Wild Bill
2 units Boston College
1 unit Air Force
King Totals
Boston College/Virginia Tech under 43.5
Wild Bill
2 units Boston College
1 unit Air Force
Michael Cannon Goes 0-1 on Wednesday, Down 5 Dimes
Thursday Plays:
20 Dime –
AIR FORCE
Take the points with Air Force tonight when they travel to take on New Mexico.
The Falcons have had an excellent season so far under first-year coach Troy Calhoun. They have won three straight MWC games and are currently 5-1 SUATS in conference play.
The biggest obstacle for New Mexico tonight will be trying to gameplan against the new-look offense of Air Force on a short week.
The Falcons have plenty of formations designed to get the ball to the versatile Chad Hall.
Hall is the only player in the nation to lead his team in yards rushing and receiving. If that isn’t enough, he also averages 13.7 yards on punt returns.
The key for Air Force tonight will be getting him the ball anywhere from 25-30 times.
Now, I respect the Lobos in this matchup and know they have the size advantage in the line on offense and defense, but like I said before, a short week to prepare against an Air Force offense they aren’t used to facing is going to be a tough task. Plus, they struggled mightily last week against a poor San Diego State team, scoring the winning touchdown with just 15 seconds to play.
If they bring that kind of effort into tonight’s game, Air Force will wind up with the outright win.
New Mexico is just 5-11 ATS in its last 16 home games and 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a home chalk.
Air Force is 3-0 SUATS in the last three meetings.
Take the points as Air Force keeps this one within the number.
10 Dime –
RED SOX -1 ½ RUN LINE
Take the Red Sox on the run line tonight over the Rockies in Game 2 of the World Series.
I whiffed with the Rockies last night plus the run and a half and I’m not going to make that mistake again tonight.
Boston just has too big of an advantage at Fenway and with Curt Schilling getting the start I don’t see Colorado putting up many runs tonight.
Ubaldo Jimenez will get the start for the Rockies and I don’t see him faring any better than Jeff Francis did last night.
The Red Sox are the ones with all the momentum now, even if Colorado sports a 21-2 record over its last 23 games.
With another World Series title at stake, I don’t see Schilling laying an egg here.
Take the Red Sox on the run line as they grab another convincing win tonight.
Rocketman Sports
CFB
Air Force @ New Mexico 9:00 PM EST
Play On: 1* New Mexico -6
New Mexico is scoring 42 points per game at home this year. New Mexico is 4-1 ATS at home vs Air Force since 1992. Air Force is 4-10 ATS last 14 games on grass. New Mexico is 6-2 ATS last 3 meetings against teams with a winning record. New Mexico returned 18 starters from last years squad so they have played together for awhile now. Air Force returned only 10 starters from their 4-8 team last year. 60% of the public is on Air Force so we'll gladly fade that. We'll play New Mexico for 1 unit tonight!
Thanks and good luck, Rocky
PICK: Boston College
Your pick will be graded at: 3.5 Sportsbook
EXPERT: David ********
REASON FOR PICK: 4* BOSTON COLLEGE over VIRGINIA TECH
This setting is a classic, isn’t it? An upstart gets moved to a rare level in the national polls, goes out on the road against a difficult opponent, and gets upset. This just happened to South Florida at Rutgers, right? But you would have already noticed that our intro is a bit out of kilter here – if Boston College suffers its first defeat in this game it will not be an upset, the Eagles are sitting at +3.5 in key precincts right now, with even a few +4’s out and about. And therein lies what makes this an even more unique setting.
Yes, Boston College does not deserve to be #2 yet, not based on the schedule that the Eagles have faced. But in an ironic twist they have become under-rated instead of over-rated. There is so much speculation about where they really belong that the markets can not wait to get involved against them, as evidence by the early movement on this game. But keep in mind one of the most important axioms in handicapping any sport - The fact that a team has played a weak schedule does not mean that they are weaker than they appear to be; it merely means that more evidence is needed before the cement is allowed to dry on a high rating. And in terms of the pressure for this setting, let’s consider the following – there may not be a more mature QB in the nation than senior Matt Ryan, who will not be intimidated (he has fully earned his “Matty Ice” nickname, with a 21-4 record in career starts), and correspondingly sets the tone for the rest of the team, and that in the last four seasons the Eagles have been underdogs 11 times, winning nine of the games outright.
