Fat Harry
Detroit -4
BeatYourBookie
100* Play Milwaukee (+4) over Atlanta (NBA)
Milwaukee is 8-2 ATS when the total posted is greater than 200 points
Milwaukee is 8-2 ATS vs. Southeast Division Opponents
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points
100* Play Charlotte (+3) over Phoenix (NBA)
Phoenix is 1-8 ATS when playing in the month of January
Phoenix is 6-17 ATS coming off an OVER the total this season
Phoenix is 3-12 ATS after allowing 100 points or more in three straight games
NCAAB Basketball
50* Play San Francisco (+8.5) over Santa Clara (NCAA)
Pro Sports Plays
10* Take Rider (+7) over Fairfield (NCAA Top Play)
Fairfield has lost 6 consecutive games against the spread coming off a conference game and they have also lost 4 of the last 5 home games against the spread.
10* Take Youngstown St. (+10) over Cleveland St. (NCAA Top Play)
Youngstown State has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points and they have also covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games coming off three or more conference losses.
5* Take Dallas (+4) over Detroit (NBA Bonus Play)
Winning Angle
Play Dallas (+4) over Detroit* (Top NBA Play)
NCAA Hoops
Play Canisius (+6.5) over Marist* (Top NCAA Play)
Play Brown (+5) over Yale
Vegas Sports Experts
10* Take Brown (+5) over Yale (NCAA Power Play)
Brown
• 5-1 ATS coming off a home loss
• 9-2 ATS vs. Yale on the road
• 25-11 ATS in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest
10* Take Cleveland (-7.5) over Golden State (NBA Power Play)
Cleveland
• 24-9 ATS as a favorite this season
• 11-3 ATS in all non-conference games this season
• 15-4 ATS coming off a road game this season
Bonus Hoops & NHL Plays are:
3* Take LA Clippers (+2.5) over Oklahoma City (NBA)
Matt Fargo
8* NBA Dark Horse Dandy
Cavaliers at Warriors
Pick: Warriors +6.5
This line has dropped a point since opening at 7.5 and that is due to the announcement that Monta Ellis will be making his season debut for the Warriors…finally. He was suspended by the team to start the season but his injured ankle, which was the cause of the suspension in how it happened, took a lot longer to heal than expected. Ellis will start alongside Jamal Crawford in the backcourt with Stephen Jackson at small forward and Corey Maggette continuing to come off the bench as Golden State gets its overdue first look at a revamped core. Golden St. is playing very well right now and the presence of Ellis will only add to the recent surge. When a team is 13-30 on the season, a run of 3-2 over the last five games is considered a surge. Even with recent losses, the Warriors have been extremely competitive. Over the recent five-game homestand, the two losses have been by a combined three points with one coming in overtime and prior to that, a 1-5 run saw four of those losses coming by eight points or fewer. Golden St., like a lot of NBA teams, is Jekyll and Hyde between home and road games. On the road, Golden St, is 4-20 and of those 20 losses, 12 have come by 11 points or more with the average loss being a whopping 14.2 ppg. They are 910 at home with only two losses coming by double digits and the average loss being just 5.4 ppg. That is a significant difference. Even more so when you consider the average margin in those nine wins is 9.6 ppg. The Warriors have been home underdogs 11 times and are 8-3 ATS in those games including a perfect 3-0 ATS when getting more than 4.5 points. Those games came against heavyweights New Orleans, Los Angeles and Boston. As a matter of fact, if Golden St. is favored by five points or more at home, it is 0-4 ATS. Anything under that, including being an underdog, it is 11-4 ATS. The Cavaliers as we all know are having a spectacular season but they have been coming back down to earth recently with a 6-4 record over their last 10 games. That is still solid but when starting the season 26-4 that is a pretty serious dropoff. Part of the reason is a bullseye on their backs and teams are getting amped to play them but another reason is injuries as Cleveland has been pretty banged up of late. Ben Wallace missed some time and currently, Zydrunas Ilgauskas is still out with a chip fracture in his ankle. His absence, which is reaching its 10th game, has coincided with the recent poor play for the Cavaliers. Also on the shelf is guard Delonte West who will be missing his fourth straight game and it severely depletes the backcourt. He had averaged 14.4 ppg over his last 14 games prior to getting hurt while also averaging 3.8 apg and 2.8 rpg while committing only 16 turnovers combined in those games. It is a bigger loss than a lot people are taking into account. Cleveland is 20-0 at home but only 12-8 on the road and has split the first two games of this West Coast trip, losing to the Lakers on Monday and bouncing back with a win over the Blazers on Wednesday. Those are two tough games to recover from and making it worse is the fact that the Cavaliers have Utah on deck tomorrow night. That makes this spot even tougher. Cleveland has owned this series with wins in four of the last five meetings including a 15-point win at home this season. The Cavaliers have won two straight in Golden St. but those came by just two and four points. Cleveland has been a covering machine this season, going a league best 28-12 ATS and because of that, we get some exceptional line value with the Warriors. Even better is that most of that success came early in the season when Cleveland started 19-4 ATS. Doing the math shows it is just 9-8 ATS since then including a 4-6 ATS record on the road. Still, the linesmakers are forced to overprice this team based on name and star brand. The Warriors are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 home games against teams that are outscoring their opponents by 6 or more ppg. That coincides with the fact they are 20-8 ATS as home underdogs over the last three seasons. Golden St. also falls into a great scoring situation. Play against favorites after a win by six points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 100 points or more four straight games. This situation is 42-17 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. An added note to this is that in the Warriors 19 home games, they have topped 100 points 17 times while scoring 98 and 99 points in the other two games. The Cavaliers are all about defense but Golden St. has gone over 110 points 12 times at home and it will once again have some success. 8* Golden St. Warriors
INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
4* Atlanta -4 over Milwaukee
3* Cleveland -7.5 over Golden St.
3* Yale -5 over Brown
SEABASS
200* New Jersey
100* Houston
50* Brown
CTO
11* Dallas over Detroit
Blue Wizard
5* - Houston Rockets pk
5* - Charlotte Bobcats +4
5* - Cleveland Cavs -6
Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
COLLEGE HOOPS LATE STEAM BLOWOUT WINNER
Marist -6.5
LATE BREAKING NBA STEAM WINNER
Oklahoma City -2.5
Maddux Sports
3 units Bobcats +4
3 units Hornets/Timberwolves Over 193.5
3 units LA Clippers +2.5
Glenn McGrew
Vegas Steam Play
NY Knicks -6
Rocketman
5* Ok City
4* S Antonio
RON RAYMOND
5* NBA UNDERDOG UPSET SPECIAL
Memphis Grizzlies +5.5
5* NBA O/U GAME OF THE NIGHT
Hornets/Timberwolves Over 193