Tuesday 9/14/21 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAF, MLB & NFL games
Pure Lock
10* Cincinnati Reds -159
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dubaibets asia
ENGLAND: National League
Chesterfield – Barnet Barnet
Chesterfield -1.5
Odds : 1.95
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macinibet
EUROPE: Champions League
Malmo FF – Juventus
Juventus -1 @ 1.90
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over3goals
EUROPE: UEFA Youth League – Group Stage
Barcelona U19 – Bayern U19
Over 3 @ 1.80
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Stitches--NY Post. Won with the Marlins yesterday. Season record now 84-78.
Tuesday's play (20 units) is on the Reds.
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Richard LaCosta
Cubs +190
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Martin Green
Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich (Tuesday, 3 p.m. ET)
Bayern Munich to win -103 (one unit)
Bayern over 1.5 goals -150 (one unit)
Chelsea vs. Zenit (Tuesday, 2:00 p.m. ET)
Chelsea to win-to-nil -160 (one unit)
Chelsea -1.5 -160 (one unit)
Romelu Lukaku to score first +200 (half unit)
Manchester United vs. Young Boys (Tuesday, 12:45 p.m. ET)
Man Utd to win and over 2.5 goals -116 (one unit)
Man Utd -1.5 +105 (half unit)
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Stephen Oh
CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH | 09/14 | 6:35 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -157
ANALYSIS: My model says the Reds win in over 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Cincinnati is 9-1 against Pittsburgh this year and has won 13 of the last 14 meetings dating back to last season. The Reds swept a four-game home series against the Pirates last month, outscoring them 31-9 in the process. Cincinnati LHP Wade Miley won both of his starts versus Pittsburgh earlier this year, scattering eight hits over 13 scoreless innings. Expect Miley and Reds to cruise again. 9-1 this year, won last 5
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John Bollman
CLEVELAND @ MINNESOTA | 09/14 | 3:10 PM EDT
CLEVELAND +105
ANALYSIS: The Twins just played an extra inning game yesterday in New York and now they fly home to play a doubleheader the next day. Neither of these teams have been scoring much lately so I think whoever scores first will end up winning this game with these two starters. Triston McKenzie has been a stud the second half of this season and he is coming off 1 ER allowed in 6 IP against the Twins. Joe Ryan will be making just his third career start and he just pitched 7 shutout against the Indians. However, he is still a rookie and facing a Major League team back to back times usually favors the hitters. I will take the Indians at plus money behind their best pitcher right now.
SAN DIEGO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 09/14 | 9:45 PM EDT
SAN FRANCISCO -172
ANALYSIS: The books keep putting a premium on the Padres because of their name, and I am not sure why. They are now 14-22 since the trade deadline including 5-13 on the road, and they start Jake Arrieta tonight. He hasn’t pitched in a month and most likely won’t go too deep, but he also allowed 6 ER in 2 IP against the Giants earlier this season. Anthony Desclafani has been pitching well lately and he pitched at least five innings allowing 3 runs or fewer in all three of his starts against the Padres this season. This line should be around -200, take the Giants at home.
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Brandon Lee
50 Astros rl
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Aaa
10 Mets
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Scott Reichenbach
Gom Phillies rl
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Mike Lundin
Reds
Phillies rl
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Sean Murphy
10 Reds
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Bryan Powers
Mets
Giants
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Jack Jones
20 Toronto
15 Sf rl
15 Detroit
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Dave Price
7 Oakland
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Ray Monahan
9* MLB RL Smackdown!
Dodgers rl
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August Young
4-U Underdog Tuesday!
