TEDDY COVERS:
11/17/07 CFB 20* Big Ticket: San Diego State +11 (335)
ANALYSIS:
One of my favorite late season betting strategies is to support improving teams that are way underneath the national radar. These teams invariably were lousy in September, coming into the season with low expectations, and then achieving those low expectations. The betting marketplace adjusts much slower to late season improvement than it does to early season failures. And that, folks, is the only reason that we’re catching double digits with an ascending San Diego State team here, making this play worthy of Big Ticket status.
Air Force hasn’t had a bye this season, playing in their 12th consecutive ballgame. For a thin team like the Falcons, depth is most assuredly an issue at this time of the year. And, for a team that lacks depth and extraordinary athleticism, we can expect a tired, banged up Air Force squad to take the field this Saturday. Air Force has already clinched their bowl bid. They are coming off back-2-back emotional victories over Notre Dame and Army in their last two ballgames. They’ve covered the number in six straight games, forcing the linesmakers to ratchet up their pointspreads higher and higher.
Last year, in their final two games favored by more than a touchdown, Air Force lost outright. This year, they’ve only been favored by more than a TD once, against a hapless Army squad. Even in that game, Air Force struggled to cover the number. Air Force was favored by 5.5 points over UNLV at home a few weeks back. San Diego State just beat UNLV in Las Vegas, but they are double digit favorites here. Hence the aforementioned pointspread value on the Aztecs, on full display.
San Diego State was terrible in September, exactly what they were expected to be in Chuck Long’s second season at the helm. But we saw them eke out a straight up road win at Colorado State as 13 point underdogs in early October. Then the Aztecs had New Mexico beaten before a late fumble from QB Kevin O’Connell cost them the victory. That loss could have spoiled their season, but instead, San Diego State came together as a team. O’Connell rallied the Aztecs from 21 down to beat Wyoming, then led them to a 38-30 road win at UNLV last week. This is an emerging late season squad, exactly the type of squad that offers the most pointspread value here in November. San Diego State already has a pair of straight up wins as a road underdog this season. Their only loss by more than a field goal since the beginning of October came at Utah, a far superior squad to the one they’ll face on Saturday. San Diego State beat Air Force outright as a ten point underdog last year, 19-12. Don’t be shocked if we see a similar final score on Saturday. Big Ticket: (#335) Take San Diego State.
chicago hotsides
1 OLD DOM. -9
1 W. MICH. +1.5
1 UL-LAFF. +3.5
2.5 ILL. -3.5
2.5 MIAMI -3
2.5 ST. BONNY -3
2.5 C. MICH. +3
2.5 BOISE ST. -2
4 RHODE IS. -7
4 BAYLOR -5
California Sports
5* W. Mich +1
4* UL Laf +4'
3* UAB +3'
4* WAsh +1 (NBA)
PureLock Sports Premium Picks 11-16-07
All plays rated 5 units! 15-2 88% in College Football this past year and 11-10 in NFL this past year! Thats 26-12 68% in football this past year! At least 60% or better in CFB every year.
NBA
UTAH @ CLEVELAND 7:35 PM EST
PLAY ON: CLEVELAND (+) PTS
CBB
IDAHO @ WASHINGTON STATE 10:00 PM EST
PLAY ON: IDAHO (+) PTS
PPP
NBA
4 Utah
3 New Jersey
3 LA Clippers
COLLEGE
4 San Jose St
3 Illinois
3 Rhode Island
3 Florida St
Bob Balfe's Friday Card
NFL Football
No plays today.
College Football
Eastern Michigan +14 over Central Michigan
Central has no real reason to play 100% and get injured in this game, they will be playing for the MAC Title regardless. Eastern Michigan is not a good offensive team, but will be going against a CMU defense that is just horrible. Their is not much separation in the MAC from top to bottom and 14 points in a situation like this is way to high. Also, the betting public is all over CMU and this looks like a sucker bet. Take Eastern Michigan.