The real story here is the flip side of the equation, however, as we really do have an over-rated team involved in this game – the favored Hokies. They are laying this price despite being an abysmal 112th in the nation in total offense, and when we break the numbers down that rating is very real. Both North Carolina and East Carolina had their best defensive game of the season in terms of points allowed, 1st downs allowed and yards allowed against Tech. Clemson had its #1 game in 1st downs and #2 in yardage. L.S.U. posted #2 in 1st downs and #2 in yardage. Duke posted #3 in 1st downs and #3 in yardage. Get the picture? Even William & Mary held the Hokies to 12 first downs and 287 yards.
Yes, the Tech defense can still make plays. But we will not see that unit at its best in this one, with NFL-bound LB Vince Hall not available, and Cam Martin, another starting LB, not likely to be ready as he battles mononucleosis. Right now they are practicing with Chad Grimm, a former walk-on, in Martin’s position. As for the offense, they may be back to Sean Glennon as the starting QB, with Tyrod Taylor not practicing yet since suffering a sprained ankle vs. Duke, and the running game has been a disaster for the second straight season, with Brandon Ore managing only 3.0 yards per attempt. This team does not deserve to be favored at all here, much less by the margin that the oddsmakers are calling for.
BIG AL's 100% (16-0 ATS) NCAA FB GAME OF THE MONTH
Virginia Tech
Vegas Hotsheet - Free Pick - New Mexico -5.5
Jim Feist.
My free pick of the day is the game between (101) Boston College and (102) Virginia Tech. Take "Under". One of the best defensive match-ups of the season. BC has climbed to No. 3 in the Associated Press poll, their highest ranking since 1942. Boston College (6-0 SU/4-1 ATS) has been on a roll for new coach Jeff Jagodzinski. The defense is fast and outstanding allowing 17 points, 46 yards rushing (1.8 yards per rush), though 277 yards passing per contest. The Eagles beat Wake Forest 38-28 as Ryan completed 32-of-52 passes for a career-high 408 yards. Wake Forest, a great running team, had ONE yard rushing! Virginia Tech (6-1 SU, 2-4 ATS) also has a strong defense allowing 16 ppg and just 2.8 yards per rush. They are also awesome on special teams, as we saw in a 41-23 rout of Clemson. Virginia Tech got outgained 380-219, but they shut down the Tigers running game -- Clemson had just 9 yards rushing! They were No. 1 in total defense a year ago and have 16 starters back (8 on defense). Don't look for much offense in this game as it goes UNDER the total.
Wolkosky Milan
20* VIRGINIA TECH -3
10* AIR FORCE +6
10* BC/VT UNDER 43½
10* AF/NM OVER 46½
Brandon Lang
THURSDAY
10 DIME
BOSTON COLLEGE
free pick - Air force (For analysis see daily video)
LT Lock
Va. Tech
Ben Burns
Personal Favorite
Rangers
Main Event
Virginia Tech
Mountain West Conference Game of the Week
New Mexico
Ben Burns
Personal Favorite
Rangers
Main Event
Virginia Tech
Mountain West Conference Game of the Week
New Mexico
Scott Spreitzer
Game: Air Force at New Mexico Oct 25 2007 9:00PM
Prediction: New Mexico
Reason: I'm laying the points with UNM on Thursday. Air Force heads into tonight's game with a lot of bumps and bruises, including QB Shaun Carney. Both teams have one conference loss on the season with each team losing to BYU. But UNM is the stronger team. The Lobos lost to BYU by seven with the difference coming on an interception return for a touchdown. Air Force was pummeled by the Cougars from the opening kickoff until the final gun. In fact, the Lobos are just 11 points away from a perfect season, with their other loss coming against UTEP in the season opener, by four points. UNM is playing with confidence after back-to-back MWC road wins over Wyoming and SDSU. Now, back at home, they have a great opportunity to end a three game skid to Air Force. The home team is 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two schools. Look for the home trend to continue on Thursday with a 14-to-17 point UNM win. New Mexico, minus points, on Thursday. Thanks! GL! Scott.