Tuesday 9/7/21 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAF, MLB & NFL games
pickstennis
WTA - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard
Svitolina - Fernandez
Under 21.5
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totalgoalsvip
EUROPE: World Cup
Austria - Scotland
Bet : 2 or 3 goals
Odd: 2.00
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over3goals
EUROPE: Euro U21
Estonia U21 - Norway U21
Over 3 @ 1.90
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Stephen Oh
CINCINNATI @ CHI. CUBS | 09/07 | 7:40 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -160
ANALYSIS: My model says the Reds win in well over 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Cincinnati LHP Wade Miley is looking to bounce back from a poor outing against St. Louis on Wednesday that ended his 16-start unbeaten streak. Miley is 8-4 lifetime versus the Cubs, with two of the wins coming this season. Chicago is riding a season-high seven-game winning streak but still is 11 games under .500. The streak ends Tuesday.
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The Prez
4% - Cincinati Reds - Action
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Stitches--NY Post. Won again yesterday with the Blue Jays. The heater continues. Season record now 79-76.
Tuesday's (happy new year) play (20 units) is on the Reds.
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Elite Sports Picks
Houston (Odorizzi) -170 over Seattle (Gilbert)
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Insider Sports Report
4* Cleveland (Civale) -140 over Minnesota (Gant)
Range: -125 to -165
3* San Francisco (Webb) -1.5 runs -120 over Colorado (Gonzalez)
Range: -105 to -145
3* Arizona (Gallen) -150 over Texas (Howard)
Range: -130 to -170
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National Sports Service
4* Toronto (Matz)/N.Y. Yankees (Cole) UNDER 8.5
3* Milwaukee (Lauer) -110 over Philadelphia (Nola)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 09/07/21
4 Unit --> Houston (Odorizzi) -170 over Seattle (Gilbert)
3 Unit --> N.Y. Mets (Carrasco)/Miami (Cabrera) UNDER 8
3 Unit --> Tampa Bay (Rasmussen)/Boston (Rodriguez) UNDER 9.5
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 09/07/21
4★ Cleveland (Civale) -140 over Minnesota (Gant)
3★ N.Y. Mets (Carrasco)/Miami (Cabrera) UNDER 8
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Pickswise Sports
MLB 3* Best Bets
Blue Jays/Yankees Under 9 [-115]
Giants -1.5 runs [-134]
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SYSTEMPLAYS
Milwaukee Brewers ML
Oakland A's ML
Arizona Diamondbacks ML
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Scott Spreitzer
Serbia +100 (4U)
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August Young
Reds/Cubs Under 9.5 (-110) (3U) (Miley/Sampson)
Mariners +150 (Gilbert/Odorizzi)
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VSI MLB
6U-Atlanta -1.5
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Wiseguy Team
1,000 Dime | MLB | Under 11 1/2 (Giants/Rocies)
2,000 Dime | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies Money-Line
3,000 Dime | MLB | Boston Redsox Money-Line
4,000 Dime | MLB | Houston Astros -1 1/2
5,000 Dime | MLB | New York Yankees -1 1/2
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Tony George
YTD 98-91, -13.15
7* San Fran Run Line -1.5 (-140)
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Dave Essler
3* TOM
Phillies Over 8
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Oskeim Sports
2% NY Yankees -220
1% NY Yankees -1.5 +100
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XS Sports Picks MLB
4 Boston -110
3 Miami +148
3 Cincinnati Under 9.5 -110
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WUnderdog
MLB
Milwaukee -103 vs philadelphia
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Delphi Sports
MLB
4* #970 Boston -106
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Al Mcmordi
1* A's -132 (Kaprielian), 9:40 pm
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CHRIS JORDAN
800♦
N.L. Pitching Mismatch of the Month
The Pick: 800♦ Milwaukee Brewers
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IC
WNBA -13.9u (38-36-2)
3 - WASH +9.5 vs SEA
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GUS AUGUSTINE
Top-Rated
100 DIME
5-Run Revenge Rout
The Pick: 100 Dime Cleveland Indians
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MITCHELL NEWMAN
75 DIME
Winner # 79 of 132
(- 4th in as many days -)
3-Run Home Rout
Selection: 75 Dime winner on the Atlanta Braves (Fried) -1 1/2 runs over the Washington Nationals (Espino).
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TRACE ADAMS
Top-Rated
1000♦
Winner # 28 of 48
American League Best Bet
The Pick: 1000♦ on the Kansas City Royals (Kowar) over the Baltimore Orioles (Wells).
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JAY MCNEIL
75 DIME
MLB Winner # 9 of 12
Bounce-Back Lock
The Pick: 75 DIME play on the New York Yankees with Cole -1 1/2 runs over the Toronto Blue Jays with Matz.
