Tuesday 11/9/21 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & NCAAB games
nbaundertips
Los Angeles Clippers – Portland Trail Blazers
Under 221
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Kevin Dolan
3% Game (101) Buffalo at (102) Miami Ohio Play: Buffalo +7.0 (-105)
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CAL SPORT
Game: (603) Southern Illinois at (604) Arkansas Little Rock
Date/Time: Nov 9 2021 6:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Southern Illinois -6.5 (-110)
CBS SportsLine Plays Tuesday 11/9
Stephen Oh
PITTSBURGH @ CHICAGO | 11/09 | 8:30 PM EST
PITTSBURGH -115
ANALYSIS: My model says the Penguins win in almost 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Even with Evgeni Malkin (knee) and Sidney Crosby (wrist/COVID) appearing in a total of one game thus far this season, Pittsburgh has stayed afloat offensively as 16 different players have scored a goal, with seven recording three or more. The Penguins posted a 5-2 win at home on Oct. 16 against Chicago, which has lost 11 of its first 13 games. The Blackhawks have scored fewer than three goals in eight of their contests while Pittsburgh has allowed two or fewer in half of its 10 games. Take the Penguins.
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Matt Severance
KANSAS @ MICHIGAN ST. | 11/09 | 7:00 PM EST
KANSAS -190
ANALYSIS: I'm a Michigan State fan and I'm afraid Sparty will be taking a bit of a step back this season -- although I'm sure still make the NCAA Tournament. Tom Izzo lost three of his best players in Aaron Henry, Joshua Langford and Rocket Watts plus solid reserve Foster Loyer to transfer. Touted recruit Emoni Bates once was committed to Sparty but ended up at Memphis. Kansas, meanwhile, is absolutely loaded with four starters back (although Jalen Wilson is suspended the first three games) and added Arizona State transfer Remy Martin, the preseason Big 12 Player of the Year. I'll be shocked if KU doesn't win this game but it would be typical Spartans to fight hard and cover 4.5 points so we'll do the moneyline.
COPPIN ST. @ LOYOLA CHI. | 11/09 | 8:00 PM EST
COPPIN ST. +34.5
ANALYSIS: This spread seems quite high considering it will be a bit of a transition for Loyola early in the season after losing excellent coach Porter Moser to Oklahoma, although his former assistant Drew Valentine takes over. Ramblers star Cameron Krutwig is now playing in Belgium. Coppin State is a solid MEAC program that hung within 10 at Duke last year and tied for the MEAC regular-season title. I'd think the Eagles can manage to only lose by 30.
JACKSON ST. @ ILLINOIS | 11/09 | 8:00 PM EST
JACKSON ST. +29.5
ANALYSIS: Needless to say, who wins this game isn't in question but Jackson State was a good SWAC team last year and was picked to finish third in the league this season. The Illini probably will sleepwalk a bit through this one with Big Ten Preseason Player of the Year Kofi Cockburn out due to suspension and senior guard Trent Frazier in question with a knee injury. The Tigers were 5-1 ATS in their final six road games last year. They can stay within 26 or so.
KENTUCKY @ DUKE | 11/09 | 9:30 PM EST
DUKE -1
ANALYSIS: Obviously it's a challenge handicapping a college basketball team's first game of the season -- this is part of the Champions Classic at Madison Square Garden -- and both these programs hugely underachieved last season. Duke does bring three starters back and should have the best player on the floor in freshman Paolo Banchero, very possibly the No. 1 overall pick in the 2022 NBA Draft. UK might be without one key transfer in Iowa's CJ Fredrick, a great three-point shooter. Then there's the Mike Krzyzewski factor. You think his players don't want to win Coach K's final-ever season opener? Tuesday marks Coach K's 1,400th game as Duke's head coach. The Blue Devils are 39-2 in season openers under Krzyzewski, including winning 21 straight. Welcome back college hoops!
OHIO @ E. MICHIGAN | 11/09 | 8:00 PM EST
E. MICHIGAN -6
ANALYSIS: This is the last of three MACtion games on Tuesday and I'm frankly surprised the Eastern isn't at least a TD favorite at home. The Eagles are humming offensively right now with back-to-back 50-point games for the first time since 2008 and those wins came against a lot better teams than Ohio, which is 2-7 overall. The Bobcats average just 22.7 points per game and defensively their secondary is banged up. EMU already is bowl eligible but still could win the MAC West with some help. It is 5-2 ATS in its past seven conference games.
