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(@shazman)
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Tuesday 10/20/20 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & World Series

 
Posted : October 20, 2020 12:40 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 60782
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Matt Blunt

MLB - World Series - Series Best Bets
Los Angeles Dodgers to Win 4-0 (+775)
Los Angeles Dodgers to Win 4-2 (+350)

MLB - World Series MVP Best Bets
Dodgers - Mookie Betts +800
Dodgers - A.J. Pollock +2500
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Elite Sports Picks

L.A. Dodgers (Kershaw) -1.5 runs +125 over Tampa Bay (Glasnow)
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Insider Sports Report

4* L.A. Dodgers (Kershaw) -175 over Tampa Bay (Glasnow)
Range: -155 to -195
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National Sports Service

4* Tampa Bay (Glasnow)/L.A. Dodgers (Kershaw) UNDER 8
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MEMBER PICKS
Primetime Sports Picks For 10/20/20

4 Unit --> L.A. Dodgers (Kershaw) -175 over Tampa Bay (Glasnow)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 10/20/20

4★ Tampa Bay (Glasnow) +1.5 runs -145 over L.A. Dodgers (Kershaw)
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SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS
7:54 AM

OVER 7.5
TAMPA BAY @ L.A. DODGERS | 10/20 | 8:11 PM EDT
The Rays are 8-0 OU as rested road underdogs of more than 110 in a series opener when facing a team that has won its last three games. The average final score has been 6.25 to 5.88. In addition, the Rays are 6-0 OU as underdogs after a win as home favorites in which never trailed, going Over by an average of 4.58 runs. As for the Dodgers, we see that they are 8-0 OU recently coming off a home game in which they used five-plus pitchers and did not shut out their opponent, scoring an average of 7.75 runs and allowing an average of 5.38 runs. LA is not confident that Clayton Kershaw will be able to hold the Rays to fewer than three runs and will not be playing small-ball on offense. We are on the Over.

117-65-1 IN LAST 183 MLB PICKS | +1289
5-0 IN LAST 5 LAD O/U PICKS | +500

SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS
7:51 AM

L.A. DODGERS -172
TAMPA BAY @ L.A. DODGERS | 10/20 | 8:11 PM EDT
The Rays are 0-12 as rested road underdogs of more than 130 in a series opener when coming off a game in which they had six or fewer hits, losing every game by multiple runs. The Dodgers are 11-0 favorites of more than 130 coming off a game as home favorites in which their starter got fewer than eight outs, winning by an average of 4.91 runs.

117-65-1 IN LAST 183 MLB PICKS | +1289
3-1 IN LAST 4 LAD ML PICKS | +84

2-1 IN LAST 3 TB ML PICKS | +60

Matt Severance
SEVERANCE PAYS
YESTERDAY 8:32 PM

L.A. DODGERS -172
TAMPA BAY @ L.A. DODGERS | 10/20 | 8:11 PM EDT
Rays starting pitcher Tyler Glasnow has been plagued by the home-run ball this season -- in his past four starts, not including one as an "opener," he has allowed two homers in each. The Dodgers led the majors in homers during the regular season. Yes, Clayton Kershaw has been rather iffy in his postseason career, but the L.A. offense is just so much better than Tampa Bay's. The Dodgers crush right-handed pitching too.

2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB PICKS | +80
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Platinum Sports

Dodgers under
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Tom Wilkerson

MLB - Game #1
Best Bet - Los Angeles Dodgers -167
Regular Play - Dodgers/Rays Under 7.5

MLB Series Wager
Los Angeles Dodgers -200
Los Angeles Dodgers to Win Series 4-1 (+350)
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Marco D'Angelo

3% (951) TAMPA BAY +155
Listed Pitchers: Glasnow vs Kershaw

Both teams needed the full 7 games to get here but they took different routes. Tampa Bay took a commanding 3-0 lead before needing to win Game 7 while the Dodgers down 3-2 Won games 6 and 7. Tampa has had two days off while the Dodgers had just one giving Tampa an edge there as their bullpen will be at full rest leaving all options open. The Dodgers have most options open except for Urias who pitched 3 innings in securing the win. I wouldn’t think he would pitch tonight or if he did it would to end an inning facing 1 or 2 batters in a situational spot. Kershaw has been both good and bad in the post season and I just don’t think he warrants this kind of price against this Tampa team. We also find that when Glasnow starts following a win over the last 2 seasons his team is 16-4. We also find that TAMPA BAY is 20-8 after a win by 2 runs or less this season TAKE TAMPA BAY as my 3% WS GAME 1 BEST BET.
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Kevin Rogers