Pittsburgh Pirates +140
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Elite Sports Picks
Cincinnati (Miley) -160 over Pittsburgh (Peters)
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Insider Sports Report
4* San Francisci (Deslafani) -155 over San Diego (Arrieta)
Range: -135 to -175
3* Oakland (Montas) -1.5 runs -105 over Kansas City (Kowar)
Range: +110 to -130
3* Boston (Eovaldi) -135 over Seattle (Anderson)
Range: -115 to -155
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National Sports Service
4* N.Y. Mets (Stroman) -150 over St. Louis (Woodford)
3* Chicago Cubs (Sampson)/Philadelphia (Gibson) OVER 9
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 09/14/21
4 Unit --> Boston (Eovaldi) -135 over Seattle (Anderson)
3 Unit --> San Diego (Arrieta)/San Francisco (Desclafani) OVER 8.5
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Top Rank Sports
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 09/14/21
4★ San Francisci (Deslafani) -155 over San Diego (Arrieta)
3★ Houston (Greinke) -1.5 runs -130 over Texas (Lyles)
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XS SPORTS PICKS TUESDAY
3 Houston -2 -115
3 Tampa Bay +120
3 Chicago WS Under 9 +100
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Andrew McInnis
4%
Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox -136 N Eovaldi (RHP), T Anderson (LHP) Must Start
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WUnderdog
MLB
Oakland-168 vs kansas city
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The Prez
4% - Cincinnati Reds RL, Action
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Matt Snyder
CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH | 09/14 | 6:35 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Reds have had a rough few weeks, but they still are clinging, barely, to the second NL wild card spot. They have nine of their final 18 games against the Pirates and they'll start taking advantage Tuesday. Wade Miley has been their best pitcher all year and he gets the ball in this one. He's faced the Pirates twice this season and thrown 13 scoreless innings. The Pirates start lefty Dillon Peters and he's thrown well this year, but it's been in a small sample. He still carries a career 5.53 ERA in the majors. The Reds are better and after a day off are ready to get hot against inferior competition.
SAN DIEGO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 09/14 | 9:45 PM EDT
SAN FRANCISCO -172
ANALYSIS: I'm shocked this isn't more than -200. And, sure, I keep picking against Jake Arrieta, but it keeps working. Why not stick with it? The last time Arrieta started a game and his team won was June 9 -- 10 starts ago. In his last 17 starts, he has an 8.91 ERA while allowing opponents to hit .349/.414/.630 against him. The Padres are 30-38 on the road and 8-20 since Aug. 10. The Giants are 46-23 at home and 33-13 since July 24. They clinched a playoff berth last night, but can't rest with the Dodgers on their heels.
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Scott Spreitzer MLB:
6U-Over 4.5 (1st 5 innings)
Marlins/Nationals
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Ben Burns
League: MLB
Competition: Cincinnati Reds(Miley) vs Pittsburgh Pirates(Peters)
Time: Tuesday, September 14, 06:35 pm ET
Bet Type: Moneyline
Action or Listed Pitchers: Listed Pitchers
Pick: Cincinnati Reds -153 (5dimes)
Analysis:
I'm playing on CINCINNATI. If the Reds want to make the Wild Card, these are the type of games they absolutely need to win. Miley is 12-5 with a 2.89 ERA. He averages six innings per start and he's coming off a gem. All he did was allow one run through seven complete innings, striking out eight, without walking a batter. In his last two road starts, he's allowd one combined run through 14 innings. On the other hand, Peters hasn't gone more than five innings in a start since 2019. The Reds won 10-0 the last time Miley faced the Pirates. I expect another big win in this one.