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KIRBY MAXWELL
40 Dime
National League
Game of the Week
RATING: 40 Dime
PLAY: Milwaukee Brewers
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AL DEMARCO - GM
Raise the Bar 20-Dime Release
Cheap Chalk Lock of the Month
The Pick: 20 Dimes - Braves Run Line
The Line: Braves -120 at -1 1/2 runs at 7:50 am pacific
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Dave Price
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH*!
Giants rl
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Brandon Lee
Big Money MAX 50 UNIT Top Play!
Atl rl
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Jack Jones
15 Reds
15 Toronto
20 Atl rl NL East GAME OF THE MONTH!
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Sean Murphy
10* MLB A.L. CENTRAL GAME OF THE MONTH
Indians
10* MLB N.L. EAST TOTAL OF THE MONTH
Braves
MLB TUESDAY NIGHT RUN-LINE SUPER ANGLE WINNER
Dbacks
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Bryan Powers
Dbacks
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Mike Lundin
Indians
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Frank Sawyer
25 gom Atl rl
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Jim Fiest
Gow Sf rl
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Brandon Lang
60 DIME
UP THE ANTE
MONEY MAKER
A.L Game Of The Month
TB
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MLB(Bob Balfe)
7:20 PM EST
Rotation #969
Rays -105 over Red Sox
Rasmussen/Rodriguez
The Rays have been red hot since the all star break. This is a team that gets big hits at crucial points in the game and have what it takes to make a deep run this year. These pitchers had decent outings when they pitched against these hitters just days ago. This is always a fun park to see runs in, but Drew Rasmussen has been locked in this year. Boston seems to give up big runs at key points to lose games while the Rays get big hits at key points to win games. This is a more complete Tampa team and I like them at even money. Take the Rays.
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Kyle Akins
DETROIT @ PITTSBURGH | 09/07 | 6:35 PM EDT
PITTSBURGH -105
ANALYSIS: While this line does not seem out of the ordinary for most teams, this is a rarity for a Pittsburgh team that has been favored seven times all season. Look for the Pirates to capitalize on a rare, favorable spot. There have not been many positive situations for Pittsburgh during this awful season, but one of them has been coming off a series-opening win. The Pirates are 9-2 overall and 10-1 on run lines since May 29 in the second game of at least a three-game series when coming off a win.
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John Bollman
KANSAS CITY @ BALTIMORE | 09/07 | 7:05 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY -115
ANALYSIS: Jackson Kowar looked much better in his most recent stint in the Major Leagues allowing just 2 runs in 6 IP. Alexander Wells has been very hit or miss and he will be making a spot start today. The Orioles are 5-15 in their last 3 weeks including 2-8 at home while the Royals are 13-8 and 8-3 on the road in the same time span. Trey Mancini is out of the lineup again, take the Royals.
MINNESOTA @ CLEVELAND | 09/07 | 6:10 PM EDT
CLEVELAND -130
ANALYSIS: Aaron Civale makes his return from the IL for his first start since June. John Gant has struggled since being traded and inserted into the starting rotation, but most notably he hasn’t been getting deep into games. The Indians are 11-8 in the past 3 weeks including 6-4 at home, while the Twins are 8-11 in the same time span and 4-7 on the road. The Twins used all their top bullpen guys in the win yesterday as well, take the Indians at home.
TAMPA BAY @ BOSTON | 09/07 | 7:10 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -105
ANALYSIS: Matt Snyder actually explained the main reasons I am on this game pretty well. The Rays just lit up lefty Chris Sale for 10 hits yesterday and they actually have the second highest wOBA in the league against lefties in the past 3 weeks despite struggling against them all season. Adam Ottavino has pitched 3 out of the last 4 days and they used Garrett Whitlock in a loss yesterday, so the Red Sox are significantly short handed if you add in the COVID issues. The Rays just saw Eduardo Rodriguez and Drew Rasmussen has been very good for the Rays since being acquired in the Willy Adames trade, take the Rays.
N.Y. METS @ MIAMI | 09/07 | 6:40 PM EDT
MIAMI +162
ANALYSIS: Carlos Carrasco has been decent since returning to the starting rotation but he has already faced the Marlins twice including in his last start. Edward Cabrera is making just his third career start and his last start was against the Mets. The Mets are 13-21 since the trade deadline and they are 6-13 on the road. The Marlins are 13-19 since the trade deadline and 12-8 at home. The Marlins are 5-2 against the Mets at home this season, this game should be much closer to 50-50. Take the value in the home dog.
