Wednesday 9/30/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF, MLB & NBA games.
Ben Burns
Lakers -5 triple
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Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
1:44 PM
MIAMI +5
MIAMI @ L.A. LAKERS | 9/30 | 9:00 PM EDT
The Lakers were first in the NBA in field-goal percentage (48.5) this season, but the Heat have been the better team from the free-throw line, have made 197 more 3-pointers and shot 37.9 percent from long distance, which was second-best in the league. They also turn over the ball less frequently and have more assists per game. Why is Los Angeles favored by so much with no home-court advantage, especially since Miami is 12-3 SU and ATS this postseason and has recorded seven of those wins as the underdog? I’m on the Heat in Game 1.
22-14-1 IN LAST 37 NBA PICKS | +665
7-4-1 IN LAST 12 LAL ATS PICKS | +256
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Mike Barner
NBA
Miami Heat +4.5
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Ben Burns Full card
Lakers -5 Triple
Reds/Braves Under 8 triple
Padres -159 double
Cubs -158 Double
Dodgers -235 dime
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FirstHalTips
SPAIN: LaLiga
Eibar – Elche
First Half : X
Odds : 2.00
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10vipbets
Champions League – Qualification
Midtjylland – Slavia Prague
Slavia Prague +0
Odd: 1.90
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Wayne Root
Perfect Plays-
Blue jays
Heat
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Mike Barner
NBA SPECIALIST
YESTERDAY 4:26 PM
MIAMI +4.5
MIAMI @ L.A. LAKERS | 9/30 | 9:00 PM EDT
The Heat are once again underdogs, which is right where they want to be. Jimmy Butler has done a great job of leading the team throughout the playoffs and they have an advantage in the coaching department with Erik Spoelstra, who was obviously LeBron James’ coach when he was a member of the Heat. They also have a talented defensive big man in Bam Adebayo, who can hang with Anthony Davis. Not only do I think the Heat keep this game close, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see them win.
134-82-4 IN LAST 220 NBA ATS PICKS | +4380
15-3 IN LAST 18 MIA ATS PICKS | +1170
16-12-2 IN LAST 30 LAL ATS PICKS | +275
Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
YESTERDAY 5:29 PM
MIAMI +4.5
MIAMI @ L.A. LAKERS | 9/30 | 9:00 PM EDT
The Lakers were a favorite from the start of the season, but not many would have picked the Heat to be representing the East. Miami can win this series. The Heat are no joke, and they are more than prepared for the Lakers. Miami can match up well on both sides of the ball and Jimmy Butler is going to be a key performer. Much will hinge on how well he can guard LeBron James. The Heat have plenty of depth, just like the Lakers, and are better at shooting the threes. Miami is 13-3 SU and ATS this postseason. Los Angeles is just 7-15-1 in its last 23 NBA Championship games.
21-11-1 IN LAST 33 NBA PICKS | +825
6-4-1 IN LAST 11 LAL ATS PICKS | +160
4-3 IN LAST 7 MIA ATS PICKS | +70
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Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
10:03 AM
OVER 7.5
HOUSTON @ MINNESOTA | 9/30 | 1:08 PM EDT
After a low-scoring series opener, I'm expecting more offense today. The Astros historically have had success against Jose Berrios, and Houston starter Jose Urquidy hasn't pitched nearly as well as his ERA indicates. The Twins will go all out to extend their season. Look for the Over to improve to 6-1-2 in Minnesota's last nine home games.
7-0 IN LAST 7 MLB O/U PICKS | +700
3-1 IN LAST 4 HOU O/U PICKS | +190
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Matt Severance
SEVERANCE PAYS
10:21 AM
OVER 8
MIAMI @ CHI. CUBS | 9/30 | 2:08 PM EDT
We were eagerly waiting for William Hill to post the total for this game -- all Cubs home totals are delayed -- because we saw that the wind at Wrigley Field is blowing out to right at 20 mph. That should mean a shootout and several long balls. It's the first-ever playoff start for the Marlins' Sandy Alcantara, so he's likely to have some jitters. Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks, meanwhile, had three outings this year where he allowed at least two homers. The Over is 6-0 in Marlins' past six road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. We are on the Over (and the Cubs) at -120.
