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Friday Service Picks and Free Consensus Reports:

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(@the-hog)
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Strike Point Sports

2-Unit Play. Take Marist/Houston Under 148 (9 am)

All four games in the first round in Puerto Rico were fairly low scoring. With this being the morning tip-off, these two will stay under here as well. Marist struggled offensively on Thursday, and we think they'll keep to their woes against a very athletic Cougars team. Play the under here.

3-Unit Play. #760 Take Winthrop -4 over UIC (3:30 pm)

The Big South champs still have plenty of talented athletes left over from another strong push into the NCAAs. Michael ******* and Chris Gaynor lead the charge, and overall this Eagles team is a better shooting group than what the Flames can counter with. 3-point shooting will be the difference. Lay the number, as Winthrop comes through here.

3-Unit Play. #761 Take Baylor -4 over Wichita State (6 pm)

The Shockers lost a majority of their offense from a season ago. Via graduation and a key transfer lost with Sean Ogurri, WSU is not the same team. Baylor is definitely one Big 12 team to keep your eye on, particularly with the strengths in the Bears' backcourt. Led by senior Aaron Bruce, the major conference rep knocks off the mid-major.

3-Unit Play. #784 Take Niagara -3 over Central Michigan (7 pm)

The Chippewas have not looked good to open the year, and this is a good opportunity for the Purple Eagles to come out strong, looking to take a positive step in aiming for back-to-back NCAA Tournament births. Niagara boasts conference player of the year candidate Charron Fisher, and he leads his sqaud to the season-opening victory.

3-Unit Play. #773 Take St. Bonaventure -1.5 over Loyola Marymount (7 pm)

The Lions lost an awful lot from last season, and not only have they most assume they will relegate to the bottom of the WCC, but there is good reason why they are dogged against the Bonnies. The A-10 program that was built from stratch after all the dust settled over the past couple of seasons now has reason for some promise. A 2-1 start is very doable, and it happens with a win here.

2-Unit Play. #764 Take Notre Dame -18.5 over Monmouth (8:30 pm)

The Irish should be able to dictate tempot throughout, as Monmouth lost over half of its scoring and rebounding from 2006. Not really having too much to throw down against Notre Dame, the Big East program should be able to control this one throughout. They roll by over 20.

3-Unit Play. #785 Take Boise State -2.5 over Montana State (9 pm)

The Broncos of the WAC gave Washington State a really good run in the first half earlier this week. They look like a group that could be beyond what most expected from them this season. Montana State, however, looks no better than a team stuck in the middle of the Big Sky. Boise is the play here.

2-Unit Play. #740 Take Hawaii +3 over Illinois (1 am)

The last time a Big Ten team came across to the islands it wasn't good news. Michigan State came in ranked with high expections several years back and were sent packing early in the season. Now an Illinois team that has looked quite shaky in its first game not to mention exhibitions arrives, and the same result will occur. The Warriors play at a fast pace, and this Illini team might not be ready for fired up Hawaii team. We'll see the mainlanders ousted again. Hawaii wins this one at home.

3-Unit Play Take #738 Washington State Cougars -27 over Idaho Vandals. (Friday, November 16, 10:00 pm EST).
With four starters returning from last season, when Washington State won 26 games and made the NCAA tournament for the first time since 1995, the 9th ranked Cougars have high expectations and certainly want to avoid a stumble against an outclassed foe like Idaho.The Cougars look to extend their home winning streak over non-conference opponents and should be able to do that easily over the Vandals who are coming off a 37-point loss to Gonzaga. Idaho is winless in its last 14 games against Top 25 opponents and given the caliber of tonight's opposistion, I think it's safe to say that losing streak will grow. Washington State is 2-0 overall, 1-0 at home and 1-0 ATS at home. Granted it's a large number to lay. But with the Cougars coming off the Boise State game in which they trailed by six at the half, look for Bennett's boys to go hot and heavy from beginning to end.
Best of Luck. Allen Eastman.
Ferringo
5.5-Unit Play. Take Baylor (-4) over Wichita State (6 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
Note: This is our Game of the Week.