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Smart Money Plays
Pittsburgh Pirates -109 (2u, 730e) Peters vs Peralta
Philadelphia Phillies +100 (2u, 730e) Nola vs Lauer
Oakland Athletics -125 (2u, 930e) Kaprielian vs Lambert
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Matt Severance
PHILADELPHIA @ MILWAUKEE | 09/07 | 7:40 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE +1.5
ANALYSIS: Interesting that the Brewers are still ML dogs at some sites, so I'll happily take the runline as Phils starter Aaron Nola has not been good away and as SportsLine superfan Robert S. from the Philly area pointed out to me, pretty much all of Nola's career numbers are much worse in September over the years. The Phils also are giving the likes of Brad Miller, Didi Gregorius and Odubel Herrera the night off. Brewers starter Eric Lauer comes off a dominant outing in San Francisco and pretty much gives up 2 ER or fewer every time out even if for just five innings. Avisail Garcia (24 HR, 77 RBI) is back for the Brewers for the first time (starting) since last Thursday.
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Matt Snyder
CHI. WHITE SOX @ OAKLAND | 09/07 | 9:40 PM EDT
OAKLAND -130
ANALYSIS: Things couldn't have gone much worse for the A's in Toronto. They blew a six-run, eighth-inning lead, lost a slugfest and then were blown out. Fortunately, they had Monday off and are now at home. Also, the White Sox's rotation is down three men, meaning they have to start Jimmy Lambert. The righty has a 9.00 ERA in the majors in eight innings and 4.98 ERA in 59 2/3 Triple-A innings. Also, the White Sox have a losing road record and are just 29-33 against teams .500 or above.
TAMPA BAY @ BOSTON | 09/07 | 7:10 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -105
ANALYSIS: Monday was a disaster for the Red Sox. With Chris Sale on the hill, they needed to use six relievers -- including most of their important ones that aren't on the shelf -- and still lost in extras. The Rays didn't even need to use Andrew Kittredge or Pete Fairbanks. Tuesday, the Rays start Drew Rasmussen. He hasn't given up more than a run since July 5, a span of 11 outings and 32 1/3 innings of pitching to a 1.95 ERA. The Red Sox counter with Eduardo Rodriguez, who has been awful at home. He held down the Rays last week, but they'll get to him with a second look on a quick turnaround.
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Zack Cimini
TEXAS @ ARIZONA | 09/07 | 9:40 PM EDT
ARIZONA -157
ANALYSIS: It’s the final month of the MLB regular season, and Diamondbacks pitcher Zac Gallen has yet to win a home star at. 0-6 on the year. The Diamondbacks enter Tuesday as big favorites against the Texas Rangers. This should be an opportune spot for Gallen and the Diamondbacks, considering the Rangers have won consecutive road games. Back the Diamondbacks as the Rangers get back to their true road form.
PHILADELPHIA @ MILWAUKEE | 09/07 | 7:40 PM EDT
PHILADELPHIA -105
ANALYSIS: The Phillies' 12-0 victory over the Milwaukee Brewers on Monday was the biggest blowout on the slate. For the Brewers, the loss was their second-worst all season in terms of run differential. Look for Phillies starter Aaron Nola to bounce back from a couple of shaky outings, as the Brewers lose for the fourth time in six games. Take the Phillies.
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Justin Perri
CINCINNATI @ CHI. CUBS | 09/07 | 7:40 PM EDT
OVER 9.5
ANALYSIS: I love taking this line at +100 as Wrigley is another one of the nice hitting environments tonight. Wade Miley has been good this season, but, believe it or not, the Cubs offense is clicking; Chicago has scored at least four runs in all of its last five games. Even if the Cubs don't carry us across the finish line, I expect the Reds to do damage against Adrian Sampson. Cincinnati is great against righthanded pitching, and Sampson has a career .537 xSLG, which is quite high. The winds should be blowing at Wrigley, and that always helps the Over. I'll be playing the Reds team total Over as well.
TAMPA BAY @ BOSTON | 09/07 | 7:10 PM EDT
OVER 9.5
ANALYSIS: I'll back this game to Over the total. These teams have played high-scoring games all year, especially in Boston, and with the winds blowing out at Fenway Park we should get a solid boost to hitting conditions. Eduardo Rodriguez is a bit worse at home (5.69 ERA vs. 4.41 ERA on the road) and has allowed multiple runs each time he attempts to follow up a scoreless outing. Drew Rasmussen has been solid this season, but his hard hit rate of 45.9 percent ranks in the bottom sixth percentile in the majors.
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Godfatherlocks september 7th picks
massive 5000 unit picks
#1 - minnesota twins +120 (mlb)
#2 - milwaukee brewers -110 (mlb)
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H&H Sports
MLB
Triple Dime - Rays +105
Triple Dime - Dodgers -143
Double Dime - Astros -160
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Sportsline Computer
MLB
Detroit +100
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