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SDQL
MINNESOTA -153
HOUSTON @ MINNESOTA | 9/30 | 1:08 PM EDT
10:17 AM
Houston is 0-12 as a +130-plus road underdog when it is not the first game of a series and it is off a game in which it allowed five-plus walks as long as it was not a +240-plus dog in that game. In each of their last three games in this spot, the Astros have scored only one run. The Twins are 10-0 off a home game in which they scored in at most two separate innings and it is not a series opener, and they are 13-0 at home off a game as -130-plus favorites in which they allowed five-plus walks. Minnesota breaks the long playoff losing streak behind starting pitcher Jose Berrios.
54-27 IN LAST 81 MLB ML PICKS | +1026
8-4 IN LAST 12 HOU ML PICKS | +219
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIN ML PICKS | +55
L.A. DODGERS -216
MILWAUKEE @ L.A. DODGERS | 9/30 | 10:08 PM EDT
10:14 AM
LA is 30-0 as a -200-plus home favorite before Game No. 95 when it won its starter’s last two starts (Walker Buehler) and scored at least two runs in his last start. With the Brewers 0-10 as +160-plus dogs when they are off a game as favorites and facing a team that has won its last two games, we are laying the price.
54-27 IN LAST 81 MLB ML PICKS | +1026
4-1 IN LAST 5 MIL ML PICKS | +247
SAN DIEGO -157
ST. LOUIS @ SAN DIEGO | 9/30 | 5:08 PM EDT
10:12 AM
San Diego is a good investment when it is doing well. The Padres are 16-0 as favorites of more than -130 when they are off two wins in which they never trailed. The Cardinals, meanwhile, are 0-8 as dogs of more than +135 vs. a team that has won at least their last three games. We are on the Friars.
54-27 IN LAST 81 MLB ML PICKS | +1026
6-2 IN LAST 8 STL ML PICKS | +271
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Elite Sports Picks
Chicago White Sox (Keuchel)/Oakland (Bassitt) UNDER 7.5
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Insider Sports Report
4* Oakland (Bassitt) -125 over Chicago White Sox (Keuchel)
Range: -110 to -150
3* Cincinnati (Bauer) +115 over Atlanta (Fried)
Range: +130 to -110
3* Miami/L.A. Lakers OVER 217.5 (NBA)
Range: 216 to 220
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National Sports Service
4* Chicago Cubs (Hendricks) -170 over Miami (Alcantara)
3* St. Louis (Kim) +145 over San Diego (Paddack)
3* L.A. Lakers -4.5 over Miami (NBA)
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Primetime Sports Picks For 09/30/20
4 Unit --> Cleveland (Carrasco) +100 over N.Y. Yankees (Tanaka)
3 Unit --> Chicago Cubs (Hendricks) -160 over Miami (Alcantara)
3 Unit --> L.A. Lakers -4.5 over Miami (NBA)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 09/30/20
4★ Miami/L.A. Lakers OVER 217.5 (NBA)
3★ Toronto (Ryu) +120 over Tampa Bay (Glasnow)
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MILLER LOCKS
Wednesday 9/30/2020 Picks
12:08 PM EST MLB
CINCINNATI REDS VS. ATLANTA BRAVES
PICK: ATLANTA BRAVES (-123)
RISK: 11 UNITS
5:08 PM EST MLB
ST LOUIS CARDINALS VS. SAN DIEGO PADRES
PICK: SAN DIEGO PADRES (-158)
RISK: 11 UNITS
7:08 PM EST MLB
NEW YORK YANKEES VS. CLEVELAND INDIANS
PICK: NEW YORK YANKEES (-124)
RISK: 11 UNITS
9:00 PM EST NBA
MIAMI HEAT VS. LOS ANGELES LAKERS
PICK: MIAMI HEAT +4.5 (-105)
RISK: 11 UNITS
10:08 PM EST MLB
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS. LOS ANGELES DODGERS
PICK: LOS ANGELES DODGERS -1.5 (-108)
RISK: 11 UNITS
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Dave Cokin
4% - NY Yankees -130
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Stephen Nover
Reds +115
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Jack jones
20 Oak
15 Toronto
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Ness
Ultimate dog
Toronto
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Michael Crosson (VegasInsider)
NBA Finals Game #1
Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers
TV: ABC ,- Time: 9:00pm
BEST BET Game #1 - Heat/Lakers Under 218
BEST BET Series - Los Angeles Lakers in 6 Games (+300)
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Rockdeman Sports (MLB)
Atlanta Braves -123
Miami Marlins/Chicago Cubs Over 8 (-115)