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Handicapper: Ben Burns
League: MLB
Competition: Chicago Cubs(Sampson) vs Philadelphia Phillies(Gibson)
Time: Tuesday, September 14, 07:05 pm ET
Bet Type: Moneyline
Action or Listed Pitchers: Listed Pitchers
Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -187 (5dimes)
Analysis:
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. Numerous advantages for the Phillies in this one. Gibson is 7-1 with a 1.59 ERA in his 11 "home" starts. His teams are 10-1 in those games. Last time here, he pitched six shutout innings. The Phillies won 7-0. Sampson only has a couple of starts under his belt this season. In those nine innings, he's given up three home runs. In fact, dating back to 2019, he's allowed at least a home run in seven straight games. A closer look reveals that in just a 34 1/3 inning span, he served up 12 long balls. Phillies are 8-2 as home favorites in the -175 to -250 range. Expect them to improve on those stats here
League: MLB
Competition: Tampa Bay Rays(Rasmussen) vs Toronto Blue Jays(Berrios)
Time: Tuesday, September 14, 07:07 pm ET
Bet Type: Over / Under
Action or Listed Pitchers: Listed Pitchers
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Under 9 (-110) (5dimes)
Analysis:
I'm playing on Toronto/TB UNDER the total. Yes, the Blue Jay bats have been hot. Same for the Tampa bats, before yesterday. However, both starters are in excellent form and I'm expecting a pitcher's duel this evening. Berrios is 3-0 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.836 WHIP his past three starts. Over that 3-game span, he's struck out 26 while walking just two. Dominant numbers. Rasmussen doesn't go deep into games but he's also allowed one run or less in six straight starts. Over his past three starts, he's got a 1.93 ERA with 8 K's against just one walk. He hasn't allowed a HR in any of his past five starts either. Prior to yesterday's "push," the UNDER was a perfect 5-0 the past five times that these teams faced each other. Look for a low-scoring affair.
League: MLB
Competition: St. Louis Cardinals(Woodford) vs New York Mets(Stroman)
Time: Tuesday, September 14, 07:10 pm ET
Bet Type: Moneyline
Action or Listed Pitchers: Listed Pitchers
Pick: New York Mets -158 (5Dimes)
Analysis:
I'm playing on NY. After getting pounded yesterday, I expect the Mets to bounce back big tonight. Despite not having the wins to show for it, Stroman (2.87 ERA, 1.123 WHIP) just keeps delivering. Last time out, he allowed just one run, on only four hits, through 6 1/3 innings. He struck out seven without walking a batter. He's allowed three or fewer earned runs in seven straight starts. He's also gone six or more innings in four of his past five. Stroman will finally get some support in this one. Woodford is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.833 WHIP his past three starts, averaging just four innings. Look for the Mets to bounce back and improve to 15-10 the past 25 times that they were off a shutout loss.
League: MLB
Competition: San Diego Padres(Arrieta) vs San Francisco Giants(DeSclafani)
Time: Tuesday, September 14, 09:45 pm ET
Bet Type: Run Line
Action or Listed Pitchers: Listed Pitchers
Pick: San Diego Padres +1.5 (-130) (BetOnline)
Analysis:
I'm playing SD on the run-line (+1.5 runs) These teams are currently going in opposite directions and the Giants won big yesterday. However, despite all the losing, the Padres are still alive in the Wild Card race. That said, they desperately need to go on a run. After getting pounded yesterday, I expect a much better effort today. True, Arrieta has seen better days. He was relatively solid in his last start though and he knows his team desperately needs him tonight. He held high-scoring Houston to three runs, on only three hits and one walk. Desclafani has only gone more than five innings in one of his past seven starts. In fact, over that 7-game span, he's gone a total of 26 2/3 innings. That's less than four innings per start. The Padres are 8-6 their last 14, after losing their previous three or more games. Expect the bats to come alive and for them to bounce back with at least the "run-line cover."
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CHRIS JORDAN
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 800♦ Seattle Mariners
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GUS AUGUSTINE
30 Dime
National League
Game of the Week
The Pick: 30 Dime St. Louis Cardinals
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KIRBY MAXWELL
40 Dime
National League
Underdog of the Week
PLAY: Atlanta Braves Run Line
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TRACE ADAMS
Top-Rated
1000♦
Winner # 3 in a Row
The Pick: 1000♦ on the Philadelphia Phillies (Gibson) -1 1/2 runs over the Chicago Cubs (Sampson).