Series Wager - Los Angeles Dodgers -200
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Scott Rickenbacker

Los Angeles Dodgers/Tampa Bay Rays Over 7.5
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Dave Essler | MLB RunLine - Tuesday, Oct 20 2020 8:09PM
952 LOS -1.5(+115) Pinnacle vs 951 TAM triple-dime bet

Analysis: Trust me when I tell you I tried hard not to make this bet. In a game with the home team not getting a last at bat if they're ahead by one, and a game with a low total, it's not easy but everything says it's correct. Although I don't "like" the Dodgers and "want" the Rays to win, it's not going to be this game. First of all the Dodgers have been here before, even though it's not a stadium full of people, and speaking of Stadiums, Los Angeles has just finished playing in this stadium with these sight lines and the Rays have never played here. It's a new stadium and given this seasons' schedule that wasn't ever going to happen, and I think it matters a lot. Next, we have what I think is a bad matchup. Glasnow throws heat, and the Dodgers are a great fastball hitting team. Glasnow also can walk people, and the Dodgers have walked more in this post season than any team that made it to the LCS, and in two less games. So, Los Angeles should score enough. That also means that this isn't a bet on Kershaw finally coming into post season form. He doesn't have to. The Rays have seen very little of him, and the Rays strike out FAR more than any team this post season. Margot and Renfroe saw Kershaw when they were in the NL, but they are/were a combined 8-44 while the rest of the Rays are just 1-16 against Kershaw. As far as bullpens go, Kenley Jansen isn't having another implosion, and the Rays' pen in the series with the Astros had a 1.60 WHIP, which will eventually be costly. So, the Dodgers and their offense will make a statement tonight, and perhaps that makes the Rays' RL a very viable option in game two - we'll wait and see, but tonight it's the Dodgers game to lose.
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John Bollman
THE EXECUTIVE
12:33 PM

L.A. DODGERS -177
TAMPA BAY @ L.A. DODGERS | 10/20 | 8:11 PM EDT
Clayton Kershaw was 6-2 with a 2.16 ERA in the regular season but he is 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA in the postseason. He allowed four runs in five innings in his most recent start for the loss but pitched two quality starts before that including an eight-inning scoreless performance. Tyler Glasnow was 5-1 with a 4.08 ERA in the regular season and 2-1 with a 4.66 ERA in the playoffs. He pitched just one quality start out of four this postseason and he is coming off allowing four runs in six innings against the Astros. He allowed two home runs in each of the three starts he made on full rest and 6 home runs in 19.1 IP this postseason. He faced the Dodgers three times in relief in 2018 and allowed 6 earned runs in 4 IP.
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Jim Feist

MLB
3* Tampa Bay Rays/Los Angeles Dodgers under 7.5
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Posted : October 20, 2020 1:04 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 60782
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Mississippi Kid
World Series
GM #1 Dodgers -1 -119 1U
Dodgers to Win the Series -210 2U
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BOBBY LIGS
Game: (951) Tampa Bay Rays at (952) Los Angeles Dodgers
Date/Time: Oct 20 2020 8:09 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 7.5 (-105)

Glasnow
vs
Kershaw
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Posted : October 20, 2020 2:58 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 60782
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Topic starter
 

Rod (Stick) Stickler (The Swami MLB) - 8 Unit Rays/Dodgers Under 7.5 (-115)
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Kevin Davis

Game #1 Best Bets
Tampa Bay Rays Team Total Over 2.5 runs -143
Los Angeles Dodgers Clayton Kershaw Over 6.5 Strikeouts -150
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H&H Sports
MLB World Series Game #1 - Triple Dime Los Angeles Dodgers -155
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Posted : October 20, 2020 3:37 pm
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