beat LSU in a statement game, but that was at home, where they are 7-0. South Carolina is also 7-0 (6-1 ATS) at home and its top three scorers so far all returned from last season. South Carolina is the play Tuesday.
ARMY @ BUCKNELL | 01/04 | 7:00 PM EST
BUCKNELL -135
ANALYSIS: Bucknell is a proud program that has struggled the last two years and started out 3-10 this season. But all three of its wins came at home (3-1), and when the Bison were favored, they won and covered five of the last six times. Army has been tough overall so far (7-6) but has won just one of its six road contests. Bucknell’s leading scorer, Andrew Funk (17.8 points), will lead the team to victory.
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Thank you so much Mr. Shazman
Ko Locks
Kentucky +2
Virginia +3
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Dr Bob
Strong Opinion Kansas St - 7
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Jimmy Moore
4* Rutgers Scarlet Knights +4 (#614)
Take the home underdog Knights here since they will be more than ready to get a big conference win here and they get to take on a Michigan team that has been struggling this season. Rutgers can hang with Michigan on the offensive side of the court and have to believe the home crowd will be riled up for a shot at a big-name team so they will be loud and disruptive. Take Rutgers here. Thank you and good luck.
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Al McMordie
NCAA BOWL TOTAL OF THE WEEK - LSU Over 47.5
NBA ELITE INFO WINNER! - San Antonio +6.5
29-10 NHL SLAPSHOT CLUB - Tampa Bay -213
22-2 ATS NCAA HOOPS RIVALRY ROUT! - LSU -135
NCAA HOOPS HIGH ROLLER - Lipscomb -235
92% NCAA HOOPS PAYBACK PAYDAY! - Virginia +4
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Andrew McInnis 4% [NHL] Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks
Total Over 6.0 (-111)
**This is a play for Carmine Bianco and The Prez as well**
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Goodfella
Marquette moneyline
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Greg Peterson
Auburn vs South Carolina Over 145
Minnesota +7 vs Illinois
Oklahoma vs Baylor Under 137.5
Wake Forest -1 vs Florida State
Marquette Moneyline vs Providence
Updated Record 141-116-4
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Brian Bitler
10* NBA Tuesday Executive Order
San Antonio Spurs +7
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Bryan Leonard
3% - Clemson -3
3% - Butler +3.5
3% - LSU -2
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H&H Sports
CBB
3* Providence +2
3* Illinois -6 [-120]
2* Kentucky +2.5
NBA
3* Phoenix Suns -7
2* Knicks/Pacers Under 207.5
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Pickswise Sports
NBA 3* Best Bet - Toronto Raptors -6.5
2* Grizzlies +3
CBB 3* Best Bet - Seton Hall -3
2* Auburn/South Carolina Over 145
2* Florida State/Wake Forest Over 145
2* LSU -128 (Moneyline)
2* Baylor -12
2* Vanderbilt +8
2* Providence +2
CFB 2* Plays
Kansas State
Under
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Strike Point Sports (SPS)
College Basketball
3u LSU -3.5
7u Clemson -4
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Green Bay Monster Sports
50 dime release under 47 LSU / Kansas St
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Paul Leiner 2500*
Oklahoma/Baylor OVER 137.5
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Scott Rickenbach
10* Ohio +1.5
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Pinnacle Sports Picks
LSU +7
Arkansas -7.5
Texas A&M -6
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Jack Winningham
Michigan -3.5
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Micah Roberts
PROVIDENCE @ MARQUETTE | 01/04 | 9:00 PM EST
MARQUETTE -1.5
ANALYSIS: This is the perfect moment for Marquette to save its season. The Golden Eagles have lost four straight contests, all to better programs, and their last on Jan. 1 was a double-overtime thriller against Creighton. Providence has won eight in a row (7-1 ATS) with a sticky defense that's allowing only 38 percent shooting by its opponents. Marquette's rating is still almost as good as the Friars' despite the fact the team is going in an opposite direction. I’m on Marquette to cover.