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JAY MCNEIL
60 DIME
MLB Big Dog Shocker
The Pick: 60 DIME play on the San Diego Padres (Arrieta) over the San Francisco Giants (DeSclafani).
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AL DEMARCO - GM
Raise the Bar 20-Dime
5-Run Rout of the Week
The Pick: 20 Dimes - San Francisco Run Line
The Line: San Francisco +120 at -1 1/2 Runs at 4:40 am pacific
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MITCHELL NEWMAN
75 DIME
A.L. East Rivalry Lock
Selection: 75 Dime winner on the Tampa Bay Rays (Rasmussen) over the Toronto Blue Jays (Berrios)
Price: At 8:15 am eastern time, the Rays are +115.
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Matt Severance
COLORADO @ ATLANTA | 09/14 | 7:20 PM EDT
ATLANTA -153
ANALYSIS: All the motivation is on the Braves' side, and Colorado pitcher Jon Gray is 0-4 with a 6.33 ERA (27.0 IP, 19 ER) through his last six starts. He has pitched five innings or fewer in five straight. Gray has been much worse on the road and at night, too. Atlanta, meanwhile, is 6-0 in its past six following an off day.
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H&H Sports
MLB
Triple Dime - Braves -150
Triple Dime - Red Sox -135
Double Dime - Rays +138
Dime - Astros -1.5 runs [-130]
Dime - Dodgers -1.5 runs [-125]
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Great Lake Sports
MLB
3* #920 Toronto -130 (Berrios)
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Jack Winningham
Jack has two games today, he is parlaying them, but using a time zone hedge:
San Francisco Giants over the San Diego Padres
Cincinatti over the Pittsburgh Pirates
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Justin Perri
COLORADO @ ATLANTA | 09/14 | 7:20 PM EDT
OVER 9
ANALYSIS: The Rockies have picked it up on the road in the last few weeks. They’ve plated four or more runs in eight of their last 13 away games. On Tuesday, they play in Atlanta where the Over is 38-26-7 (only a 36.6 percent Under rate) and the air density is low. John Gray has been rough in his last few starts, with a 6.55 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in August followed by another subpar outing to open September. Touki Toussaint has looked off in his last two starts and gave up four earned runs in three innings to the Rockies two weeks ago. Hitters should be rested as both teams were off Monday, so runs should be scored.
N.Y. YANKEES @ BALTIMORE | 09/14 | 7:05 PM EDT
OVER 9.5
ANALYSIS: Gerrit Cole is on the mound Tuesday, but the Yankees are bleeding runs, allowing five-plus in each of their last nine games. The winds are blowing out at Camden Yards and Cole is known to be susceptible to home runs. The real advantage is that the Yankees have been scoring too, getting six or more runs on the board in their last three games. Now, they face Alexander Wells, a rookie with a .543 xSLG and a 7.15 ERA . I expect New York to build a large lead for their relievers and allow Baltimore to plate a few runs after Cole exits. Take the Over.
CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH | 09/14 | 6:35 PM EDT
OVER 8.5
ANALYSIS: Matchups between these two teams this season have averaged 10.8 runs a game and have hit our needed number of nine in seven of 10 games this year. There’s lower than normal air density in Pittsburgh tonight as well, which should help the hitters. Pirates starter Dillon Peters doesn’t work long into games, is making just his fifth start this season and has a career .465 xSLG. Wade Miley has done well against the Pirates this season, but Pittsburgh has hit 12 home runs in 11 games this month. And the Pirates play better at PNC Park, where Miley has yet to pitch in 2021. Grab the total to go Over.
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Godfatherlocks september 14th picks
mlb
massive 5000 unit winner #4 of 5
2 top rated 2000 unit picks
massive 5000 unit pick
new york mets -170 (mlb)
*** top rated 2000 unit picks **
#1 - pittsburgh pirates +140 (mlb)
#2 - colorado rockies +135 (mlb)
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