New coach. New system. First game. Seven new players. Wichita State is behind the 8-ball here and they haven’t even stepped on the court. Baylor is one of my sleeper teams this year and I think they get off to a solid start in St. Thomas. Baylor has covered its last five neutral site games and seven of eight games overall. I think they have a huge advantage in the backcourt and are just better at putting the ball in the hole. As long as they play a bit of defense and execute some offensively they should be able to top this Shockers team. I see an eight- or nine-point victory for the Bears.

3.5-Unit Play. Take #729 Western Michigan (+2) over Loyola-Chicago (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
The Broncos are back in the Midwest after their up-and-down West Coast swing. After a couple nights in their own beds I think they have their batteries recharged and they are ready to roll over a Loyola team that is significantly down from last season. I like the Broncos to play their best game to date and to take this one down.

2.5-Unit Play. Take Boise State (-2.5) over Montana State (10 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
Weird line. But not strange enough to stay away given that I think it’s a mistake line. Boise State has far superior talent and a more versatile frontcourt. This Boise team is better than the UNLV club that Montana State was getting hammered by before their big comeback. No comeback tonight and MSU’s streak of covers ends at two.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #725 Fordham (+10.5) over Syracuse (7 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
I think we’re catching the Orange in a Letdown/Look Ahead spot here after their emotional win over St. Joe’s and before their marquee matchup in Madison Square Garden. Fordham has a ton of experience and features four three-year starters. I don’t think they will be rattled by The Dome and I think they can score enough to keep this one interesting. Syracuse is a great fade as a double-digit favorite, is 0-7 ATS against the A-10, and is 1-5 ATS in its last six nonconference games.

2-Unit Play. Take #751 Rhode Island (-6) over South Florida (2 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
South Florida has a pair of losses to a pair of pretty poor teams and I don’t think they can execute well enough to beat the Rams in this spot. I know they are playing in their backyard, but the Bulls haven’t covered in their last eight games. Rhode Island can score points in a hurry and this one and I think there pressure will be too much for a young USF backcourt. This should be an uptempo game and that favors the deeper, more talented Rams.

2-Unit Play. Take #746 Arkansas (-6) over Providence (5:30 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
The Razorbacks started slowly yesterday but they are still the best team in this tournament. Providence was getting beat by double-digits before a late rally allowed them to advance. But without Sharrod Curry this PU team doesn’t have enough to handle Top 20 talent.

2-Unit Play. Take #773 St. Bonaventure (-2.5) over Loyola-Marymount (7 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
This line has moved nearly eight points since it was posted. Something is fishy here and we’re going to ride the Bonnies. LMU managed around 13 points in the first half of their opener. Get used to them having trouble putting the ball in the whole, and St. Bonaventure wins this one going away.

 
Posted : November 16, 2007 3:54 pm
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Drew Gordon:

1. 200,000♦ Nevada
2. 50,000♦ Heat
3. 50,000♦ Florida State

 
Posted : November 16, 2007 3:54 pm
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Tim Trushel

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Nevada +6.5

 
Posted : November 16, 2007 3:55 pm
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JIMMY KRUuGER

Nevada +6 over Hawaii

Nevada finds itself in a great situation, off of a bye and now a home dog to a team on a shorter than normal week. Plus, their opponents quarterback
suffered a concussion in their previous game and might have some additional
concerns floating around in his head this week.
A basic trend applies here that is 33-10, 76.7%, since 1980 favoring A team off of a bye and an away win now playing as a home dog of more than 3points late in the season.

Another good situation is to play against a team that is at least 8-0 and now an away favorite with a team off of a road win This has produced a 70% win rate taking the home dog.

The offense has done well under redshirt freshman quarterback, Colin
Kaepernick, who has started the last four games after taking over for the #1 injured QB, Nick Graziano. Kaepernick has thrown 13 TD’s with only 2 INT’s to rank tenth in the nation.

Nevada is on a 17-5 ATS run at home. They have the superior running attack
led by Luke Lippincott and will try and keep the Hawaii offense off the field by rushing at least 40+ times.