(All hoops wagers should be 1/3 of your average football wager)
NBA Basketball
Heat +11.5 over Celtics
College Basketball
Temple -5.5 over College of Charlestown
ATS FINANCIAL
3 Cent Mich
Hoops
CBB 3 Gar Web
NBA 3 Sea
ATS LOCK
3 Nevada
Hoops
CBB 4 Fl St.
NBA 4 San Antonio
cokin 3* tulsa hat: bay wind: montst sy: ford bg: loya mt nba: 3* clev wind: port tot: sac un sy: memp cfb: 3* emich wind: nev
feist: 5* idaho pl: loy mt nba: 5* pistons ic: hornets pl: clev pb: nyk ov tot: hou un port ov cfb: 5* nev,cmich
scotty: cfb: tko: cmich ko: nev cbb: 5* w.mich 3* washst tko: bay ko: rhi in: nd nba: 5* nyk tko: celts ko: wizz
RECAP :
Greg Roberts
3* Nevada Fri nite FB
--------------------------------------------
ez winners
10 star Nevada
5 star Nevada ML
--------------------------------------------
Don Wagner
Huge Play - Nevada +7
--------------------------------------------
DR BOB
2 Star Selection
**NEVADA 38 Hawaii (-7.0) 37
2-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more and for 3-Stars at +10 points or more
--------------------------------------------
allan eastman
nba sac -3
--------------------------------------------
WINNING POINTS
NBA
***BEST BET
*Toronto over Indiana by 16
***BEST BET
*New Jersey over Orlando by 15
***BEST BET
*Sacramento over New York by 12
*Philadelphia over Portland by 6
*Cleveland over Utah by 3
*Atlanta over Seattle by 4
*San Antonio over Houston by 8
New Orleans over *Memphis by 3
*Minnesota over Washington by 1
*Boston over Miami by 7
*Los Angeles Lakers over Detroit by 2
*Golden State over Los Angeles Clippers by 4
--------------------------------------------
NORTHCOAST:
PHIL STEELE:
#13 Hawaii 45 NEVADA 37
--------------------------------------------
Early CBB!!!!
Scott Spreitzer's Friday CBB Tourney Knockout! (11-2, 85%)
U. Rhode Island
--------------------------------------------
Ben Burns
college fb
NEVADA (+6 or better) *Friday night Feast
TULSA (-11 or better)
UNDER heat/celtics *Blue Chip
KINGS (-4 or better)
--------------------------------------------
doc's
4 Unit Play. #10 Take Nevada +7 over Hawaii (Friday 11:00 pm ESPN 2)
4 Unit Play. #12 Take Central Michigan -13 over Eastern Michigan (Friday 7:00 pm)
--------------------------------------------
Chris Jordan
3-0 Sweep ...
200♦ HORNETS NBA
200♦ MONTANA STATE
200♦ HAWAII CFB
--------------------------------------------
Steam Plays
741 Marist +12
723 LA Clippers Under 217?
--------------------------------------------
SportsKingz
CFB:
HAWAII -6.5
--------------------------------------------
Vegas Hotsheet
E.Mich/C. Mich - Under 67
--------------------------------------------
DCI
NCAAF
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 48, Eastern Michigan 28
Hawaii 57, NEVADA 43
NBA
TORONTO 103, Indiana 92
PHILADELPHIA 90, Portland 86
BOSTON 88, Miami 81
NEW JERSEY 94, Orlando 91
ATLANTA 102, Seattle 98
CLEVELAND 110, Utah 107
New Orleans 101, MEMPHIS 97
SAN ANTONIO 95, Houston 83
SACRAMENTO 101, New York 97
Detroit 102, L.A. LAKERS 100
GOLDEN STATE 114, L.A. Clippers 111
NHL
NEW JERSEY 3, N.Y. Islanders 2
CAROLINA 4, Atlanta 3
TAMPA BAY 3, Washington 2
VANCOUVER 3, Minnesota 2
--------------------------------------------
Teddy Covers
20* Big Ticket S.Diego St. +11
--------------------------------------------
Michael Cannon
Friday's Plays...