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Max Gorenstein
SIENA @ ST. BONA. | 11/09 | 7:00 PM EST
SIENA +20
ANALYSIS: The Saints have been good against the Bonnies, covering five of the last seven matchups. Both teams are very well-coached and defensively sound. The Saints lost three of their starters but they added four freshman guards. The line is only this high because of the Bonnies' preseason ranking. But they only won two games last season by 21-plus points. This spread is too high for a defensive game.
CLEV. ST. @ BYU | 11/09 | 10:00 PM EST
CLEV. ST. +13.5
ANALYSIS: This pick is a fade of BYU. The Cougars are missing two of their three top scorers from last season. Meanwhile, the Vikings return all of their production from a team that finished on an 18-7 run. This spread is too high.
KANSAS @ MICHIGAN ST. | 11/09 | 7:00 PM EST
KANSAS -4.5
ANALYSIS: The Jayhawks are absolutely stacked. The additions of Remy Martin and Joseph Yesufu make the Jayhawks immediate national title contenders. The Spartans lost almost all of their production from last season. They are going to struggle at the start of this season. Lay the points at Madison Square Garden.
ST. PETER'S @ VCU | 11/09 | 6:00 PM EST
VCU -9.5
ANALYSIS: VCU is one of the best-coached teams in the nation. The Rams have been strong defensively for a while now, and they're bringing back a better team than they had last season. Don't forget -- this team made the NCAA Tournament but had to forfeit its first-round game due to positive COVID tests. The Peacocks have one of the worst offenses around. VCU should dominate and win by double digits.
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Jeff Hochman
CAROLINA @ TAMPA BAY | 11/09 | 7:00 PM EST
CAROLINA +120
ANALYSIS: The Hurricanes are coming off their first loss of the season and were quite possibly looking ahead to this game. Tampa Bay eliminated the Hurricanes in five games from last year's playoffs. Note: Carolina outshot Tampa Bay 151-133 in the series. The Hurricanes own a +44 shot differential in 10 games, while Tampa Bay has a +16 shot differential in 11 games. Carolina has scored 39 goals while allowing 20. Tampa Bay has scored 35 goals while allowing 34. The Lightning are 0-4 in in their past four games when playing with two days of rest. Tampa Bay will be without top blue-liner Mikhail Sergachev, as he's serving a two-game suspension. Take the road dog.
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Gambling God Sports Picks
CBB
RIDER +7.5
TARLETON STATE +16
NHL
MONTREAL
Sports Handicapper King
NCAA F
EASTERN MICHIGAN -6
NCAA B
WEST VIRGINIA -17
UTAH -9
freeplay ncaa b wisconson green bay +3
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Dave Essler
3* GOM
Blazers +3
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Northcoast
Marquee Over 62 Akron/WMU
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R.A.S Duke
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Jack Winningham
NHL. Vegas
NCAA Kansas
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August Young
5-Unit Play: Take #697 St. Thomas -6 -110 over Chicago State (5:00p.m., Tuesday, November 9)
3-Unit Play: Take #635 Rider +7.5 -110 over Duquesne (7:00p.m., Tuesday, November 9)
4-Unit Play: Take #665 UNC Wilmington +5 -110 over Illinois State (8:00p.m., Tuesday, November 9)
3-Unit Play: Take #671 Texas-Arlington +18 over Oklahoma State (8:00p.m., Tuesday, November 9)
4-Unit Play: Take #301075 Over 150 in Bucknell and North Carolina State (8:00p.m., Tuesday, November 9)
3-Unit Play: Take #711 CS Fullerton +8 -110 over Santa Clara (9:00p.m., Tuesday, November 9)
3-Unit Play: Take #729 Montana State +12 -110 over Colorado (10:00p.m., Tuesday, November 9)
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MM SPORTS
Belmont ml
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Mikey Sports
Under 61 ohio
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Bookie Killer
Northwestern -24
Rice -7.5
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Andrew McInnis 3%
NHL Two Team ML Parlay
Boston Bruins + Calgary Flames -110
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Strike Point Sports College Basketball
3u S Illinois -6
3u Michigan State +4.5
3u Citadel +10.5
3u Niagara +17
3u South Dakota State -10
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WUnderdog
NCAA
Washingtonton State -28 vs alcorn state
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Gavin Anthony Sports
NCAAB
Michigan State +4 -105
Kentucky +3 -110
Model Plays:
Georgia -7 -105 (9%)
Albany ML +130 (10%)
Milwaukee -7 -105 (10%)
Pepperdine +8 -110 (8.5%)
Alabama A&M +4 -110 (11%)
NCAAF
Buffalo +7.5 -110
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