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Big Play Power Consensus (The Swami - NBA) - 8 Unit Miami Heat +4.5
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H&H Sports
MLB
Triple Dime - Tampa Bay Rays -134
Double Dime - Atlanta Braves -121
Double Dime - San Diego Padres -158
Dime - Chicago White Sox +116
Dime - Los Angeles Dodgers/Milwaukee Brewers Over 7.5 (-118)
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Dave price mlb
6* Minn
6* La dodgers -1.5
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Master Sports
NBA
4* Lakers -4.5
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Fezzik (all 2*)
CLE under 8
CLE +1.5
CIN +1.5
CIN under 7.5
TOR under 7
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John Bollman
ST. LOUIS +150
ST. LOUIS @ SAN DIEGO | 9/30 | 5:08 PM EDT
11:47 AM
Kwang-Hyun Kim has been lights out this season in seven starts going 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA. Chris Paddack is starting Game 1 and he has been very inconsistent for the Padres going 4-5 with a 4.73 ERA this season. Neither of these pitchers has pitched in the postseason and the Cardinals were in the postseason last year. This game should be closer to 50-50.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB PICKS | +100
16-11 IN LAST 27 SD ML PICKS | +374
TORONTO +125
TORONTO @ TAMPA BAY | 9/30 | 4:07 PM EDT
11:45 AM
In 6 career starts vs. Toronto, Glasnow is 0-2 with a 6.17 ERA. Ryu has faced Tampa twice this season and has a 3.72 ERA against them in 9.2 IP. The Blue Jays rank 10th in OPS vs. RHPs while the Rays rank 6th in OPS vs. LHP. Glasnow has pitched in two postseason games and allowed six earned runs in seven IP while Ryu has started eight playoff games and he is 3-2 with a 4.05 ERA.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB PICKS | +100
8-4 IN LAST 12 TOR ML PICKS | +370
N.Y. YANKEES -125
N.Y. YANKEES @ CLEVELAND | 9/30 | 7:08 PM EDT
11:45 AM
Carlos Carrasco will face Masahiro Tanaka in Game 2 of this series after the Yankees blew out the Indians last night. The Yankees have the fifth highest OPS in the league against righties, Carrasco has a 4.04 ERA in 12 career appearances against the Yankees. The Indians are ranked just 24th in the league in OPS against righties, I think the Indians will struggle to score with the Yankees.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB PICKS | +100
26-12 IN LAST 38 CLE ML PICKS | +937
ATLANTA -130
CINCINNATI @ ATLANTA | 9/30 | 12:08 PM EDT
11:44 AM
Bauer vs. Fried is one of the best first round pitching matchups we are getting considering both are in the running for the Cy Young. However, the Reds are ranked just 25th in the league in OPS against lefties while the Braves are first in the league in OPS against righties. The Braves also have the edge in the bullpen with the fourth best bullpen vs. the Reds 17th best bullpen. Take the Braves in Game 1.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB PICKS | +100
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Sportsline Computer
MLB
Houston +1.5 -145
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MLB CAPPERS
Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs under 8.5
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians
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Big Al's 5 * Minnesota Twins
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Las Vegas Freeze
$5000 Chicago Cubs/Miami Marlins o8.5 -105
$6250 Tampa Bay Rays -140
⚽️����Germany SuperCup 9/30
$4500 Bayern Munich/Dortmund o3.5 -110
������NBA FINALS 9/30
$5000 Miami Heat/LA Lakers o217 -110
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Marco D'Angelo
4% Oakland -125
2% Tampa Bay Rays -135
3% Lakers Under 217.5
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newworldinsiders
great lakes cardinals +1.5
great west lakers over 217.5
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WUNDERDOG MLB PICK:
Game: St. Louis Cardinals (949) @ San Diego Padres (950)
Time: Wednesday 09/30 5:00 PM Eastern
Pick: San Diego -155 (moneyline) at BetAnySports
Tools: Public Consensus | Bet this game at BetUS
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