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Matt Severance
PHILADELPHIA @ ANAHEIM | 01/04 | 10:00 PM EST
ANAHEIM -136
ANALYSIS: Philadelphia is still quite thin due to injury/protocols and top defenseman Ivan Provorov (13 points) landed in them on Tuesday. Anaheim netminder John Gibson is 6-3-0 with a 2.31 GAA at home. The Ducks have been one of the NHL's best special teams this season, coming in with a 26.9 percent success rate on the power play (ranked 4th in the NHL). The Flyers come in at 16.1 percent (ranked 26th) on the power play, 81.4 percent on the PK (ranked 13th).
+743 10-2 IN LAST 12 NHL PICKS
+440 19-11 IN LAST 30 PHI ML PICKS
4:15 PM
VIRGINIA @ CLEMSON | 01/04 | 9:00 PM EST
CLEMSON -150
ANALYSIS: Clemson ended Virginia's 11-game winning streak in the series with its 67-50 win at Virginia on Dec. 22. The Tigers held a 17-0 advantage in bench points and scored 24 points off 14 UVA turnovers. It was the Wahoos' worst home loss since Feb. 26, 2011. While I expect this game to be much closer, Virginia is just 1-2 in true road games while Clemson is unbeaten at home. It hasn't played since that UVA game as a matchup last week vs. Duke was postponed due to COVID issues within the Blue Devils. UVA is 2-5 ATS in its past seven. Clemson is 6-0 ATS in its past six as a home favorite. But I'm taking the moneyline.
+1268 51-34-3 IN LAST 88 CBB PICKS
3:51 PM
NASHVILLE @ VEGAS | 01/04 | 10:00 PM EST
NASHVILLE -105
ANALYSIS: Can't say I'd recommend betting against Vegas at home too often, but the Knights remain without two of their best offensive players and apparently are giving Logan Thompson his first NHL start in net. He was the AHL’s goaltender of the year last season with a .943 save percentage in 23 games with Henderson, but the AHL and NHL are quite different animals. He came in for a brief relief appearance last season with the Knights and made two saves. Nashville is very healthy and 5-2 in its past seven on the road.
+743 10-2 IN LAST 12 NHL PICKS
+682 18-9 IN LAST 27 NSH ML PICKS
+191 3-1 IN LAST 4 LV ML PICKS
2:32 PM
COLORADO @ CHICAGO | 01/04 | 8:30 PM EST
CHICAGO +1.5
ANALYSIS: Colorado is certainly better than Chicago, but the Avalanche are basically a .500 team on the road and Darcy Kuemper has been a bit worse away with a 3.15 GAA. The Hawks are usually very competitive when Marc-Andre Fleury is in net, and he's back from protocols tonight. Chicago has won four of his past six starts and we only need a one-goal loss here with a nice puckline price of -125 at home.
+743 10-2 IN LAST 12 NHL PICKS
+307 6-3 IN LAST 9 COL ATS PICKS
2:08 PM
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Matt Severance
ILLINOIS @ MINNESOTA | 01/04 | 7:00 PM EST
MINNESOTA +7.5
ANALYSIS: Sadly, I concur with Justin on this one as this spread is too high. The Illini also remain without one of their best guards in Andre Curbelo (9.3 ppg, 5.5 apg, 4.3 rpg) due to a neck injury. Minnesota ranks No. 1 in the Big Ten in three-point field goal defense (24.8 percent). This game was originally scheduled for Sunday but was rescheduled due to COVID-19 health and safety protocols within the Illinois program.
+1273 59-42-4 IN LAST 105 CBB ATS PICKS
+390 5-1 IN LAST 6 MINN ATS PICKS
6:12 PM
MEMPHIS @ CLEVELAND | 01/04 | 7:00 PM EST
CLEVELAND -140
ANALYSIS: The Grizzlies are very good but it's the second of a back-to-back and possibly a letdown game after a big win over the Nets in Brooklyn on Monday. Memphis remains without Dillon Brooks, De'Anthony Melton and Kyle Anderson among a few others. Cleveland gets back top guard Darius Garland from protocols for a nice matchup vs. Ja Morant.
+457 21-12 IN LAST 33 NBA ML PICKS
+275 4-1 IN LAST 5 CLE ML PICKS
5:24 PM
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Smart Money Sports
2 Units Kansas State -7
3 Units Ohio U +2
2 Units Illinois -7
3 Units LSU -2
2 Units Seton Hall -3-
2 Units Marquette -1-
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