15 Dime -
RAPTORS
10 Dime -
KINGS
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
5 Dime -
76ERS
--------------------------------------------
Big Al Mcmordie
Conference Game of the Year 14-0 System
Nevada
--------------------------------------------
kodiak
10 cmu o 67
5 nev +7
--------------------------------------------
Black Widow Plays.
6*philly-2 NBA
4*knicks/kings under 198.5
4*hawaii+6 ncaa fb
4*loyola chicago-1 ncaa bb
--------------------------------------------
superpicks
30* C. Michigan (-14.0) over E. Michigan
--------------------------------------------
Robert Ferringo
5.5-Unit Play. Take Baylor (-4) over Wichita State (6 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
Note: This is our Game of the Week.
3.5-Unit Play. Take #729 Western Michigan (+2) over Loyola-Chicago (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
2.5-Unit Play. Take Boise State (-2.5) over Montana State (10 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #725 Fordham (+10.5) over Syracuse (7 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
2-Unit Play. Take #751 Rhode Island (-6) over South Florida (2 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
2-Unit Play. Take #746 Arkansas (-6) over Providence (5:30 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
2-Unit Play. Take #773 St. Bonaventure (-2.5) over Loyola-Marymount (7 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
--------------------------------------------
Allen Eastman
3-Unit Play Take #738 Washington State Cougars -27 over Idaho Vandals. (Friday, November 16, 10:00 pm EST).
--------------------------------------------
Strike Point Sports
2-Unit Play. Take Marist/Houston Under 148 (9 am)
3-Unit Play. #760 Take Winthrop -4 over UIC (3:30 pm)
3-Unit Play. #761 Take Baylor -4 over Wichita State (6 pm)
3-Unit Play. #784 Take Niagara -3 over Central Michigan (7 pm)
3-Unit Play. #773 Take St. Bonaventure -1.5 over Loyola Marymount (7 pm)
2-Unit Play. #764 Take Notre Dame -18.5 over Monmouth (8:30 pm)
3-Unit Play. #785 Take Boise State -2.5 over Montana State (9 pm)
2-Unit Play. #740 Take Hawaii +3 over Illinois (1 am)
--------------------------------------------
Drew Gordon:
1. 200,000♦ Nevada
2. 50,000♦ Heat
3. 50,000♦ Florida State
--------------------------------------------
North Star Sports Service:
NHL
Buffalo 105 -- Best bet
Tampa bay under 6
Colorado -110
Columbus over 5
Minnesota 141
CBB
cuse -10
W.Michigan 1.5
UL- Lafayette 4.5
NC Charlotte 9.5
Baylor -4--- Best Bet
--------------------------------------------
JIMMY KRUGER
Nevada +6 over Hawaii
--------------------------------------------
Brandon Lang
FRIDAY
25 DIME
Nevada Wolfpack
5 DIME
Western Michigan (Hoops)
Central Michigan (Football)
--------------------------------------------
Wunderdog
ncaa card
Game: North Carolina-charlotte vs. Georgia Tech (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on North Carolina-charlotte +9.5
Game: U R I vs. South Florida (2:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on U R I -7
Game: Loyola Marymount vs. St. Bonaventure (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on St. Bonaventure -3
nhl card
Game: Atlanta at Carolina (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Game Total OVER 6 -126 (risk 5 to win 4)
Montreal at Buffalo (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Buffalo +1.5 goals -250 (risk 3 to win 1.2)
Washington at Tampa Bay (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Tampa Bay -1.5 goals +145 (risk 3 to win 4.4)
Tampa Bay 5 units on Game Total OVER 5.5 -118 (risk 5 to win 4.2)
--------------------------------------------
IndianCowboy
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: Nevada Wolf Pack +6 (-108)
--------------------------------------------
Tim Trushel
Nevada +6.5
--------------------------------------------
Kendall Holiday
NBA
New Orleans -3.5 over Memphis - 2 units
Detroit +3 at Los Angeles Lakers - 2 units
Pacers +9 at Toronto - Two units
--------------------------------------------
RAS "SIDES"
*1/2 UNIT side play for Friday:
Play: IUPUI -2.5 1/2 UNIT