The pressure is more on the Warriors. It was interesting that when it was announced Colt Brennan was cleared to play against UNR, the line didn’teven go Hawaiis way, in fact, money continues to come in on Hawaii

Nevada gets to play the spoiler against an over-rated team. Take the Wolfpack.

 
Posted : November 16, 2007 3:55 pm
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Scott Spreitzer

Friday CBB Tourney Knockout! (11-2, 85%)

I'm laying the points with URI on Friday afternoon. Everybody who's anybody returned to the Rams this season and I expect coach Jim Baron's squad to challenge for the A-10 title. Last season, Baron decided to up the tempo with the amount of athletes he has at his disposal. The Rams increased their scoring by 13 PPG over the previous season. This year, they're off to a 2-0 start scoring 90 and 75 points, winning by 27 and 14. Jimmy Baron (coaches son), and Will Daniels are in a take-no-prisoners mindset right now. They're also receiving a big contribution from senior guard Parfait Bitee. What I like best about this experienced squad is their ability to force teams into making mistakes. The Rams have forced their first two opponents into 45 turnovers while allowing just 28 assists! That's bad news for a South Florida squad that looks destined for the bottom of the Big East. Not only are they off to an 0-2 start, but their assist-to-turnover ratio is in the red. Going back to last season, the Bulls are on an 0-8 ATS slide. Make that 0-9 after this one. I'm laying the spot with Rhode Island on Friday afternoon (2:15pm ET).

 
Posted : November 16, 2007 3:56 pm
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Brandon Lang

FRIDAY
25 DIME
Nevada Wolfpack

5 DIME
Western Michigan (Hoops)
Central Michigan (Football)

 
Posted : November 16, 2007 3:56 pm
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COMPS

Jimmy The Moose comp
Game: Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning Nov 16 2007 8:05PM

Prediction: over

huddle up spts

Utah -1

razor sharp spts

YOUR FREE WINNER FOR FRIDAY: CLEVELAND +1 over Uta

tv hotline

BOISE ST. -2-

dr. vegas

New Orleans -4 over Memphis

mike wynn

Free Pick: Sacramento -3 Over New York

computer spts

ILLINOIS-3

totals 4u

FRIDAY'S FREE WINNER: NEW YORK/SACRAMENTO OVER 199

#1 spts

FRIDAY'S FREE WINNER: MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES + 4

 
Posted : November 16, 2007 3:57 pm
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Wunderdog
wunderdog ncaa card

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Game: North Carolina-charlotte vs. Georgia Tech (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on North Carolina-charlotte +9.5

This game is part of the Paradise Jam, in the Virgin Islands. Charlotte is off to a nice 2-0 start, while Georgia Tech has already dropped a game to NC Greensboro, and with all the departures from last year, this is a team still trying to find its identity. leemire Goldwire has been lighting it up for Charlotte at 24.5ppg, and the 49ers have been cleaning up the glass to the tune of +5 per game. This is a young Tech team travelling a great distance, and will easily be distracted, while it is an opportunity for Charlotte to get off to a 3-0 start, and log a big win against an ACC opponent.

Game: U R I vs. South Florida (2:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on U R I -7

This game will be played in Daytona, Fla. hardly a home game for South Florida. South Fla has not won a road game in the Big East in two years and seldom wins on the road period. This team is short on talent, and is already off to a 0-2 start, against some unimpressive teams. URI is the more talented team and is out of the gate quickly at 2-0. URI has already had two players top the 25-point mark and can hurt you in many ways. The Bulls are shooting poorly, defending poorly, and we look for URI to come out with a double-digit win in this one.

Game: Loyola Marymount vs. St. Bonaventure (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on St. Bonaventure -3

This game is being played at the pit in Albuquerque. Loyola is coming in off a disappointing performance to lowly Arkansas-Little Rock, a game they were blown out by 31. It has been a step up in class for LMU to play against the A-10, as they have a lifetime record of 5-16 against these teams. St. Bonaventure is a team that can score and that will present a big problem for LMU who is averaging just 50 points per game and shooting a dreadful 32% from the floor. To make matters worse they are just 5-28 from three-point range and have averaged 22 turnovers a game. This is certainly not a recipe for winning. The Bonnies simply out-class this team by leaps and bounds and we expect a blow out!

 
Posted : November 16, 2007 3:57 pm
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Handicapper: IndianCowboy

Sport: College FootballGame: Hawaii Warriors @ Nevada Wolf Pack - Friday November 16, 2007 11:00 pm

Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: Nevada Wolf Pack +6 (-108)

 
Posted : November 16, 2007 3:59 pm
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Lenny Del Genio's Afternoon Delight (6-2 75% ATS start in CBB!)
Play on Rhode Island at 2:15 ET. Based on how different the results have been for these two teams so far, we love this short number. Rhode Island may be the smallest state in the union, but its basketball team is winning by big margins, besting both Florida Atlantic and in-state rival Brown by double-digits. The Bulls of South Florida, on the other hand, have already lost twice outright in the role of favorite and things don't look to be getting any better as the team is a very poor 4-13 vs. the number if coming off a SU loss. New coach Stan Heath (defected from Arkansas) is still scrambling to put the pieces in place down in Tampa and the Bulls one proven commodity, C Kentrell Gransberry (3 for 14 from the field last game), is still busy working the kinks out after being suspended for the team's opener (played in non-sanctioned summer league game). Even worse for USF is that they're not finishing games well, having been outscored 14-3 down the stretch by Cleveland State and 11-2 during another critical late stretch against Buffalo. URI, meanwhile, brings back a veteran club under A-10 Coach of the Year Jim Baron. Four starters and 95.5% of last year's scoring output are back, highlighted by Will Daniels (17.4 PPG, 5.6 RPG) and the coach's son Jimmy Baron (97 three-pointers LY). Bottom line is that the Rams have too much firepower and will simply outscore USF. Rhode Island is my Afternoon Delight.

Good luck, Lenny

 
Posted : November 16, 2007 3:59 pm
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Marc Lawrence NBA Super Pick Super Play! - Friday 11/16:

Play On: Cleveland Cavaliers

Note: Cavs return home off -point overtime home loss to the Magic knowing they are 7-0 ATS in this series and 11-3 ATS the last 14 games at home when hosting Utah. Playing with 2-point loss revenge from a defeat earlier this year in Utah, look for Cleveland to get their revenge here tonight.

 
Posted : November 16, 2007 3:59 pm
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rj _bell

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Fri, 11/16/07 - 7:00 PMRJ_Bell | NBA Total
triple-dime bet704 TOR / 703 IND Under 194.0 BetUS
Analysis: Total Best Bet of Week

UNDER Pacers/Raptors 194

My computer projects this game at 183

 
Posted : November 16, 2007 4:00 pm
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Northcoast Marquee

-hawaii Under 68

Jim Hurley

1-0 @ +3.00 units

(3 units) Nevada +6

 
Posted : November 16, 2007 4:02 pm
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Red Zone Sports
8 PM XX Play

NEW ORLEANS -3.5

The NEW ORLEANS Hornets are too talented for this poor rebounding Memphis crew. If Memphis tries to man up & play up tempo with the very talented Hornets a blow out will be on hand tonight in Tennesee, Chris Paul's team has covered 7 of 9 in this series and won 7 out of 9 SU

The New Orleans Hornets as a road favorite tonight are the play here
at -3.5 fav..NEW ORLEANS is our BLOW WINNER

 
Posted : November 16, 2007 4:03 pm
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Frank Rosenthal

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

310 CENTRAL MICH-13.5 SB
OVER 66 SB
311 HAWAII-6 SB
UNDER 80 SB+

NBA

705 HEAT+11.5 SB
714 SPURS-8 SB
717 WIZARDS-3 SB
721 PISTONS+3.5 SB

COLLEGE HOOPS

734 TEXAS-24 SB+
737 IDAHO U+28.5 SB++

 
Posted : November 16, 2007 4:03 pm
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